03.08.2013 Views

impact of monetary policy on indian economy in the post-reform period

impact of monetary policy on indian economy in the post-reform period

impact of monetary policy on indian economy in the post-reform period

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

external, real and f<strong>in</strong>ancial sector equilibrium, is <strong>the</strong>n used to prescribe feasible<br />

stabilizati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g> opti<strong>on</strong>s for <strong>the</strong> Indian Ec<strong>on</strong>omy over <strong>the</strong> current fiscal year. The<br />

tw<strong>in</strong> issues <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>in</strong>terest rate and exchange rate determ<strong>in</strong>ati<strong>on</strong>, is becom<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly<br />

important. Only when its behavior is well understood, it will be possible to predict <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

effects <strong>on</strong> key macro-ec<strong>on</strong>omic variables such as GDP, <strong>in</strong>flati<strong>on</strong>, sav<strong>in</strong>gs, <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

and, above all, ec<strong>on</strong>omic growth.<br />

Rajwade (1999) (23) noted <strong>in</strong> his commentary <strong>on</strong> ‗Perspectives <strong>on</strong> M<strong>on</strong>etary<br />

Policy‘ that: ―The explosive growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>in</strong>formati<strong>on</strong> technology could erode <strong>the</strong> power<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> central banks- noted <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir m<strong>on</strong>opoly over <strong>the</strong> creati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> m<strong>on</strong>ey‖.<br />

M<strong>on</strong>ey at <strong>the</strong> basic level is anyth<strong>in</strong>g generally accepted as a medium <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

exchange. The difficulties <strong>in</strong> quantify<strong>in</strong>g m<strong>on</strong>ey supply have been <strong>the</strong>re, for sometime.<br />

Historically, barter was found <strong>in</strong>efficient because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> different exchange rates. Now,<br />

<strong>the</strong>se c<strong>on</strong>stra<strong>in</strong>ts can be removed, as E-cash replaces <strong>the</strong> currency. Thus <strong>the</strong><br />

c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al ‘m<strong>on</strong>ey world‘ ceases to be <strong>the</strong> <strong>on</strong>ly medium <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> exchange, erod<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

power <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> central banks.<br />

As part <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> f<strong>in</strong>ancial sector <strong>reform</strong>s, a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> steps have been taken to<br />

enhance <strong>the</strong> effectiveness <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g> and <strong>the</strong>se <strong>in</strong>clude improvement <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

payment and settlement systems, development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sec<strong>on</strong>dary market <strong>in</strong> government<br />

securities with a diversificati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>in</strong>vestor base, reducti<strong>on</strong> <strong>in</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-perform<strong>in</strong>g assets<br />

and reducti<strong>on</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> overall transacti<strong>on</strong>s costs. In particular, <strong>the</strong> recent <strong>in</strong>itiatives <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

RBI to develop m<strong>on</strong>ey market and debt markets should c<strong>on</strong>tribute to improv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

transmissi<strong>on</strong> mechanisms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g>. All <strong>the</strong> <strong>reform</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> and<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ancial sectors may not have <strong>the</strong> desired results with creditable fiscal adjustment<br />

(Reddy, 1999) (24) .<br />

Despite <strong>the</strong> unfavorable fiscal envir<strong>on</strong>ment, <strong>the</strong> Reserve Bank has been able,<br />

through a comb<strong>in</strong>ati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> measures, to br<strong>in</strong>g down <strong>in</strong>terest rates to realistic and<br />

relatively stable levels (EPW Research Foundati<strong>on</strong>, 2000) (25) . For achiev<strong>in</strong>g, such a<br />

downward trend <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest rates, <strong>the</strong> RBI has adopted multiple strategies, <strong>the</strong> broad<br />

thrust <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> which is based <strong>on</strong> a refresh<strong>in</strong>g change <strong>in</strong> perspectives <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g>.<br />

Therefore, stability or <strong>the</strong> m<strong>in</strong>imizati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> volatility <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> m<strong>on</strong>ey market is pursued as<br />

15

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!