impact of monetary policy on indian economy in the post-reform period
impact of monetary policy on indian economy in the post-reform period
impact of monetary policy on indian economy in the post-reform period
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external, real and f<strong>in</strong>ancial sector equilibrium, is <strong>the</strong>n used to prescribe feasible<br />
stabilizati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g> opti<strong>on</strong>s for <strong>the</strong> Indian Ec<strong>on</strong>omy over <strong>the</strong> current fiscal year. The<br />
tw<strong>in</strong> issues <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>in</strong>terest rate and exchange rate determ<strong>in</strong>ati<strong>on</strong>, is becom<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly<br />
important. Only when its behavior is well understood, it will be possible to predict <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
effects <strong>on</strong> key macro-ec<strong>on</strong>omic variables such as GDP, <strong>in</strong>flati<strong>on</strong>, sav<strong>in</strong>gs, <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />
and, above all, ec<strong>on</strong>omic growth.<br />
Rajwade (1999) (23) noted <strong>in</strong> his commentary <strong>on</strong> ‗Perspectives <strong>on</strong> M<strong>on</strong>etary<br />
Policy‘ that: ―The explosive growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>in</strong>formati<strong>on</strong> technology could erode <strong>the</strong> power<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> central banks- noted <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir m<strong>on</strong>opoly over <strong>the</strong> creati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> m<strong>on</strong>ey‖.<br />
M<strong>on</strong>ey at <strong>the</strong> basic level is anyth<strong>in</strong>g generally accepted as a medium <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
exchange. The difficulties <strong>in</strong> quantify<strong>in</strong>g m<strong>on</strong>ey supply have been <strong>the</strong>re, for sometime.<br />
Historically, barter was found <strong>in</strong>efficient because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> different exchange rates. Now,<br />
<strong>the</strong>se c<strong>on</strong>stra<strong>in</strong>ts can be removed, as E-cash replaces <strong>the</strong> currency. Thus <strong>the</strong><br />
c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al ‘m<strong>on</strong>ey world‘ ceases to be <strong>the</strong> <strong>on</strong>ly medium <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> exchange, erod<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />
power <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> central banks.<br />
As part <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> f<strong>in</strong>ancial sector <strong>reform</strong>s, a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> steps have been taken to<br />
enhance <strong>the</strong> effectiveness <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g> and <strong>the</strong>se <strong>in</strong>clude improvement <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
payment and settlement systems, development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sec<strong>on</strong>dary market <strong>in</strong> government<br />
securities with a diversificati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>in</strong>vestor base, reducti<strong>on</strong> <strong>in</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-perform<strong>in</strong>g assets<br />
and reducti<strong>on</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> overall transacti<strong>on</strong>s costs. In particular, <strong>the</strong> recent <strong>in</strong>itiatives <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
RBI to develop m<strong>on</strong>ey market and debt markets should c<strong>on</strong>tribute to improv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />
transmissi<strong>on</strong> mechanisms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g>. All <strong>the</strong> <strong>reform</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> and<br />
f<strong>in</strong>ancial sectors may not have <strong>the</strong> desired results with creditable fiscal adjustment<br />
(Reddy, 1999) (24) .<br />
Despite <strong>the</strong> unfavorable fiscal envir<strong>on</strong>ment, <strong>the</strong> Reserve Bank has been able,<br />
through a comb<strong>in</strong>ati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> measures, to br<strong>in</strong>g down <strong>in</strong>terest rates to realistic and<br />
relatively stable levels (EPW Research Foundati<strong>on</strong>, 2000) (25) . For achiev<strong>in</strong>g, such a<br />
downward trend <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest rates, <strong>the</strong> RBI has adopted multiple strategies, <strong>the</strong> broad<br />
thrust <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> which is based <strong>on</strong> a refresh<strong>in</strong>g change <strong>in</strong> perspectives <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g>.<br />
Therefore, stability or <strong>the</strong> m<strong>in</strong>imizati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> volatility <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> m<strong>on</strong>ey market is pursued as<br />
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