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impact of monetary policy on indian economy in the post-reform period

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orderly c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> foreign exchange market and c<strong>on</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

exchange rate pass-through effect <strong>on</strong> domestic <strong>in</strong>flati<strong>on</strong>. Real shocks are predom<strong>in</strong>antly<br />

resp<strong>on</strong>sible for movements <strong>in</strong> real as well as nom<strong>in</strong>al exchange rate, <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

shocks have been relatively unimportant. A <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> benign neglect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> exchange<br />

rate is impractical and unrealistic s<strong>in</strong>ce movements <strong>in</strong> exchange rate <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>the</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> transmissi<strong>on</strong>. Overall, <strong>the</strong> analysis <strong>in</strong>dicates that exchange rate management<br />

<strong>in</strong> India has been c<strong>on</strong>sistent with macroec<strong>on</strong>omic stability.<br />

Philip Arestis and Malcolm Sawyer, (2003) (63) <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir paper discuss <strong>the</strong><br />

follow<strong>in</strong>g: When <strong>the</strong> level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> aggregate demand is stable and <strong>on</strong>ly effected by random<br />

shocks and <strong>the</strong> rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>in</strong>terest, <strong>the</strong>n <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g> (<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> form <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> vary<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<strong>in</strong>terest) may be an effective way <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fsett<strong>in</strong>g those shocks. This, however, is<br />

predicated <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>in</strong>terest that would equate aggregate demand with supply-side<br />

equilibrium, be<strong>in</strong>g achievable (that is positive and c<strong>on</strong>sistent with exchange rate<br />

requirements). But <strong>the</strong> power <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g> needs to be compared with <strong>the</strong> power<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fiscal <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g>. In this paper, it is argued that shifts <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> aggregate demand<br />

(aris<strong>in</strong>g from shifts <strong>in</strong> c<strong>on</strong>fidence and world demand) cannot be readily <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fset by<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g>. Fur<strong>the</strong>r, fiscal <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g> rema<strong>in</strong>s a potent tool for <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fsett<strong>in</strong>g major<br />

changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> aggregate demand.<br />

Robert Nobay and David Peel (2003) (64) c<strong>on</strong>sider optimal <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>text <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> central bank adopt<strong>in</strong>g an asymmetric objective functi<strong>on</strong>. The results<br />

show that under asymmetric preferences, many <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> extent results <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> time<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sistency problem need no l<strong>on</strong>ger hold. In this paper, <strong>the</strong>y have <strong>in</strong>vestigated <strong>the</strong><br />

implicati<strong>on</strong>s for optimal discreti<strong>on</strong>ary <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> assum<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>the</strong> central bank has an<br />

asymmetric loss functi<strong>on</strong>. The results presented <strong>in</strong> this paper underl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> fact that<br />

even limited realism bey<strong>on</strong>d <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al approach to model<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> authorities‘<br />

preferences can deliver results that are substantively at variance with <strong>the</strong> results<br />

obta<strong>in</strong>ed under quadratic preferences.<br />

The work<strong>in</strong>g paper published by The Levy Ec<strong>on</strong>omics Institute <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Bard<br />

College (2003) (65) c<strong>on</strong>siders <strong>the</strong> nature and role <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>m<strong>on</strong>etary</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>policy</str<strong>on</strong>g> when m<strong>on</strong>ey is<br />

envisaged as credit m<strong>on</strong>ey endogenously created with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> private sector, i.e., by <strong>the</strong><br />

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