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Determinants and effects of Venture Capital and Private Equity ...

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debt 8 . A negative sign, in particular coupled with an increase <strong>of</strong> debt, would give clear evidence<br />

<strong>of</strong> better conditions applied to backed firms, in turns allowing for the presence <strong>of</strong> the<br />

certification effect.<br />

4.3 The econometric set‐up<br />

In order to test the hypothesis outlined we rely on econometric techniques applicable to<br />

panel data, allowing us: (1) to control for unobservable individual heterogeneity; (2) to use a<br />

large amount <strong>of</strong> information, including many companies <strong>and</strong> several years for each company,<br />

thus increasing the degrees <strong>of</strong> freedom <strong>and</strong> reducing colinearity between the explanatory<br />

variables; (3) to analyse the evolution over time <strong>of</strong> the variables in a group <strong>of</strong> companies.<br />

A logarithmic transformation has been applied to most <strong>of</strong> the variables. Applying this<br />

procedure we obtain beneficial <strong>effects</strong> such as: steadying the variance, reducing multiplicative<br />

<strong>effects</strong> into additive ones <strong>and</strong> normalizing the distributions. Since the transformation it is not<br />

feasible when there are null <strong>and</strong> negative values we first add 100 to each value <strong>and</strong> then<br />

calculate their logarithms. In particular, this was the case for variables obtained as variation<br />

between two subsequent periods such as Growth, Capex <strong>and</strong> ROE.<br />

4.3.1 Econometric set‐up for the determinants<br />

In this section we present a multivariate analysis to test Hypothesis 1 which will allow us to<br />

quantify the importance <strong>of</strong> the different determinants for the financing through <strong>Venture</strong><br />

<strong>Capital</strong>ists <strong>and</strong> <strong>Private</strong> <strong>Equity</strong> funds.<br />

Based on the theoretical predictions on the variables that should affect the likelihood <strong>of</strong> an<br />

external funding, we estimate various versions <strong>of</strong> the following probit model:<br />

Pr(Backedi,t=1)= F(β1Agei, t‐1 + β2Sizei,t‐1 + β3Size 2 i,t‐1 + β4Intangibles i,t‐1 + β5Ebitdai,t‐1 +<br />

β6ROEi,t‐1 + β7Leveragei,t‐1 + β8High‐Techi,t‐1 +β 9Capexi,t‐1 +<br />

β10Growthi,t‐1 + β11Short Debti.t‐1 + κiArea +ηiYear)<br />

The multivariate Probit model uses Backed as a discrete variable representing a choice from a<br />

set <strong>of</strong> mutually exclusive choices: it equals 1 when firms are backed, 0 otherwise. Yet to be<br />

described are controls Area <strong>and</strong> Year. The former focuses on geographical characteristics that<br />

may be involved in the investment decision. The firms are divided into three groups according<br />

to the location <strong>of</strong> their registered <strong>of</strong>fices: north, centre <strong>and</strong> south are the different macro‐<br />

regions identified. This strategy joins the procedure for the selection <strong>of</strong> the control group<br />

8<br />

The cost <strong>of</strong> debt calculated in this way will underestimate the real one since the scaling variables (total debt)<br />

include items that are not interest bearing.<br />

- 18 -<br />

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