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Indppendent catc,mett 3<br />
u61ng €quatlon 5.17 antl the apPloPriate values of slope dnd. length'<br />
;;';.i; of It t., ptcdlccGil ior tho four ind6Pcntlent crtchtentt 3or'<br />
ioiz, azts, a'rt 447i. llte values ot 1B cbtrr.nad !!'6 tlr' lt4illctlon<br />
equatlon ale glven as folLc'tts:<br />
CatihDent Predlcted IE<br />
(Dln6l<br />
301<br />
2o52<br />
4477<br />
Wlth these corresPondlng values of tE the noalel was lnn fo! a1I of tne<br />
events on each catctu€nt anal the objectiv€ functlons calculated. Itle<br />
results obtatned 1n these lndlependent test3 ale tabulateA with thoae<br />
fr@ the other Doalels ln the next 3€ction.<br />
S.8 C@parlson of ooalels I to 6<br />
It vras consldered that the best objective roethod of noalel coDparlson<br />
was spllt-test analysls, wlth nodel slbul.atlon on catcbbents \rh1ch<br />
had not eontllbuted to the r€lationabllF betre€n Dodel parabeters<br />
and catchEent characterls tLcs. For thls pu4)ose, ofle Dutch (3O1), tHo<br />
Swedlsh (42?6 arLd 44771 and one Brltlsh (2052) catchEent8 wete helal back<br />
from ti€ prevlou3 ajraly6es.<br />
Moalels wele codpared accoldi.ng to t}lr6e obJective functj.ons, lntegral<br />
square erlor (ISE), peak estisatLon (PEAK) and ttDe to peak (!fP).<br />
Values of theae fimctlons r'ere genelatetl for each eveot, ana the<br />
r€aultB of theBe analyses are shodn fo! each ind€pendent catclruent in<br />
fab1e6 17 to 20. No clear-cut conclusLons as t-o the dod€ls' rela!1ve<br />
perfo:.rlar|ce are posslble fror! scrutiny of t]rese trbles, and so an<br />
analysis of, vallrjtc€ was petforEed on the result.3,<br />
The anaLysis of varlance caLculatlons w€re pel.folled on the ISE<br />
objectl.ve functLon Dultiplled by the storn duratlon (the reasona for<br />
t}le l!\rltlpllcatlon ar€ outLlneal in Sectlon 4 on the loss nodelE) . A<br />
sutnDaly of the analyala for the slx noalel-s over the four catchloents<br />
(42 events) ls glven b€loy for the follorl,ng statistlcaL rlodel.<br />
L2<br />
10<br />
7<br />
I<br />
rsE -N({U+q +8 +y + la8l }, q,t<br />
DC<br />
vhere ISE ls the lntegral squale elror objectlve functton<br />
d€pendent on nodel, catclment, anal event<br />
is tJle ovelal1 E6an value of ISE<br />
,11