Security Council - World Model United Nations
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Security Council - World Model United Nations
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<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong><br />
<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> 2013<br />
Study Guide
Contact Us<br />
<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong> 2013<br />
info@worldmun.org<br />
www.worldmun.org<br />
Letters<br />
Letter from the Secretary General 04<br />
Letter from the Under-Secretary General 05<br />
Letter from the Chair 06<br />
CONteNtS<br />
Introduction<br />
The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> 07<br />
07<br />
The Situation in Syria<br />
Historical Background<br />
09 Timeline of the Conflict<br />
14 Discussion of the Problem<br />
16 Key Foreign Actors<br />
17 Past UN Actions<br />
18 Proposed Solutions<br />
19 Bloc Positions<br />
21 Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />
22 Suggestions for Further Research<br />
22<br />
The Situation in Mali<br />
Historical Background<br />
26 Timeline of the 2012 Conflict<br />
29 Discussion of the Problem<br />
30 Past UN Actions<br />
30 Proposed Solutions<br />
31 Bloc Positions<br />
33 Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />
33 Suggestions for Further Research<br />
33<br />
Conclusion<br />
Position Papers<br />
33 Closing Remarks<br />
34 Endnotes<br />
40 Bibliographic Essay<br />
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Letters<br />
Melbourne Host Directorate PTY LTD | Office of Media and Design
Letter from the Secretary-General<br />
dear delegates,<br />
it is my pleasure and honor to welcome you to the 22nd session of <strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united<br />
<strong>Nations</strong>! My name is Charlene Wong, and i am the Secretary-General of <strong>World</strong>MuN 2013.<br />
Within this document you will find the study guide for your committee. The conference<br />
staff for <strong>World</strong>MUN 2013 has been working tirelessly over the past months to provide<br />
you with an unparalleled conference experience, beginning with this guide. Each Head<br />
Chair has researched extensively to provide you with a foundation for each committee’s<br />
topic areas.<br />
We encourage you to use this study guide as the starting point for your exploration of<br />
your committee’s topics, and your country or character’s policies. The <strong>World</strong>MUN Spirit<br />
invites you to step into the shoes of your country or character, and to immerse yourself in<br />
the committee by researching and developing a full understanding of the issues, perspectives,<br />
and possible solutions on the table. We offer several additional resources online,<br />
including our <strong>World</strong>MuN 101 Guide and Rules of Procedure, updated for this year. Both<br />
are available at www.worldmun.org. If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to<br />
contact your Head Chair or Under-Secretary-General.<br />
Please enjoy reading this study guide, and I look forward to meeting you in Melbourne<br />
in March!<br />
Sincerely,<br />
Charlene S. Wong<br />
Secretary-General<br />
<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong> 2013<br />
secretarygeneral@worldmun.org<br />
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4
Letter from the Under-Secretary-General<br />
dear delegates,<br />
it is with the utmost honor and pleasure that i welcome you to the Specialized Agencies.<br />
the SA holds a special place in the heart of <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong>; it is here that<br />
crises are born and delegates rise to the challenge to address quickly evolving issues in<br />
real-time. With an average size of 20 delegates per committee, the SA promises to deliver<br />
an intimate and tight-knit environment where every delegate’s voice can be heard and<br />
appreciated.<br />
The SA has always made a firm commitment to substantive excellence and lifelike simulations.<br />
The first measure of that promise starts here with this study guide. Your chair has<br />
worked tirelessly over these past few months pouring over books in deep Harvard dungeons<br />
to breathe life into these topics. I am so proud of their work and hope you make<br />
the most of this initial resource to inspire and guide your preparation for <strong>World</strong>MuN.<br />
Come March, your chair and the junior staff will be working to deliver a MUN simulation<br />
that raises the bar of your delegate experience.<br />
All that being said, the SA would be nothing without you, her committed delegates, who<br />
challenge and dedicate themselves to addressing head-on the world’s greatest problems,<br />
both past, present, and future. With ample preparation, devotion, and creativity,<br />
you will find success in this SA home.<br />
As a former MUN delegate and SA staffer, I know what it means to live and breathe a<br />
thrilling and informative MUN experience. Along with our chairs and junior staff, I hope<br />
to deliver that same experience to you all. Take care, and I cannot wait to meet you in<br />
person in Melbourne!<br />
Sincerely,<br />
Michael Chilazi<br />
under-Secretary-General of the Specialized<br />
Agencies<br />
<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong> 2013<br />
sa@worldmun.org<br />
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5
Letter from the Chair<br />
dear delegates,<br />
A warm welcome to the twenty-second session of <strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong>! this is<br />
my third (and sadly, final) <strong>World</strong>MUN, and I can’t think of a better way to spend my last<br />
college spring break than running a committee that means so much to me and that is so<br />
critical to shaping the face of international diplomacy today. But most of all, i am incredibly<br />
excited to embrace the amazing city of Melbourne with you all, as <strong>World</strong>MUN heads<br />
to Australia for the first time!<br />
A bit more about me – I’m a senior at Harvard College, pursuing a major in Social Studies,<br />
which is an interesting blend of government, economics, philosophy, and history. When<br />
I’m not busy with (pretending to do) schoolwork, I enjoy listening to most types of music<br />
(no country, please) and following professional sports. Because I grew up in Canada,<br />
went to high school in New York, and attend college near Boston, my allegiances are<br />
quite scattered: you can catch me rooting for the Maple Leafs in the NHL, the Giants in<br />
the NFL, and the Celtics in the NBA.<br />
<strong>World</strong>MUN is truly a conference and social experience like no other. It has given me several<br />
lifelong friendships over the years, and I hope that you will seize opportunities at<br />
nightly events and in committee sessions to establish your own.<br />
If you have any questions regarding our two pressing topics, the situations in Syria and<br />
Mali, or just want to chat about sports, music, or politics—please do not hesitate to reach<br />
out to me at sc@worldmun.org.<br />
Looking forward to meeting everyone next March!<br />
Warmest regards,<br />
Aparajita tripathi<br />
Chair, uN <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong><br />
<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong> 2013<br />
sc@worldmun.org<br />
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6
The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />
<strong>Council</strong><br />
the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> is comprised of 15 united<br />
<strong>Nations</strong> member States, of which China, the <strong>United</strong><br />
States, the united Kingdom of Great Britain and<br />
Northern ireland, Russia, and France hold permanent<br />
seats. The <strong>Council</strong> first convened in January 1946 in<br />
London. Though most sessions today take place at the<br />
UN headquarters in New York, the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong><br />
has met in locations outside of the Headquarters.<br />
Aside from the five aforementioned permanent<br />
members, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> General Assembly<br />
selects the additional ten non-permanent members<br />
for two-year terms.<br />
According to Article 24 of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
Charter, all <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> member nations “confer<br />
on the […] <strong>Council</strong> primary responsibility for the<br />
maintenance of international peace and security,<br />
and agree that in carrying out its duties under this<br />
responsibility the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> acts on their<br />
behalf.” 1 each <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> delegation has one<br />
vote, and nine out of 15 votes are necessary to pass<br />
all procedural motions. Notably, the five permanent<br />
seats (so-called “P5” nations) have veto power,<br />
meaning that a negative vote on a <strong>Council</strong> action<br />
from one of these powers automatically supersedes<br />
and negates all affirmative votes by other members.<br />
the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> has the power to mediate<br />
negotiations among conflicting parties, appoint<br />
special representatives, issue cease-fires, deploy<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> peacekeeping forces via directives,<br />
impose economic sanctions, or resolve to pursue<br />
multilateral military action. 2<br />
Topic A: The Situation in Syria<br />
The ongoing Syrian conflict has without a doubt<br />
become the central fixture of the international<br />
political stage since its inception in January 2011. A<br />
manifestation of a broader revolutionary movement<br />
in the Middle East and North Africa known as the<br />
‘Arab Spring,’ the Syrian uprisings have occurred as<br />
a popular response to perceived corrupt government<br />
rule. Similar to revolutionary sentiment that has<br />
recently swept Egypt, Yemen, and Libya, the ideas<br />
informing civil resistance in Syria have included greater<br />
government accountability, stricter observance of<br />
human rights, and media openness—all with the<br />
purpose of bolstering a legitimacy of rule that, as<br />
many continue to argue, remains noticeably absent<br />
from President Bashar al-Assad’s regime. August 2012<br />
was the deadliest month of the conflict to date, with<br />
an estimated 5,000-6,000 casualties in that month<br />
alone.<br />
Against the backdrop of the Syrian uprisings lies a<br />
history of sectarian conflict between Sunni and Shia<br />
Muslims. While sectarianism was not an explicit cause<br />
of the Syrian uprising, it has shaped which states<br />
are siding with Syrian government leaders, who are<br />
mostly Alawite Shias, and the opposition, who are<br />
predominantly Sunni. This <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> will have<br />
to evaluate and address both proximate and indirect<br />
causes of tension in this ongoing conflict.<br />
Historical Background<br />
“The injustice of foreigners is burned deep into the<br />
Syrian soul. [Hafez al-] Assad said to me that Syria had<br />
been betrayed before <strong>World</strong> War I by Turkey, after it<br />
by Britain and France, and more recently by the <strong>United</strong><br />
States, which had created the State of Israel. When a<br />
people is convinced that all of its troubles come from<br />
abroad, morbid suspicion becomes a national style.”<br />
-Henry Kissinger, Years of Upheaval, “First Visit<br />
to Damascus” (1982)<br />
Syrian Independence and Ba’ath Party Rule<br />
The Ba’ath Party was founded in 1941 as a<br />
socialist and Arab nationalist party seeking to exert<br />
its influence throughout the Arab world. Between<br />
1946—the year Syria gained independence from<br />
France—and 1970, some 21 changes in government<br />
occurred in Syria, leading to ingrained perceptions of<br />
weak government legitimacy. The quest to establish a<br />
Syrian identity was confronted with overcoming what<br />
Daniel Pipes calls “artificiality,” for Lesser Syria—the<br />
remnant of the ‘Greater Syria’ dating back to the<br />
peak of the Arab Muslim civilization in the Middle<br />
Ages—was a “fragmented piece of territory [that]<br />
came into existence not for geographic or cultural<br />
reasons, but as a result of European maneuvering.” 3<br />
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In addition to weak government legitimacy and high<br />
government turnover, post-independence Syria also<br />
fell victim to weak national identity, xenophobia,<br />
communal tensions, incubation of radical ideologies,<br />
and revisionist ambitions among some government<br />
leaders. 4 Within this turbulent context, the Ba’ath<br />
Party advocated that Syria join a single, powerful Arab<br />
nation. Alawites, on the other hand, sought to retain<br />
their independence or associate with Lebanon. 5<br />
After Syria gained independence in 1946, its<br />
incipient government experienced a series of military<br />
coups that would eventually give rise to growing<br />
leftist sentiment in the country. 6 it was at this time<br />
that the Syrian Ba’ath and Communist parties<br />
emerged as rivals—competition that the Ba’ath tried<br />
to dissolve by leading Syria into a union with Egypt in<br />
1958. This union disintegrated just three years later,<br />
and the Ba’ath Party wrested permanent control of<br />
Syria by 1963. 7<br />
By this time, the guiding ethos of the Ba’ath Party<br />
had fundamentally transformed, as pan-Arabism no<br />
longer motivated the Party. In place of the former<br />
ardently Arab nationalist party “‘arose Ba’ath<br />
organizations which focused primarily on their own<br />
region, which advocated, and created where possible,<br />
authoritarian centralized governments, which rested<br />
heavily on military power and which were very close to<br />
other socialist movements and were less distinctively<br />
Ba’athist’” 8 in the original sense. this tumultuous<br />
period was marked by the radicalization of politics<br />
and the ascendancy of both the armed forces and the<br />
Alawites in Syria. 9<br />
Hafez al-Assad, father of current president Bashar<br />
al-Assad, became commander of the Syrian air<br />
forces after the Ba’ath Party seized power in 1963. 10<br />
Following the Syrian coup d’etat of 1966, which saw<br />
the military faction of the Ba’ath Party overthrow the<br />
Party’s civilian leadership, Hafez became Syria’s new<br />
minister of defense and would later oust his rival and<br />
political mentor, Salah al-Jadid—then-chief of staff of<br />
the armed forces—to first assume the prime minister<br />
position and then the elected presidency from 1971 to<br />
2000. 11<br />
Hafez al-Assad’s internationally divisive presidential<br />
tenure was marked both by notoriety and progressive<br />
reforms. Hafez, an Alawite Shia, promoted a policy<br />
of secularism, wherein Christians held a protected<br />
status in Syrian society and the Sunni-majority<br />
business community maintained close and stable<br />
relations with the government. 12 On the other hand,<br />
he also exemplified a rigid attitude toward dissent<br />
that often culminated in violent suppression, setting<br />
a precedent strategy of brute force and minimal<br />
hesitation for his son’s reign.<br />
Bashar Al-Assad’s Ascent to Power<br />
Hafez al-Assad died on 10 June 2000, 13 bringing an<br />
end to his nearly three-decades-long authoritarian<br />
rule in Syria. Hafez’s oldest son, Basil, had initially been<br />
the president’s anticipated successor, but Basil died<br />
in a car accident in 1994, leaving his younger brother,<br />
Bashar, to carry on their father’s legacy 14 —and to<br />
maintain the Alawites’ tight grip over political power<br />
President Hafez al-Assad, father of Bashar al-Assad, was a Ba’ath<br />
Party leader who served as Syria’s prime minister from 1970 to 1971<br />
and its president from 1971 to 2000.<br />
in Syria. Just hours after Hafez al-Assad’s death, the<br />
Syrian People’s <strong>Council</strong> convened an emergency<br />
session to amend the Constitution to lower the<br />
required age for a Syrian head of state from forty to<br />
thirty-four—which just so happened to be Bashar’s<br />
age at the time of his father’s passing. 15<br />
Hafez al-Assad’s death also prompted demands<br />
for liberal reforms from Damascus’ intelligentsia, a<br />
period known as the Damascus Spring. The primary<br />
figures associated with the Damascus Spring were<br />
prominent intellectuals Michel Kilo and Riad Seif,<br />
who spearheaded the founding of informal political<br />
forums where open political discourse could occur<br />
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and civil society could take root. 16 emergent political<br />
forums included muntadayat (“salons”), in addition<br />
to the mobilization of the Committees for the Revival<br />
of Civil Society in Syria. 17 These efforts resulted in<br />
notable petitions in favor of “political and intellectual<br />
pluralism,” repeal of the State of Emergency that<br />
had been declared by Hafez al-Assad in 1963, and<br />
multiparty democracy. 18 Initially, it seemed at first<br />
that Bashar al-Assad’s inauguration would give rise<br />
to lasting liberal reforms: Assad released several<br />
political prisoners, ostensibly promoted free speech,<br />
and spoke out against corruption. 19 early hopes were<br />
soon disheartened, as the government<br />
thereafter adopted measures to quash<br />
growing civil opposition, conveying that the<br />
damascus Spring would not last.<br />
The year 2000 also marked the arrival of<br />
the internet and mobile phones to Syria. 20<br />
Mass availability of these media sources<br />
got off to a slow start in Syria, as dissenters<br />
simultaneously faced issues of low speed<br />
and heavy government regulation, but<br />
they would, over the course of the next<br />
decade, become increasingly central to<br />
public protest in Syria. Historians Nouehied<br />
and Warren dubbed these prefiguring<br />
developments a “media revolution”:<br />
The Arab Spring may have taken the world<br />
by surprise in 2011, but another upheaval had<br />
long been underway in the region. It was a<br />
media revolution that, through satellite television and<br />
the internet, had connected people from the Atlantic<br />
to the Gulf like never before, had smashed political<br />
taboos, had eroded the cults of personality nurtured<br />
by authoritarian rulers from Damascus to Tripoli, and<br />
had helped to empower civil society movements that<br />
were the bedrock of democracy. 21<br />
Timeline of the Conflict (March 2011 –<br />
Present)<br />
A nation that had once found itself at the epicenter<br />
of a far-flung Islamic empire—its city of Damascus<br />
served as the capital of the prolific Umayyad dynasty—<br />
Syria now finds itself plagued by the deadliest civil<br />
conflict in the country’s modern history. Since its<br />
inception, the Syrian uprising has claimed a total of<br />
27,300 lives—19,500 of which were civilian. 22<br />
Beginning at Daraa<br />
The now almost 18-month-long conflict began<br />
in March 2011 in the Sunni-dominated city of<br />
Daraa, located on Syria’s southern border, when<br />
demonstrators took to the streets to protest what<br />
they believed to be wrongful incarceration of several<br />
outspoken youth. President Bashaar al-Assad’s<br />
regime authorized the use of deadly force against the<br />
unarmed protestors, killing fifteen over the course<br />
of a two-day crackdown near the Omari Mosque.<br />
The confrontation further emboldened dissidents,<br />
Bashar al-Assad, a former eye doctor, became president in 2000 upon the death of<br />
his father, Hafez al-Assad. Despite early indications of liberal reforms, he has since<br />
led Syria with a strong fist and has been accused of committing numerous human<br />
rights crimes against dissidents.<br />
as demonstrators across the country congregated<br />
around mosques following Friday prayer on March<br />
25 to speak out against Assad’s rule. Violent unrest<br />
spread to numerous other provincial capitals in Syria<br />
in subsequent months, which witnessed government<br />
security forces quell protest movements. In a historic<br />
move in April, Assad lifted a 48-year-old state of<br />
emergency, dismissed the government, and released<br />
several political prisoners as part of a conciliatory<br />
gesture to ameliorate the conflict. 23 However, just<br />
days after revoking the state of emergency, Assad<br />
deployed troops to subdue civil protest in the coastal<br />
city of Baniyas in a series of harsh crackdowns that<br />
quickly dissolved hope that an end to civil strife was<br />
near. One witness recounted that soldiers in the<br />
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9
village of Bayda were restricting ambulance access<br />
to the town, denying medical care for the dozens<br />
of wounded people there. 24 Such humanitarian<br />
concerns prompted significant international outcry,<br />
as the united States and european union tightened<br />
economic sanctions against Syria. 25<br />
From Daraa to Homs<br />
Although Assad’s regime was able to moderately<br />
subdue rebellions in Daraa, it experienced far less<br />
success applying state force in the city of Homs,<br />
located in Western Syria’s fertile plain. Situated on the<br />
Orontes River, Homs serves as a vital link between the<br />
Mediterranean coastline and interior cities and, most<br />
importantly, between Syria’s two most populous<br />
cities—Damascus and Aleppo. Its strategic location<br />
within Syria’s communication network could explain<br />
why it would later become a breeding ground for the<br />
worst instances of brutality in the conflict, both on<br />
the part of armed rebels and Assad’s security forces.<br />
Furthermore, Homs has born witness to violence not<br />
only from the broader anti-regime insurgency but<br />
also that stemming from sectarian tensions between<br />
its largely Sunni-majority and Alawite-minority<br />
populations (more on sectarianism and the Syrian<br />
Civil War in “Discussion of the Problem” section).<br />
On 19 April 2011, Assad’s regime unleashed state<br />
security forces on protestors holding a sit-in at<br />
the Clock Tower in Homs following several days of<br />
demonstrations there. 26 The forceful government<br />
response arrived just one day after Assad lifted the<br />
widely unpopular emergency rule that had been in<br />
place in Syria for 48 years. Seemingly antithetical to<br />
concessionary and pacifying rhetoric from the regime<br />
immediately prior to the Clock Tower crackdown,<br />
President Assad’s administration subsequently<br />
appeared even more determined to quash protests,<br />
“under any banner whatsoever,” as Syria’s Interior<br />
Ministry threatened. 27 Indeed, on April 22—what<br />
opposition leaders dubbed “The Great Friday”—<br />
state security forces killed upwards of 100 protestors<br />
across Syria, 28 resulting in the bloodiest day of the<br />
conflict since its inception.<br />
However, Homs also illustrated limitations of the<br />
Assad regime’s ‘clearance strategy,’ which involves<br />
“thoroughly clearing [a] city, detaining suspected<br />
opposition members, holding key terrain, and firing<br />
on anything who resisted.” 29 While the deployment<br />
of troops to Daraa at the onset of the conflict had<br />
succeeded at establishing relative stability—a case<br />
study for Assad’s ‘offensive’ security strategy—and<br />
allowed forces to then withdraw from the city, the<br />
sequence of events that unfolded in Homs presented<br />
a striking counterexample: instead of becoming<br />
subdued as the state troops’ clearance strategy<br />
pressed on more aggressively, the opposition became<br />
increasingly buoyed to react using armed resistance. 30<br />
the regime ultimately failed to consolidate the<br />
progress of its Homs clearance operation, as an<br />
insurgency force retaliated by killing three soldiers in<br />
late May in the Sunni-majority Rastan district. 31 the<br />
regime would temporarily direct its attention away<br />
from Homs to focus on coastal security operations in<br />
Western Syria for the next few months.<br />
Intensification of Armed Resistance<br />
On 6 June 2011, Assad’s regime reported through<br />
Syrian state television that “armed gangs” had killed<br />
120 government security forces in the northwestern<br />
town of Jisrash Shugur in Idlib province, marking<br />
the first national news of major civil counterstrikes<br />
against government operatives. 32 Sunni militiamen,<br />
in concert with individuals who were likely army<br />
defectors, were responsible for the killings. 33 Assad<br />
claimed that the armed groups also had backing<br />
from islamists and terrorists. More importantly, the<br />
June Jisrash Shugur incident marked a key escalation<br />
point in what has since become a bloody civil war:<br />
the insurgency forces began to strengthen and gain<br />
a significant number of defectors from state secret<br />
forces, who were allegedly killing soldiers who were<br />
hesitating or refusing to fire against civilians.” 34<br />
Moreover, opposition forces and the Assad regime<br />
maintained differing viewpoints regarding what<br />
factors had caused this rebellion to intensify. The<br />
opposition forces emphasized defectors’ discontent<br />
with their experiences as members of Assad’s troops<br />
and willingness to join the rebels’ cause, whereas the<br />
state regime highlighted the involvement of terroristlinked<br />
armed groups that had supposedly entered<br />
the fray. 35 In addition, this was not the first episode<br />
of violent clashes between Assad’s Ba’ath Party<br />
10<br />
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and protestors in Jisr al-Shughour: a similar rebel<br />
movement transpired in 1980, when Jisr al-Shughour<br />
residents attacked the Ba’ath Party headquarters in<br />
1980, rendering the region historically volatile ground<br />
with respect to government relations. 36<br />
Conflict Spreads to Hama<br />
By July 2011, the city of Hama, also located on the<br />
Orontes River, also established itself as one of the<br />
primary arenas for anti-government protest. Though<br />
demonstrations in Hama had originated in March,<br />
when the initial massacre at daraa ignited outcry<br />
across Syria, Hama truly became a focal point of<br />
civil strife following a relatively peaceful anti-Assad<br />
demonstration attended by nearly a half million<br />
people on 1 July, calling for the fall of the regime. 37 in<br />
response, groups known as the shabiha—local-based<br />
pro-Assad paramilitaries 38 —and regime security<br />
forces opened fire, killing at least 14 people. 39 By the<br />
next day, Assad had removed the governor of Hama,<br />
Ahmad Khaled Abdel Aziz, paving the way for his<br />
security forces to commence a campaign of arrests<br />
and search and seizure operations. 40 Sarah Leah<br />
Wilson, Middle East director of the Human Rights<br />
Watch (HRW) observed in July, “security forces<br />
have responded to protests with the brutality that’s<br />
become familiar over the past several months.” 41 On 31<br />
July 2011, the Syrian army once again stormed Hama,<br />
this time to suppress dissent on the eve of the holy<br />
month of Ramadan. The incident resulted in 95 to 100<br />
deaths, according to various estimates from human<br />
A child looks on against the backdrop of wreckage.<br />
rights organizations within Syria. 42 in a noteworthy<br />
historical parallel, current President Bashar al-Assad’s<br />
father, Hafez al-Assad, ordered the Syrian army to<br />
crush dissent voiced by the Muslim Brotherhood in<br />
Hama in February 1982, 43 killing an estimated 20,000<br />
civilians. 44<br />
Formation and Mobilization of the Free Syrian Army<br />
(FSA)<br />
At the end of July 2011, defectors from the Syrian<br />
Armed Forces corralled and launched the primary<br />
opposition group of the conflict, the Free Syrian Army.<br />
As a necessary point of clarification, the Free Syrian<br />
Army (FSA) should not be confused with the Syrian<br />
Army, which is commanded by Assad and is part of<br />
Syria’s formal state security apparatus. The Free<br />
Officers Movement first began to take shape when<br />
Syrian Army member—Lt. Col. Hussein Harmoush—<br />
defected from the armed state forces, bringing 150 of<br />
his army colleagues with him to bordering Turkey. 45<br />
In a video, Harmoush emphasized that their priority<br />
was “the protection of the protestors who are asking<br />
for freedom and democracy.” 46 But a different tone<br />
would eventually emerge among some defected<br />
officers—those who were responsible for starting<br />
the FSA. On 29 July, Colonel Riad Asaad, along with<br />
six former Syrian Army officers, announced from a<br />
Turkish province that they had formed the Free Syrian<br />
Army, and they further made it clear that they would<br />
“consider any member of the Assad security forces<br />
that kill [their] people a target to [their] rifles.” 47<br />
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International Pressure Mounts<br />
About two weeks after the Hama massacre of July<br />
2011, U.S. President Barack Obama expressed in a<br />
written statement that the “future of Syria must be<br />
determined by its people, but President Bashar al-<br />
Assad is standing in their way […] For the sake of the<br />
Syrian people, the time has come for President Assad<br />
to step down.” 48 David Cameron, Angela Merkel, and<br />
Nicolas Sarkozy—the leaders of the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom,<br />
Germany, and France, respectively—issued a joint<br />
statement similarly calling on Assad to relinquish<br />
power. 49<br />
August 2011 also saw tightened sanctions against<br />
Syria in response to the regime’s ongoing violent<br />
reactions to public dissent. On 19 August, the<br />
European Union agreed to level stricter political and<br />
economic sanctions—the latter involving plans to ban<br />
the import of crude oil from Syria into the eu. 50 this<br />
development was significant as it supplemented a<br />
new round of American sanctions already announced<br />
by Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, banning<br />
American imports or other cross-border transactions<br />
involving Syrian petroleum and petroleum products; 51<br />
US sanctions alone would not have had a pronounced<br />
effect, given that Syria has not been a major source<br />
of oil for the <strong>United</strong> States. However, while sanctions<br />
effective as of September 2011 from the U.S. and<br />
european were costing Syria an estimated uSd<br />
$400M a month by December, 52 they accomplished<br />
little in the way of compelling Assad’s regime to scale<br />
back its violent streak of suppressing public dissent.<br />
<strong>Security</strong> Forces Retake Homs, Capital of the Revolution<br />
On 27 September, regime security forces<br />
commenced a resource-heavy campaign to once<br />
again seize control of the Rastan district of Homs,<br />
the strategic area that connects Homs to Hama<br />
on the other side of the Orontes River. 53 the siege<br />
occurred in response to a dangerously maturing<br />
armed resistance movement that had carried out<br />
deadly ambushes in the city and captured an army<br />
colonel earlier that month. 54 Throughout October and<br />
November, the Free Syrian Army repeatedly clashed<br />
with soldiers in Homs, indicating that widespread civil<br />
war was imminent. escalating armed resistance in<br />
Homs during these months was also notable for the<br />
role of a local anti-Assad militia known as the Khalid<br />
bin Walid Brigade, which operated alongside the<br />
larger Free Syrian Army (FSA). 55 the Brigade entered<br />
periodic and bloody skirmishes with regime forces<br />
until it eventually withdrew from Homs in March<br />
2012, 56 but not without leaving behind an ever more<br />
complex civil war landscape, in which both the regime<br />
and the opposition tapped support from local militia<br />
groups and in which anti-government forces could<br />
not reach consensus about how to engage President<br />
Bashar al-Assad—if at all. 57<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Response<br />
On 4 October 2011, the Russian Federation and<br />
China vetoed the first of what would become several<br />
attempts by the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong><br />
to formally condemn Syria and the government of<br />
President Bashar al-Assad. 58 The two P5 members of<br />
the <strong>Council</strong> were opposed to the idea of imposing<br />
sanctions on damascus. exactly four months later,<br />
Russia and China again vetoed a draft resolution<br />
that would have demanded that Assad’s forces and<br />
the opposition camps alike cease all violence and<br />
retaliation in hopes of finally concluding the then-<br />
10-month-long uprising. 59 the Russian delegate,<br />
Vitaly Churkin, cited concern about conveying an<br />
“unbalanced” message to Syria, while the Chinese<br />
delegate, Li Baodong, emphasized the importance of<br />
allowing the Syrian people to pursue a reform agenda<br />
best suited to their national needs and interests. 60<br />
The Syrian government’s amplified bombardment of<br />
Homs served as a backdrop for the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>’s<br />
discussions, magnifying the sense of urgency for<br />
international action. 61<br />
In light of the regime’s renewed offensive, UN<br />
Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and Arab League<br />
Secretary-General Nabil Elaraby appointed former UN<br />
Secretary-General Kofi Annan on 23 February as the<br />
Joint Special Envoy of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> and League<br />
of Arab States on the Syrian Crisis. 62 the stated<br />
goal of the appointment was to promote a Syrianled<br />
political solution to the uprising that would be<br />
receptive to the democratic goals of Syria, involving<br />
joint discussion between both Assad’s regime and<br />
the opposition forces. 63 As of March, however, there<br />
was still no formal resolution passed by the <strong>Security</strong><br />
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<strong>Council</strong> strictly condemning Syria or calling for tough<br />
action against the country from the international<br />
community.<br />
In May 2012, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon called<br />
on the Syrian government to bring an end to violence and consistent<br />
arrests of protestors.<br />
Massacre at Houla and “Real War”<br />
On 25 May 2012, the Syrian government employed<br />
use of heavy weaponry along with shabiha (militia)<br />
support during a crackdown on two oppositioncontrolled<br />
villages in the town of Houla. The<br />
confrontation unfolded into a massacre that left<br />
108 people dead, including dozens of women and<br />
children. 64 The Houla massacre was a significant<br />
flashpoint in the conflict for several reasons: first,<br />
it was considered by many to be the single worst<br />
attack against civilians in the uprising until that<br />
point; 65 second, it elicited the first sharply-worded<br />
<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> condemnation, of the “strongest<br />
possible terms,” in a non-binding statement; 66 third,<br />
it underscored the deep shortcomings of a sixweek-old<br />
UN ceasefire plan implemented to bring<br />
an end to the bloodshed in Syria; 67 and fourth, a uN<br />
statement issued on behalf of Secretary-General<br />
Ban Ki-moon and the Joint Special Envoy Kofi Annan<br />
declared that the massacre was “a flagrant violation<br />
of international law and of the commitments of<br />
the Syrian government to cease the use of heavy<br />
weapons in population centers and violence in all its<br />
forms.” 68 In response to events in Houla, France, the<br />
united Kingdom, italy, Spain, Canada, and Australia<br />
all expelled their senior Syrian diplomats. 69<br />
the following month, President Bashar al-Assad<br />
once again asserted that foreign-backed militants<br />
and conspirators were responsible for leading the<br />
nationwide uprisings. On 23 June, Assad reshuffled<br />
his government and insisted he was still pursuing<br />
reforms. 70 He retained his interior, defense, and<br />
foreign ministries but reportedly filled most remaining<br />
government positions with Ba’ath Party loyalists. 71 He<br />
informed his cabinet that Syria was “facing a real war<br />
from outside, and dealing with a war differs from how<br />
we would deal with internal sides in Syria.” 72 On the<br />
tragedy in Houla, Assad dismissed his government’s<br />
involvement, reflecting, “In reality, even monsters<br />
would not carry out what we have seen, especially<br />
what we saw in the Houla massacre …We wish that<br />
it does not remain in the memory of our children and<br />
grandchildren.” 73 Assad’s statement illustrates that<br />
numerous and often conflicting readings of the Syrian<br />
conflict exist, each with their own conviction about<br />
who is to be blamed for the ongoing violence and<br />
mounting death toll. Among other action items, this<br />
<strong>Council</strong> must decide how it can clearly and confidently<br />
identify perpetrators of the bloodshed.<br />
Assad’s Regime Suffers Setbacks<br />
In July 2012, members of the Free Syrian Army<br />
(FSA) laid siege to Aleppo, located roughly 200<br />
miles north of the capital at damascus. Aleppo,<br />
Syria’s industrial capital, quickly became the newest<br />
battlefield in the uprising, as the city suffered heavy<br />
bombardment and started to resemble “a full-scale<br />
street war,” according to one UK-based human rights<br />
group focusing on Syria. 74 At the end of the month,<br />
<strong>United</strong> States Secretary of Defense, Leon Panetta,<br />
declared that Assad’s assault on Aleppo would<br />
be “a nail in his coffin.” 75 in early August, the Free<br />
Syrian army launched a successful counter-assault<br />
in Salah al-Din, reasserting control over the strategic<br />
neighborhood—a crucial supply route of government<br />
troops—from regime forces. 76<br />
At the start of August, Amnesty international<br />
issued a report accusing the Syrian government of<br />
committing crimes against humanity in Aleppo and<br />
strongly advised that the situation in Syria be referred<br />
to the international Criminal Court immediately. 77<br />
According to Article 13 of the founding Rome Statute<br />
of the ICC, the “Court may exercise its jurisdiction<br />
with respect to a crime” if it is referred to the ICC<br />
prosecutor by a State party to the Statute or by the<br />
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Syrian rebels clash with government forces in Idlib, located in northwestern Syria, in March 2012<br />
<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> acting under Chapter VII of the UN<br />
Charter. 78 Because Syria is not party to the Rome<br />
statute, any crimes against humanity committed on<br />
its territory would have to be referred to the ICC<br />
by the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, which has seen significant<br />
intransigence in the past year from China and the<br />
Russian Federation—both permanent seat-holders—<br />
on the issue of punitive action against Assad’s<br />
government. When the UN General Assembly,<br />
which lacks the enforcement power of the <strong>Security</strong><br />
<strong>Council</strong>, passed a non-binding resolution on 3 August<br />
demanding that President Assad resign and that<br />
Syria “immediately and visibly” commit to halting<br />
violence in the country, 79 the Russian Federation<br />
and China similarly blasted the effort, arguing that<br />
the resolution risked further polarizing the conflict<br />
by only condemning one party to the fighting—the<br />
Syrian government—and seemingly offering support<br />
for the other—the militant rebels. 80<br />
On 6 August, the Syrian government announced<br />
the formal dismissal of Prime Minister Riyad Farid<br />
Hijab; the next day, ex-PM Hijab relayed through a<br />
spokesperson that he had defected to the opposition<br />
forces, “from the killing and terrorist regime [of<br />
President Assad].” 81 in the statement, Muhammad<br />
el-Etri, Hijab’s spokesperson, also denied that the<br />
Syrian government had fired Hijab, instead stating<br />
that the administration’s dismissal arrived after<br />
Syrian intelligence learned that Hijab had fled the<br />
country. 82 The ex-PM’s allegations about the internal<br />
agenda of the Syrian government and his account of<br />
widespread defections from the regime contributed<br />
to perceptions, both domestic and foreign, that the<br />
regime is now on the verge of losing power. Etri<br />
further warned Al Jazeera, “the regime speaks only<br />
one language: the language of blood.” 83 Although<br />
Assad’s forces face more global scrutiny and backlash<br />
than ever, the prospects of peaceful political dialogue<br />
and transition have started to appear increasingly<br />
bleak.<br />
Resignation of Special Joint Envoy Kofi Annan<br />
Hopes of a concerted diplomatic solution to the<br />
Syrian uprising were also delivered a blow earlier<br />
that month, when, on 2 August, Special Envoy of<br />
the UN and the League of Arab States on the Syrian<br />
conflict Kofi Annan submitted his resignation from<br />
the position. Former uN Secretary-General Annan<br />
painted a terrifying image of Syria for the world: he<br />
blamed the Syrian government’s unyieldingness,<br />
unrelenting rebel militancy, and absence of unity in the<br />
<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> for his failed mission and his personal<br />
decision. 84 In the face of both a divided Syrian rebel<br />
movement and a divided <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, Annan<br />
emphasized that the centerpiece of future diplomatic<br />
missions would have to be unity of purpose.<br />
Discussion of the Problem<br />
Human Rights Violations<br />
A <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> report published on 15 August<br />
2012 confirmed that both Assad’s forces and Syrian<br />
rebels associated with either the Free Syrian Army<br />
or local protest groups have committed war crimes.<br />
According to the report, defectors revealed that<br />
army commanders provided orders to shoot civilians<br />
and even to torture detainees, as a part of “state-<br />
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directed policy.” 85 Moreover, for those international<br />
groups and representatives who have called for<br />
more even-handed scrutiny of both Assad’s formal<br />
security apparatus and the rebel militants, the report<br />
concluded that crimes committed by rebel groups<br />
“did not reach the gravity, frequency, and scale” of<br />
those executed by the government’s<br />
security forces. 86 Perhaps the report’s<br />
most alarming account concerned<br />
harm inflicted on Syria’s children, which<br />
has included shootings, beatings,<br />
whippings, and electrical shocks—all<br />
of which culminated in 125 child deaths<br />
over the course of the commission’s<br />
reporting period (15 February 2012 – 20<br />
July 2012). 87 The summary finding of this<br />
independent international commission<br />
of inquiry was that the human rights<br />
situation in Syria had worsened since<br />
the end period of the preceding Human<br />
Rights <strong>Council</strong> report, mid-February.<br />
On 10 September, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
High Commissioner for Human Rights<br />
Navi Pillay addressed the UN Human<br />
Rights <strong>Council</strong>, emphasizing that<br />
the “use of heavy weapons by the<br />
[Syrian] government and the shelling<br />
of populated areas have resulted in<br />
high numbers of civilian casualties,<br />
mass displacement of civilians inside and outside<br />
the country and a devastating human crisis.” 88 Pillay<br />
also expressed a sentiment common among many<br />
UN figures that Syria should be referred to the<br />
international Criminal Court for ongoing human rights<br />
infringements occurring on its territory, in an effort to<br />
revoke perpetrators’ sense of impunity.<br />
Sectarianism<br />
though sectarianism was not an explicit cause of<br />
the Syrian uprising, it does shed light on important<br />
undercurrents of the conflict useful to understanding<br />
its evolution. Sunni Arabs make up 60 percent of the<br />
Syrian population, while Shia Muslims, Christians,<br />
and Kurds constitute its largest minorities. the Assad<br />
family comes from a Shia sect known as the Alawites,<br />
a group that constitutes roughly twelve percent<br />
of Syria’s population and has resided along Syria’s<br />
coastal Jibal al ‘Alawiyin range since the reign of<br />
the Ottoman empire. 89 through the presidencies of<br />
Hafez al-Assad and his son Bashar al-Assad—and their<br />
predominantly Alawite government appointees—<br />
the Alawites have in effect ruled Syria for over forty<br />
Syria’s minority Alawite population is mostly concentrated in the country’s north/<br />
northwestern region.<br />
years. The 1963 coup that ushered the Ba’ath Party<br />
to power in Syria had also relied on rural Shia support<br />
networks. 90<br />
Additionally, close to 70 percent of the Syrian army’s<br />
non-conscripted “career soldiers” and an estimated<br />
80 percent of Syria’s officer corps are Alawites. 91 While<br />
the theme of protestors’ messages over the course<br />
of the uprising has not been religious, it is important<br />
to note that most of the demonstrators are Sunni.<br />
In September 2011, Al Jazeera special respondent<br />
Nir Rosen, who visited several of the conflict’s focal<br />
cities, observed, “the opposition is loath to admit it<br />
but they are all effectively Sunni.” 92 Syrian Christians,<br />
meanwhile, have been said to largely support Assad’s<br />
regime namely because they are apprehensive about<br />
the unknown landscape of a post-Assad Syria. 93 the<br />
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Alawite regime has enjoyed support from other<br />
minorities in Syria as well, who fear the establishment<br />
of a Sunni Islamist government in the aftermath of<br />
Assad’s potential demise. 94<br />
In October 2011, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary<br />
Clinton informed the Associated Press that “[it] is<br />
not yet accepted…by many groups in Syria that their<br />
life will be better without Assad than with Assad<br />
[…] There are a lot of minority groups that are very<br />
concerned.” 95 Although Assad verbally committed to<br />
a “national dialogue” on reform after the government<br />
crackdown on protests in Jisr al-Shughour, 96 any<br />
major reforms have yet to be instated. Moreover, the<br />
regime realizes that reforms involving representative<br />
government could likely spell a prompt exit of the<br />
Assad-led Alawites from rule, which in large part<br />
explains the regime’s continued intransigence<br />
towards facilitating a peaceful and inclusive political<br />
solution to popular unrest. indeed, some historians<br />
posit that the Syrian government might view this<br />
crisis as an existential battle for Alawites’ survival and<br />
retention of power in modern Syria, grounded in fear<br />
about the return of “historical Sunni hegemony over<br />
the region.” 97 A geographic analysis of the crisis could<br />
lend itself to such an interpretation.<br />
A Geographic Look at the Conflict<br />
The civil war has thus far largely played out in or<br />
near Syria’s Western coastal region, within many<br />
Alawite-majority areas. Today, the two provinces<br />
of Latakia and Tartus are home to approximately<br />
75 percent of Syria’s Alawite population: over four<br />
decades of Ba’ath Party rule, they experienced an<br />
influx of Alawites from the traditional Alawite base in<br />
the mountains. 98<br />
The conflict-ridden cities of Homs and Hama<br />
also have a significant Alawite population—a<br />
consequence of policies dating to the administration<br />
of Bashar al-Assad’s father, Hafez, which encouraged<br />
Alawites to move from coastal areas towards the<br />
central plain. 99 One possible theory explaining the<br />
conflict’s exacerbation might point to Assad’s use<br />
of the clearance strategy to tighten the Alawite<br />
government’s hold over Alawite-dominated areas—<br />
again, perhaps, to act on deep-seated concerns about<br />
existential threats to the preservation of the Alawite-<br />
led power structure in Syria.<br />
Key Foreign Actors<br />
Iran<br />
In early August, Saeed Jalil—top national security<br />
advisor of Shiite-dominated Iran—publicly pledged<br />
Iran’s support for al-Assad’s Alawite government in<br />
the ongoing crisis. 100 Iran’s diplomatic input arrived<br />
on the heels of Kofi Annan’s resignation as the Joint<br />
Special Envoy of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> and the League<br />
of Arab States on the Syrian armed conflict. While<br />
on a trip to Lebanon, Jalil stated, “[we] believe that<br />
Syria’s friends must help to totally stop the violence,<br />
organize national dialogue and general elections<br />
Bashar al-Assad with Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinjad, who<br />
has consistently voiced support for the Syrian president despite<br />
growing international outcry against human rights violations that<br />
have been perpetrated by his administration.<br />
in this country, and organize humanitarian aid for<br />
the Syrian population.” 101 Despite Iran’s ostensible<br />
commitment to ending violence in Syria, Western<br />
powers and Israel insist that Iran has been serving<br />
as the Syrian government’s primary ally in providing<br />
Assad with advice and resources on how to suppress<br />
widespread public protests, given Iran’s own past<br />
experience with mass demonstrations following<br />
its 2009 presidential elections. Furthermore, on<br />
22 August 2012, the uN declared that it had in fact<br />
amassed sufficient intelligence that Iran has been<br />
providing funds, weapons, and intelligence to Assad<br />
in his regime’s violent campaign to subdue opposition<br />
groups in his country. 102<br />
Iraq<br />
Reports have suggested that Iraq is allowing Iran<br />
to use its airspace to transport weapons to President<br />
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Assad’s besieged security forces. In early September<br />
2012, <strong>United</strong> States Senators John McCain of Arizona,<br />
Joe Liebermann of Connecticut, and Lindsey Graham<br />
of South Carolina traveled to Baghdad to meet with<br />
Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki to strongly warn<br />
Iraq against such complicit action, whereupon Iraq<br />
firmly denied that it has been providing any such<br />
deliberate support. 103<br />
Turkey<br />
Although neighboring Turkey had once been a<br />
close ally to Assad’s government, it has since adopted<br />
a hardline stance against Syria as the crisis has<br />
unfolded. Mostly notably, Turkey witnessed an influx<br />
Protestors demonstrate in front of the Syrian consulate in<br />
neighboring Istanbul in late May 2012.<br />
of Sunni refugees into its territory following Syrian<br />
security forces’ clearance operations in northern Idlib<br />
province. Additionally, the Free Syrian Army (FSA),<br />
established at the end of July in 2011, maintains its<br />
headquarters in Turkey—leading Assad to speculate<br />
that militants from Syrian opposition groups have<br />
been transporting weapons through and finding<br />
training resources within that country. In 2011 Turkey<br />
also adopted tangible measures to denounce the<br />
actions of the Syrian government, enacting both an<br />
arms embargo and other comprehensive sanctions<br />
against Syria. 104<br />
Russia<br />
Russia’s role in the Syrian civil war has attracted<br />
perhaps the most international attention, primarily<br />
due to uncertainty surrounding Russia’s specific<br />
motivations in supporting Assad’s government and<br />
stalling decisive international action against the<br />
regime’s brutality. Since it achieved formal statehood<br />
in 1946, Syria has received substantial military and<br />
economic support from the former Soviet Union and<br />
Russian Federation. Most relevant to the current<br />
crisis, Russia and Syria have shared a strong historical<br />
relationship with regard to arms sales. Russia is the<br />
second-largest arms exporter in the world, behind<br />
the <strong>United</strong> States, and often creates markets for its<br />
weapons in countries that are “unwilling or unable”<br />
to purchase arms from the u.S. 105 Given that the<br />
european union and the united States imposed<br />
comprehensive sanctions and embargoes against<br />
Syria in 2011, Russia is a key remaining vendor for<br />
Assad’s regime as it seeks to keep restless and<br />
increasingly violent opposition groups at bay. The<br />
Russian Federation is keen on preventing the Syrian<br />
uprising from turning into ‘another Libya’—when the<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> imposed an arms embargo on Libya in<br />
February 2011106 and Russia reportedly lost $4 billion in<br />
arms contracts107--and will use whichever means at its<br />
disposal to protect its economic interests, especially<br />
its powerful veto in this <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>. Moreover,<br />
Western powers likely harbor general fears about<br />
Russia exerting too much political influence in the<br />
Middle east.<br />
Past uN Actions<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Supervision Mission in Syria (UNSMIS)<br />
On 25 March 2012, Kofi Annan, the Joint Special<br />
Envoy of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> and League of Arab<br />
States to Syria, proposed a six-point plan that was<br />
accepted by Syria and endorsed by this <strong>Security</strong><br />
<strong>Council</strong>. The six points were as follows:<br />
“1) commit to work with the Envoy in an inclusive<br />
Syrian-led political process to address the legitimate<br />
aspirations and concerns of the Syrian people, and,<br />
to this end, commit to appoint an empowered<br />
interlocutor when invited to do so by the Envoy;<br />
2) commit to stop the fighting and achieve urgently<br />
an effective <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> supervised cessation of<br />
armed violence in all its forms by all parties to protect<br />
civilians and stabilize the country.<br />
To this end, the Syrian Government should<br />
immediately cease troop movements towards, and<br />
end the use of heavy weapons in, population centres,<br />
and begin pullback of military concentrations in and<br />
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around population centres.<br />
As these actions are being taken on the ground, the<br />
Syrian Government should work with the Envoy to<br />
bring about a sustained cessation of armed violence<br />
in all its forms by all parties with an effective <strong>United</strong><br />
<strong>Nations</strong> supervision mechanism.<br />
Similar commitments would be sought by the<br />
Envoy from the opposition and all relevant elements<br />
to stop the fighting and work with him to bring about<br />
a sustained cessation of armed violence in all its<br />
forms by all parties with an effective <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
supervision mechanism;<br />
3) ensure timely provision of humanitarian<br />
assistance to all areas affected by the fighting,<br />
and to this end, as immediate steps, to accept and<br />
implement a daily two-hour humanitarian pause and<br />
to coordinate exact time and modalities of the daily<br />
pause through an efficient mechanism, including at<br />
local level.<br />
4) intensify the pace and scale of release of<br />
arbitrarily detained persons, including especially<br />
vulnerable categories of persons, and persons<br />
involved in peaceful political activities, provide<br />
without delay through appropriate channels a list of<br />
all places in which such persons are being detained,<br />
immediately begin organizing access to such locations<br />
and through appropriate channels respond promptly<br />
to all written requests for information, access or<br />
release regarding such persons;<br />
5) ensure freedom of movement throughout the<br />
country for journalists and a non-discriminatory visa<br />
policy for them;<br />
6) respect freedom of association and the right to<br />
demonstrate peacefully as legally guaranteed.” 108<br />
Some groups within the heterogeneous Syrian<br />
opposition rejected the plan for not being aggressive<br />
enough, while others expressed willingness to abide<br />
by Annan’s blueprint so long as Assad’s regime<br />
fulfilled its promises as well. 109 the 300-person united<br />
<strong>Nations</strong> observer mission ultimately proved to be too<br />
small to tackle a civil war that was far too advanced<br />
in its progression. Further, many Syrians embroiled in<br />
the violence criticized the plan for not being stringent<br />
enough and thus for allowing Syrian security forces<br />
more time to carry out its campaign of executions. 110<br />
Annan’s resignation on 2 August 2012 as envoy above<br />
all illustrated that a UN-led effort will require good<br />
faith commitment from Assad’s regime and consensus<br />
among key member states of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>. On<br />
19 August 2012, the UNSMIS mandate finally came to<br />
an end. It is now up to this executive body to decide<br />
whether the Syrian civil war is beyond diplomatic<br />
redress and warrants direct military intervention or<br />
whether <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> consensus regarding the<br />
conflict can still be achieved—and expeditiously so.<br />
Proposed Solutions<br />
Armed Intervention<br />
Humanitarian concerns regarding the Syrian civil<br />
war are on the verge of reaching a tipping point—one<br />
that could compel external military intervention to<br />
decelerate Syria’s mounting death toll. However, this<br />
particular debate has stimulated numerous salient<br />
comparisons with the 2011 military intervention in<br />
Libya. First, Syria is one-tenth the size of Libya but<br />
houses a population three times as large, which also<br />
explains why the conflict has largely been confined to<br />
the Western part of the country, where the majority<br />
of Syrians live. 111 Secondly, the opposition in Syria is<br />
deeply fragmented and disorganized. On 7 March<br />
2012, <strong>United</strong> States Secretary of Defense Leon E.<br />
Panetta stated, testifying in front of the Senate<br />
Armed Services Committee, “[it] is not clear what<br />
constitutes the Syrian armed opposition – there has<br />
been no single unifying military alternative that can<br />
be recognized, appointed, or contacted.” 112 UNHCR chief Antonio Gutteres (2005 – present) address the <strong>United</strong><br />
<strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> on the crisis in Syria<br />
thus, a<br />
hypothetical multi-state coalition effort in Syria could<br />
not rely on allying with a unified and coordinated<br />
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Syrian opposition force to dislodge Assad from<br />
power. Thirdly, armed intervention as a strategy does<br />
not enjoy unanimous regional support around Syria<br />
as it did around Libya in 2011. 113 Most notably, Iran<br />
and Russia have expressed positions sympathetic to<br />
President Assad’s agenda.<br />
UN Embargo<br />
Because there is still no united <strong>Nations</strong>-authorized<br />
embargo against Syria, member states—the Russian<br />
Federation in particular—can continue to arm Assad’s<br />
regime under the premise that these transactions<br />
are wholly ‘non-political’ in nature. Continued arms<br />
shipments to Syria could, as u.S. Secretary of State<br />
Hillary Clinton has repeatedly argued, cause the<br />
conflict to escalate further rather than move closer<br />
towards resolution. The Russian Federation will likely<br />
be the most vociferous dissenter to this approach,<br />
given its economic interest in retaining historically<br />
lucrative sales contracts with Syria. If passed, such an<br />
embargo would immediately freeze all funds, assets,<br />
and economic resources belonging to Assad and his<br />
regime on UN member states’ territories and halt<br />
member states’ direct or indirect supply or transfer<br />
of arms to Syria.<br />
Referral of President Bashar al-Assad to the<br />
International Criminal Court (ICC)<br />
As of early August 2012, at least ten members of<br />
the European Union were in favor<br />
of referring President Assad and the<br />
situation in Syria to the international<br />
Criminal Court, 114 an independent<br />
international body responsible for<br />
adjudication on global disputes<br />
involving genocides, crimes against<br />
humanity, and other war crimes.<br />
However, some European diplomats<br />
have also raised concerns that pursuing<br />
justice through the iCC might thwart<br />
efforts at a political resolution to the<br />
conflict. However, according to the<br />
Human Rights Watch, “[if] a convincing<br />
case is made by the EU (including the<br />
<strong>United</strong> Kingdom) that the ICC–as an<br />
independent and impartial judicial<br />
institution—will examine actions by<br />
community<br />
all sides to the Syrian conflict, this can go a long way<br />
toward countering Russian and Chinese objections<br />
that <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> measures on Syria would be<br />
biased.” 115 Nevertheless, the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> would<br />
still have to prevent a possible Russian or Chinese<br />
veto to refer the situation in Syria to the ICC in the<br />
first place.<br />
Bloc Positions<br />
North America, Western Europe, and Others<br />
In August 2012, President Obama warned, along<br />
similar statements made by Secretary of State<br />
Clinton, that if Bashar al-Assad’s regime applied<br />
chemical or biological weapons in the civil conflict,<br />
such actions would provoke a military response from<br />
the <strong>United</strong> States. One of the <strong>United</strong> States’ primary<br />
concerns as the war has waged on has been fear of<br />
such weapons falling into the wrong hands—those of<br />
rogue or armed terrorist groups. The US’s message<br />
has thus been pointedly barred at both Assad’s<br />
administration and other players involved in the<br />
deadly ground fighting. Michael Eisenstadt, a director<br />
at the Washington institute for Near eastern Policy,<br />
argues that Syria has the most advanced chemical<br />
warfare system in the world, 116 suggesting that its<br />
deployment would be catastrophic.<br />
despite the fact that British Prime Minister ruled<br />
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton warned in August 2012 that the introduction of<br />
chemical weapons to the Syrian conflict would be a grave “red line” for the international<br />
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out military action earlier in 2012, he discussed, as of<br />
November 2012, the possibility of a military response,<br />
which may involve no-fly zones over Syria (an idea<br />
originated by U.S. Secretary Clinton) and arming<br />
rebels with anti-aircraft guns. 117 British Foreign<br />
Secretary William Hague stated on 13 November<br />
2012, “We are not excluding any option in the future<br />
because…the Syrian crisis is getting worse and worse<br />
all the time.” 118<br />
At the end of August 2012, French president Francois<br />
Hollande urged Syria to come up with an “inclusive<br />
and representative” provisional government, which<br />
he said France would recognize upon its formation. 119<br />
France, in line with its Western allies the united<br />
States and Great Britain, has also stated it will view<br />
the use of chemical weapons as legitimate grounds<br />
for military intervention in Syria.<br />
Australia, in the meantime, was one of the<br />
first countries to advocate recommending Syrian<br />
president Bashar al-Assad to the international<br />
Criminal Court in June 2011. 120 Critiquing inaction on<br />
the part of the uN <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, Foreign Minister<br />
Kevin Rudd pledged Australia’s support for the Arab<br />
League’s efforts to bring peace to Syria. Addressing<br />
the Australian Parliament on 15 February 2012, Rudd<br />
emphasized, “The full membership of the UNSC<br />
must accept its responsibility to the people of Syria<br />
by listening to the unified voice of the world’s Arab<br />
leaders” and added that “Russia and Chine need to<br />
reconsider their commitment to the Syrian people.” 121<br />
Current Foreign Minister Bob Carr, who succeeded<br />
Minister Rudd in March 2012, worked to mobilize<br />
humanitarian assistance to Syria and supported Kofi<br />
Annan’s ultimately failed Peace Plan. 122<br />
East Asia<br />
While China has traditionally remained neutral on<br />
matters relating to the Middle East, it has been vocal<br />
about the Syrian conflict. Foreign policy analysts<br />
speculate that China, like Russia, does not want any<br />
U.S. influence in the region to obstruct China’s access<br />
to the Middle East’s plentiful energy resources.<br />
In addition, given its own history with Western<br />
intervention, China may be reluctant to stand by as<br />
another Western-led armed intervention occurs. Most<br />
notably, China has exercised its veto as a permanent<br />
member to prevent <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> authorization of<br />
direct military involvement in Syria.<br />
Regarding the Republic of Korea’s stance, UN<br />
Permanent Representative Kim Sook stated when<br />
the country beat Cambodia for a non-permanent spot<br />
on the UNSC, “My country’s position is not very much<br />
far from what has been discussed in the <strong>Security</strong><br />
<strong>Council</strong>” but did not offer a more detailed stance.<br />
Korea may thus find itself pressed to vocalize a clear<br />
position on the Syria question.<br />
South Asia<br />
Pakistan’s position on the Syrian conflict has<br />
coincided with that of Russia and China insofar as<br />
Pakistan opposes military intervention. Pakistani’s<br />
acting UN Ambassador Raza Bashir Tarar has stated,<br />
“It is only through inclusive dialogue and a political<br />
process that Syria can chart out a course towards a<br />
stable, secure, and prosperous future.” 123 He further<br />
argued, “The primary responsibility for ensuring the<br />
safety and security of [the] Syrian people rests with<br />
the Syrian government.” 124 tarar also expressed<br />
that the Syrian crisis should not deflect the global<br />
community’s attention from a lingering and<br />
unresolved Palestinian issue, which he said “remains<br />
at the heart of tension conflict in the Middle Eastern<br />
region.” 125<br />
Eastern Europe<br />
As has been mentioned earlier in this guide, Russia<br />
has assumed an intransigent position on the situation<br />
in Syria, one grounded in, as a top Kremlin negotiator<br />
put it, “a matter of principle.” 126 the Russian Federation<br />
would have the international community believe that<br />
its stance against military intervention in Syria stems<br />
from mindfulness about exacerbating instability in<br />
the region rather than support for Bashar al-Assad’s<br />
authoritarian regime. Most recently, Western powers<br />
have started to exert increasing pressure against<br />
Russia to present viable alternatives to bringing peace<br />
to Syria if it so vehemently opposes direct military<br />
intervention. As a New York Times article pointed out<br />
in June 2012, Russia faces significant risks—at the very<br />
least, reputational ones—in the Middle because of its<br />
unbending position: the Arab world could perceive<br />
Moscow as a supporter of dictatorships, especially if<br />
Assad manages to stay in power. 127<br />
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Azerbaijan tends to pursue a foreign policy of<br />
non-alignment but has spoken out against Assad’s<br />
regime for taking up arms against its own people,<br />
and Azerbaijan has maintained it cannot maintain<br />
cooperative relations with Syria for that reason.<br />
Latin America and the Caribbean<br />
Argentina expressed regret over China and<br />
Russia’s veto of multiple <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> resolutions<br />
on the crisis in Syria and has called for an end to the<br />
violence and stricter adherence to human rights in<br />
the country. Argentina was a supporter of uN Special<br />
Envoy Kofi Annan’s Six Point Plan. 128<br />
Guatemala likewise viewed Chinese and Russian<br />
vetoes as a disappointment to the <strong>Council</strong>’s potential<br />
for constructive action amidst a rapidly deteriorating<br />
human rights situation in Syria and, further,<br />
considered them a threat to the UNSC’s legitimacy. 129<br />
Africa<br />
Morocco has repeatedly expressed that it would<br />
like to see the Syrian conflict resolved peacefully.<br />
In January 2012, Morocco led and distributed an<br />
Arab-European draft resolution that expressed<br />
concern about the deteriorating state of conflict<br />
in Syria and further called on Syrian authorities to<br />
“fully cooperate” with the Arab League Mission to<br />
Syria. 130 To Morocco’s deep disappointment, the draft<br />
resolution was vetoed by both China and the Russian<br />
Federation in early February.<br />
As a newly voted member of the current <strong>Security</strong><br />
<strong>Council</strong>, Rwanda brings a unique perspective on<br />
war, peace, and genocide, having witnessed the<br />
1994 genocide in which roughly a million Tutsis died.<br />
Syria and Rwanda are often brought up in tandem<br />
regarding the Responsibility to Protect (R2P) doctrine<br />
of international law, which was unanimously adopted<br />
at the 2005 uN <strong>World</strong> Summit. R2P stipulates that<br />
the international community has the responsibility<br />
to apply appropriate humanitarian, diplomatic, and<br />
other means to protect populations from genocide,<br />
war crimes, and crimes against humanity, if the State<br />
fails to fulfill these functions. 131<br />
togo has urged more expedient action from the<br />
<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, in light of several vetoed resolutions<br />
on Syria in 2012, emphasizing that the UNSC bears<br />
a responsibility to bring peace and security to the<br />
Syrian people.<br />
Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />
(QARMA)<br />
1. is a political solution to the Syrian crisis still<br />
possible, and does it present the optimal course<br />
of action from this <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>? if so, what<br />
will form the basis of a new political process in<br />
Syria? What recommendations will the <strong>Council</strong><br />
make regarding transitional governing bodies<br />
and elections?<br />
2. How can the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> clearly and<br />
confidently delineate the central perpetrators<br />
in the ongoing violence?<br />
Russia has proven to be a reliable ally of the Syrian government and has refused to turn against Assad as quickly as its Western counterparts,<br />
here seen voting against a <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> resolution on Syria.<br />
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3. Should Bashar al-Assad be recommended to<br />
the international Criminal Court?<br />
4. Is armed intervention a feasible and effective<br />
approach?<br />
5. How does the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> plan to<br />
coordinate with other united <strong>Nations</strong> agencies<br />
to address this issue, and what other resources<br />
does it intend to employ?<br />
6. How will the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> continue to<br />
engage foreign ministries of Syria’s neighboring<br />
countries, which have become embroiled in<br />
the violence?<br />
Suggestions for Further Research<br />
Please note that this background guide is intended<br />
to serve as a comprehensive overview of the crisis in<br />
Syria, and by no means are its contents exhaustive. I<br />
have outlined major sources of tension in the conflict,<br />
which you should use as a springboard for further<br />
research that directly engages your delegation’s stake<br />
in Syria’s political development and peace process.<br />
Moreover, as this topic is highly current, I would<br />
recommend reading reliable news media (BBC News,<br />
Al Jazeera, CNN, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Press Releases from<br />
both the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> and Human Rights <strong>Council</strong>)<br />
to stay updated on evolving dimensions of the<br />
conflict. However, as you approach these valuable<br />
resources, please be especially attentive to issues of<br />
objectivity. Al-Jazeera, for instance, is a Qatari-owned<br />
television network, and the Gulf states have been<br />
especially vocal in their opposition to Assad and his<br />
regime. thus, in your research, you should always<br />
be asking yourself who the source is and whether it<br />
presents a uniquely motivated stance that needs to<br />
be taken into account during debate.<br />
For additional reading, i would suggest the<br />
following recently published texts:<br />
• Revolt in Syria: eye-witness to the uprising by<br />
Stephen Starr (2012) for firsthand testimony<br />
from a cross-section of Syrian society affected<br />
by the violent conflict and citizens’ varied<br />
political beliefs<br />
• The Syrian Rebellion by Fouad Ajami (2012) for<br />
a historical perspective on the rebellion and a<br />
comparison between the reigns of Bashar al-<br />
Assad and his father Hafez al-Assad<br />
• The Battle for the Arab Spring: revolution,<br />
counter-revolution, and the making of a new<br />
era by Lin Noueihed and Alex Warren (2012) for<br />
discussion of the challenges many Arab nations<br />
confront as they attempt to build sustainable<br />
democratic institutions, tackle political Islam,<br />
and compete economically on the international<br />
stage<br />
Topic B: The Situation in Mali<br />
Northern Mali has served as the site of a violent<br />
separatist insurgency since January 2012. Following<br />
a coup d’état that ousted President Amadou<br />
Tomani and bred considerable political instability<br />
in its immediate aftermath, the once-nomadic<br />
Tuareg rebels claimed control of Northern Mali<br />
with the help of their organization, the National<br />
Movement for the Liberation of Azawad (MNLA).<br />
The MNLA subsequently declared Azawad’s formal<br />
independence from Mali. Notably, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> condemned the coup, along with many<br />
other international diplomatic bodies. The Economic<br />
Community of West African States (ECOWAS), for<br />
instance, suspended Mali’s membership and imposed<br />
sanctions against the country. eCOWAS also presided<br />
over negotiations that stipulated that both Tomani<br />
and the leader of the interim government would<br />
resign, sanctions would be removed, rebels would be<br />
granted amnesty, and power would be transferred<br />
to the National Assembly of Mali, led by its Speaker<br />
dioncounda traore.<br />
However, renewed offensives have seen armed<br />
groups loot massive amounts of food from the <strong>World</strong><br />
Food Programme’s warehouses in several parts<br />
of Northern Mali, which caused the WFP to cease<br />
its operations there at the start of April. thus the<br />
violent insurgency has not only crafted a landscape<br />
rife with political uncertainty but also highlighted a<br />
critical humanitarian dimension of the conflict for the<br />
<strong>Council</strong>’s immediate attention.<br />
Historical Background<br />
the tuaregs (or so-called Blue Men of desert<br />
because of the indigo dye coloring their traditional<br />
clothes) are a pastoral nomadic people who occupy a<br />
large portion of the land in the Sahara and the Sahel—<br />
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anging from Libya to the northern part of Niger to<br />
southern Algeria to northern Mali and to Burkina<br />
Faso. Mali is home to roughly one million of this<br />
region’s Tuareg population, which totals anywhere<br />
between two to three million. 132 The Tuareg can be<br />
further divided into regional groups such as the Kel<br />
Adrar (Kidal in Mali), Iwellemeden (West Niger), and<br />
Kel Owey (Air in north central Niger). 133<br />
Geographic distribution of Tuareg peoples in the Sahara and Sahel<br />
regions of northern Africa.<br />
throughout post-colonial history, the Malian<br />
Tuaregs have experienced marginalization by state<br />
policies of modernization and sedentarization.<br />
Following the appropriation of dune rangelands<br />
for cultivation by sedentary farmers, the pastoral<br />
Tuaregs were displaced to lands of poorer biological<br />
productivity. 134 Historical tensions between the<br />
Tuaregs and the Malian government have catalyzed<br />
three major rebellions in the country’s recent history,<br />
outside of the present ongoing conflict—in 1962-<br />
1964, 1990-1995, and 2007-2009. 135<br />
Decolonization and Birth of the Malian Republic<br />
French West Africa (L’Afrique-Occidentale<br />
Françaises, AOF) experienced decolonization largely<br />
due to the outcomes of <strong>World</strong> War ii. Charles de Gaulle<br />
thereafter pledged to give France’s colonial subjects<br />
a stronger voice in the broader French political<br />
arena. 136 By October 26, French Sudan—which would<br />
eventually become the Republic of Mali—had elected<br />
a Constitutional Assembly that went on to draft a new<br />
Constitution allowing political parties. 137 the creation<br />
of the Republique Soudainaise in 1958 dissolved<br />
the AOF. By February 1959, French Sudan and<br />
Senegal had together formed the francophone Mali<br />
Federation. 138 However, disagreements regarding the<br />
political future of this Federation led the Republique<br />
Soudainaise to declare its independence from the<br />
Mali Federation, under the new (and current) name<br />
of the Republic of Mali on 22 September 1960. 139<br />
Despite the Malian Republic’s proclamation of<br />
its independence in September of 1960, “both the<br />
state and the Malian nation had yet to be created.” 140<br />
The new country faced a weak infrastructure and<br />
lacked a professionally trained population devoted to<br />
industry. Moreover, at this time, the Malian political<br />
elite constructed the Malian national identity around<br />
Mali’s largest ethnic groups, the Mande and Bambara,<br />
to the notable exclusion of the Tamasheq-speaking<br />
Tuaregs. To compound this tension, the Kel Tamasheq<br />
and other minority groups such as the Moors also did<br />
not see themselves as Malian. 141 this early identity<br />
distinction would lay the historical groundwork for<br />
future sentiments of marginalization among the<br />
Tuaregs. Furthermore, because the idea of a Malian<br />
nation was not yet significantly entrenched in the<br />
minds of the country’s citizens, the government’s<br />
early treatment of the tuaregs would shape the<br />
Tuareg minority’s conception of and allegiance to the<br />
Malian nation-state.<br />
The First Tuareg Rebellion, 1962-1964<br />
The First Tuareg Rebellion, also known as<br />
the Alfellaga, occurred shortly after Mali gained<br />
independence. Already disenchanted with their<br />
position in the new Malian state, the Tuaregs began<br />
to imagine their own state, made up of the tuaregpopulated<br />
territories of northern Mali, northern<br />
Niger, and southern Algeria, called Azawad. 142<br />
tuaregs at this time felt that they were acutely and<br />
disproportionately plagued by early post-colonial<br />
Mali’s economic struggles and the oversight of a<br />
government administration that was not sympathetic<br />
towards Tuaregs’ pastoral culture compared to that<br />
of other sedentary farming groups in Mali. 143 For some<br />
especially dissatisfied Tuareg leaders, the state’s<br />
efforts at modernization became synonymous with<br />
land dispossession. Furthermore, the disappointing<br />
economic realities of the early 1960s in Mali appeared<br />
in direct contrast to the optimistic rhetoric routinely<br />
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propagated by the government.<br />
In 1962, the first governor of the Gao region of Mali,<br />
Bakary Diallo, discussed the place of the nomadic<br />
Tuaregs in post-colonial Mali:<br />
…the existence of an ethnic minority of Tamasheq<br />
and Arabs (white and black) we call the Nomads,<br />
coexisting with black sedentary populations […]<br />
Nomad society, as it is left to us by the colonial<br />
regime, undoubtedly poses us problems in light of<br />
the objectives of our socio-political programme. […]<br />
Our objective is to know the problems which we,<br />
in reference to the colonial regime, call the Nomad<br />
problem. 144<br />
The regime of the first president of Mali, Mobido<br />
Kieta, sought to focus the country’s economic<br />
growth on its industrial sectors—specifically on<br />
cattle exports, an area where Mali enjoyed a regional<br />
comparative advantage. 145 This effort initiated partial<br />
and forced sedentarization of nomads. Further to<br />
the resentment of the Tuaregs, Kieta’s regime made<br />
women work on Service Civique sites as well as part<br />
of a “para-military force of agricultural labourers,<br />
recruited parallel to the army, despite the fact that<br />
in Tamasheq tradition, women of free descent do not<br />
work. 146<br />
The Tuareg rebellion began in 1962 as small scale<br />
attacks on government targets but escalated by<br />
1963 in northern areas of Mali. 147 ultimately, the<br />
Malian’s government’s army, possessing greater<br />
and more advanced resources than the rebels,<br />
A gathering of Tuareg men, donning there iconic blue garb.<br />
decisively quashed this first rebellion. 148 under these<br />
circumstances, many tuaregs migrated to richer<br />
neighboring countries such as Libya, where better<br />
wage labor in the oil industry and in Muammar<br />
Gaddafi’s regular military forces offered enticing<br />
opportunities. 149 Gaddafi additionally welcomed<br />
some Tuaregs into the Libyan-backed Islamic Legion<br />
from which he deployed Islamic militants to Lebanon,<br />
Palestine, and Afghanistan. 150<br />
The Second Rebellion, 1990-1995<br />
Periodic droughts in Western Africa in 1968-<br />
1974 and 1980-1985 further unraveled the pastoral<br />
lifestyle of the Sahelian nomads, both destroying<br />
livestock and displacing Tuareg populations to areas<br />
in the south where pastoralism offered minimal<br />
economic survival value. 151 the land reform policies<br />
of Mobido Kieto had already rendered the Tuaregs<br />
more vulnerable than other groups to droughts. In<br />
addition to persistent Tuareg discontent, the 1990-<br />
1995 rebellion also occurred against the backdrop<br />
of a pro-democracy opposition movement against<br />
President Moussa Traore’s corrupt regime. The<br />
accumulation of democratic pressures in the capital<br />
city of Bamako combined with Tuareg rebels’ assault<br />
of the army brought about negotiations between<br />
the two sides. This opening likely presented itself<br />
because President Traore could not simultaneously<br />
afford to deploy state resources in the north to quell<br />
the Tuareg insurgency and to the south to bring the<br />
pro-democracy movement under control. 152<br />
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On 6 January 1991, the rebels and the Malian<br />
government signed the Tamanrasset agreement<br />
pledging to continue negotiations aimed at bringing a<br />
final peace to the conflict. The agreement included a<br />
ceasefire, the mutual transfer of war prisoners, army<br />
withdrawal from northern Mali, rebel withdrawal to<br />
their base camps, opportunities for former rebels to<br />
join the Malian army, and a monitoring commission to<br />
ensure that the stipulations of the agreement would<br />
be implemented. 153 While this agreement was never<br />
fulfilled to the degree of its original intent, it did<br />
provide a basis for future peace negotiations. More<br />
importantly, perhaps, the signing of the tamanrasset<br />
agreement marked the beginning of the rebellion’s<br />
second phase, in which the rebels’ disunity became<br />
more clear: the FPLA (Front Populaire de Liberation<br />
de L’Azawad) supported Tuareg independence<br />
achieved through military action, whereas the MPA<br />
(Mouvement Populaire de l’Azawad) sought political<br />
negotiation of its aim and potential to transform itself<br />
into a viable political party in the future. 154<br />
The pro-democracy movement, meanwhile,<br />
had become even stronger. In the aftermath of a<br />
government crackdown on protestors that led to<br />
hundreds of deaths, 155 a military coup ousted traore<br />
from power, ushering in Amadou toumani toure<br />
(who would himself be elected as president of Mali<br />
in 2002) as interim leader. 156 After being elected<br />
president in the 1992 elections, Alpha Konare granted<br />
greater autonomy to the heavily Tuareg-populated<br />
Kidal region of northern Mali, temporarily abating the<br />
conflict. 157<br />
A soldier mutiny in 1994 exacerbated tensions<br />
between the government and Tuaregs once again:<br />
recently integrated tuareg militants in the Malian army<br />
(per one of the stipulations of the earlier tamanrasset<br />
agreement) murdered their fellow soldiers, as mutual<br />
suspicion ran deep between Tuareg and non-Tuareg<br />
members of the army. 158 Additionally, several Songhoispeaking<br />
militia units that had mobilized to protect<br />
themselves against unprovoked Tuareg aggression<br />
combined in 1994 to form the Malian Patriotic<br />
Movement Ganda Koi. 159 this action stemmed from<br />
perceptions among some groups in Mali that the<br />
government was now providing disproportionately<br />
positive relief efforts and resources to Tuaregs<br />
and thus was being too accommodating towards<br />
an allegedly violent minority. By 1995, the Malian<br />
government had nevertheless managed to secure a<br />
precarious peace, suppressing militant aggression<br />
on the part of the Ganda Koi and pursuing greater<br />
measures to reintegrate tuaregs into Malian society.<br />
It is important to note that at this age the conflict<br />
had assumed an unmistakably economic character—<br />
competition over scarce environmental and state<br />
resources—rather than a primordial ethnic one. 160<br />
The Third Tuareg Rebellion, 2007-2009<br />
In late August of 2007, a “splinter” Tuareg group<br />
under the leadership of Ibrahim ag Bahanga claimed<br />
it had entered into an alliance with Tuareg rebels in<br />
bordering Niger, who had commenced a military<br />
initiative against the Niger government that year. 161<br />
The group launched attacks against government<br />
supply convoys, soldiers, and mining roads in the<br />
regional capital city of Kidal. 162 This development<br />
unfolded despite the fact that the main tuareg<br />
movement in Mali maintained it was adhering to a<br />
2006 peace agreement brokered with the Malian<br />
government that had brought an end to the second<br />
Tuareg insurgency. By September of that year, land<br />
mine explosions had killed dozens of individuals,<br />
some 35 soldiers were being held captive, and the<br />
rebel alliance began to assault army outposts at the<br />
border of Mali and Algeria. 163 the pattern of low<br />
intensity warfare at this time can be summarized as<br />
follows:<br />
Tuareg fighters would lay siege to isolated<br />
government outposts, lay mines and ambush<br />
military convoys, launch periodic armed raids, and<br />
seize hostages before returning to their mountain<br />
hideouts. Government forces would respond to these<br />
incidents by attempting to hunt down the marauding<br />
bands and seize rebel supply cashes. 164<br />
Whereas the beginning of 2008 witnessed a<br />
deepening of the conflict, Mali’s government later<br />
made inroads engaging moderate elements of the<br />
Tuareg militancy, as a Libyan-mediated ceasefire<br />
was achieved by April. 165 But as with earlier peace<br />
agreements forged between the Malian government<br />
and Tuareg rebels, accusations abounded on both<br />
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sides of poor commitment to the terms of the<br />
agreement. By the end of 2008, violent rebel activity<br />
had relatively subsided but no conclusive peace was<br />
established. 166<br />
Having thus far employed a tactical strategy<br />
alternating use of military force with accommodation<br />
of Tuaregs’ political and economic requests, the<br />
Malian government now shifted to executing a fullscale<br />
offensive operation against one particularly<br />
intransigent faction of the Alliance touareg Nord<br />
Mali pour le Changement (ATNMC), that was led by<br />
Ibrahim ag Bahanga. 167 With ag Bahanga’s forces<br />
beleaguered by the Malian army more than ever,<br />
hundreds of Tuareg fighters shed the lingering<br />
defiance of their leader and began to surrender their<br />
arms. 168 A significant portion of ag Bahanda’s forces<br />
fled to Algeria and then Libya, where many would<br />
fight in dictator Muammar al-Gaddafi’s army. This<br />
peace would effectively last fewer than three years<br />
before the current iteration of the historical Tuareg<br />
insurgency.<br />
Timeline of the 2012 Conflict (January –<br />
present)<br />
Self-determination in the Sahara<br />
The proximate cause of the 2012 Tuareg rebellion<br />
was the return of an estimated average of two to<br />
three thousand well-trained Tuareg fighters from<br />
Gaddafi’s Libya. 169 these returning tuaregs joined<br />
forces with the ATNMC formerly led by Ibrahim ag<br />
Bahanga, who had died in August 2011, to form the<br />
Mouvement National de Liberation de l’Azawad<br />
(MNLA) on 16 October 2011. 170 The MNLA sought<br />
“to protect and progressively reoccupy the Azawad<br />
territory” in response to the government’s failure<br />
to engage in productive dialogue with the Tuaregs<br />
and its deployment of troops to the Azawad region,<br />
comprised of Timbuktu, Kidal, and Gao. 171 these three<br />
capitals quickly became the primary focal points of<br />
the fourth and current Tuareg rebellion.<br />
In January 2012, the MNLA launched a full-scale<br />
attack on Menaka in the Gao region of northern<br />
Mali, accusing the government of dishonoring its<br />
commitments to the tuaregs and for undue military<br />
provocation. 172 Not only did the Malian government<br />
of President Amadou toumani toure reportedly lose<br />
ground during the first month of renewed combat,<br />
but the human rights NGO Amnesty International also<br />
criticized the government’s use of military helicopters<br />
on civilian targets, 173 describing the situation as the<br />
“worst human rights crisis in northern Mali for 20<br />
years.” 174 On 18 February 2012, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
reported that upwards of 44,000 Malian refugees had<br />
fled to neighboring Niger, Mauritania, and Burkina<br />
Faso to escape the conflict. 175 the international<br />
Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) also declared in<br />
February that the fighting in northern Mali had caused<br />
internal displacement of 60,000 Malians, separate<br />
from UNHCR’s estimates regarding conflict-induced<br />
forced migration from the country. 176 Lastly, the month<br />
of February was significant because a commission<br />
within Toure’s government announced that al-Qaeda<br />
in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) had collaborated with<br />
the MNLA to kill government soldiers in Aguel’hoc, a<br />
rural village in the Kidal region. 177 The findings arrived<br />
despite the MNLA’s persistent denial of involvement<br />
with islamic extremist groups.<br />
A youth protests the government’s response to Tuareg attacks in<br />
northern Mali in early February 2012<br />
A Competing Vision for Rebellion: The Ansar Dine<br />
Movement<br />
On 13 March 2012, iyag Ag Ghali, a former tuareg<br />
leader, published a video suggesting that the Ansar<br />
Dine (“Defenders of the Faith”), a movement which<br />
had thus far fought alongside the MNLA, seeks to<br />
impose sharia law across northern Mali rather than<br />
to establish a separate and sovereign Azawad, the<br />
latter being the MNLA’s principal goal. 178 Ag Ghali has<br />
become the renegade leader of Ansar Dine within<br />
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the broader anti-government rebellion and allegedly<br />
maintains relations with AQIM via his cousin, who<br />
serves as one of AQIM’s local commanders. 179 Ag<br />
Ghali had not always played an antagonistic role in<br />
Mali; indeed, he had long secured a reputation for<br />
Members of the Islamist rebel group Ansar Dine in Timbuktu in April 2012<br />
functioning as one of the principal power brokers in<br />
northern Mali before he formed the Salafi Islamist<br />
Ansar Dine and effectively commandeered the<br />
insurgency with the help of AQiM and competed with<br />
MNLA-affiliated Tuaregs for control over the Sahel. 180<br />
The Ansar Dine’s own ambitions for all of Mali would<br />
later exacerbate the conflict to unseen levels of<br />
humanitarian and human rights distress.<br />
March Coup: Traore Displaced from Power<br />
Despite President Amadou Toumani Traore’s stated<br />
willingness to once again open dialogue with rebels<br />
on 15 March, a group of soldiers calling themselves<br />
the National Committee for the Restoration of<br />
Democracy and Rule of Law (CNRDR) and emphasizing<br />
grievances with the way Traore’s government had<br />
thus far handled the insurgency, initiated a coup led<br />
by Captain Amadou Sanogo against Mali’s elected<br />
government and proceeded to suspend the Malian<br />
Constitution. 181 Comprised of mainly lower-ranking<br />
officers, the CNDRE additionally claimed it had not<br />
been equipped with the proper resources to combat<br />
the Tuareg rebels, who were meanwhile emboldened<br />
by the influx of weapons from Colonel Gaddafi’s<br />
Libya. 182<br />
the coup elicited international outcry from the<br />
united States, the African union, and this united<br />
<strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, who<br />
expressed concern about Mali’s<br />
rapidly deteriorating humanitarian<br />
situation, referring to growing<br />
food insecurity in the Sahel given<br />
that the CNRDR had closed off the<br />
country’s land and air borders. 183<br />
Political analysts, on the other<br />
hand, cited the coup as an<br />
“unexpected political [mutation]”<br />
and destabilizing consequence<br />
of Gaddafi’s overthrow in<br />
Libya, ushering in even greater<br />
uncertainty to Western Africa. 184 in<br />
a troubling sign of this uncertainty,<br />
the economic Community of<br />
West African States (ECOWAS)<br />
declared on 29 March 2012 that it<br />
was cancelling its mission to Mali<br />
due to security concerns over its members’ safety. 185<br />
ECOWAS provided the CNRDR a timeframe of 72 hours<br />
to relinquish power or be subject to comprehensive<br />
economic sanctions. 186 in response to noncompliance<br />
by the CNRDR, ECOWAS adopted measures to close<br />
Mali’s borders off to trade and freeze its access to<br />
bank accounts, with observers highlighting that<br />
landlocked Mali could not survive economically in the<br />
face of a widespread blockade. 187 Captain Amadou<br />
Sanogo, the coup’s leader, shared tentative plans<br />
to instate a transition body possessing the intent to<br />
organizing free and unfettered elections in which the<br />
CNRDR would not assert a stake. 188<br />
By the end of March, witnesses to coup-related<br />
violence observed that both the MNLA and Ansar Dine<br />
were fighting on the same side against government<br />
forces. 189 But this dynamic, as mentioned previously,<br />
shifted decisively after the coup d’etat. Although the<br />
MNLA had captured Gao by 31 March, reports arriving<br />
on 1 April indicated that the Ansar dine had in the<br />
meantime seized Timbuktu from the MNLA, signaling<br />
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divergence in their aims. 190 In Timbuktu, the Ansar<br />
Dine “had [now] begun ordering women to cover<br />
themselves with veils,” declaring that they wanted<br />
imposition of Islamic sharia law rather than seeking<br />
an independent Azawad. 191 Ansar Dine’s leader, Ag<br />
Ghali, appeared publicly in Timbuktu with Algerian<br />
AQIM leader Mokhtar Belmokhtar the following<br />
day, on the heels of Belmokhtar’s alleged “shopping<br />
trip” to Libya for weapons, further confirming a link<br />
between the terrorist group Al Qaeda and the Ansar<br />
dine. 192<br />
Map of lands claimed by Tuareg rebels (as of 5 April 2012)<br />
On 6 April, MNLA rebels seized control of Gao,<br />
declaring it the capital city of a new independent<br />
state called Azawad. 193 the African union, european<br />
union, and former West African colonial power<br />
France refused to recognize this declaration of<br />
independence. 194 Nevertheless, ECOWAS and the<br />
CNRdR managed to reach a deal in which the<br />
junta surrendered power to parliament speaker<br />
dioncounda traore, who was sworn in as the new<br />
interim president of Mali on 12 April. 195<br />
Current Situation in Mali: From Tuareg Self-<br />
Determination to Radical Islamic Terror<br />
Although the standoff between the MNLA and<br />
Malian government had been tentatively stabilized,<br />
the northern Mali conflict had already expanded<br />
to involve several insurgent groups. From April<br />
onwards, the MNLA found itself fighting the Ansar<br />
Dine, other newly mobilized Arab militia groups, and<br />
protestors—setting up a more complex insurgency<br />
landscape than ever before. The National Liberation<br />
Front of Azawad (FNLA), a local ethnic Arab militia<br />
that had been allied with the Malian government<br />
prior to the coup but defected sides after the ousting<br />
of traore from power in March, 196 entered the fray<br />
on 8 April when it announced its decision to oppose<br />
Tuareg rule. The FLNA’s Secretary-General Mohamed<br />
Lamine Sidad stated that his group sought to neither<br />
gain independence nor impose sharia law, but rather<br />
to secure the Arab trading community’s economic<br />
interests in Timbuktu, which had been overrun by<br />
MNLA rebels. 197 to further complicate allegiances<br />
after the coup, those Malians who did not support<br />
partitioning of the country vis-à-vis the MNLA’s<br />
separatist push for an independent Azawad often<br />
cast their support to islamist groups who challenged<br />
the largely-Tuareg MNLA.<br />
Following the Battle of Gao, the Ansar dine and<br />
the Movement for Oneness and Jihad in West Africa<br />
(MOJWA), an al-Qaeda offshoot that has allied with<br />
the Ansar Dine, claimed complete control over<br />
Mali’s desert north. The shootout in Gao on 26 June<br />
between Tuareg separatists and al-Qaeda-linked<br />
islamists culminated in 20 deaths. 198<br />
Ansar Dine’s role in the northern Mali conflict has<br />
progressed beyond wresting control of the void left<br />
by Malian government forces after the March coup.<br />
To the Tuaregs’ acute discontent, the ascendency<br />
of Ansar dine threatens the fate of Azawad, with<br />
northern Mali firmly under Islamist control. Moreover,<br />
the focus of the Islamist insurgency is more ambitious<br />
in scope—the imposition of sharia law throughout all<br />
of Mali—and has therefore proven to be more violent<br />
than perhaps the Tuareg rebellion that preceded it.<br />
On September 1, the Ansar Dine gained a strategic<br />
victory when MOJWA fighters seized control of the<br />
central Malian town of Douentza after a brief skirmish<br />
with Douentza’s local militia, causing the broader<br />
conflict to spread beyond northern Mali. 199<br />
earlier in August, united <strong>Nations</strong> Secretary-General<br />
Ban Ki-moon addressed the “deeply troubling<br />
situation” in Mali and called on the UN <strong>Security</strong><br />
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<strong>Council</strong> to take a more active role in the conflict,<br />
specifically the use of targeted financial and travel<br />
sanctions against those individuals and groups in Mali<br />
involved in “terrorist, religious extremist, or criminal<br />
activities.” 200<br />
Discussion of the Problem<br />
Human Rights Violations and War Crimes<br />
Following a 10-day mission in April 2012 to Mali’s<br />
capital, Bamako, the Human Rights Watch (HRW)<br />
concluded that separatist Tuareg rebels, Islamist<br />
armed groups, and Arab militias alike have committed<br />
war crimes. 201 These crimes have included summary<br />
executions, amputations, rape of women and young<br />
girls, use of child soldiers, and raids of medical facilities<br />
and humanitarian aid agencies. 202 in a report to the<br />
UN Human Rights <strong>Council</strong> in Geneva, UN<br />
High Commissioner for Human Rights<br />
Navi Pillay stated, “the various armed<br />
groups currently occupying northern<br />
Mali have been committing serious<br />
human rights violations and possibly<br />
war crimes.” 203 Pillay similarly pointed<br />
to the recruitment of child soldiers<br />
and also stoning of victims, violations<br />
of freedom of expression, freedom<br />
of religion, and encroachment upon<br />
cultural rights. 204 She further warned, “I<br />
am afraid the humanitarian and human<br />
rights situation in the whole of the Sahel<br />
region will dangerously deteriorate if<br />
the crisis in northern Mali is not urgently<br />
addressed.” 205<br />
In early October, Assistant Secretary-<br />
General for Human Rights Ivan Simonovic<br />
issued a press release declaring, “[w]<br />
omen are the primary victims of the<br />
current crisis and have been disproportionately<br />
affected by situation in the north [of Mali].” 206<br />
Women in Mali have especially been protesting the<br />
forced imposition of sharia law by Islamist groups<br />
that have assumed control since the March coup that<br />
ousted Amadou toumani traore from the presidency.<br />
On 6 October, a report surfaced that 200 women had<br />
marched in protest against islamist groups who are<br />
requiring women to wear veils. 207 Cisse toure, one<br />
of the protestors, shared, “Life has become more<br />
difficult with these people. […] We are tired. They<br />
impose veils on us and now they are hunting us like<br />
bandits for not wearing them.” 208 in areas where<br />
sharia law is being most strictly enforced, women<br />
have also even been barred from attending work. 209<br />
Future of Food Insecurity in Mali<br />
Mali is confronting an impending food crisis<br />
plaguing an estimated 75 percent of the African<br />
continent. 210 Armed conflict in the Sahel, however,<br />
has exacerbated food security issues stemming from<br />
sparse rainfall in 2011 and stands poised to cause<br />
further deterioration of the overall humanitarian<br />
situation in the country. in particular, humanitarian<br />
agencies have faced difficulty delivering food aid to<br />
rebel strongholds throughout the north, where the<br />
Mali’s children are suffering from the compounded crises of food and water shortage<br />
and armed rebellion, UNICEF has warned.<br />
UN estimates 1.6 million people are at risk for food<br />
insecurity. 211 These efforts are taking place against the<br />
looming specter of possible military intervention by<br />
the Malian government to bring stability to the region.<br />
Relief organizations fear that such intervention,<br />
depending on how it is executed, could pose a serious<br />
setback to humanitarian initiatives. 212<br />
in addition, the Malian Red Cross has reported that<br />
it has been facing resistance from the Ansar Dine and<br />
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MOJWA in gaining access to affected communities.<br />
The head of the Malian Red Cross, Abdourahmane<br />
Cisse, stated, “We have never had this problem in<br />
Mali in the past, but the Islamists do not like the cross<br />
[hinting at the Red Cross’s insignia], seeing it as a<br />
Christian thing.” 213 Armed assailants’ looting of reliefrelated<br />
equipment and appropriation of vehicles has<br />
also severely hampered aid efforts. 214<br />
Islamic Radicalism<br />
until the most recent iterations of the tuareg<br />
rebellions, West Africa—and Mali in particular—had<br />
remained a buffer area of more moderate political<br />
rule, compared to, for example, that of neighboring<br />
Mauritania, whose governments have been more<br />
repressive215 and religiously intolerant. Prior to the<br />
March 2012 military coup, Mali had experienced<br />
almost two decades of stable democratic government<br />
and hailed as one of the model African democracies<br />
during that time. it had further rejected the idea of<br />
instating a de jure Islamic republic, but still was still<br />
home to tolerant strain of Sufi Islam that largely<br />
dismissed the notion of imposing shari’a law, 216 a task<br />
that Ansar Dine has now violently assumed. Thus, the<br />
conflict in Mali, if left unresolved any further, risks<br />
the opening up of ungoverned spaces where more<br />
radical Islamist rebel groups can launch large-scale<br />
recruitment and insurgency efforts. These Islamic<br />
extremists believe that US influence in the West<br />
Africa has led to a suppression of Islam and seek<br />
to revive it by any means they see fit. At stake in a<br />
regionally cooperative resolution of the conflict is<br />
northern Mali, then, is the effective neutralization of<br />
any proliferating radicalism in West Africa.<br />
Recent uN Actions<br />
Following a request from Dioncounda Traore’s<br />
interim government for military resources to assist<br />
Mali’s state armed forces in retaking control of the<br />
country’s north, the UN <strong>Security</strong> passed a resolution<br />
that could lead to international military intervention<br />
in the near future. the <strong>Council</strong> urged uN Secretary-<br />
General Ban Ki-moon to contribute military and<br />
security planners to the economic Community of<br />
West African States (ECOWAS), the African Union<br />
(AU), and their partners to help these organizations<br />
to put together a recovery force. 217 It must be made<br />
clear that while this resolution authorized the<br />
planning of a possible military intervention—whose<br />
detailed recommendations will be presented to the<br />
<strong>Council</strong> 45 days after the resolution’s passage—it did<br />
not authorize the deployment of the use of force.<br />
two days after the France-drafted resolution<br />
was passed, Al-Qaeda-linked armed groups in Mali<br />
threatened to “open the doors of hell” for French<br />
citizens if France continued its efforts to push for<br />
armed intervention to recapture Mali’s north. 218<br />
A spokesman for MOJWA reportedly warned, “if<br />
[French President Francois Hollande] continues to<br />
throw oil on the fire, we will send him pictures of<br />
dead French hostages in the coming days.” 219<br />
In the meantime, the European Union began<br />
preparations for a possible military mission in Mali. A<br />
statement issued by 27 EU ministers pledged that the<br />
Union “is determined to back Mali in re-establishing<br />
the rule of law and a democratic and fully sovereign<br />
government across its entire territory.” 220<br />
Ambassador Mark Lyall Grant of the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom expressed<br />
concern in March 2012 about the mobilization of terrorist and other<br />
armed groups that have worsened northern Mali’s humanitarian<br />
crisis.<br />
Proposed Solutions<br />
Speaking at a special session on the situation in Mali<br />
at the UN General Assembly in late September, U.S.<br />
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton emphasized, “[the<br />
conflict in northern Mali] is not only a humanitarian<br />
crisis. It is a powder keg that the international<br />
community cannot afford to ignore. […] This effort<br />
must include coordinating the delivery of emergency<br />
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aid, helping address long-standing political grievances<br />
of ethnic groups in the North, and preparing for<br />
credible elections.” 221<br />
A Negotiated Solution<br />
While many analysts of the conflict claim that<br />
a negotiated solution in Mali is unrealistic at this<br />
stage, it must nevertheless still be considered<br />
thoroughly prior to any<br />
authorization of military<br />
intervention, especially<br />
given that Islamist groups<br />
have threatened violent<br />
retribution against foreign<br />
citizens if intervention<br />
is carried out. Mali’s<br />
northern neighbor Algeria<br />
has also continued to<br />
advocate a negotiated<br />
solution to the crisis out<br />
of concern that an Africanled<br />
military intervention<br />
could destabilize its own<br />
borders. Moreover, an<br />
intervention that is too<br />
hastily formulated or<br />
inefficiently executed could<br />
likely end up worsening<br />
and protracting the<br />
conflict—particularly its<br />
humanitarian dimension—<br />
rather than ameliorating it.<br />
Military Intervention<br />
Recent actions taken by<br />
eCOWAS, the Au, and the<br />
<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> suggest<br />
that intervention, though<br />
it has not received official<br />
authorization from the<br />
<strong>Council</strong>, is a likely outcome.<br />
Any form of military<br />
intervention will have to<br />
“take into account the broader regional dynamics<br />
at play and firmly engage partners such as Algeria,<br />
Tunisia, and Senegal in helping to quell the growth of<br />
criminal and terrorist networks in the region.” 222 power.<br />
it will<br />
Dioncounda Traore has been serving as Mali’s interim president<br />
since his appointment on 12 April 2012, following the March coup<br />
which saw military junta captain Amadou Sanogo transfer over<br />
have to provide specific provisions for the role of the<br />
transitional government and the intervening forces’<br />
relationship with that government. Furthermore,<br />
the purpose of deploying military force would<br />
ultimately be to work towards setting up an election<br />
process that confers greater legitimacy on the new<br />
government. [Ed Note: This guide was completed<br />
before 2013. Updates on<br />
French intervention will<br />
be provided in the update<br />
paper.]<br />
Bloc Positions<br />
North America, Western<br />
Europe, and Others<br />
the united States has<br />
recognized the merits<br />
of a political solution<br />
to the armed conflict in<br />
Mali—namely the value of<br />
reaching out to moderate<br />
Tuaregs—but has also<br />
emphasized readiness<br />
for a probable military<br />
campaign in the region.<br />
In September, Secretary<br />
Clinton also pointed out<br />
new emerging dimensions<br />
of the conflict in northern<br />
Mali, saying, “it’s not only<br />
the violent extremists. We<br />
now have drug traffickers<br />
and arms smugglers finding<br />
safe havens and porous<br />
borders, providing them<br />
a launching pad to extend<br />
their reach throughout<br />
not only the region, but<br />
beyond […] This is not<br />
only a humanitarian crisis;<br />
it is a powder keg that the<br />
international community<br />
cannot afford to ignore.” 223 the united States is<br />
acutely concerned about possible expansion of al<br />
Qaeda’s influence in the region through its potential<br />
penetration of ungoverned lands and through its<br />
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alleged connection with Ansar dine.<br />
Like the <strong>United</strong> States, the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom is<br />
keen to prevent regional instability. And further like<br />
the U.S., it perceives neighboring Algeria as a key<br />
partner in this cause. Visiting Minister for the Middle<br />
East and North Africa Alistair Burt visited Algiers in<br />
June 2012, where he stated that the UK views military<br />
intervention in Mali as a “last resort” and stands in<br />
support of Algeria’s call for the crisis in Mali to be<br />
ameliorated through dialogue and negotiation. 224<br />
France has the most intimate historical ties with<br />
Mali, which was its former colonial subject. France<br />
seeks to prioritize an African solution to the Mali<br />
crisis and does not intend to intervene directly in<br />
the country. 225 It is, however, committed to offering<br />
logistical support to eCOWAS as it executes any<br />
possible ground operations.<br />
East Asia<br />
China first entered into diplomatic relations with<br />
Mali in 1960, and Sino-Malian relations have since<br />
been strengthened over time. China’s trade with<br />
Mali was valued at USD $280 in 2008, according to<br />
the Chinese embassy in Mali. 226 While China generally<br />
pursues a foreign policy of non-interference in<br />
countries’ internal matters, it does assign weight<br />
to the influence of regional bodies (its veto of the<br />
Morocco-backed Arab-European draft resolution on<br />
Syria was the most recent notable exception to this<br />
trend). China has, to that end, pledged its support to<br />
ECOWAS to protect Mali’s civilians and bring peace to<br />
the Sahel. China has also not challenged debate about<br />
possible African military stabilization force in Mali.<br />
South Asia<br />
Pakistan has been implicated in the northern Mali<br />
conflict via allegations that it is providing jihadists to<br />
train and arm Malian Islamist rebels. Most notable,<br />
Niger’s president Mahamadou Issofou claimed in<br />
July 2012, “We have information of the presence of<br />
Afghans, Pakistanis in northern Mali operating as<br />
trainers. […] They are training those that have been<br />
recruited [to rebel against the government] in West<br />
Africa.” 227 Pakistan can be expected to vehemently<br />
deny these allegations when it takes the floor in the<br />
<strong>Council</strong>’s next session.<br />
Eastern Europe<br />
the Russian Federation has its own history of<br />
contending with radical Islam in the republic of<br />
Tatarstan, located east of Moscow, and can thus offer<br />
valuable perspective on the threat posed by Ansar<br />
Dine in the Islamic Maghreb. Russia condemned<br />
the March 2012 coup and “demanded that the junta<br />
leaders should restore the constitutional order and<br />
ensure the return of the democratically elected<br />
president to power.” 228 Like China, Russia has not<br />
contested the possibility of deploying an African<br />
military stabilization force to northern Mali.<br />
Latin America and the Caribbean<br />
Latin American countries’ stake in the Mali crisis<br />
largely has to do with trade and investment, as the<br />
LAC (Latin America and the Caribbean) region and<br />
Africa have both largely defied the global trend of<br />
economic downturn. Argentina, for example, has<br />
signed an agreement with 22 other African countries,<br />
including Mali, that covers “interchange and<br />
cooperation in agriculture, science and technology,<br />
trade, culture and education, and technological<br />
development, energy, fishery, health, credit lines.” 229<br />
If instability persists in the Sahel, these interests and<br />
lucrative bilateral relationships will likely be severely<br />
disturbed.<br />
Africa<br />
Rwanda and togo are the current African union<br />
members on the UN <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> and will be<br />
responsible for delivering the views of the AU. They<br />
will be especially vocal regarding what resources they<br />
deem necessary to halting the violence in northern<br />
Mali. Togo is additionally a member of the Economic<br />
Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and<br />
thus possesses the dual responsibility of expressing<br />
that body’s views as well. Whereas members of<br />
the Morrocan press have allegedly stated that<br />
the Moroccan people sympathize with some of<br />
the Tuaregs’ grievances and wanted to see their<br />
country serve as a regional mediator in the conflict,<br />
the Moroccan Foreign Ministry rejected the tuareg<br />
rebels’ declaration of an independent Azawad. 230<br />
Morocco can be expected to push for a more inclusive<br />
resolution to security threats to the Sahel that take<br />
into account other economic and social concerns.<br />
32<br />
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Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />
(QARMA)<br />
1. Should the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> definitively<br />
2.<br />
authorize and pursue actual deployment of<br />
international military force in brining stability<br />
to Mali’s rebel-held north?<br />
If military intervention is to be authorized,<br />
what type of a timeline should be suggested?<br />
3. How should the forced imposition of sharia law<br />
by Islamist groups in Mali be tackled?<br />
4. How can Mali’s government work towards<br />
holding credible elections that will ensure the<br />
most stable political transition?<br />
5. How will punitive action be taken against<br />
various actors in the insurgency (the MNLA,<br />
Ansar Dine, and MOJWA) that have committed<br />
human rights violations and war crimes?<br />
6. How will Mali’s borders be protected to both<br />
prevent the illegal entry of arms that could<br />
embolden militant groups and ensure the safe<br />
transport of Malian refugees?<br />
7. What measures will be taken to provide relief<br />
to Mali’s over 170,000 internally displaced<br />
persons in the northern cities of Gao, Kidal, and<br />
Timbuktu?<br />
Suggestions for Further Research<br />
As with Topic A, the background information<br />
contained herein is intended to serve as a starting<br />
point for your own independent research. this means<br />
that in order to perform well in this committee, you<br />
are not only encouraged but also expected to consult<br />
other academic and media resources in crafting and<br />
proposing your delegation’s solution for the crisis in<br />
Mali. For a comprehensive overview of the first three<br />
Tuareg rebellions, I would recommend the following<br />
texts:<br />
• Tuareg Rebellion (2007-2009) edited by Jesse<br />
Russell and Ronald Cohn (2012) for an account<br />
of more recent series of insurgencies by the<br />
tuareg peoples<br />
• “Desert Insurgency: lessons from the<br />
third Tuareg rebellion” in Small Wars and<br />
Insurgencies by Stephen A. Emerson (2011) for<br />
reasons behind the third Tuareg rebellion and<br />
a comparative analysis of counter-insurgency<br />
strategies employed by Mali and Niger<br />
• Disputed Desert: Decolonisation, Competing<br />
Nationalisms and Tuareg Rebellions in Northern<br />
Mali by Jean Sebastian Lecocq (2010) for<br />
important historical background on Tuareg<br />
history and politics<br />
• Conflict and Conflict Resolution in the Sahel:<br />
The Tuareg Insurgency in Mali by Kalifa Kieta<br />
(2008) for perspective on the conflict from<br />
a lieutenant colonel who formerly served in<br />
Mali’s army<br />
To keep track of the current radical Islamist phase<br />
of the crisis in Mali, i would again suggest Al Jazeera<br />
and BBC News’s coverage of the ongoing conflict.<br />
Once again, please remain attentive to the level of<br />
objectivity of any sources you consult over the course<br />
of your own research.<br />
Position Paper Guidelines<br />
Position papers should be no longer than two<br />
pages double-spaced in Times New Roman font with<br />
one-inch margins. They will be due at a time and date<br />
to be posted on the <strong>World</strong>MUN Melbourne website.<br />
Devote one page to each of the two topics on our<br />
<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>’s agenda. In these two subsections,<br />
please first discuss how either the Syrian or Malian<br />
civil conflicts have affected the country you will be<br />
representing politically or economically and then<br />
proceed to suggest some solutions that accord<br />
with your country’s authentic position in current<br />
international affairs. Finally, briefly discuss a weakness<br />
of your proposed solution for each topic and how the<br />
<strong>Council</strong> can work together to improve it.<br />
Closing Remarks<br />
delegates,<br />
Our <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> session has the distinct<br />
responsibility of addressing two topics that have<br />
dominated global humanitarian and/or political news<br />
for most of 2012. I am confident in your ability to make<br />
the most of our committee sessions to draw on your<br />
research, persuasive oratory, and, above all, your<br />
willingness to cooperate with your fellow delegates<br />
to reach meaningful resolutions.<br />
I am incredibly excited to see what you will<br />
33<br />
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accomplish in March! Again, if you have any questions<br />
at all about <strong>World</strong>MUN or the research process,<br />
please feel free to contact me at sc@worldmun.org.<br />
Until Melbourne!<br />
Best wishes,<br />
Aparajita tripathi<br />
Chair, uN <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong><br />
Endnotes<br />
1 “Charter, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, Chapter V: The <strong>Security</strong><br />
<strong>Council</strong>.” UN News Center. UN, n.d. Web.<br />
2 “<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, SC, UNSC, <strong>Security</strong>, Peace, Sanctions,<br />
Veto, Resolution, President, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, UN,<br />
Peacekeeping, Peacebuilding, Conflict Resolution,<br />
Prevention.” UN News Center. UN, n.d. Web.<br />
3 Pipes, 151<br />
4 Ibid.<br />
5 Ibid.<br />
6 Walt, 54<br />
7 Ibid.<br />
8 Pipes, 158<br />
9 Ibid.<br />
10 “Hafiz Al-Assad (president of Syria).” Encyclopedia<br />
Britannica Online. Encyclopedia Britannica, n.d. Web.<br />
11 Ibid.<br />
12 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 9<br />
13 “Hafiz Al-Assad (president of Syria).” Encyclopedia<br />
Britannica Online. Encyclopedia Britannica, n.d. Web.<br />
14 Zahler, 8<br />
15 Zahler, 6<br />
16 “The Damascus Spring -Carnegie Middle East Center -<br />
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.” Carnegie<br />
Endowment for International Peace. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
17 Ibid.<br />
18 Ibid.<br />
19 Noueheid and Warren, 44<br />
20 Noueheid and Warren, 45<br />
21 Noueheid and Warren, 46<br />
22 Miles, Tom, and Stephanie Nebehay. “UN Human Rights<br />
Chief Faults Both Sides in Syria.” Reuters. Thomson<br />
Reuters, 10 Sept. 2012. Web.<br />
23 “Syria Profile.” BBC News. BBC, 12 Dec. 2012. Web.<br />
24 “Syria: ‘Dozens Injured’ in Baniyas as Arrests Continue.” BBC<br />
News. BBC, 04 Dec. 2011. Web.<br />
25 “Syria Profile.” BBC News. BBC, 12 Dec. 2012. Web.<br />
26 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 15<br />
27 Ibid.<br />
28 Ibid.<br />
29 Ibid.<br />
30 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 16<br />
31 Ibid.<br />
32 “Syrian State TV Reports 120 <strong>Security</strong> Forces ‘killed in<br />
Massacre’” - The National. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
33 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 21<br />
34 Ibid.<br />
35 Ibid.<br />
36 Ibid.<br />
37 “Syria: ‘Hundreds of Thousands’ Join Anti-Assad<br />
Protests.” BBC News. BBC, 07 Jan. 2011. Web.<br />
38 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 10<br />
39 “Syria: ‘Hundreds of Thousands’ Join Anti-Assad<br />
Protests.” BBC News. BBC, 07 Jan. 2011. Web.<br />
40 “Syria: Shootings, Arrests Follow Hama Protest | Human<br />
Rights Watch.” Syria: Shootings, Arrests Follow Hama<br />
Protest | Human Rights Watch. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
41 Ibid.<br />
42 “AFP: Syrian Army Kills 100 in Hama Crackdown:<br />
Activists.” Google News. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
43 “Syria Profile.” BBC News. BBC, 12 Dec. 2012. Web.<br />
44 “AFP: Syrian Army Kills 100 in Hama Crackdown:<br />
Activists.” Google News. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
45 Holliday, Joseph. “Syria’s Armed Opposition.” Institute for<br />
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46 Ibid.<br />
the Study of War, n.d. Web., pg. 14<br />
47 Holliday, Joseph. “Syria’s Armed Opposition.” Institute for<br />
the Study of War, n.d. Web., pg. 15<br />
48 “Obama Calls on Syria’s Assad to Step aside - Middle East -<br />
Al Jazeera English.” Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
49 Ibid.<br />
50 “EU Extends Sanctions against Syrian Regime.” European<br />
Voice. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
51 “Obama Calls on Syria’s Assad to Step aside - Middle East -<br />
Al Jazeera English.” Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
52 Ibid.<br />
53 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 16<br />
54 Ibid.<br />
55 Holliday, Joseph. “Syria’s Armed Opposition.” Institute for<br />
the Study of War, n.d. Web., pg. 35<br />
56 Ibid.<br />
57 “Syria Enters in Civil War with Combat between Syrian<br />
Army Soldiers Defectors Al Jazeera Video.” YouTube.<br />
YouTube, 11 Nov. 2011. Web.<br />
58 Macfarquhar, Neil. “UN Resolution on Syria Blocked by<br />
Russia and China.” The New York Times. The New York<br />
Times, 05 Oct. 2011. Web.<br />
59 “<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Fails to Adopt Draft Resolution on Syria<br />
as Russian Federation, China Veto Text Supporting Arab<br />
League’s Proposed Peace Plan.” UN News Center. UN, 02<br />
Apr. 2012. Web.<br />
60 Ibid.<br />
61 “Syria Profile.” BBC News. BBC, 12 Dec. 2012. Web.<br />
62 “Kofi Annan Appointed Joint Special Envoy of <strong>United</strong><br />
<strong>Nations</strong>, League Of Arab States on Syrian Crisis.” UN News<br />
Center. UN, 23 Feb. 2012. Web.<br />
63 Ibid.<br />
64 Oweis, Khaled Yacoub, and Louis Charbonneau. “UN<br />
<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Condemns Syria over Massacre.” Reuters.<br />
Thomson Reuters, 27 May 2012. Web.<br />
65 “Houla Massacre: UN Blames Syria Troops and Militia.” BBC<br />
News. BBC, 15 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />
66 Ibid.<br />
67 Oweis, Khaled Yacoub, and Louis Charbonneau. “UN<br />
<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Condemns Syria over Massacre.” Reuters.<br />
68 Ibid.<br />
Thomson Reuters, 27 May 2012. Web.<br />
69 “Syria Profile.” BBC News. BBC, 12 Dec. 2012. Web.<br />
70 “Assad Announces New Syrian Cabinet.” Al Akhbar English.<br />
N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
71 Ibid.<br />
72 “Assad Says Syria Faces War ‘waged from Outside’” UNHCR.<br />
N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
73 Ibid.<br />
74 Pannell, Ian. “Syria: Aleppo Is Nail in Assad’s Coffin, Says<br />
Panetta.” BBC News. BBC, 30 July 2012. Web.<br />
75 Ibid.<br />
76 Muir, Jim. “Syria Conflict: Key Aleppo District Sees Fierce<br />
Clashes.” BBC News. BBC, 08 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />
77 “News.” Syria: From All-out Repression to Armed Conflict<br />
in Aleppo. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
78 “Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court.” Rome<br />
Statute of the International Criminal Court. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
79 “General Assembly, in Resolution, Demands All in Syria<br />
‘Immediately And Visibly’ Commit to Ending Violence That<br />
Secretary-General Says Is Ripping Country Apart.” UN<br />
News Center. UN, 03 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />
80 “Russia, China Blast UN Resolution on Syria - Middle East<br />
- Al Jazeera English.” Russia, China Blast UN Resolution on<br />
Syria - Middle East - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
81 “Syrian PM Defects from Assad Government - Middle<br />
East - Al Jazeera English.” Syrian PM Defects from Assad<br />
Government - Middle East - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d.<br />
Web.<br />
82 Ibid.<br />
83 Ibid.<br />
84 Beirut, Lebanon., Rick Gladstone; Christine Hauser<br />
Contributed Reporting From New York, And Hwaida Saad<br />
From. “Annan Steps Down as Peace Envoy and Cites<br />
Barriers in Syria and <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.” The New York Times.<br />
The New York Times, 03 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />
85 “UN Report Slams Assad Forces for War Crimes - Middle<br />
East - Al Jazeera English.” UN Report Slams Assad Forces<br />
for War Crimes - Middle East - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d.<br />
Web.<br />
86 Ibid.<br />
87 Ibid.<br />
88 Miles, Tom, and Stephanie Nebehay. “UN Human Rights<br />
Chief Faults Both Sides in Syria.” Reuters. Thomson<br />
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Reuters, 10 Sept. 2012. Web.<br />
89 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 9<br />
90 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 10<br />
91 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 11<br />
92 “Syria: The Revolution Will Be Weaponised - Features - Al<br />
Jazeera English.” Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
93 Ibid.<br />
94 Holliday, Joseph. “Syria’s Armed Opposition.” Institute for<br />
the Study of War, n.d. Web.<br />
95 “Yemen Fox - Clinton Says Some Arab Changes May Come<br />
Slowly.” Yemen Fox - Clinton Says Some Arab Changes May<br />
Come Slowly. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
96 Ibid.<br />
97 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 10<br />
98 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 19<br />
99 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 15<br />
100 Black, Ian, and Saeed Kamali Dehghan. “Iran Backs Assad in<br />
Syria Crisis and Blames ‘warmongering’ US.” The Guardian.<br />
Guardian News and Media, 07 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />
101 Ibid.<br />
102 Barghi, Shirin. “Syria Conflict: Iran Supplies Arms To Assad<br />
Regime, UN Says.” The Huffington Post. TheHuffingtonPost.<br />
com, 22 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />
103 “Syria Today: Iraq Denies Role in the Conflict.” CNN. N.p.,<br />
06 Sept. 2012. Web.<br />
104 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />
Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />
of War, n.d. Web., pg. 23<br />
105 Grove, Thomas. “Russia to Sell Arms to Syria, Sales Overall<br />
to Rise.” Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 17 Aug. 2011. Web.<br />
106 “<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Imposes Sanctions on Libyan Authorities<br />
in Bid to Stem Violent Repression.” UN News Center. UN,<br />
26 Feb. 2011. Web.<br />
107 Grove, Thomas. “Russia to Sell Arms to Syria, Sales Overall<br />
to Rise.” Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 17 Aug. 2011. Web.<br />
108 “In Presidential Statement, <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Gives Full<br />
Support To Efforts of Joint Special Envoy of <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>,<br />
Arab League to End Violence in Syria.” UN News Center.<br />
UN, 21 Mar. 2012. Web.<br />
109 “Kofi Annan’s Six-point Plan for Syria - Middle East - Al<br />
Jazeera English.” Kofi Annan’s Six-point Plan for Syria -<br />
Middle East - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
110 “Kofi Annan Washes Hands of Syria.” The Independent.<br />
Independent Digital News and Media, n.d. Web.<br />
111 Zakaria, Fareed. “The Case Against Intervention in<br />
Syria.” Time. Time, n.d. Web.<br />
112 Holliday, Joseph. “Syria’s Armed Opposition.” Institute for<br />
the Study of War, n.d. Web., pg. 6<br />
113 Zakaria, Fareed. “The Case Against Intervention in<br />
Syria.” Time. Time, n.d. Web.<br />
114 “Syria, A Path to Justice | Human Rights Watch.” Syria, A<br />
Path to Justice | Human Rights Watch. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
115 Ibid.<br />
116 Staff, CNN Wire. “Obama Warns Syria Not to Cross ‘red<br />
Line’” CNN. Cable News Network, n.d. Web.<br />
117 “How Britain’s Position on Intervening in Syria Has<br />
Shifted.” The Telegraph. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
118 Ibid.<br />
119 Qaboun, Syria., Steven Erlanger; Reporting Was<br />
Contributed By Kareem Fahim And Hwaida Saad From<br />
Beirut, Lebanon; Sebnem Arsu From Istanbul; Rick<br />
Gladstone From New York; And An Employee Of The New<br />
York Times From. “France Urges Creation of Interim Syrian<br />
Government, Pledging Recognition.” The New York Times.<br />
The New York Times, 28 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />
120 “International Responses to the Syrian Uprising: March<br />
2011.” June 2012. Parliament of Australia. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
121 Votes and Proceedings of the Australian House of<br />
Representatives, No. 2, 2012, Forty Third Parliament; First<br />
Session, Fifth Period<br />
122 “International Responses to the Syrian Uprising: March<br />
2011.” June 2012. Parliament of Australia. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
123 “Pakistan Sticks to Its Principled Stand on Syrian<br />
Crisis.” The Nation. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
124 Ibid.<br />
125 Ibid.<br />
126 Barry, Ellen. “NEWS ANALYSIS; In Its Unyielding Stance on<br />
Syria, Russia Takes Substantial Risks in Middle East.” The<br />
New York Times. The New York Times, 09 June 2012. Web.<br />
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127 Ibid.<br />
128 “General Assembly, in Resolution, Demands All in Syria<br />
‘Immediately And Visibly’ Commit to Ending Violence That<br />
Secretary-General Says Is Ripping Country Apart.” UN<br />
News Center. UN, 03 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />
129 Ibid.<br />
130 “UN Arab-European Draft Resolution on Syria to Stress<br />
Need to Solve Crisis Peacefully.” UN Arab-European<br />
Draft Resolution on Syria to Stress Need to Solve Crisis<br />
Peacefully. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
131 “Office of The Special Adviser on The Prevention of<br />
Genocide.” UN News Center. UN, n.d. Web.<br />
132 “Mali’s Tuareg Rebellion: What Next? - Opinion - Al Jazeera<br />
English.” Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
133 Krings, 57<br />
134 Krings, 58<br />
135 Ibid.<br />
136 Lecocq, 33-34<br />
137 Lecocq, 34<br />
138 Lecocq, 35<br />
139 Ibid.<br />
140 Lecocq, 66<br />
141 Ibid.<br />
142 Kieta, 9<br />
143 Ibid.<br />
144 Lecocq, 74<br />
145 Lecocq, 83<br />
146 Lecocq, 85<br />
147 Kieta, 10<br />
148 “Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al Jazeera<br />
English.” Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al<br />
Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
149 Kieta, 13<br />
150 Ibid.<br />
151 Kieta, 12<br />
152 Lecocq, 239<br />
153 Lecocq, 240<br />
154 Lecocq, 243<br />
155 Lecocq, 248<br />
156 “Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al Jazeera<br />
English.” Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al<br />
Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
157 Ibid.<br />
158 Kieta, 18<br />
159 Kieta, 20<br />
160 Ibid.<br />
161 “Tuareg Conflict Spreads to Mali.” BBC News. BBC, 28 Aug.<br />
2007. Web.<br />
162 Emerson, 674-675<br />
163 Emerson, 675<br />
164 Ibid.<br />
165 Emerson, 676<br />
166 Ibid.<br />
167 Emerson, 677<br />
168 Ibid.<br />
169 “Mali’s Tuareg Rebellion: What Next? - Opinion - Al Jazeera<br />
English.” Mali’s Tuareg Rebellion: What Next? - Opinion - Al<br />
Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
170 Ibid.<br />
171 “Explainer: Tuareg-led Rebellion in North Mali - Africa - Al<br />
Jazeera English.” Explainer: Tuareg-led Rebellion in North<br />
Mali - Africa - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
172 “MALI: A Timeline of Northern Conflict.” IRINnews. N.p.,<br />
n.d. Web.<br />
173 Ibid.<br />
174 “Mali: UN Warning over Refugees Fleeing Tuareg<br />
Rebellion.” BBC News. BBC, 18 Feb. 2012. Web.<br />
175 Ibid.<br />
176 Ibid.<br />
177 “MALI: A Timeline of Northern Conflict.” IRINnews. N.p.,<br />
n.d. Web.<br />
178 Ibid.<br />
179 “FACTBOX-Ansar Dine - Black Flag over Northern<br />
Mali.” Reuters. N.p., 03 July 2012. Web.<br />
180 Ibid.<br />
181 Washington., Adam Nossiter; Alan Cowell Contributed<br />
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182 Ibid.<br />
Reporting From London, And Eric Schmitt From. “Soldiers<br />
Overthrow Mali Government in Setback for Democracy in<br />
Africa.” The New York Times. The New York Times, 23 Mar.<br />
2012. Web.<br />
183 “UN REPORT.” : <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Condemns Coup in Mali.<br />
N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
184 Washington., Adam Nossiter; Alan Cowell Contributed<br />
Reporting From London, And Eric Schmitt From. “Soldiers<br />
Overthrow Mali Government in Setback for Democracy in<br />
Africa.” The New York Times. The New York Times, 23 Mar.<br />
2012. Web.<br />
185 “MALI: A Timeline of Northern Conflict.” IRINnews. N.p.,<br />
n.d. Web.<br />
186 Ibid.<br />
187 “West African ECOWAS Leaders Impose Mali<br />
Sanctions.” BBC News. BBC, 04 Mar. 2012. Web.<br />
188 Ibid.<br />
189 “MALI: A Timeline of Northern Conflict.” IRINnews. N.p.,<br />
n.d. Web.<br />
190 Ibid.<br />
191 “Explainer: Tuareg-led Rebellion in North Mali - Africa - Al<br />
Jazeera English.” Explainer: Tuareg-led Rebellion in North<br />
Mali - Africa - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
192 Ibid.<br />
193 “Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al Jazeera<br />
English.” Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al<br />
Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
194 Fessy, Thomas. “Mali Tuareg Rebels Declare Independence<br />
in the North.” BBC News. BBC, 04 June 2012. Web.<br />
195 “Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al Jazeera<br />
English.” Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al<br />
Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
196 “Mali: War Crimes by Northern Rebels | Human Rights<br />
Watch.” Mali: War Crimes by Northern Rebels | Human<br />
Rights Watch. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
197 “New North Mali Arab Force Seeks to “defend”<br />
Timbuktu.” Reuters. N.p., 10 Apr. 2012. Web.<br />
198 Diallo, Tiemoko, and Adama Diarra. “Islamists Declare Full<br />
Control of Mali’s North.” Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 28<br />
June 2012. Web.<br />
199 “Mali Islamists Take Strategic Town of Douentza.” BBC<br />
News. BBC, 09 Jan. 2012. Web.<br />
200 “Mali: At <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Meeting, Ban Urges More<br />
Action, including Targeted Sanctions.” UN News Center.<br />
UN, 08 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />
201 “Mali: War Crimes by Northern Rebels | Human Rights<br />
Watch.” Mali: War Crimes by Northern Rebels | Human<br />
Rights Watch. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
202 Ibid.<br />
203 “Top UN Official Condemns Amputations, Human Rights<br />
Violations in Northern Mali.” UN News Center. UN, 17 Sept.<br />
2012. Web.<br />
204 Ibid.<br />
205 Ibid.<br />
206<br />
“Women Primary Victims of Violence in Northern Mali, Says UN<br />
Rights Official.” UN News Center. UN, 09 Oct. 2012. Web.<br />
207 “Women in Northern Mali Hold Protest Against Islamist in<br />
Charge of Veil Requirement.” The Washington Post. N.p.,<br />
n.d. Web.<br />
208 Reuters. “Women Protest Shariah Law in Mali.” The New<br />
York Times. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
209 “Women Primary Victims of Violence in Northern Mali,<br />
Says UN Rights Official.” UN News Center. UN, 09 Oct.<br />
2012. Web.<br />
210 “Africa Facing Intensified ‘food Crisis’ - Africa - Al Jazeera<br />
English.” Africa Facing Intensified ‘food Crisis’ - Africa - Al<br />
Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
211 “MALI: Struggling to Deliver Aid to Rebel-held<br />
North.” IRINnews. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
212 Ibid.<br />
213 Ibid.<br />
214 Ibid.<br />
215 “Repression of Peaceful Protests in Mauritania.” Annual<br />
Report 2011. Amnesty International, n.d. Web.<br />
216 Brulliard, Karin. “Radical Islam Meets Buffer in West<br />
Africa.” Washington Post. The Washington Post, 21 Dec.<br />
2009. Web.<br />
217 “<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Paves Way for Possible Intervention<br />
Force in Northern Mali.” UN News Center. UN, 12 Oct. 2012.<br />
Web.<br />
218 “Mali Rebels Threaten France over Intervention - Africa - Al<br />
Jazeera English.” Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
219 Ibid.<br />
220 “AFP: EU Greenlights Military Back-up for Mali.” Google<br />
News. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
221 “Situation in Mali Not Only a Humanitarian Crisis but Also<br />
a Powder Keg: Clinton.” <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Multimedia, Radio,<br />
Photo and Television. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
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222 Chester, Penelope. “Mali: Imminent Intervention,<br />
Uncertain Future.” UN Dispatch. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
223 “Video Remarks on Mali.” U.S. Department of State. U.S.<br />
Department of State, 26 Sept. 2012. Web.<br />
224 “Algeria Key Partner for UK, Military Intervention in Mali<br />
Last Resort.” Echorouk Online. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
225 “Laurent Fabius Sets out French Position on Mali<br />
Crisis.” France in the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom. French Embassy in<br />
London, n.d. Web.<br />
226 “Backgrounder: China-Mali Ties in Continuous<br />
Development_English_Xinhua.” Xinhua News, n.d. Web.<br />
227 “Afghan, Pakistani Jihadists ‘operating in Northern Mali’”<br />
FRANCE 24, n.d. Web.<br />
228 “Coup in Mali: Situation Remains Unclear.” Voice of Russia.<br />
N.p., n.d. Web.<br />
229 “Relations of Latin America and the Caribbean with<br />
Africa: Current Status and Areas of Opportunity.” Sistema<br />
Económico Latinoamericano Y Del Caribe. Permanent<br />
Secretariat of SELA, n.d. Web.<br />
230 “Morocco: Mr. El Othmani’s Missteps in Mali.”<br />
Moroccoboard, n.d. Web.<br />
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