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<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong><br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> 2013<br />

Study Guide


Contact Us<br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong> 2013<br />

info@worldmun.org<br />

www.worldmun.org<br />

Letters<br />

Letter from the Secretary General 04<br />

Letter from the Under-Secretary General 05<br />

Letter from the Chair 06<br />

CONteNtS<br />

Introduction<br />

The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> 07<br />

07<br />

The Situation in Syria<br />

Historical Background<br />

09 Timeline of the Conflict<br />

14 Discussion of the Problem<br />

16 Key Foreign Actors<br />

17 Past UN Actions<br />

18 Proposed Solutions<br />

19 Bloc Positions<br />

21 Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />

22 Suggestions for Further Research<br />

22<br />

The Situation in Mali<br />

Historical Background<br />

26 Timeline of the 2012 Conflict<br />

29 Discussion of the Problem<br />

30 Past UN Actions<br />

30 Proposed Solutions<br />

31 Bloc Positions<br />

33 Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />

33 Suggestions for Further Research<br />

33<br />

Conclusion<br />

Position Papers<br />

33 Closing Remarks<br />

34 Endnotes<br />

40 Bibliographic Essay<br />

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Letters<br />

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Letter from the Secretary-General<br />

dear delegates,<br />

it is my pleasure and honor to welcome you to the 22nd session of <strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united<br />

<strong>Nations</strong>! My name is Charlene Wong, and i am the Secretary-General of <strong>World</strong>MuN 2013.<br />

Within this document you will find the study guide for your committee. The conference<br />

staff for <strong>World</strong>MUN 2013 has been working tirelessly over the past months to provide<br />

you with an unparalleled conference experience, beginning with this guide. Each Head<br />

Chair has researched extensively to provide you with a foundation for each committee’s<br />

topic areas.<br />

We encourage you to use this study guide as the starting point for your exploration of<br />

your committee’s topics, and your country or character’s policies. The <strong>World</strong>MUN Spirit<br />

invites you to step into the shoes of your country or character, and to immerse yourself in<br />

the committee by researching and developing a full understanding of the issues, perspectives,<br />

and possible solutions on the table. We offer several additional resources online,<br />

including our <strong>World</strong>MuN 101 Guide and Rules of Procedure, updated for this year. Both<br />

are available at www.worldmun.org. If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to<br />

contact your Head Chair or Under-Secretary-General.<br />

Please enjoy reading this study guide, and I look forward to meeting you in Melbourne<br />

in March!<br />

Sincerely,<br />

Charlene S. Wong<br />

Secretary-General<br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong> 2013<br />

secretarygeneral@worldmun.org<br />

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4


Letter from the Under-Secretary-General<br />

dear delegates,<br />

it is with the utmost honor and pleasure that i welcome you to the Specialized Agencies.<br />

the SA holds a special place in the heart of <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong>; it is here that<br />

crises are born and delegates rise to the challenge to address quickly evolving issues in<br />

real-time. With an average size of 20 delegates per committee, the SA promises to deliver<br />

an intimate and tight-knit environment where every delegate’s voice can be heard and<br />

appreciated.<br />

The SA has always made a firm commitment to substantive excellence and lifelike simulations.<br />

The first measure of that promise starts here with this study guide. Your chair has<br />

worked tirelessly over these past few months pouring over books in deep Harvard dungeons<br />

to breathe life into these topics. I am so proud of their work and hope you make<br />

the most of this initial resource to inspire and guide your preparation for <strong>World</strong>MuN.<br />

Come March, your chair and the junior staff will be working to deliver a MUN simulation<br />

that raises the bar of your delegate experience.<br />

All that being said, the SA would be nothing without you, her committed delegates, who<br />

challenge and dedicate themselves to addressing head-on the world’s greatest problems,<br />

both past, present, and future. With ample preparation, devotion, and creativity,<br />

you will find success in this SA home.<br />

As a former MUN delegate and SA staffer, I know what it means to live and breathe a<br />

thrilling and informative MUN experience. Along with our chairs and junior staff, I hope<br />

to deliver that same experience to you all. Take care, and I cannot wait to meet you in<br />

person in Melbourne!<br />

Sincerely,<br />

Michael Chilazi<br />

under-Secretary-General of the Specialized<br />

Agencies<br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong> 2013<br />

sa@worldmun.org<br />

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5


Letter from the Chair<br />

dear delegates,<br />

A warm welcome to the twenty-second session of <strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong>! this is<br />

my third (and sadly, final) <strong>World</strong>MUN, and I can’t think of a better way to spend my last<br />

college spring break than running a committee that means so much to me and that is so<br />

critical to shaping the face of international diplomacy today. But most of all, i am incredibly<br />

excited to embrace the amazing city of Melbourne with you all, as <strong>World</strong>MUN heads<br />

to Australia for the first time!<br />

A bit more about me – I’m a senior at Harvard College, pursuing a major in Social Studies,<br />

which is an interesting blend of government, economics, philosophy, and history. When<br />

I’m not busy with (pretending to do) schoolwork, I enjoy listening to most types of music<br />

(no country, please) and following professional sports. Because I grew up in Canada,<br />

went to high school in New York, and attend college near Boston, my allegiances are<br />

quite scattered: you can catch me rooting for the Maple Leafs in the NHL, the Giants in<br />

the NFL, and the Celtics in the NBA.<br />

<strong>World</strong>MUN is truly a conference and social experience like no other. It has given me several<br />

lifelong friendships over the years, and I hope that you will seize opportunities at<br />

nightly events and in committee sessions to establish your own.<br />

If you have any questions regarding our two pressing topics, the situations in Syria and<br />

Mali, or just want to chat about sports, music, or politics—please do not hesitate to reach<br />

out to me at sc@worldmun.org.<br />

Looking forward to meeting everyone next March!<br />

Warmest regards,<br />

Aparajita tripathi<br />

Chair, uN <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong><br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> united <strong>Nations</strong> 2013<br />

sc@worldmun.org<br />

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6


The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Council</strong><br />

the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> is comprised of 15 united<br />

<strong>Nations</strong> member States, of which China, the <strong>United</strong><br />

States, the united Kingdom of Great Britain and<br />

Northern ireland, Russia, and France hold permanent<br />

seats. The <strong>Council</strong> first convened in January 1946 in<br />

London. Though most sessions today take place at the<br />

UN headquarters in New York, the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong><br />

has met in locations outside of the Headquarters.<br />

Aside from the five aforementioned permanent<br />

members, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> General Assembly<br />

selects the additional ten non-permanent members<br />

for two-year terms.<br />

According to Article 24 of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

Charter, all <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> member nations “confer<br />

on the […] <strong>Council</strong> primary responsibility for the<br />

maintenance of international peace and security,<br />

and agree that in carrying out its duties under this<br />

responsibility the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> acts on their<br />

behalf.” 1 each <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> delegation has one<br />

vote, and nine out of 15 votes are necessary to pass<br />

all procedural motions. Notably, the five permanent<br />

seats (so-called “P5” nations) have veto power,<br />

meaning that a negative vote on a <strong>Council</strong> action<br />

from one of these powers automatically supersedes<br />

and negates all affirmative votes by other members.<br />

the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> has the power to mediate<br />

negotiations among conflicting parties, appoint<br />

special representatives, issue cease-fires, deploy<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> peacekeeping forces via directives,<br />

impose economic sanctions, or resolve to pursue<br />

multilateral military action. 2<br />

Topic A: The Situation in Syria<br />

The ongoing Syrian conflict has without a doubt<br />

become the central fixture of the international<br />

political stage since its inception in January 2011. A<br />

manifestation of a broader revolutionary movement<br />

in the Middle East and North Africa known as the<br />

‘Arab Spring,’ the Syrian uprisings have occurred as<br />

a popular response to perceived corrupt government<br />

rule. Similar to revolutionary sentiment that has<br />

recently swept Egypt, Yemen, and Libya, the ideas<br />

informing civil resistance in Syria have included greater<br />

government accountability, stricter observance of<br />

human rights, and media openness—all with the<br />

purpose of bolstering a legitimacy of rule that, as<br />

many continue to argue, remains noticeably absent<br />

from President Bashar al-Assad’s regime. August 2012<br />

was the deadliest month of the conflict to date, with<br />

an estimated 5,000-6,000 casualties in that month<br />

alone.<br />

Against the backdrop of the Syrian uprisings lies a<br />

history of sectarian conflict between Sunni and Shia<br />

Muslims. While sectarianism was not an explicit cause<br />

of the Syrian uprising, it has shaped which states<br />

are siding with Syrian government leaders, who are<br />

mostly Alawite Shias, and the opposition, who are<br />

predominantly Sunni. This <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> will have<br />

to evaluate and address both proximate and indirect<br />

causes of tension in this ongoing conflict.<br />

Historical Background<br />

“The injustice of foreigners is burned deep into the<br />

Syrian soul. [Hafez al-] Assad said to me that Syria had<br />

been betrayed before <strong>World</strong> War I by Turkey, after it<br />

by Britain and France, and more recently by the <strong>United</strong><br />

States, which had created the State of Israel. When a<br />

people is convinced that all of its troubles come from<br />

abroad, morbid suspicion becomes a national style.”<br />

-Henry Kissinger, Years of Upheaval, “First Visit<br />

to Damascus” (1982)<br />

Syrian Independence and Ba’ath Party Rule<br />

The Ba’ath Party was founded in 1941 as a<br />

socialist and Arab nationalist party seeking to exert<br />

its influence throughout the Arab world. Between<br />

1946—the year Syria gained independence from<br />

France—and 1970, some 21 changes in government<br />

occurred in Syria, leading to ingrained perceptions of<br />

weak government legitimacy. The quest to establish a<br />

Syrian identity was confronted with overcoming what<br />

Daniel Pipes calls “artificiality,” for Lesser Syria—the<br />

remnant of the ‘Greater Syria’ dating back to the<br />

peak of the Arab Muslim civilization in the Middle<br />

Ages—was a “fragmented piece of territory [that]<br />

came into existence not for geographic or cultural<br />

reasons, but as a result of European maneuvering.” 3<br />

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In addition to weak government legitimacy and high<br />

government turnover, post-independence Syria also<br />

fell victim to weak national identity, xenophobia,<br />

communal tensions, incubation of radical ideologies,<br />

and revisionist ambitions among some government<br />

leaders. 4 Within this turbulent context, the Ba’ath<br />

Party advocated that Syria join a single, powerful Arab<br />

nation. Alawites, on the other hand, sought to retain<br />

their independence or associate with Lebanon. 5<br />

After Syria gained independence in 1946, its<br />

incipient government experienced a series of military<br />

coups that would eventually give rise to growing<br />

leftist sentiment in the country. 6 it was at this time<br />

that the Syrian Ba’ath and Communist parties<br />

emerged as rivals—competition that the Ba’ath tried<br />

to dissolve by leading Syria into a union with Egypt in<br />

1958. This union disintegrated just three years later,<br />

and the Ba’ath Party wrested permanent control of<br />

Syria by 1963. 7<br />

By this time, the guiding ethos of the Ba’ath Party<br />

had fundamentally transformed, as pan-Arabism no<br />

longer motivated the Party. In place of the former<br />

ardently Arab nationalist party “‘arose Ba’ath<br />

organizations which focused primarily on their own<br />

region, which advocated, and created where possible,<br />

authoritarian centralized governments, which rested<br />

heavily on military power and which were very close to<br />

other socialist movements and were less distinctively<br />

Ba’athist’” 8 in the original sense. this tumultuous<br />

period was marked by the radicalization of politics<br />

and the ascendancy of both the armed forces and the<br />

Alawites in Syria. 9<br />

Hafez al-Assad, father of current president Bashar<br />

al-Assad, became commander of the Syrian air<br />

forces after the Ba’ath Party seized power in 1963. 10<br />

Following the Syrian coup d’etat of 1966, which saw<br />

the military faction of the Ba’ath Party overthrow the<br />

Party’s civilian leadership, Hafez became Syria’s new<br />

minister of defense and would later oust his rival and<br />

political mentor, Salah al-Jadid—then-chief of staff of<br />

the armed forces—to first assume the prime minister<br />

position and then the elected presidency from 1971 to<br />

2000. 11<br />

Hafez al-Assad’s internationally divisive presidential<br />

tenure was marked both by notoriety and progressive<br />

reforms. Hafez, an Alawite Shia, promoted a policy<br />

of secularism, wherein Christians held a protected<br />

status in Syrian society and the Sunni-majority<br />

business community maintained close and stable<br />

relations with the government. 12 On the other hand,<br />

he also exemplified a rigid attitude toward dissent<br />

that often culminated in violent suppression, setting<br />

a precedent strategy of brute force and minimal<br />

hesitation for his son’s reign.<br />

Bashar Al-Assad’s Ascent to Power<br />

Hafez al-Assad died on 10 June 2000, 13 bringing an<br />

end to his nearly three-decades-long authoritarian<br />

rule in Syria. Hafez’s oldest son, Basil, had initially been<br />

the president’s anticipated successor, but Basil died<br />

in a car accident in 1994, leaving his younger brother,<br />

Bashar, to carry on their father’s legacy 14 —and to<br />

maintain the Alawites’ tight grip over political power<br />

President Hafez al-Assad, father of Bashar al-Assad, was a Ba’ath<br />

Party leader who served as Syria’s prime minister from 1970 to 1971<br />

and its president from 1971 to 2000.<br />

in Syria. Just hours after Hafez al-Assad’s death, the<br />

Syrian People’s <strong>Council</strong> convened an emergency<br />

session to amend the Constitution to lower the<br />

required age for a Syrian head of state from forty to<br />

thirty-four—which just so happened to be Bashar’s<br />

age at the time of his father’s passing. 15<br />

Hafez al-Assad’s death also prompted demands<br />

for liberal reforms from Damascus’ intelligentsia, a<br />

period known as the Damascus Spring. The primary<br />

figures associated with the Damascus Spring were<br />

prominent intellectuals Michel Kilo and Riad Seif,<br />

who spearheaded the founding of informal political<br />

forums where open political discourse could occur<br />

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8


and civil society could take root. 16 emergent political<br />

forums included muntadayat (“salons”), in addition<br />

to the mobilization of the Committees for the Revival<br />

of Civil Society in Syria. 17 These efforts resulted in<br />

notable petitions in favor of “political and intellectual<br />

pluralism,” repeal of the State of Emergency that<br />

had been declared by Hafez al-Assad in 1963, and<br />

multiparty democracy. 18 Initially, it seemed at first<br />

that Bashar al-Assad’s inauguration would give rise<br />

to lasting liberal reforms: Assad released several<br />

political prisoners, ostensibly promoted free speech,<br />

and spoke out against corruption. 19 early hopes were<br />

soon disheartened, as the government<br />

thereafter adopted measures to quash<br />

growing civil opposition, conveying that the<br />

damascus Spring would not last.<br />

The year 2000 also marked the arrival of<br />

the internet and mobile phones to Syria. 20<br />

Mass availability of these media sources<br />

got off to a slow start in Syria, as dissenters<br />

simultaneously faced issues of low speed<br />

and heavy government regulation, but<br />

they would, over the course of the next<br />

decade, become increasingly central to<br />

public protest in Syria. Historians Nouehied<br />

and Warren dubbed these prefiguring<br />

developments a “media revolution”:<br />

The Arab Spring may have taken the world<br />

by surprise in 2011, but another upheaval had<br />

long been underway in the region. It was a<br />

media revolution that, through satellite television and<br />

the internet, had connected people from the Atlantic<br />

to the Gulf like never before, had smashed political<br />

taboos, had eroded the cults of personality nurtured<br />

by authoritarian rulers from Damascus to Tripoli, and<br />

had helped to empower civil society movements that<br />

were the bedrock of democracy. 21<br />

Timeline of the Conflict (March 2011 –<br />

Present)<br />

A nation that had once found itself at the epicenter<br />

of a far-flung Islamic empire—its city of Damascus<br />

served as the capital of the prolific Umayyad dynasty—<br />

Syria now finds itself plagued by the deadliest civil<br />

conflict in the country’s modern history. Since its<br />

inception, the Syrian uprising has claimed a total of<br />

27,300 lives—19,500 of which were civilian. 22<br />

Beginning at Daraa<br />

The now almost 18-month-long conflict began<br />

in March 2011 in the Sunni-dominated city of<br />

Daraa, located on Syria’s southern border, when<br />

demonstrators took to the streets to protest what<br />

they believed to be wrongful incarceration of several<br />

outspoken youth. President Bashaar al-Assad’s<br />

regime authorized the use of deadly force against the<br />

unarmed protestors, killing fifteen over the course<br />

of a two-day crackdown near the Omari Mosque.<br />

The confrontation further emboldened dissidents,<br />

Bashar al-Assad, a former eye doctor, became president in 2000 upon the death of<br />

his father, Hafez al-Assad. Despite early indications of liberal reforms, he has since<br />

led Syria with a strong fist and has been accused of committing numerous human<br />

rights crimes against dissidents.<br />

as demonstrators across the country congregated<br />

around mosques following Friday prayer on March<br />

25 to speak out against Assad’s rule. Violent unrest<br />

spread to numerous other provincial capitals in Syria<br />

in subsequent months, which witnessed government<br />

security forces quell protest movements. In a historic<br />

move in April, Assad lifted a 48-year-old state of<br />

emergency, dismissed the government, and released<br />

several political prisoners as part of a conciliatory<br />

gesture to ameliorate the conflict. 23 However, just<br />

days after revoking the state of emergency, Assad<br />

deployed troops to subdue civil protest in the coastal<br />

city of Baniyas in a series of harsh crackdowns that<br />

quickly dissolved hope that an end to civil strife was<br />

near. One witness recounted that soldiers in the<br />

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9


village of Bayda were restricting ambulance access<br />

to the town, denying medical care for the dozens<br />

of wounded people there. 24 Such humanitarian<br />

concerns prompted significant international outcry,<br />

as the united States and european union tightened<br />

economic sanctions against Syria. 25<br />

From Daraa to Homs<br />

Although Assad’s regime was able to moderately<br />

subdue rebellions in Daraa, it experienced far less<br />

success applying state force in the city of Homs,<br />

located in Western Syria’s fertile plain. Situated on the<br />

Orontes River, Homs serves as a vital link between the<br />

Mediterranean coastline and interior cities and, most<br />

importantly, between Syria’s two most populous<br />

cities—Damascus and Aleppo. Its strategic location<br />

within Syria’s communication network could explain<br />

why it would later become a breeding ground for the<br />

worst instances of brutality in the conflict, both on<br />

the part of armed rebels and Assad’s security forces.<br />

Furthermore, Homs has born witness to violence not<br />

only from the broader anti-regime insurgency but<br />

also that stemming from sectarian tensions between<br />

its largely Sunni-majority and Alawite-minority<br />

populations (more on sectarianism and the Syrian<br />

Civil War in “Discussion of the Problem” section).<br />

On 19 April 2011, Assad’s regime unleashed state<br />

security forces on protestors holding a sit-in at<br />

the Clock Tower in Homs following several days of<br />

demonstrations there. 26 The forceful government<br />

response arrived just one day after Assad lifted the<br />

widely unpopular emergency rule that had been in<br />

place in Syria for 48 years. Seemingly antithetical to<br />

concessionary and pacifying rhetoric from the regime<br />

immediately prior to the Clock Tower crackdown,<br />

President Assad’s administration subsequently<br />

appeared even more determined to quash protests,<br />

“under any banner whatsoever,” as Syria’s Interior<br />

Ministry threatened. 27 Indeed, on April 22—what<br />

opposition leaders dubbed “The Great Friday”—<br />

state security forces killed upwards of 100 protestors<br />

across Syria, 28 resulting in the bloodiest day of the<br />

conflict since its inception.<br />

However, Homs also illustrated limitations of the<br />

Assad regime’s ‘clearance strategy,’ which involves<br />

“thoroughly clearing [a] city, detaining suspected<br />

opposition members, holding key terrain, and firing<br />

on anything who resisted.” 29 While the deployment<br />

of troops to Daraa at the onset of the conflict had<br />

succeeded at establishing relative stability—a case<br />

study for Assad’s ‘offensive’ security strategy—and<br />

allowed forces to then withdraw from the city, the<br />

sequence of events that unfolded in Homs presented<br />

a striking counterexample: instead of becoming<br />

subdued as the state troops’ clearance strategy<br />

pressed on more aggressively, the opposition became<br />

increasingly buoyed to react using armed resistance. 30<br />

the regime ultimately failed to consolidate the<br />

progress of its Homs clearance operation, as an<br />

insurgency force retaliated by killing three soldiers in<br />

late May in the Sunni-majority Rastan district. 31 the<br />

regime would temporarily direct its attention away<br />

from Homs to focus on coastal security operations in<br />

Western Syria for the next few months.<br />

Intensification of Armed Resistance<br />

On 6 June 2011, Assad’s regime reported through<br />

Syrian state television that “armed gangs” had killed<br />

120 government security forces in the northwestern<br />

town of Jisrash Shugur in Idlib province, marking<br />

the first national news of major civil counterstrikes<br />

against government operatives. 32 Sunni militiamen,<br />

in concert with individuals who were likely army<br />

defectors, were responsible for the killings. 33 Assad<br />

claimed that the armed groups also had backing<br />

from islamists and terrorists. More importantly, the<br />

June Jisrash Shugur incident marked a key escalation<br />

point in what has since become a bloody civil war:<br />

the insurgency forces began to strengthen and gain<br />

a significant number of defectors from state secret<br />

forces, who were allegedly killing soldiers who were<br />

hesitating or refusing to fire against civilians.” 34<br />

Moreover, opposition forces and the Assad regime<br />

maintained differing viewpoints regarding what<br />

factors had caused this rebellion to intensify. The<br />

opposition forces emphasized defectors’ discontent<br />

with their experiences as members of Assad’s troops<br />

and willingness to join the rebels’ cause, whereas the<br />

state regime highlighted the involvement of terroristlinked<br />

armed groups that had supposedly entered<br />

the fray. 35 In addition, this was not the first episode<br />

of violent clashes between Assad’s Ba’ath Party<br />

10<br />

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and protestors in Jisr al-Shughour: a similar rebel<br />

movement transpired in 1980, when Jisr al-Shughour<br />

residents attacked the Ba’ath Party headquarters in<br />

1980, rendering the region historically volatile ground<br />

with respect to government relations. 36<br />

Conflict Spreads to Hama<br />

By July 2011, the city of Hama, also located on the<br />

Orontes River, also established itself as one of the<br />

primary arenas for anti-government protest. Though<br />

demonstrations in Hama had originated in March,<br />

when the initial massacre at daraa ignited outcry<br />

across Syria, Hama truly became a focal point of<br />

civil strife following a relatively peaceful anti-Assad<br />

demonstration attended by nearly a half million<br />

people on 1 July, calling for the fall of the regime. 37 in<br />

response, groups known as the shabiha—local-based<br />

pro-Assad paramilitaries 38 —and regime security<br />

forces opened fire, killing at least 14 people. 39 By the<br />

next day, Assad had removed the governor of Hama,<br />

Ahmad Khaled Abdel Aziz, paving the way for his<br />

security forces to commence a campaign of arrests<br />

and search and seizure operations. 40 Sarah Leah<br />

Wilson, Middle East director of the Human Rights<br />

Watch (HRW) observed in July, “security forces<br />

have responded to protests with the brutality that’s<br />

become familiar over the past several months.” 41 On 31<br />

July 2011, the Syrian army once again stormed Hama,<br />

this time to suppress dissent on the eve of the holy<br />

month of Ramadan. The incident resulted in 95 to 100<br />

deaths, according to various estimates from human<br />

A child looks on against the backdrop of wreckage.<br />

rights organizations within Syria. 42 in a noteworthy<br />

historical parallel, current President Bashar al-Assad’s<br />

father, Hafez al-Assad, ordered the Syrian army to<br />

crush dissent voiced by the Muslim Brotherhood in<br />

Hama in February 1982, 43 killing an estimated 20,000<br />

civilians. 44<br />

Formation and Mobilization of the Free Syrian Army<br />

(FSA)<br />

At the end of July 2011, defectors from the Syrian<br />

Armed Forces corralled and launched the primary<br />

opposition group of the conflict, the Free Syrian Army.<br />

As a necessary point of clarification, the Free Syrian<br />

Army (FSA) should not be confused with the Syrian<br />

Army, which is commanded by Assad and is part of<br />

Syria’s formal state security apparatus. The Free<br />

Officers Movement first began to take shape when<br />

Syrian Army member—Lt. Col. Hussein Harmoush—<br />

defected from the armed state forces, bringing 150 of<br />

his army colleagues with him to bordering Turkey. 45<br />

In a video, Harmoush emphasized that their priority<br />

was “the protection of the protestors who are asking<br />

for freedom and democracy.” 46 But a different tone<br />

would eventually emerge among some defected<br />

officers—those who were responsible for starting<br />

the FSA. On 29 July, Colonel Riad Asaad, along with<br />

six former Syrian Army officers, announced from a<br />

Turkish province that they had formed the Free Syrian<br />

Army, and they further made it clear that they would<br />

“consider any member of the Assad security forces<br />

that kill [their] people a target to [their] rifles.” 47<br />

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International Pressure Mounts<br />

About two weeks after the Hama massacre of July<br />

2011, U.S. President Barack Obama expressed in a<br />

written statement that the “future of Syria must be<br />

determined by its people, but President Bashar al-<br />

Assad is standing in their way […] For the sake of the<br />

Syrian people, the time has come for President Assad<br />

to step down.” 48 David Cameron, Angela Merkel, and<br />

Nicolas Sarkozy—the leaders of the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom,<br />

Germany, and France, respectively—issued a joint<br />

statement similarly calling on Assad to relinquish<br />

power. 49<br />

August 2011 also saw tightened sanctions against<br />

Syria in response to the regime’s ongoing violent<br />

reactions to public dissent. On 19 August, the<br />

European Union agreed to level stricter political and<br />

economic sanctions—the latter involving plans to ban<br />

the import of crude oil from Syria into the eu. 50 this<br />

development was significant as it supplemented a<br />

new round of American sanctions already announced<br />

by Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, banning<br />

American imports or other cross-border transactions<br />

involving Syrian petroleum and petroleum products; 51<br />

US sanctions alone would not have had a pronounced<br />

effect, given that Syria has not been a major source<br />

of oil for the <strong>United</strong> States. However, while sanctions<br />

effective as of September 2011 from the U.S. and<br />

european were costing Syria an estimated uSd<br />

$400M a month by December, 52 they accomplished<br />

little in the way of compelling Assad’s regime to scale<br />

back its violent streak of suppressing public dissent.<br />

<strong>Security</strong> Forces Retake Homs, Capital of the Revolution<br />

On 27 September, regime security forces<br />

commenced a resource-heavy campaign to once<br />

again seize control of the Rastan district of Homs,<br />

the strategic area that connects Homs to Hama<br />

on the other side of the Orontes River. 53 the siege<br />

occurred in response to a dangerously maturing<br />

armed resistance movement that had carried out<br />

deadly ambushes in the city and captured an army<br />

colonel earlier that month. 54 Throughout October and<br />

November, the Free Syrian Army repeatedly clashed<br />

with soldiers in Homs, indicating that widespread civil<br />

war was imminent. escalating armed resistance in<br />

Homs during these months was also notable for the<br />

role of a local anti-Assad militia known as the Khalid<br />

bin Walid Brigade, which operated alongside the<br />

larger Free Syrian Army (FSA). 55 the Brigade entered<br />

periodic and bloody skirmishes with regime forces<br />

until it eventually withdrew from Homs in March<br />

2012, 56 but not without leaving behind an ever more<br />

complex civil war landscape, in which both the regime<br />

and the opposition tapped support from local militia<br />

groups and in which anti-government forces could<br />

not reach consensus about how to engage President<br />

Bashar al-Assad—if at all. 57<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Response<br />

On 4 October 2011, the Russian Federation and<br />

China vetoed the first of what would become several<br />

attempts by the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong><br />

to formally condemn Syria and the government of<br />

President Bashar al-Assad. 58 The two P5 members of<br />

the <strong>Council</strong> were opposed to the idea of imposing<br />

sanctions on damascus. exactly four months later,<br />

Russia and China again vetoed a draft resolution<br />

that would have demanded that Assad’s forces and<br />

the opposition camps alike cease all violence and<br />

retaliation in hopes of finally concluding the then-<br />

10-month-long uprising. 59 the Russian delegate,<br />

Vitaly Churkin, cited concern about conveying an<br />

“unbalanced” message to Syria, while the Chinese<br />

delegate, Li Baodong, emphasized the importance of<br />

allowing the Syrian people to pursue a reform agenda<br />

best suited to their national needs and interests. 60<br />

The Syrian government’s amplified bombardment of<br />

Homs served as a backdrop for the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>’s<br />

discussions, magnifying the sense of urgency for<br />

international action. 61<br />

In light of the regime’s renewed offensive, UN<br />

Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and Arab League<br />

Secretary-General Nabil Elaraby appointed former UN<br />

Secretary-General Kofi Annan on 23 February as the<br />

Joint Special Envoy of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> and League<br />

of Arab States on the Syrian Crisis. 62 the stated<br />

goal of the appointment was to promote a Syrianled<br />

political solution to the uprising that would be<br />

receptive to the democratic goals of Syria, involving<br />

joint discussion between both Assad’s regime and<br />

the opposition forces. 63 As of March, however, there<br />

was still no formal resolution passed by the <strong>Security</strong><br />

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<strong>Council</strong> strictly condemning Syria or calling for tough<br />

action against the country from the international<br />

community.<br />

In May 2012, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon called<br />

on the Syrian government to bring an end to violence and consistent<br />

arrests of protestors.<br />

Massacre at Houla and “Real War”<br />

On 25 May 2012, the Syrian government employed<br />

use of heavy weaponry along with shabiha (militia)<br />

support during a crackdown on two oppositioncontrolled<br />

villages in the town of Houla. The<br />

confrontation unfolded into a massacre that left<br />

108 people dead, including dozens of women and<br />

children. 64 The Houla massacre was a significant<br />

flashpoint in the conflict for several reasons: first,<br />

it was considered by many to be the single worst<br />

attack against civilians in the uprising until that<br />

point; 65 second, it elicited the first sharply-worded<br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> condemnation, of the “strongest<br />

possible terms,” in a non-binding statement; 66 third,<br />

it underscored the deep shortcomings of a sixweek-old<br />

UN ceasefire plan implemented to bring<br />

an end to the bloodshed in Syria; 67 and fourth, a uN<br />

statement issued on behalf of Secretary-General<br />

Ban Ki-moon and the Joint Special Envoy Kofi Annan<br />

declared that the massacre was “a flagrant violation<br />

of international law and of the commitments of<br />

the Syrian government to cease the use of heavy<br />

weapons in population centers and violence in all its<br />

forms.” 68 In response to events in Houla, France, the<br />

united Kingdom, italy, Spain, Canada, and Australia<br />

all expelled their senior Syrian diplomats. 69<br />

the following month, President Bashar al-Assad<br />

once again asserted that foreign-backed militants<br />

and conspirators were responsible for leading the<br />

nationwide uprisings. On 23 June, Assad reshuffled<br />

his government and insisted he was still pursuing<br />

reforms. 70 He retained his interior, defense, and<br />

foreign ministries but reportedly filled most remaining<br />

government positions with Ba’ath Party loyalists. 71 He<br />

informed his cabinet that Syria was “facing a real war<br />

from outside, and dealing with a war differs from how<br />

we would deal with internal sides in Syria.” 72 On the<br />

tragedy in Houla, Assad dismissed his government’s<br />

involvement, reflecting, “In reality, even monsters<br />

would not carry out what we have seen, especially<br />

what we saw in the Houla massacre …We wish that<br />

it does not remain in the memory of our children and<br />

grandchildren.” 73 Assad’s statement illustrates that<br />

numerous and often conflicting readings of the Syrian<br />

conflict exist, each with their own conviction about<br />

who is to be blamed for the ongoing violence and<br />

mounting death toll. Among other action items, this<br />

<strong>Council</strong> must decide how it can clearly and confidently<br />

identify perpetrators of the bloodshed.<br />

Assad’s Regime Suffers Setbacks<br />

In July 2012, members of the Free Syrian Army<br />

(FSA) laid siege to Aleppo, located roughly 200<br />

miles north of the capital at damascus. Aleppo,<br />

Syria’s industrial capital, quickly became the newest<br />

battlefield in the uprising, as the city suffered heavy<br />

bombardment and started to resemble “a full-scale<br />

street war,” according to one UK-based human rights<br />

group focusing on Syria. 74 At the end of the month,<br />

<strong>United</strong> States Secretary of Defense, Leon Panetta,<br />

declared that Assad’s assault on Aleppo would<br />

be “a nail in his coffin.” 75 in early August, the Free<br />

Syrian army launched a successful counter-assault<br />

in Salah al-Din, reasserting control over the strategic<br />

neighborhood—a crucial supply route of government<br />

troops—from regime forces. 76<br />

At the start of August, Amnesty international<br />

issued a report accusing the Syrian government of<br />

committing crimes against humanity in Aleppo and<br />

strongly advised that the situation in Syria be referred<br />

to the international Criminal Court immediately. 77<br />

According to Article 13 of the founding Rome Statute<br />

of the ICC, the “Court may exercise its jurisdiction<br />

with respect to a crime” if it is referred to the ICC<br />

prosecutor by a State party to the Statute or by the<br />

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Syrian rebels clash with government forces in Idlib, located in northwestern Syria, in March 2012<br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> acting under Chapter VII of the UN<br />

Charter. 78 Because Syria is not party to the Rome<br />

statute, any crimes against humanity committed on<br />

its territory would have to be referred to the ICC<br />

by the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, which has seen significant<br />

intransigence in the past year from China and the<br />

Russian Federation—both permanent seat-holders—<br />

on the issue of punitive action against Assad’s<br />

government. When the UN General Assembly,<br />

which lacks the enforcement power of the <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Council</strong>, passed a non-binding resolution on 3 August<br />

demanding that President Assad resign and that<br />

Syria “immediately and visibly” commit to halting<br />

violence in the country, 79 the Russian Federation<br />

and China similarly blasted the effort, arguing that<br />

the resolution risked further polarizing the conflict<br />

by only condemning one party to the fighting—the<br />

Syrian government—and seemingly offering support<br />

for the other—the militant rebels. 80<br />

On 6 August, the Syrian government announced<br />

the formal dismissal of Prime Minister Riyad Farid<br />

Hijab; the next day, ex-PM Hijab relayed through a<br />

spokesperson that he had defected to the opposition<br />

forces, “from the killing and terrorist regime [of<br />

President Assad].” 81 in the statement, Muhammad<br />

el-Etri, Hijab’s spokesperson, also denied that the<br />

Syrian government had fired Hijab, instead stating<br />

that the administration’s dismissal arrived after<br />

Syrian intelligence learned that Hijab had fled the<br />

country. 82 The ex-PM’s allegations about the internal<br />

agenda of the Syrian government and his account of<br />

widespread defections from the regime contributed<br />

to perceptions, both domestic and foreign, that the<br />

regime is now on the verge of losing power. Etri<br />

further warned Al Jazeera, “the regime speaks only<br />

one language: the language of blood.” 83 Although<br />

Assad’s forces face more global scrutiny and backlash<br />

than ever, the prospects of peaceful political dialogue<br />

and transition have started to appear increasingly<br />

bleak.<br />

Resignation of Special Joint Envoy Kofi Annan<br />

Hopes of a concerted diplomatic solution to the<br />

Syrian uprising were also delivered a blow earlier<br />

that month, when, on 2 August, Special Envoy of<br />

the UN and the League of Arab States on the Syrian<br />

conflict Kofi Annan submitted his resignation from<br />

the position. Former uN Secretary-General Annan<br />

painted a terrifying image of Syria for the world: he<br />

blamed the Syrian government’s unyieldingness,<br />

unrelenting rebel militancy, and absence of unity in the<br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> for his failed mission and his personal<br />

decision. 84 In the face of both a divided Syrian rebel<br />

movement and a divided <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, Annan<br />

emphasized that the centerpiece of future diplomatic<br />

missions would have to be unity of purpose.<br />

Discussion of the Problem<br />

Human Rights Violations<br />

A <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> report published on 15 August<br />

2012 confirmed that both Assad’s forces and Syrian<br />

rebels associated with either the Free Syrian Army<br />

or local protest groups have committed war crimes.<br />

According to the report, defectors revealed that<br />

army commanders provided orders to shoot civilians<br />

and even to torture detainees, as a part of “state-<br />

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directed policy.” 85 Moreover, for those international<br />

groups and representatives who have called for<br />

more even-handed scrutiny of both Assad’s formal<br />

security apparatus and the rebel militants, the report<br />

concluded that crimes committed by rebel groups<br />

“did not reach the gravity, frequency, and scale” of<br />

those executed by the government’s<br />

security forces. 86 Perhaps the report’s<br />

most alarming account concerned<br />

harm inflicted on Syria’s children, which<br />

has included shootings, beatings,<br />

whippings, and electrical shocks—all<br />

of which culminated in 125 child deaths<br />

over the course of the commission’s<br />

reporting period (15 February 2012 – 20<br />

July 2012). 87 The summary finding of this<br />

independent international commission<br />

of inquiry was that the human rights<br />

situation in Syria had worsened since<br />

the end period of the preceding Human<br />

Rights <strong>Council</strong> report, mid-February.<br />

On 10 September, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

High Commissioner for Human Rights<br />

Navi Pillay addressed the UN Human<br />

Rights <strong>Council</strong>, emphasizing that<br />

the “use of heavy weapons by the<br />

[Syrian] government and the shelling<br />

of populated areas have resulted in<br />

high numbers of civilian casualties,<br />

mass displacement of civilians inside and outside<br />

the country and a devastating human crisis.” 88 Pillay<br />

also expressed a sentiment common among many<br />

UN figures that Syria should be referred to the<br />

international Criminal Court for ongoing human rights<br />

infringements occurring on its territory, in an effort to<br />

revoke perpetrators’ sense of impunity.<br />

Sectarianism<br />

though sectarianism was not an explicit cause of<br />

the Syrian uprising, it does shed light on important<br />

undercurrents of the conflict useful to understanding<br />

its evolution. Sunni Arabs make up 60 percent of the<br />

Syrian population, while Shia Muslims, Christians,<br />

and Kurds constitute its largest minorities. the Assad<br />

family comes from a Shia sect known as the Alawites,<br />

a group that constitutes roughly twelve percent<br />

of Syria’s population and has resided along Syria’s<br />

coastal Jibal al ‘Alawiyin range since the reign of<br />

the Ottoman empire. 89 through the presidencies of<br />

Hafez al-Assad and his son Bashar al-Assad—and their<br />

predominantly Alawite government appointees—<br />

the Alawites have in effect ruled Syria for over forty<br />

Syria’s minority Alawite population is mostly concentrated in the country’s north/<br />

northwestern region.<br />

years. The 1963 coup that ushered the Ba’ath Party<br />

to power in Syria had also relied on rural Shia support<br />

networks. 90<br />

Additionally, close to 70 percent of the Syrian army’s<br />

non-conscripted “career soldiers” and an estimated<br />

80 percent of Syria’s officer corps are Alawites. 91 While<br />

the theme of protestors’ messages over the course<br />

of the uprising has not been religious, it is important<br />

to note that most of the demonstrators are Sunni.<br />

In September 2011, Al Jazeera special respondent<br />

Nir Rosen, who visited several of the conflict’s focal<br />

cities, observed, “the opposition is loath to admit it<br />

but they are all effectively Sunni.” 92 Syrian Christians,<br />

meanwhile, have been said to largely support Assad’s<br />

regime namely because they are apprehensive about<br />

the unknown landscape of a post-Assad Syria. 93 the<br />

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Alawite regime has enjoyed support from other<br />

minorities in Syria as well, who fear the establishment<br />

of a Sunni Islamist government in the aftermath of<br />

Assad’s potential demise. 94<br />

In October 2011, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary<br />

Clinton informed the Associated Press that “[it] is<br />

not yet accepted…by many groups in Syria that their<br />

life will be better without Assad than with Assad<br />

[…] There are a lot of minority groups that are very<br />

concerned.” 95 Although Assad verbally committed to<br />

a “national dialogue” on reform after the government<br />

crackdown on protests in Jisr al-Shughour, 96 any<br />

major reforms have yet to be instated. Moreover, the<br />

regime realizes that reforms involving representative<br />

government could likely spell a prompt exit of the<br />

Assad-led Alawites from rule, which in large part<br />

explains the regime’s continued intransigence<br />

towards facilitating a peaceful and inclusive political<br />

solution to popular unrest. indeed, some historians<br />

posit that the Syrian government might view this<br />

crisis as an existential battle for Alawites’ survival and<br />

retention of power in modern Syria, grounded in fear<br />

about the return of “historical Sunni hegemony over<br />

the region.” 97 A geographic analysis of the crisis could<br />

lend itself to such an interpretation.<br />

A Geographic Look at the Conflict<br />

The civil war has thus far largely played out in or<br />

near Syria’s Western coastal region, within many<br />

Alawite-majority areas. Today, the two provinces<br />

of Latakia and Tartus are home to approximately<br />

75 percent of Syria’s Alawite population: over four<br />

decades of Ba’ath Party rule, they experienced an<br />

influx of Alawites from the traditional Alawite base in<br />

the mountains. 98<br />

The conflict-ridden cities of Homs and Hama<br />

also have a significant Alawite population—a<br />

consequence of policies dating to the administration<br />

of Bashar al-Assad’s father, Hafez, which encouraged<br />

Alawites to move from coastal areas towards the<br />

central plain. 99 One possible theory explaining the<br />

conflict’s exacerbation might point to Assad’s use<br />

of the clearance strategy to tighten the Alawite<br />

government’s hold over Alawite-dominated areas—<br />

again, perhaps, to act on deep-seated concerns about<br />

existential threats to the preservation of the Alawite-<br />

led power structure in Syria.<br />

Key Foreign Actors<br />

Iran<br />

In early August, Saeed Jalil—top national security<br />

advisor of Shiite-dominated Iran—publicly pledged<br />

Iran’s support for al-Assad’s Alawite government in<br />

the ongoing crisis. 100 Iran’s diplomatic input arrived<br />

on the heels of Kofi Annan’s resignation as the Joint<br />

Special Envoy of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> and the League<br />

of Arab States on the Syrian armed conflict. While<br />

on a trip to Lebanon, Jalil stated, “[we] believe that<br />

Syria’s friends must help to totally stop the violence,<br />

organize national dialogue and general elections<br />

Bashar al-Assad with Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinjad, who<br />

has consistently voiced support for the Syrian president despite<br />

growing international outcry against human rights violations that<br />

have been perpetrated by his administration.<br />

in this country, and organize humanitarian aid for<br />

the Syrian population.” 101 Despite Iran’s ostensible<br />

commitment to ending violence in Syria, Western<br />

powers and Israel insist that Iran has been serving<br />

as the Syrian government’s primary ally in providing<br />

Assad with advice and resources on how to suppress<br />

widespread public protests, given Iran’s own past<br />

experience with mass demonstrations following<br />

its 2009 presidential elections. Furthermore, on<br />

22 August 2012, the uN declared that it had in fact<br />

amassed sufficient intelligence that Iran has been<br />

providing funds, weapons, and intelligence to Assad<br />

in his regime’s violent campaign to subdue opposition<br />

groups in his country. 102<br />

Iraq<br />

Reports have suggested that Iraq is allowing Iran<br />

to use its airspace to transport weapons to President<br />

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Assad’s besieged security forces. In early September<br />

2012, <strong>United</strong> States Senators John McCain of Arizona,<br />

Joe Liebermann of Connecticut, and Lindsey Graham<br />

of South Carolina traveled to Baghdad to meet with<br />

Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki to strongly warn<br />

Iraq against such complicit action, whereupon Iraq<br />

firmly denied that it has been providing any such<br />

deliberate support. 103<br />

Turkey<br />

Although neighboring Turkey had once been a<br />

close ally to Assad’s government, it has since adopted<br />

a hardline stance against Syria as the crisis has<br />

unfolded. Mostly notably, Turkey witnessed an influx<br />

Protestors demonstrate in front of the Syrian consulate in<br />

neighboring Istanbul in late May 2012.<br />

of Sunni refugees into its territory following Syrian<br />

security forces’ clearance operations in northern Idlib<br />

province. Additionally, the Free Syrian Army (FSA),<br />

established at the end of July in 2011, maintains its<br />

headquarters in Turkey—leading Assad to speculate<br />

that militants from Syrian opposition groups have<br />

been transporting weapons through and finding<br />

training resources within that country. In 2011 Turkey<br />

also adopted tangible measures to denounce the<br />

actions of the Syrian government, enacting both an<br />

arms embargo and other comprehensive sanctions<br />

against Syria. 104<br />

Russia<br />

Russia’s role in the Syrian civil war has attracted<br />

perhaps the most international attention, primarily<br />

due to uncertainty surrounding Russia’s specific<br />

motivations in supporting Assad’s government and<br />

stalling decisive international action against the<br />

regime’s brutality. Since it achieved formal statehood<br />

in 1946, Syria has received substantial military and<br />

economic support from the former Soviet Union and<br />

Russian Federation. Most relevant to the current<br />

crisis, Russia and Syria have shared a strong historical<br />

relationship with regard to arms sales. Russia is the<br />

second-largest arms exporter in the world, behind<br />

the <strong>United</strong> States, and often creates markets for its<br />

weapons in countries that are “unwilling or unable”<br />

to purchase arms from the u.S. 105 Given that the<br />

european union and the united States imposed<br />

comprehensive sanctions and embargoes against<br />

Syria in 2011, Russia is a key remaining vendor for<br />

Assad’s regime as it seeks to keep restless and<br />

increasingly violent opposition groups at bay. The<br />

Russian Federation is keen on preventing the Syrian<br />

uprising from turning into ‘another Libya’—when the<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> imposed an arms embargo on Libya in<br />

February 2011106 and Russia reportedly lost $4 billion in<br />

arms contracts107--and will use whichever means at its<br />

disposal to protect its economic interests, especially<br />

its powerful veto in this <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>. Moreover,<br />

Western powers likely harbor general fears about<br />

Russia exerting too much political influence in the<br />

Middle east.<br />

Past uN Actions<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Supervision Mission in Syria (UNSMIS)<br />

On 25 March 2012, Kofi Annan, the Joint Special<br />

Envoy of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> and League of Arab<br />

States to Syria, proposed a six-point plan that was<br />

accepted by Syria and endorsed by this <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Council</strong>. The six points were as follows:<br />

“1) commit to work with the Envoy in an inclusive<br />

Syrian-led political process to address the legitimate<br />

aspirations and concerns of the Syrian people, and,<br />

to this end, commit to appoint an empowered<br />

interlocutor when invited to do so by the Envoy;<br />

2) commit to stop the fighting and achieve urgently<br />

an effective <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> supervised cessation of<br />

armed violence in all its forms by all parties to protect<br />

civilians and stabilize the country.<br />

To this end, the Syrian Government should<br />

immediately cease troop movements towards, and<br />

end the use of heavy weapons in, population centres,<br />

and begin pullback of military concentrations in and<br />

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around population centres.<br />

As these actions are being taken on the ground, the<br />

Syrian Government should work with the Envoy to<br />

bring about a sustained cessation of armed violence<br />

in all its forms by all parties with an effective <strong>United</strong><br />

<strong>Nations</strong> supervision mechanism.<br />

Similar commitments would be sought by the<br />

Envoy from the opposition and all relevant elements<br />

to stop the fighting and work with him to bring about<br />

a sustained cessation of armed violence in all its<br />

forms by all parties with an effective <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

supervision mechanism;<br />

3) ensure timely provision of humanitarian<br />

assistance to all areas affected by the fighting,<br />

and to this end, as immediate steps, to accept and<br />

implement a daily two-hour humanitarian pause and<br />

to coordinate exact time and modalities of the daily<br />

pause through an efficient mechanism, including at<br />

local level.<br />

4) intensify the pace and scale of release of<br />

arbitrarily detained persons, including especially<br />

vulnerable categories of persons, and persons<br />

involved in peaceful political activities, provide<br />

without delay through appropriate channels a list of<br />

all places in which such persons are being detained,<br />

immediately begin organizing access to such locations<br />

and through appropriate channels respond promptly<br />

to all written requests for information, access or<br />

release regarding such persons;<br />

5) ensure freedom of movement throughout the<br />

country for journalists and a non-discriminatory visa<br />

policy for them;<br />

6) respect freedom of association and the right to<br />

demonstrate peacefully as legally guaranteed.” 108<br />

Some groups within the heterogeneous Syrian<br />

opposition rejected the plan for not being aggressive<br />

enough, while others expressed willingness to abide<br />

by Annan’s blueprint so long as Assad’s regime<br />

fulfilled its promises as well. 109 the 300-person united<br />

<strong>Nations</strong> observer mission ultimately proved to be too<br />

small to tackle a civil war that was far too advanced<br />

in its progression. Further, many Syrians embroiled in<br />

the violence criticized the plan for not being stringent<br />

enough and thus for allowing Syrian security forces<br />

more time to carry out its campaign of executions. 110<br />

Annan’s resignation on 2 August 2012 as envoy above<br />

all illustrated that a UN-led effort will require good<br />

faith commitment from Assad’s regime and consensus<br />

among key member states of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>. On<br />

19 August 2012, the UNSMIS mandate finally came to<br />

an end. It is now up to this executive body to decide<br />

whether the Syrian civil war is beyond diplomatic<br />

redress and warrants direct military intervention or<br />

whether <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> consensus regarding the<br />

conflict can still be achieved—and expeditiously so.<br />

Proposed Solutions<br />

Armed Intervention<br />

Humanitarian concerns regarding the Syrian civil<br />

war are on the verge of reaching a tipping point—one<br />

that could compel external military intervention to<br />

decelerate Syria’s mounting death toll. However, this<br />

particular debate has stimulated numerous salient<br />

comparisons with the 2011 military intervention in<br />

Libya. First, Syria is one-tenth the size of Libya but<br />

houses a population three times as large, which also<br />

explains why the conflict has largely been confined to<br />

the Western part of the country, where the majority<br />

of Syrians live. 111 Secondly, the opposition in Syria is<br />

deeply fragmented and disorganized. On 7 March<br />

2012, <strong>United</strong> States Secretary of Defense Leon E.<br />

Panetta stated, testifying in front of the Senate<br />

Armed Services Committee, “[it] is not clear what<br />

constitutes the Syrian armed opposition – there has<br />

been no single unifying military alternative that can<br />

be recognized, appointed, or contacted.” 112 UNHCR chief Antonio Gutteres (2005 – present) address the <strong>United</strong><br />

<strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> on the crisis in Syria<br />

thus, a<br />

hypothetical multi-state coalition effort in Syria could<br />

not rely on allying with a unified and coordinated<br />

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Syrian opposition force to dislodge Assad from<br />

power. Thirdly, armed intervention as a strategy does<br />

not enjoy unanimous regional support around Syria<br />

as it did around Libya in 2011. 113 Most notably, Iran<br />

and Russia have expressed positions sympathetic to<br />

President Assad’s agenda.<br />

UN Embargo<br />

Because there is still no united <strong>Nations</strong>-authorized<br />

embargo against Syria, member states—the Russian<br />

Federation in particular—can continue to arm Assad’s<br />

regime under the premise that these transactions<br />

are wholly ‘non-political’ in nature. Continued arms<br />

shipments to Syria could, as u.S. Secretary of State<br />

Hillary Clinton has repeatedly argued, cause the<br />

conflict to escalate further rather than move closer<br />

towards resolution. The Russian Federation will likely<br />

be the most vociferous dissenter to this approach,<br />

given its economic interest in retaining historically<br />

lucrative sales contracts with Syria. If passed, such an<br />

embargo would immediately freeze all funds, assets,<br />

and economic resources belonging to Assad and his<br />

regime on UN member states’ territories and halt<br />

member states’ direct or indirect supply or transfer<br />

of arms to Syria.<br />

Referral of President Bashar al-Assad to the<br />

International Criminal Court (ICC)<br />

As of early August 2012, at least ten members of<br />

the European Union were in favor<br />

of referring President Assad and the<br />

situation in Syria to the international<br />

Criminal Court, 114 an independent<br />

international body responsible for<br />

adjudication on global disputes<br />

involving genocides, crimes against<br />

humanity, and other war crimes.<br />

However, some European diplomats<br />

have also raised concerns that pursuing<br />

justice through the iCC might thwart<br />

efforts at a political resolution to the<br />

conflict. However, according to the<br />

Human Rights Watch, “[if] a convincing<br />

case is made by the EU (including the<br />

<strong>United</strong> Kingdom) that the ICC–as an<br />

independent and impartial judicial<br />

institution—will examine actions by<br />

community<br />

all sides to the Syrian conflict, this can go a long way<br />

toward countering Russian and Chinese objections<br />

that <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> measures on Syria would be<br />

biased.” 115 Nevertheless, the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> would<br />

still have to prevent a possible Russian or Chinese<br />

veto to refer the situation in Syria to the ICC in the<br />

first place.<br />

Bloc Positions<br />

North America, Western Europe, and Others<br />

In August 2012, President Obama warned, along<br />

similar statements made by Secretary of State<br />

Clinton, that if Bashar al-Assad’s regime applied<br />

chemical or biological weapons in the civil conflict,<br />

such actions would provoke a military response from<br />

the <strong>United</strong> States. One of the <strong>United</strong> States’ primary<br />

concerns as the war has waged on has been fear of<br />

such weapons falling into the wrong hands—those of<br />

rogue or armed terrorist groups. The US’s message<br />

has thus been pointedly barred at both Assad’s<br />

administration and other players involved in the<br />

deadly ground fighting. Michael Eisenstadt, a director<br />

at the Washington institute for Near eastern Policy,<br />

argues that Syria has the most advanced chemical<br />

warfare system in the world, 116 suggesting that its<br />

deployment would be catastrophic.<br />

despite the fact that British Prime Minister ruled<br />

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton warned in August 2012 that the introduction of<br />

chemical weapons to the Syrian conflict would be a grave “red line” for the international<br />

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out military action earlier in 2012, he discussed, as of<br />

November 2012, the possibility of a military response,<br />

which may involve no-fly zones over Syria (an idea<br />

originated by U.S. Secretary Clinton) and arming<br />

rebels with anti-aircraft guns. 117 British Foreign<br />

Secretary William Hague stated on 13 November<br />

2012, “We are not excluding any option in the future<br />

because…the Syrian crisis is getting worse and worse<br />

all the time.” 118<br />

At the end of August 2012, French president Francois<br />

Hollande urged Syria to come up with an “inclusive<br />

and representative” provisional government, which<br />

he said France would recognize upon its formation. 119<br />

France, in line with its Western allies the united<br />

States and Great Britain, has also stated it will view<br />

the use of chemical weapons as legitimate grounds<br />

for military intervention in Syria.<br />

Australia, in the meantime, was one of the<br />

first countries to advocate recommending Syrian<br />

president Bashar al-Assad to the international<br />

Criminal Court in June 2011. 120 Critiquing inaction on<br />

the part of the uN <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, Foreign Minister<br />

Kevin Rudd pledged Australia’s support for the Arab<br />

League’s efforts to bring peace to Syria. Addressing<br />

the Australian Parliament on 15 February 2012, Rudd<br />

emphasized, “The full membership of the UNSC<br />

must accept its responsibility to the people of Syria<br />

by listening to the unified voice of the world’s Arab<br />

leaders” and added that “Russia and Chine need to<br />

reconsider their commitment to the Syrian people.” 121<br />

Current Foreign Minister Bob Carr, who succeeded<br />

Minister Rudd in March 2012, worked to mobilize<br />

humanitarian assistance to Syria and supported Kofi<br />

Annan’s ultimately failed Peace Plan. 122<br />

East Asia<br />

While China has traditionally remained neutral on<br />

matters relating to the Middle East, it has been vocal<br />

about the Syrian conflict. Foreign policy analysts<br />

speculate that China, like Russia, does not want any<br />

U.S. influence in the region to obstruct China’s access<br />

to the Middle East’s plentiful energy resources.<br />

In addition, given its own history with Western<br />

intervention, China may be reluctant to stand by as<br />

another Western-led armed intervention occurs. Most<br />

notably, China has exercised its veto as a permanent<br />

member to prevent <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> authorization of<br />

direct military involvement in Syria.<br />

Regarding the Republic of Korea’s stance, UN<br />

Permanent Representative Kim Sook stated when<br />

the country beat Cambodia for a non-permanent spot<br />

on the UNSC, “My country’s position is not very much<br />

far from what has been discussed in the <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Council</strong>” but did not offer a more detailed stance.<br />

Korea may thus find itself pressed to vocalize a clear<br />

position on the Syria question.<br />

South Asia<br />

Pakistan’s position on the Syrian conflict has<br />

coincided with that of Russia and China insofar as<br />

Pakistan opposes military intervention. Pakistani’s<br />

acting UN Ambassador Raza Bashir Tarar has stated,<br />

“It is only through inclusive dialogue and a political<br />

process that Syria can chart out a course towards a<br />

stable, secure, and prosperous future.” 123 He further<br />

argued, “The primary responsibility for ensuring the<br />

safety and security of [the] Syrian people rests with<br />

the Syrian government.” 124 tarar also expressed<br />

that the Syrian crisis should not deflect the global<br />

community’s attention from a lingering and<br />

unresolved Palestinian issue, which he said “remains<br />

at the heart of tension conflict in the Middle Eastern<br />

region.” 125<br />

Eastern Europe<br />

As has been mentioned earlier in this guide, Russia<br />

has assumed an intransigent position on the situation<br />

in Syria, one grounded in, as a top Kremlin negotiator<br />

put it, “a matter of principle.” 126 the Russian Federation<br />

would have the international community believe that<br />

its stance against military intervention in Syria stems<br />

from mindfulness about exacerbating instability in<br />

the region rather than support for Bashar al-Assad’s<br />

authoritarian regime. Most recently, Western powers<br />

have started to exert increasing pressure against<br />

Russia to present viable alternatives to bringing peace<br />

to Syria if it so vehemently opposes direct military<br />

intervention. As a New York Times article pointed out<br />

in June 2012, Russia faces significant risks—at the very<br />

least, reputational ones—in the Middle because of its<br />

unbending position: the Arab world could perceive<br />

Moscow as a supporter of dictatorships, especially if<br />

Assad manages to stay in power. 127<br />

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Azerbaijan tends to pursue a foreign policy of<br />

non-alignment but has spoken out against Assad’s<br />

regime for taking up arms against its own people,<br />

and Azerbaijan has maintained it cannot maintain<br />

cooperative relations with Syria for that reason.<br />

Latin America and the Caribbean<br />

Argentina expressed regret over China and<br />

Russia’s veto of multiple <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> resolutions<br />

on the crisis in Syria and has called for an end to the<br />

violence and stricter adherence to human rights in<br />

the country. Argentina was a supporter of uN Special<br />

Envoy Kofi Annan’s Six Point Plan. 128<br />

Guatemala likewise viewed Chinese and Russian<br />

vetoes as a disappointment to the <strong>Council</strong>’s potential<br />

for constructive action amidst a rapidly deteriorating<br />

human rights situation in Syria and, further,<br />

considered them a threat to the UNSC’s legitimacy. 129<br />

Africa<br />

Morocco has repeatedly expressed that it would<br />

like to see the Syrian conflict resolved peacefully.<br />

In January 2012, Morocco led and distributed an<br />

Arab-European draft resolution that expressed<br />

concern about the deteriorating state of conflict<br />

in Syria and further called on Syrian authorities to<br />

“fully cooperate” with the Arab League Mission to<br />

Syria. 130 To Morocco’s deep disappointment, the draft<br />

resolution was vetoed by both China and the Russian<br />

Federation in early February.<br />

As a newly voted member of the current <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Council</strong>, Rwanda brings a unique perspective on<br />

war, peace, and genocide, having witnessed the<br />

1994 genocide in which roughly a million Tutsis died.<br />

Syria and Rwanda are often brought up in tandem<br />

regarding the Responsibility to Protect (R2P) doctrine<br />

of international law, which was unanimously adopted<br />

at the 2005 uN <strong>World</strong> Summit. R2P stipulates that<br />

the international community has the responsibility<br />

to apply appropriate humanitarian, diplomatic, and<br />

other means to protect populations from genocide,<br />

war crimes, and crimes against humanity, if the State<br />

fails to fulfill these functions. 131<br />

togo has urged more expedient action from the<br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, in light of several vetoed resolutions<br />

on Syria in 2012, emphasizing that the UNSC bears<br />

a responsibility to bring peace and security to the<br />

Syrian people.<br />

Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />

(QARMA)<br />

1. is a political solution to the Syrian crisis still<br />

possible, and does it present the optimal course<br />

of action from this <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>? if so, what<br />

will form the basis of a new political process in<br />

Syria? What recommendations will the <strong>Council</strong><br />

make regarding transitional governing bodies<br />

and elections?<br />

2. How can the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> clearly and<br />

confidently delineate the central perpetrators<br />

in the ongoing violence?<br />

Russia has proven to be a reliable ally of the Syrian government and has refused to turn against Assad as quickly as its Western counterparts,<br />

here seen voting against a <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> resolution on Syria.<br />

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3. Should Bashar al-Assad be recommended to<br />

the international Criminal Court?<br />

4. Is armed intervention a feasible and effective<br />

approach?<br />

5. How does the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> plan to<br />

coordinate with other united <strong>Nations</strong> agencies<br />

to address this issue, and what other resources<br />

does it intend to employ?<br />

6. How will the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> continue to<br />

engage foreign ministries of Syria’s neighboring<br />

countries, which have become embroiled in<br />

the violence?<br />

Suggestions for Further Research<br />

Please note that this background guide is intended<br />

to serve as a comprehensive overview of the crisis in<br />

Syria, and by no means are its contents exhaustive. I<br />

have outlined major sources of tension in the conflict,<br />

which you should use as a springboard for further<br />

research that directly engages your delegation’s stake<br />

in Syria’s political development and peace process.<br />

Moreover, as this topic is highly current, I would<br />

recommend reading reliable news media (BBC News,<br />

Al Jazeera, CNN, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Press Releases from<br />

both the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> and Human Rights <strong>Council</strong>)<br />

to stay updated on evolving dimensions of the<br />

conflict. However, as you approach these valuable<br />

resources, please be especially attentive to issues of<br />

objectivity. Al-Jazeera, for instance, is a Qatari-owned<br />

television network, and the Gulf states have been<br />

especially vocal in their opposition to Assad and his<br />

regime. thus, in your research, you should always<br />

be asking yourself who the source is and whether it<br />

presents a uniquely motivated stance that needs to<br />

be taken into account during debate.<br />

For additional reading, i would suggest the<br />

following recently published texts:<br />

• Revolt in Syria: eye-witness to the uprising by<br />

Stephen Starr (2012) for firsthand testimony<br />

from a cross-section of Syrian society affected<br />

by the violent conflict and citizens’ varied<br />

political beliefs<br />

• The Syrian Rebellion by Fouad Ajami (2012) for<br />

a historical perspective on the rebellion and a<br />

comparison between the reigns of Bashar al-<br />

Assad and his father Hafez al-Assad<br />

• The Battle for the Arab Spring: revolution,<br />

counter-revolution, and the making of a new<br />

era by Lin Noueihed and Alex Warren (2012) for<br />

discussion of the challenges many Arab nations<br />

confront as they attempt to build sustainable<br />

democratic institutions, tackle political Islam,<br />

and compete economically on the international<br />

stage<br />

Topic B: The Situation in Mali<br />

Northern Mali has served as the site of a violent<br />

separatist insurgency since January 2012. Following<br />

a coup d’état that ousted President Amadou<br />

Tomani and bred considerable political instability<br />

in its immediate aftermath, the once-nomadic<br />

Tuareg rebels claimed control of Northern Mali<br />

with the help of their organization, the National<br />

Movement for the Liberation of Azawad (MNLA).<br />

The MNLA subsequently declared Azawad’s formal<br />

independence from Mali. Notably, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> condemned the coup, along with many<br />

other international diplomatic bodies. The Economic<br />

Community of West African States (ECOWAS), for<br />

instance, suspended Mali’s membership and imposed<br />

sanctions against the country. eCOWAS also presided<br />

over negotiations that stipulated that both Tomani<br />

and the leader of the interim government would<br />

resign, sanctions would be removed, rebels would be<br />

granted amnesty, and power would be transferred<br />

to the National Assembly of Mali, led by its Speaker<br />

dioncounda traore.<br />

However, renewed offensives have seen armed<br />

groups loot massive amounts of food from the <strong>World</strong><br />

Food Programme’s warehouses in several parts<br />

of Northern Mali, which caused the WFP to cease<br />

its operations there at the start of April. thus the<br />

violent insurgency has not only crafted a landscape<br />

rife with political uncertainty but also highlighted a<br />

critical humanitarian dimension of the conflict for the<br />

<strong>Council</strong>’s immediate attention.<br />

Historical Background<br />

the tuaregs (or so-called Blue Men of desert<br />

because of the indigo dye coloring their traditional<br />

clothes) are a pastoral nomadic people who occupy a<br />

large portion of the land in the Sahara and the Sahel—<br />

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anging from Libya to the northern part of Niger to<br />

southern Algeria to northern Mali and to Burkina<br />

Faso. Mali is home to roughly one million of this<br />

region’s Tuareg population, which totals anywhere<br />

between two to three million. 132 The Tuareg can be<br />

further divided into regional groups such as the Kel<br />

Adrar (Kidal in Mali), Iwellemeden (West Niger), and<br />

Kel Owey (Air in north central Niger). 133<br />

Geographic distribution of Tuareg peoples in the Sahara and Sahel<br />

regions of northern Africa.<br />

throughout post-colonial history, the Malian<br />

Tuaregs have experienced marginalization by state<br />

policies of modernization and sedentarization.<br />

Following the appropriation of dune rangelands<br />

for cultivation by sedentary farmers, the pastoral<br />

Tuaregs were displaced to lands of poorer biological<br />

productivity. 134 Historical tensions between the<br />

Tuaregs and the Malian government have catalyzed<br />

three major rebellions in the country’s recent history,<br />

outside of the present ongoing conflict—in 1962-<br />

1964, 1990-1995, and 2007-2009. 135<br />

Decolonization and Birth of the Malian Republic<br />

French West Africa (L’Afrique-Occidentale<br />

Françaises, AOF) experienced decolonization largely<br />

due to the outcomes of <strong>World</strong> War ii. Charles de Gaulle<br />

thereafter pledged to give France’s colonial subjects<br />

a stronger voice in the broader French political<br />

arena. 136 By October 26, French Sudan—which would<br />

eventually become the Republic of Mali—had elected<br />

a Constitutional Assembly that went on to draft a new<br />

Constitution allowing political parties. 137 the creation<br />

of the Republique Soudainaise in 1958 dissolved<br />

the AOF. By February 1959, French Sudan and<br />

Senegal had together formed the francophone Mali<br />

Federation. 138 However, disagreements regarding the<br />

political future of this Federation led the Republique<br />

Soudainaise to declare its independence from the<br />

Mali Federation, under the new (and current) name<br />

of the Republic of Mali on 22 September 1960. 139<br />

Despite the Malian Republic’s proclamation of<br />

its independence in September of 1960, “both the<br />

state and the Malian nation had yet to be created.” 140<br />

The new country faced a weak infrastructure and<br />

lacked a professionally trained population devoted to<br />

industry. Moreover, at this time, the Malian political<br />

elite constructed the Malian national identity around<br />

Mali’s largest ethnic groups, the Mande and Bambara,<br />

to the notable exclusion of the Tamasheq-speaking<br />

Tuaregs. To compound this tension, the Kel Tamasheq<br />

and other minority groups such as the Moors also did<br />

not see themselves as Malian. 141 this early identity<br />

distinction would lay the historical groundwork for<br />

future sentiments of marginalization among the<br />

Tuaregs. Furthermore, because the idea of a Malian<br />

nation was not yet significantly entrenched in the<br />

minds of the country’s citizens, the government’s<br />

early treatment of the tuaregs would shape the<br />

Tuareg minority’s conception of and allegiance to the<br />

Malian nation-state.<br />

The First Tuareg Rebellion, 1962-1964<br />

The First Tuareg Rebellion, also known as<br />

the Alfellaga, occurred shortly after Mali gained<br />

independence. Already disenchanted with their<br />

position in the new Malian state, the Tuaregs began<br />

to imagine their own state, made up of the tuaregpopulated<br />

territories of northern Mali, northern<br />

Niger, and southern Algeria, called Azawad. 142<br />

tuaregs at this time felt that they were acutely and<br />

disproportionately plagued by early post-colonial<br />

Mali’s economic struggles and the oversight of a<br />

government administration that was not sympathetic<br />

towards Tuaregs’ pastoral culture compared to that<br />

of other sedentary farming groups in Mali. 143 For some<br />

especially dissatisfied Tuareg leaders, the state’s<br />

efforts at modernization became synonymous with<br />

land dispossession. Furthermore, the disappointing<br />

economic realities of the early 1960s in Mali appeared<br />

in direct contrast to the optimistic rhetoric routinely<br />

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propagated by the government.<br />

In 1962, the first governor of the Gao region of Mali,<br />

Bakary Diallo, discussed the place of the nomadic<br />

Tuaregs in post-colonial Mali:<br />

…the existence of an ethnic minority of Tamasheq<br />

and Arabs (white and black) we call the Nomads,<br />

coexisting with black sedentary populations […]<br />

Nomad society, as it is left to us by the colonial<br />

regime, undoubtedly poses us problems in light of<br />

the objectives of our socio-political programme. […]<br />

Our objective is to know the problems which we,<br />

in reference to the colonial regime, call the Nomad<br />

problem. 144<br />

The regime of the first president of Mali, Mobido<br />

Kieta, sought to focus the country’s economic<br />

growth on its industrial sectors—specifically on<br />

cattle exports, an area where Mali enjoyed a regional<br />

comparative advantage. 145 This effort initiated partial<br />

and forced sedentarization of nomads. Further to<br />

the resentment of the Tuaregs, Kieta’s regime made<br />

women work on Service Civique sites as well as part<br />

of a “para-military force of agricultural labourers,<br />

recruited parallel to the army, despite the fact that<br />

in Tamasheq tradition, women of free descent do not<br />

work. 146<br />

The Tuareg rebellion began in 1962 as small scale<br />

attacks on government targets but escalated by<br />

1963 in northern areas of Mali. 147 ultimately, the<br />

Malian’s government’s army, possessing greater<br />

and more advanced resources than the rebels,<br />

A gathering of Tuareg men, donning there iconic blue garb.<br />

decisively quashed this first rebellion. 148 under these<br />

circumstances, many tuaregs migrated to richer<br />

neighboring countries such as Libya, where better<br />

wage labor in the oil industry and in Muammar<br />

Gaddafi’s regular military forces offered enticing<br />

opportunities. 149 Gaddafi additionally welcomed<br />

some Tuaregs into the Libyan-backed Islamic Legion<br />

from which he deployed Islamic militants to Lebanon,<br />

Palestine, and Afghanistan. 150<br />

The Second Rebellion, 1990-1995<br />

Periodic droughts in Western Africa in 1968-<br />

1974 and 1980-1985 further unraveled the pastoral<br />

lifestyle of the Sahelian nomads, both destroying<br />

livestock and displacing Tuareg populations to areas<br />

in the south where pastoralism offered minimal<br />

economic survival value. 151 the land reform policies<br />

of Mobido Kieto had already rendered the Tuaregs<br />

more vulnerable than other groups to droughts. In<br />

addition to persistent Tuareg discontent, the 1990-<br />

1995 rebellion also occurred against the backdrop<br />

of a pro-democracy opposition movement against<br />

President Moussa Traore’s corrupt regime. The<br />

accumulation of democratic pressures in the capital<br />

city of Bamako combined with Tuareg rebels’ assault<br />

of the army brought about negotiations between<br />

the two sides. This opening likely presented itself<br />

because President Traore could not simultaneously<br />

afford to deploy state resources in the north to quell<br />

the Tuareg insurgency and to the south to bring the<br />

pro-democracy movement under control. 152<br />

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On 6 January 1991, the rebels and the Malian<br />

government signed the Tamanrasset agreement<br />

pledging to continue negotiations aimed at bringing a<br />

final peace to the conflict. The agreement included a<br />

ceasefire, the mutual transfer of war prisoners, army<br />

withdrawal from northern Mali, rebel withdrawal to<br />

their base camps, opportunities for former rebels to<br />

join the Malian army, and a monitoring commission to<br />

ensure that the stipulations of the agreement would<br />

be implemented. 153 While this agreement was never<br />

fulfilled to the degree of its original intent, it did<br />

provide a basis for future peace negotiations. More<br />

importantly, perhaps, the signing of the tamanrasset<br />

agreement marked the beginning of the rebellion’s<br />

second phase, in which the rebels’ disunity became<br />

more clear: the FPLA (Front Populaire de Liberation<br />

de L’Azawad) supported Tuareg independence<br />

achieved through military action, whereas the MPA<br />

(Mouvement Populaire de l’Azawad) sought political<br />

negotiation of its aim and potential to transform itself<br />

into a viable political party in the future. 154<br />

The pro-democracy movement, meanwhile,<br />

had become even stronger. In the aftermath of a<br />

government crackdown on protestors that led to<br />

hundreds of deaths, 155 a military coup ousted traore<br />

from power, ushering in Amadou toumani toure<br />

(who would himself be elected as president of Mali<br />

in 2002) as interim leader. 156 After being elected<br />

president in the 1992 elections, Alpha Konare granted<br />

greater autonomy to the heavily Tuareg-populated<br />

Kidal region of northern Mali, temporarily abating the<br />

conflict. 157<br />

A soldier mutiny in 1994 exacerbated tensions<br />

between the government and Tuaregs once again:<br />

recently integrated tuareg militants in the Malian army<br />

(per one of the stipulations of the earlier tamanrasset<br />

agreement) murdered their fellow soldiers, as mutual<br />

suspicion ran deep between Tuareg and non-Tuareg<br />

members of the army. 158 Additionally, several Songhoispeaking<br />

militia units that had mobilized to protect<br />

themselves against unprovoked Tuareg aggression<br />

combined in 1994 to form the Malian Patriotic<br />

Movement Ganda Koi. 159 this action stemmed from<br />

perceptions among some groups in Mali that the<br />

government was now providing disproportionately<br />

positive relief efforts and resources to Tuaregs<br />

and thus was being too accommodating towards<br />

an allegedly violent minority. By 1995, the Malian<br />

government had nevertheless managed to secure a<br />

precarious peace, suppressing militant aggression<br />

on the part of the Ganda Koi and pursuing greater<br />

measures to reintegrate tuaregs into Malian society.<br />

It is important to note that at this age the conflict<br />

had assumed an unmistakably economic character—<br />

competition over scarce environmental and state<br />

resources—rather than a primordial ethnic one. 160<br />

The Third Tuareg Rebellion, 2007-2009<br />

In late August of 2007, a “splinter” Tuareg group<br />

under the leadership of Ibrahim ag Bahanga claimed<br />

it had entered into an alliance with Tuareg rebels in<br />

bordering Niger, who had commenced a military<br />

initiative against the Niger government that year. 161<br />

The group launched attacks against government<br />

supply convoys, soldiers, and mining roads in the<br />

regional capital city of Kidal. 162 This development<br />

unfolded despite the fact that the main tuareg<br />

movement in Mali maintained it was adhering to a<br />

2006 peace agreement brokered with the Malian<br />

government that had brought an end to the second<br />

Tuareg insurgency. By September of that year, land<br />

mine explosions had killed dozens of individuals,<br />

some 35 soldiers were being held captive, and the<br />

rebel alliance began to assault army outposts at the<br />

border of Mali and Algeria. 163 the pattern of low<br />

intensity warfare at this time can be summarized as<br />

follows:<br />

Tuareg fighters would lay siege to isolated<br />

government outposts, lay mines and ambush<br />

military convoys, launch periodic armed raids, and<br />

seize hostages before returning to their mountain<br />

hideouts. Government forces would respond to these<br />

incidents by attempting to hunt down the marauding<br />

bands and seize rebel supply cashes. 164<br />

Whereas the beginning of 2008 witnessed a<br />

deepening of the conflict, Mali’s government later<br />

made inroads engaging moderate elements of the<br />

Tuareg militancy, as a Libyan-mediated ceasefire<br />

was achieved by April. 165 But as with earlier peace<br />

agreements forged between the Malian government<br />

and Tuareg rebels, accusations abounded on both<br />

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sides of poor commitment to the terms of the<br />

agreement. By the end of 2008, violent rebel activity<br />

had relatively subsided but no conclusive peace was<br />

established. 166<br />

Having thus far employed a tactical strategy<br />

alternating use of military force with accommodation<br />

of Tuaregs’ political and economic requests, the<br />

Malian government now shifted to executing a fullscale<br />

offensive operation against one particularly<br />

intransigent faction of the Alliance touareg Nord<br />

Mali pour le Changement (ATNMC), that was led by<br />

Ibrahim ag Bahanga. 167 With ag Bahanga’s forces<br />

beleaguered by the Malian army more than ever,<br />

hundreds of Tuareg fighters shed the lingering<br />

defiance of their leader and began to surrender their<br />

arms. 168 A significant portion of ag Bahanda’s forces<br />

fled to Algeria and then Libya, where many would<br />

fight in dictator Muammar al-Gaddafi’s army. This<br />

peace would effectively last fewer than three years<br />

before the current iteration of the historical Tuareg<br />

insurgency.<br />

Timeline of the 2012 Conflict (January –<br />

present)<br />

Self-determination in the Sahara<br />

The proximate cause of the 2012 Tuareg rebellion<br />

was the return of an estimated average of two to<br />

three thousand well-trained Tuareg fighters from<br />

Gaddafi’s Libya. 169 these returning tuaregs joined<br />

forces with the ATNMC formerly led by Ibrahim ag<br />

Bahanga, who had died in August 2011, to form the<br />

Mouvement National de Liberation de l’Azawad<br />

(MNLA) on 16 October 2011. 170 The MNLA sought<br />

“to protect and progressively reoccupy the Azawad<br />

territory” in response to the government’s failure<br />

to engage in productive dialogue with the Tuaregs<br />

and its deployment of troops to the Azawad region,<br />

comprised of Timbuktu, Kidal, and Gao. 171 these three<br />

capitals quickly became the primary focal points of<br />

the fourth and current Tuareg rebellion.<br />

In January 2012, the MNLA launched a full-scale<br />

attack on Menaka in the Gao region of northern<br />

Mali, accusing the government of dishonoring its<br />

commitments to the tuaregs and for undue military<br />

provocation. 172 Not only did the Malian government<br />

of President Amadou toumani toure reportedly lose<br />

ground during the first month of renewed combat,<br />

but the human rights NGO Amnesty International also<br />

criticized the government’s use of military helicopters<br />

on civilian targets, 173 describing the situation as the<br />

“worst human rights crisis in northern Mali for 20<br />

years.” 174 On 18 February 2012, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

reported that upwards of 44,000 Malian refugees had<br />

fled to neighboring Niger, Mauritania, and Burkina<br />

Faso to escape the conflict. 175 the international<br />

Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) also declared in<br />

February that the fighting in northern Mali had caused<br />

internal displacement of 60,000 Malians, separate<br />

from UNHCR’s estimates regarding conflict-induced<br />

forced migration from the country. 176 Lastly, the month<br />

of February was significant because a commission<br />

within Toure’s government announced that al-Qaeda<br />

in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) had collaborated with<br />

the MNLA to kill government soldiers in Aguel’hoc, a<br />

rural village in the Kidal region. 177 The findings arrived<br />

despite the MNLA’s persistent denial of involvement<br />

with islamic extremist groups.<br />

A youth protests the government’s response to Tuareg attacks in<br />

northern Mali in early February 2012<br />

A Competing Vision for Rebellion: The Ansar Dine<br />

Movement<br />

On 13 March 2012, iyag Ag Ghali, a former tuareg<br />

leader, published a video suggesting that the Ansar<br />

Dine (“Defenders of the Faith”), a movement which<br />

had thus far fought alongside the MNLA, seeks to<br />

impose sharia law across northern Mali rather than<br />

to establish a separate and sovereign Azawad, the<br />

latter being the MNLA’s principal goal. 178 Ag Ghali has<br />

become the renegade leader of Ansar Dine within<br />

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the broader anti-government rebellion and allegedly<br />

maintains relations with AQIM via his cousin, who<br />

serves as one of AQIM’s local commanders. 179 Ag<br />

Ghali had not always played an antagonistic role in<br />

Mali; indeed, he had long secured a reputation for<br />

Members of the Islamist rebel group Ansar Dine in Timbuktu in April 2012<br />

functioning as one of the principal power brokers in<br />

northern Mali before he formed the Salafi Islamist<br />

Ansar Dine and effectively commandeered the<br />

insurgency with the help of AQiM and competed with<br />

MNLA-affiliated Tuaregs for control over the Sahel. 180<br />

The Ansar Dine’s own ambitions for all of Mali would<br />

later exacerbate the conflict to unseen levels of<br />

humanitarian and human rights distress.<br />

March Coup: Traore Displaced from Power<br />

Despite President Amadou Toumani Traore’s stated<br />

willingness to once again open dialogue with rebels<br />

on 15 March, a group of soldiers calling themselves<br />

the National Committee for the Restoration of<br />

Democracy and Rule of Law (CNRDR) and emphasizing<br />

grievances with the way Traore’s government had<br />

thus far handled the insurgency, initiated a coup led<br />

by Captain Amadou Sanogo against Mali’s elected<br />

government and proceeded to suspend the Malian<br />

Constitution. 181 Comprised of mainly lower-ranking<br />

officers, the CNDRE additionally claimed it had not<br />

been equipped with the proper resources to combat<br />

the Tuareg rebels, who were meanwhile emboldened<br />

by the influx of weapons from Colonel Gaddafi’s<br />

Libya. 182<br />

the coup elicited international outcry from the<br />

united States, the African union, and this united<br />

<strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, who<br />

expressed concern about Mali’s<br />

rapidly deteriorating humanitarian<br />

situation, referring to growing<br />

food insecurity in the Sahel given<br />

that the CNRDR had closed off the<br />

country’s land and air borders. 183<br />

Political analysts, on the other<br />

hand, cited the coup as an<br />

“unexpected political [mutation]”<br />

and destabilizing consequence<br />

of Gaddafi’s overthrow in<br />

Libya, ushering in even greater<br />

uncertainty to Western Africa. 184 in<br />

a troubling sign of this uncertainty,<br />

the economic Community of<br />

West African States (ECOWAS)<br />

declared on 29 March 2012 that it<br />

was cancelling its mission to Mali<br />

due to security concerns over its members’ safety. 185<br />

ECOWAS provided the CNRDR a timeframe of 72 hours<br />

to relinquish power or be subject to comprehensive<br />

economic sanctions. 186 in response to noncompliance<br />

by the CNRDR, ECOWAS adopted measures to close<br />

Mali’s borders off to trade and freeze its access to<br />

bank accounts, with observers highlighting that<br />

landlocked Mali could not survive economically in the<br />

face of a widespread blockade. 187 Captain Amadou<br />

Sanogo, the coup’s leader, shared tentative plans<br />

to instate a transition body possessing the intent to<br />

organizing free and unfettered elections in which the<br />

CNRDR would not assert a stake. 188<br />

By the end of March, witnesses to coup-related<br />

violence observed that both the MNLA and Ansar Dine<br />

were fighting on the same side against government<br />

forces. 189 But this dynamic, as mentioned previously,<br />

shifted decisively after the coup d’etat. Although the<br />

MNLA had captured Gao by 31 March, reports arriving<br />

on 1 April indicated that the Ansar dine had in the<br />

meantime seized Timbuktu from the MNLA, signaling<br />

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divergence in their aims. 190 In Timbuktu, the Ansar<br />

Dine “had [now] begun ordering women to cover<br />

themselves with veils,” declaring that they wanted<br />

imposition of Islamic sharia law rather than seeking<br />

an independent Azawad. 191 Ansar Dine’s leader, Ag<br />

Ghali, appeared publicly in Timbuktu with Algerian<br />

AQIM leader Mokhtar Belmokhtar the following<br />

day, on the heels of Belmokhtar’s alleged “shopping<br />

trip” to Libya for weapons, further confirming a link<br />

between the terrorist group Al Qaeda and the Ansar<br />

dine. 192<br />

Map of lands claimed by Tuareg rebels (as of 5 April 2012)<br />

On 6 April, MNLA rebels seized control of Gao,<br />

declaring it the capital city of a new independent<br />

state called Azawad. 193 the African union, european<br />

union, and former West African colonial power<br />

France refused to recognize this declaration of<br />

independence. 194 Nevertheless, ECOWAS and the<br />

CNRdR managed to reach a deal in which the<br />

junta surrendered power to parliament speaker<br />

dioncounda traore, who was sworn in as the new<br />

interim president of Mali on 12 April. 195<br />

Current Situation in Mali: From Tuareg Self-<br />

Determination to Radical Islamic Terror<br />

Although the standoff between the MNLA and<br />

Malian government had been tentatively stabilized,<br />

the northern Mali conflict had already expanded<br />

to involve several insurgent groups. From April<br />

onwards, the MNLA found itself fighting the Ansar<br />

Dine, other newly mobilized Arab militia groups, and<br />

protestors—setting up a more complex insurgency<br />

landscape than ever before. The National Liberation<br />

Front of Azawad (FNLA), a local ethnic Arab militia<br />

that had been allied with the Malian government<br />

prior to the coup but defected sides after the ousting<br />

of traore from power in March, 196 entered the fray<br />

on 8 April when it announced its decision to oppose<br />

Tuareg rule. The FLNA’s Secretary-General Mohamed<br />

Lamine Sidad stated that his group sought to neither<br />

gain independence nor impose sharia law, but rather<br />

to secure the Arab trading community’s economic<br />

interests in Timbuktu, which had been overrun by<br />

MNLA rebels. 197 to further complicate allegiances<br />

after the coup, those Malians who did not support<br />

partitioning of the country vis-à-vis the MNLA’s<br />

separatist push for an independent Azawad often<br />

cast their support to islamist groups who challenged<br />

the largely-Tuareg MNLA.<br />

Following the Battle of Gao, the Ansar dine and<br />

the Movement for Oneness and Jihad in West Africa<br />

(MOJWA), an al-Qaeda offshoot that has allied with<br />

the Ansar Dine, claimed complete control over<br />

Mali’s desert north. The shootout in Gao on 26 June<br />

between Tuareg separatists and al-Qaeda-linked<br />

islamists culminated in 20 deaths. 198<br />

Ansar Dine’s role in the northern Mali conflict has<br />

progressed beyond wresting control of the void left<br />

by Malian government forces after the March coup.<br />

To the Tuaregs’ acute discontent, the ascendency<br />

of Ansar dine threatens the fate of Azawad, with<br />

northern Mali firmly under Islamist control. Moreover,<br />

the focus of the Islamist insurgency is more ambitious<br />

in scope—the imposition of sharia law throughout all<br />

of Mali—and has therefore proven to be more violent<br />

than perhaps the Tuareg rebellion that preceded it.<br />

On September 1, the Ansar Dine gained a strategic<br />

victory when MOJWA fighters seized control of the<br />

central Malian town of Douentza after a brief skirmish<br />

with Douentza’s local militia, causing the broader<br />

conflict to spread beyond northern Mali. 199<br />

earlier in August, united <strong>Nations</strong> Secretary-General<br />

Ban Ki-moon addressed the “deeply troubling<br />

situation” in Mali and called on the UN <strong>Security</strong><br />

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<strong>Council</strong> to take a more active role in the conflict,<br />

specifically the use of targeted financial and travel<br />

sanctions against those individuals and groups in Mali<br />

involved in “terrorist, religious extremist, or criminal<br />

activities.” 200<br />

Discussion of the Problem<br />

Human Rights Violations and War Crimes<br />

Following a 10-day mission in April 2012 to Mali’s<br />

capital, Bamako, the Human Rights Watch (HRW)<br />

concluded that separatist Tuareg rebels, Islamist<br />

armed groups, and Arab militias alike have committed<br />

war crimes. 201 These crimes have included summary<br />

executions, amputations, rape of women and young<br />

girls, use of child soldiers, and raids of medical facilities<br />

and humanitarian aid agencies. 202 in a report to the<br />

UN Human Rights <strong>Council</strong> in Geneva, UN<br />

High Commissioner for Human Rights<br />

Navi Pillay stated, “the various armed<br />

groups currently occupying northern<br />

Mali have been committing serious<br />

human rights violations and possibly<br />

war crimes.” 203 Pillay similarly pointed<br />

to the recruitment of child soldiers<br />

and also stoning of victims, violations<br />

of freedom of expression, freedom<br />

of religion, and encroachment upon<br />

cultural rights. 204 She further warned, “I<br />

am afraid the humanitarian and human<br />

rights situation in the whole of the Sahel<br />

region will dangerously deteriorate if<br />

the crisis in northern Mali is not urgently<br />

addressed.” 205<br />

In early October, Assistant Secretary-<br />

General for Human Rights Ivan Simonovic<br />

issued a press release declaring, “[w]<br />

omen are the primary victims of the<br />

current crisis and have been disproportionately<br />

affected by situation in the north [of Mali].” 206<br />

Women in Mali have especially been protesting the<br />

forced imposition of sharia law by Islamist groups<br />

that have assumed control since the March coup that<br />

ousted Amadou toumani traore from the presidency.<br />

On 6 October, a report surfaced that 200 women had<br />

marched in protest against islamist groups who are<br />

requiring women to wear veils. 207 Cisse toure, one<br />

of the protestors, shared, “Life has become more<br />

difficult with these people. […] We are tired. They<br />

impose veils on us and now they are hunting us like<br />

bandits for not wearing them.” 208 in areas where<br />

sharia law is being most strictly enforced, women<br />

have also even been barred from attending work. 209<br />

Future of Food Insecurity in Mali<br />

Mali is confronting an impending food crisis<br />

plaguing an estimated 75 percent of the African<br />

continent. 210 Armed conflict in the Sahel, however,<br />

has exacerbated food security issues stemming from<br />

sparse rainfall in 2011 and stands poised to cause<br />

further deterioration of the overall humanitarian<br />

situation in the country. in particular, humanitarian<br />

agencies have faced difficulty delivering food aid to<br />

rebel strongholds throughout the north, where the<br />

Mali’s children are suffering from the compounded crises of food and water shortage<br />

and armed rebellion, UNICEF has warned.<br />

UN estimates 1.6 million people are at risk for food<br />

insecurity. 211 These efforts are taking place against the<br />

looming specter of possible military intervention by<br />

the Malian government to bring stability to the region.<br />

Relief organizations fear that such intervention,<br />

depending on how it is executed, could pose a serious<br />

setback to humanitarian initiatives. 212<br />

in addition, the Malian Red Cross has reported that<br />

it has been facing resistance from the Ansar Dine and<br />

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MOJWA in gaining access to affected communities.<br />

The head of the Malian Red Cross, Abdourahmane<br />

Cisse, stated, “We have never had this problem in<br />

Mali in the past, but the Islamists do not like the cross<br />

[hinting at the Red Cross’s insignia], seeing it as a<br />

Christian thing.” 213 Armed assailants’ looting of reliefrelated<br />

equipment and appropriation of vehicles has<br />

also severely hampered aid efforts. 214<br />

Islamic Radicalism<br />

until the most recent iterations of the tuareg<br />

rebellions, West Africa—and Mali in particular—had<br />

remained a buffer area of more moderate political<br />

rule, compared to, for example, that of neighboring<br />

Mauritania, whose governments have been more<br />

repressive215 and religiously intolerant. Prior to the<br />

March 2012 military coup, Mali had experienced<br />

almost two decades of stable democratic government<br />

and hailed as one of the model African democracies<br />

during that time. it had further rejected the idea of<br />

instating a de jure Islamic republic, but still was still<br />

home to tolerant strain of Sufi Islam that largely<br />

dismissed the notion of imposing shari’a law, 216 a task<br />

that Ansar Dine has now violently assumed. Thus, the<br />

conflict in Mali, if left unresolved any further, risks<br />

the opening up of ungoverned spaces where more<br />

radical Islamist rebel groups can launch large-scale<br />

recruitment and insurgency efforts. These Islamic<br />

extremists believe that US influence in the West<br />

Africa has led to a suppression of Islam and seek<br />

to revive it by any means they see fit. At stake in a<br />

regionally cooperative resolution of the conflict is<br />

northern Mali, then, is the effective neutralization of<br />

any proliferating radicalism in West Africa.<br />

Recent uN Actions<br />

Following a request from Dioncounda Traore’s<br />

interim government for military resources to assist<br />

Mali’s state armed forces in retaking control of the<br />

country’s north, the UN <strong>Security</strong> passed a resolution<br />

that could lead to international military intervention<br />

in the near future. the <strong>Council</strong> urged uN Secretary-<br />

General Ban Ki-moon to contribute military and<br />

security planners to the economic Community of<br />

West African States (ECOWAS), the African Union<br />

(AU), and their partners to help these organizations<br />

to put together a recovery force. 217 It must be made<br />

clear that while this resolution authorized the<br />

planning of a possible military intervention—whose<br />

detailed recommendations will be presented to the<br />

<strong>Council</strong> 45 days after the resolution’s passage—it did<br />

not authorize the deployment of the use of force.<br />

two days after the France-drafted resolution<br />

was passed, Al-Qaeda-linked armed groups in Mali<br />

threatened to “open the doors of hell” for French<br />

citizens if France continued its efforts to push for<br />

armed intervention to recapture Mali’s north. 218<br />

A spokesman for MOJWA reportedly warned, “if<br />

[French President Francois Hollande] continues to<br />

throw oil on the fire, we will send him pictures of<br />

dead French hostages in the coming days.” 219<br />

In the meantime, the European Union began<br />

preparations for a possible military mission in Mali. A<br />

statement issued by 27 EU ministers pledged that the<br />

Union “is determined to back Mali in re-establishing<br />

the rule of law and a democratic and fully sovereign<br />

government across its entire territory.” 220<br />

Ambassador Mark Lyall Grant of the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom expressed<br />

concern in March 2012 about the mobilization of terrorist and other<br />

armed groups that have worsened northern Mali’s humanitarian<br />

crisis.<br />

Proposed Solutions<br />

Speaking at a special session on the situation in Mali<br />

at the UN General Assembly in late September, U.S.<br />

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton emphasized, “[the<br />

conflict in northern Mali] is not only a humanitarian<br />

crisis. It is a powder keg that the international<br />

community cannot afford to ignore. […] This effort<br />

must include coordinating the delivery of emergency<br />

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aid, helping address long-standing political grievances<br />

of ethnic groups in the North, and preparing for<br />

credible elections.” 221<br />

A Negotiated Solution<br />

While many analysts of the conflict claim that<br />

a negotiated solution in Mali is unrealistic at this<br />

stage, it must nevertheless still be considered<br />

thoroughly prior to any<br />

authorization of military<br />

intervention, especially<br />

given that Islamist groups<br />

have threatened violent<br />

retribution against foreign<br />

citizens if intervention<br />

is carried out. Mali’s<br />

northern neighbor Algeria<br />

has also continued to<br />

advocate a negotiated<br />

solution to the crisis out<br />

of concern that an Africanled<br />

military intervention<br />

could destabilize its own<br />

borders. Moreover, an<br />

intervention that is too<br />

hastily formulated or<br />

inefficiently executed could<br />

likely end up worsening<br />

and protracting the<br />

conflict—particularly its<br />

humanitarian dimension—<br />

rather than ameliorating it.<br />

Military Intervention<br />

Recent actions taken by<br />

eCOWAS, the Au, and the<br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> suggest<br />

that intervention, though<br />

it has not received official<br />

authorization from the<br />

<strong>Council</strong>, is a likely outcome.<br />

Any form of military<br />

intervention will have to<br />

“take into account the broader regional dynamics<br />

at play and firmly engage partners such as Algeria,<br />

Tunisia, and Senegal in helping to quell the growth of<br />

criminal and terrorist networks in the region.” 222 power.<br />

it will<br />

Dioncounda Traore has been serving as Mali’s interim president<br />

since his appointment on 12 April 2012, following the March coup<br />

which saw military junta captain Amadou Sanogo transfer over<br />

have to provide specific provisions for the role of the<br />

transitional government and the intervening forces’<br />

relationship with that government. Furthermore,<br />

the purpose of deploying military force would<br />

ultimately be to work towards setting up an election<br />

process that confers greater legitimacy on the new<br />

government. [Ed Note: This guide was completed<br />

before 2013. Updates on<br />

French intervention will<br />

be provided in the update<br />

paper.]<br />

Bloc Positions<br />

North America, Western<br />

Europe, and Others<br />

the united States has<br />

recognized the merits<br />

of a political solution<br />

to the armed conflict in<br />

Mali—namely the value of<br />

reaching out to moderate<br />

Tuaregs—but has also<br />

emphasized readiness<br />

for a probable military<br />

campaign in the region.<br />

In September, Secretary<br />

Clinton also pointed out<br />

new emerging dimensions<br />

of the conflict in northern<br />

Mali, saying, “it’s not only<br />

the violent extremists. We<br />

now have drug traffickers<br />

and arms smugglers finding<br />

safe havens and porous<br />

borders, providing them<br />

a launching pad to extend<br />

their reach throughout<br />

not only the region, but<br />

beyond […] This is not<br />

only a humanitarian crisis;<br />

it is a powder keg that the<br />

international community<br />

cannot afford to ignore.” 223 the united States is<br />

acutely concerned about possible expansion of al<br />

Qaeda’s influence in the region through its potential<br />

penetration of ungoverned lands and through its<br />

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alleged connection with Ansar dine.<br />

Like the <strong>United</strong> States, the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom is<br />

keen to prevent regional instability. And further like<br />

the U.S., it perceives neighboring Algeria as a key<br />

partner in this cause. Visiting Minister for the Middle<br />

East and North Africa Alistair Burt visited Algiers in<br />

June 2012, where he stated that the UK views military<br />

intervention in Mali as a “last resort” and stands in<br />

support of Algeria’s call for the crisis in Mali to be<br />

ameliorated through dialogue and negotiation. 224<br />

France has the most intimate historical ties with<br />

Mali, which was its former colonial subject. France<br />

seeks to prioritize an African solution to the Mali<br />

crisis and does not intend to intervene directly in<br />

the country. 225 It is, however, committed to offering<br />

logistical support to eCOWAS as it executes any<br />

possible ground operations.<br />

East Asia<br />

China first entered into diplomatic relations with<br />

Mali in 1960, and Sino-Malian relations have since<br />

been strengthened over time. China’s trade with<br />

Mali was valued at USD $280 in 2008, according to<br />

the Chinese embassy in Mali. 226 While China generally<br />

pursues a foreign policy of non-interference in<br />

countries’ internal matters, it does assign weight<br />

to the influence of regional bodies (its veto of the<br />

Morocco-backed Arab-European draft resolution on<br />

Syria was the most recent notable exception to this<br />

trend). China has, to that end, pledged its support to<br />

ECOWAS to protect Mali’s civilians and bring peace to<br />

the Sahel. China has also not challenged debate about<br />

possible African military stabilization force in Mali.<br />

South Asia<br />

Pakistan has been implicated in the northern Mali<br />

conflict via allegations that it is providing jihadists to<br />

train and arm Malian Islamist rebels. Most notable,<br />

Niger’s president Mahamadou Issofou claimed in<br />

July 2012, “We have information of the presence of<br />

Afghans, Pakistanis in northern Mali operating as<br />

trainers. […] They are training those that have been<br />

recruited [to rebel against the government] in West<br />

Africa.” 227 Pakistan can be expected to vehemently<br />

deny these allegations when it takes the floor in the<br />

<strong>Council</strong>’s next session.<br />

Eastern Europe<br />

the Russian Federation has its own history of<br />

contending with radical Islam in the republic of<br />

Tatarstan, located east of Moscow, and can thus offer<br />

valuable perspective on the threat posed by Ansar<br />

Dine in the Islamic Maghreb. Russia condemned<br />

the March 2012 coup and “demanded that the junta<br />

leaders should restore the constitutional order and<br />

ensure the return of the democratically elected<br />

president to power.” 228 Like China, Russia has not<br />

contested the possibility of deploying an African<br />

military stabilization force to northern Mali.<br />

Latin America and the Caribbean<br />

Latin American countries’ stake in the Mali crisis<br />

largely has to do with trade and investment, as the<br />

LAC (Latin America and the Caribbean) region and<br />

Africa have both largely defied the global trend of<br />

economic downturn. Argentina, for example, has<br />

signed an agreement with 22 other African countries,<br />

including Mali, that covers “interchange and<br />

cooperation in agriculture, science and technology,<br />

trade, culture and education, and technological<br />

development, energy, fishery, health, credit lines.” 229<br />

If instability persists in the Sahel, these interests and<br />

lucrative bilateral relationships will likely be severely<br />

disturbed.<br />

Africa<br />

Rwanda and togo are the current African union<br />

members on the UN <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> and will be<br />

responsible for delivering the views of the AU. They<br />

will be especially vocal regarding what resources they<br />

deem necessary to halting the violence in northern<br />

Mali. Togo is additionally a member of the Economic<br />

Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and<br />

thus possesses the dual responsibility of expressing<br />

that body’s views as well. Whereas members of<br />

the Morrocan press have allegedly stated that<br />

the Moroccan people sympathize with some of<br />

the Tuaregs’ grievances and wanted to see their<br />

country serve as a regional mediator in the conflict,<br />

the Moroccan Foreign Ministry rejected the tuareg<br />

rebels’ declaration of an independent Azawad. 230<br />

Morocco can be expected to push for a more inclusive<br />

resolution to security threats to the Sahel that take<br />

into account other economic and social concerns.<br />

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Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />

(QARMA)<br />

1. Should the <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> definitively<br />

2.<br />

authorize and pursue actual deployment of<br />

international military force in brining stability<br />

to Mali’s rebel-held north?<br />

If military intervention is to be authorized,<br />

what type of a timeline should be suggested?<br />

3. How should the forced imposition of sharia law<br />

by Islamist groups in Mali be tackled?<br />

4. How can Mali’s government work towards<br />

holding credible elections that will ensure the<br />

most stable political transition?<br />

5. How will punitive action be taken against<br />

various actors in the insurgency (the MNLA,<br />

Ansar Dine, and MOJWA) that have committed<br />

human rights violations and war crimes?<br />

6. How will Mali’s borders be protected to both<br />

prevent the illegal entry of arms that could<br />

embolden militant groups and ensure the safe<br />

transport of Malian refugees?<br />

7. What measures will be taken to provide relief<br />

to Mali’s over 170,000 internally displaced<br />

persons in the northern cities of Gao, Kidal, and<br />

Timbuktu?<br />

Suggestions for Further Research<br />

As with Topic A, the background information<br />

contained herein is intended to serve as a starting<br />

point for your own independent research. this means<br />

that in order to perform well in this committee, you<br />

are not only encouraged but also expected to consult<br />

other academic and media resources in crafting and<br />

proposing your delegation’s solution for the crisis in<br />

Mali. For a comprehensive overview of the first three<br />

Tuareg rebellions, I would recommend the following<br />

texts:<br />

• Tuareg Rebellion (2007-2009) edited by Jesse<br />

Russell and Ronald Cohn (2012) for an account<br />

of more recent series of insurgencies by the<br />

tuareg peoples<br />

• “Desert Insurgency: lessons from the<br />

third Tuareg rebellion” in Small Wars and<br />

Insurgencies by Stephen A. Emerson (2011) for<br />

reasons behind the third Tuareg rebellion and<br />

a comparative analysis of counter-insurgency<br />

strategies employed by Mali and Niger<br />

• Disputed Desert: Decolonisation, Competing<br />

Nationalisms and Tuareg Rebellions in Northern<br />

Mali by Jean Sebastian Lecocq (2010) for<br />

important historical background on Tuareg<br />

history and politics<br />

• Conflict and Conflict Resolution in the Sahel:<br />

The Tuareg Insurgency in Mali by Kalifa Kieta<br />

(2008) for perspective on the conflict from<br />

a lieutenant colonel who formerly served in<br />

Mali’s army<br />

To keep track of the current radical Islamist phase<br />

of the crisis in Mali, i would again suggest Al Jazeera<br />

and BBC News’s coverage of the ongoing conflict.<br />

Once again, please remain attentive to the level of<br />

objectivity of any sources you consult over the course<br />

of your own research.<br />

Position Paper Guidelines<br />

Position papers should be no longer than two<br />

pages double-spaced in Times New Roman font with<br />

one-inch margins. They will be due at a time and date<br />

to be posted on the <strong>World</strong>MUN Melbourne website.<br />

Devote one page to each of the two topics on our<br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>’s agenda. In these two subsections,<br />

please first discuss how either the Syrian or Malian<br />

civil conflicts have affected the country you will be<br />

representing politically or economically and then<br />

proceed to suggest some solutions that accord<br />

with your country’s authentic position in current<br />

international affairs. Finally, briefly discuss a weakness<br />

of your proposed solution for each topic and how the<br />

<strong>Council</strong> can work together to improve it.<br />

Closing Remarks<br />

delegates,<br />

Our <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> session has the distinct<br />

responsibility of addressing two topics that have<br />

dominated global humanitarian and/or political news<br />

for most of 2012. I am confident in your ability to make<br />

the most of our committee sessions to draw on your<br />

research, persuasive oratory, and, above all, your<br />

willingness to cooperate with your fellow delegates<br />

to reach meaningful resolutions.<br />

I am incredibly excited to see what you will<br />

33<br />

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accomplish in March! Again, if you have any questions<br />

at all about <strong>World</strong>MUN or the research process,<br />

please feel free to contact me at sc@worldmun.org.<br />

Until Melbourne!<br />

Best wishes,<br />

Aparajita tripathi<br />

Chair, uN <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong><br />

Endnotes<br />

1 “Charter, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, Chapter V: The <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>Council</strong>.” UN News Center. UN, n.d. Web.<br />

2 “<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, SC, UNSC, <strong>Security</strong>, Peace, Sanctions,<br />

Veto, Resolution, President, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, UN,<br />

Peacekeeping, Peacebuilding, Conflict Resolution,<br />

Prevention.” UN News Center. UN, n.d. Web.<br />

3 Pipes, 151<br />

4 Ibid.<br />

5 Ibid.<br />

6 Walt, 54<br />

7 Ibid.<br />

8 Pipes, 158<br />

9 Ibid.<br />

10 “Hafiz Al-Assad (president of Syria).” Encyclopedia<br />

Britannica Online. Encyclopedia Britannica, n.d. Web.<br />

11 Ibid.<br />

12 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 9<br />

13 “Hafiz Al-Assad (president of Syria).” Encyclopedia<br />

Britannica Online. Encyclopedia Britannica, n.d. Web.<br />

14 Zahler, 8<br />

15 Zahler, 6<br />

16 “The Damascus Spring -Carnegie Middle East Center -<br />

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.” Carnegie<br />

Endowment for International Peace. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

17 Ibid.<br />

18 Ibid.<br />

19 Noueheid and Warren, 44<br />

20 Noueheid and Warren, 45<br />

21 Noueheid and Warren, 46<br />

22 Miles, Tom, and Stephanie Nebehay. “UN Human Rights<br />

Chief Faults Both Sides in Syria.” Reuters. Thomson<br />

Reuters, 10 Sept. 2012. Web.<br />

23 “Syria Profile.” BBC News. BBC, 12 Dec. 2012. Web.<br />

24 “Syria: ‘Dozens Injured’ in Baniyas as Arrests Continue.” BBC<br />

News. BBC, 04 Dec. 2011. Web.<br />

25 “Syria Profile.” BBC News. BBC, 12 Dec. 2012. Web.<br />

26 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 15<br />

27 Ibid.<br />

28 Ibid.<br />

29 Ibid.<br />

30 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 16<br />

31 Ibid.<br />

32 “Syrian State TV Reports 120 <strong>Security</strong> Forces ‘killed in<br />

Massacre’” - The National. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

33 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 21<br />

34 Ibid.<br />

35 Ibid.<br />

36 Ibid.<br />

37 “Syria: ‘Hundreds of Thousands’ Join Anti-Assad<br />

Protests.” BBC News. BBC, 07 Jan. 2011. Web.<br />

38 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 10<br />

39 “Syria: ‘Hundreds of Thousands’ Join Anti-Assad<br />

Protests.” BBC News. BBC, 07 Jan. 2011. Web.<br />

40 “Syria: Shootings, Arrests Follow Hama Protest | Human<br />

Rights Watch.” Syria: Shootings, Arrests Follow Hama<br />

Protest | Human Rights Watch. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

41 Ibid.<br />

42 “AFP: Syrian Army Kills 100 in Hama Crackdown:<br />

Activists.” Google News. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

43 “Syria Profile.” BBC News. BBC, 12 Dec. 2012. Web.<br />

44 “AFP: Syrian Army Kills 100 in Hama Crackdown:<br />

Activists.” Google News. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

45 Holliday, Joseph. “Syria’s Armed Opposition.” Institute for<br />

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46 Ibid.<br />

the Study of War, n.d. Web., pg. 14<br />

47 Holliday, Joseph. “Syria’s Armed Opposition.” Institute for<br />

the Study of War, n.d. Web., pg. 15<br />

48 “Obama Calls on Syria’s Assad to Step aside - Middle East -<br />

Al Jazeera English.” Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

49 Ibid.<br />

50 “EU Extends Sanctions against Syrian Regime.” European<br />

Voice. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

51 “Obama Calls on Syria’s Assad to Step aside - Middle East -<br />

Al Jazeera English.” Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

52 Ibid.<br />

53 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 16<br />

54 Ibid.<br />

55 Holliday, Joseph. “Syria’s Armed Opposition.” Institute for<br />

the Study of War, n.d. Web., pg. 35<br />

56 Ibid.<br />

57 “Syria Enters in Civil War with Combat between Syrian<br />

Army Soldiers Defectors Al Jazeera Video.” YouTube.<br />

YouTube, 11 Nov. 2011. Web.<br />

58 Macfarquhar, Neil. “UN Resolution on Syria Blocked by<br />

Russia and China.” The New York Times. The New York<br />

Times, 05 Oct. 2011. Web.<br />

59 “<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Fails to Adopt Draft Resolution on Syria<br />

as Russian Federation, China Veto Text Supporting Arab<br />

League’s Proposed Peace Plan.” UN News Center. UN, 02<br />

Apr. 2012. Web.<br />

60 Ibid.<br />

61 “Syria Profile.” BBC News. BBC, 12 Dec. 2012. Web.<br />

62 “Kofi Annan Appointed Joint Special Envoy of <strong>United</strong><br />

<strong>Nations</strong>, League Of Arab States on Syrian Crisis.” UN News<br />

Center. UN, 23 Feb. 2012. Web.<br />

63 Ibid.<br />

64 Oweis, Khaled Yacoub, and Louis Charbonneau. “UN<br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Condemns Syria over Massacre.” Reuters.<br />

Thomson Reuters, 27 May 2012. Web.<br />

65 “Houla Massacre: UN Blames Syria Troops and Militia.” BBC<br />

News. BBC, 15 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />

66 Ibid.<br />

67 Oweis, Khaled Yacoub, and Louis Charbonneau. “UN<br />

<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Condemns Syria over Massacre.” Reuters.<br />

68 Ibid.<br />

Thomson Reuters, 27 May 2012. Web.<br />

69 “Syria Profile.” BBC News. BBC, 12 Dec. 2012. Web.<br />

70 “Assad Announces New Syrian Cabinet.” Al Akhbar English.<br />

N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

71 Ibid.<br />

72 “Assad Says Syria Faces War ‘waged from Outside’” UNHCR.<br />

N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

73 Ibid.<br />

74 Pannell, Ian. “Syria: Aleppo Is Nail in Assad’s Coffin, Says<br />

Panetta.” BBC News. BBC, 30 July 2012. Web.<br />

75 Ibid.<br />

76 Muir, Jim. “Syria Conflict: Key Aleppo District Sees Fierce<br />

Clashes.” BBC News. BBC, 08 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />

77 “News.” Syria: From All-out Repression to Armed Conflict<br />

in Aleppo. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

78 “Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court.” Rome<br />

Statute of the International Criminal Court. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

79 “General Assembly, in Resolution, Demands All in Syria<br />

‘Immediately And Visibly’ Commit to Ending Violence That<br />

Secretary-General Says Is Ripping Country Apart.” UN<br />

News Center. UN, 03 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />

80 “Russia, China Blast UN Resolution on Syria - Middle East<br />

- Al Jazeera English.” Russia, China Blast UN Resolution on<br />

Syria - Middle East - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

81 “Syrian PM Defects from Assad Government - Middle<br />

East - Al Jazeera English.” Syrian PM Defects from Assad<br />

Government - Middle East - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d.<br />

Web.<br />

82 Ibid.<br />

83 Ibid.<br />

84 Beirut, Lebanon., Rick Gladstone; Christine Hauser<br />

Contributed Reporting From New York, And Hwaida Saad<br />

From. “Annan Steps Down as Peace Envoy and Cites<br />

Barriers in Syria and <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.” The New York Times.<br />

The New York Times, 03 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />

85 “UN Report Slams Assad Forces for War Crimes - Middle<br />

East - Al Jazeera English.” UN Report Slams Assad Forces<br />

for War Crimes - Middle East - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d.<br />

Web.<br />

86 Ibid.<br />

87 Ibid.<br />

88 Miles, Tom, and Stephanie Nebehay. “UN Human Rights<br />

Chief Faults Both Sides in Syria.” Reuters. Thomson<br />

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Reuters, 10 Sept. 2012. Web.<br />

89 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 9<br />

90 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 10<br />

91 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 11<br />

92 “Syria: The Revolution Will Be Weaponised - Features - Al<br />

Jazeera English.” Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

93 Ibid.<br />

94 Holliday, Joseph. “Syria’s Armed Opposition.” Institute for<br />

the Study of War, n.d. Web.<br />

95 “Yemen Fox - Clinton Says Some Arab Changes May Come<br />

Slowly.” Yemen Fox - Clinton Says Some Arab Changes May<br />

Come Slowly. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

96 Ibid.<br />

97 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 10<br />

98 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 19<br />

99 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 15<br />

100 Black, Ian, and Saeed Kamali Dehghan. “Iran Backs Assad in<br />

Syria Crisis and Blames ‘warmongering’ US.” The Guardian.<br />

Guardian News and Media, 07 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />

101 Ibid.<br />

102 Barghi, Shirin. “Syria Conflict: Iran Supplies Arms To Assad<br />

Regime, UN Says.” The Huffington Post. TheHuffingtonPost.<br />

com, 22 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />

103 “Syria Today: Iraq Denies Role in the Conflict.” CNN. N.p.,<br />

06 Sept. 2012. Web.<br />

104 Holliday, Joseph. “The Struggle for Syria in 2011: An<br />

Operational and Regional Analysis.” Institute for the Study<br />

of War, n.d. Web., pg. 23<br />

105 Grove, Thomas. “Russia to Sell Arms to Syria, Sales Overall<br />

to Rise.” Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 17 Aug. 2011. Web.<br />

106 “<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Imposes Sanctions on Libyan Authorities<br />

in Bid to Stem Violent Repression.” UN News Center. UN,<br />

26 Feb. 2011. Web.<br />

107 Grove, Thomas. “Russia to Sell Arms to Syria, Sales Overall<br />

to Rise.” Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 17 Aug. 2011. Web.<br />

108 “In Presidential Statement, <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Gives Full<br />

Support To Efforts of Joint Special Envoy of <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>,<br />

Arab League to End Violence in Syria.” UN News Center.<br />

UN, 21 Mar. 2012. Web.<br />

109 “Kofi Annan’s Six-point Plan for Syria - Middle East - Al<br />

Jazeera English.” Kofi Annan’s Six-point Plan for Syria -<br />

Middle East - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

110 “Kofi Annan Washes Hands of Syria.” The Independent.<br />

Independent Digital News and Media, n.d. Web.<br />

111 Zakaria, Fareed. “The Case Against Intervention in<br />

Syria.” Time. Time, n.d. Web.<br />

112 Holliday, Joseph. “Syria’s Armed Opposition.” Institute for<br />

the Study of War, n.d. Web., pg. 6<br />

113 Zakaria, Fareed. “The Case Against Intervention in<br />

Syria.” Time. Time, n.d. Web.<br />

114 “Syria, A Path to Justice | Human Rights Watch.” Syria, A<br />

Path to Justice | Human Rights Watch. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

115 Ibid.<br />

116 Staff, CNN Wire. “Obama Warns Syria Not to Cross ‘red<br />

Line’” CNN. Cable News Network, n.d. Web.<br />

117 “How Britain’s Position on Intervening in Syria Has<br />

Shifted.” The Telegraph. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

118 Ibid.<br />

119 Qaboun, Syria., Steven Erlanger; Reporting Was<br />

Contributed By Kareem Fahim And Hwaida Saad From<br />

Beirut, Lebanon; Sebnem Arsu From Istanbul; Rick<br />

Gladstone From New York; And An Employee Of The New<br />

York Times From. “France Urges Creation of Interim Syrian<br />

Government, Pledging Recognition.” The New York Times.<br />

The New York Times, 28 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />

120 “International Responses to the Syrian Uprising: March<br />

2011.” June 2012. Parliament of Australia. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

121 Votes and Proceedings of the Australian House of<br />

Representatives, No. 2, 2012, Forty Third Parliament; First<br />

Session, Fifth Period<br />

122 “International Responses to the Syrian Uprising: March<br />

2011.” June 2012. Parliament of Australia. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

123 “Pakistan Sticks to Its Principled Stand on Syrian<br />

Crisis.” The Nation. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

124 Ibid.<br />

125 Ibid.<br />

126 Barry, Ellen. “NEWS ANALYSIS; In Its Unyielding Stance on<br />

Syria, Russia Takes Substantial Risks in Middle East.” The<br />

New York Times. The New York Times, 09 June 2012. Web.<br />

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127 Ibid.<br />

128 “General Assembly, in Resolution, Demands All in Syria<br />

‘Immediately And Visibly’ Commit to Ending Violence That<br />

Secretary-General Says Is Ripping Country Apart.” UN<br />

News Center. UN, 03 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />

129 Ibid.<br />

130 “UN Arab-European Draft Resolution on Syria to Stress<br />

Need to Solve Crisis Peacefully.” UN Arab-European<br />

Draft Resolution on Syria to Stress Need to Solve Crisis<br />

Peacefully. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

131 “Office of The Special Adviser on The Prevention of<br />

Genocide.” UN News Center. UN, n.d. Web.<br />

132 “Mali’s Tuareg Rebellion: What Next? - Opinion - Al Jazeera<br />

English.” Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

133 Krings, 57<br />

134 Krings, 58<br />

135 Ibid.<br />

136 Lecocq, 33-34<br />

137 Lecocq, 34<br />

138 Lecocq, 35<br />

139 Ibid.<br />

140 Lecocq, 66<br />

141 Ibid.<br />

142 Kieta, 9<br />

143 Ibid.<br />

144 Lecocq, 74<br />

145 Lecocq, 83<br />

146 Lecocq, 85<br />

147 Kieta, 10<br />

148 “Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al Jazeera<br />

English.” Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al<br />

Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

149 Kieta, 13<br />

150 Ibid.<br />

151 Kieta, 12<br />

152 Lecocq, 239<br />

153 Lecocq, 240<br />

154 Lecocq, 243<br />

155 Lecocq, 248<br />

156 “Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al Jazeera<br />

English.” Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al<br />

Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

157 Ibid.<br />

158 Kieta, 18<br />

159 Kieta, 20<br />

160 Ibid.<br />

161 “Tuareg Conflict Spreads to Mali.” BBC News. BBC, 28 Aug.<br />

2007. Web.<br />

162 Emerson, 674-675<br />

163 Emerson, 675<br />

164 Ibid.<br />

165 Emerson, 676<br />

166 Ibid.<br />

167 Emerson, 677<br />

168 Ibid.<br />

169 “Mali’s Tuareg Rebellion: What Next? - Opinion - Al Jazeera<br />

English.” Mali’s Tuareg Rebellion: What Next? - Opinion - Al<br />

Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

170 Ibid.<br />

171 “Explainer: Tuareg-led Rebellion in North Mali - Africa - Al<br />

Jazeera English.” Explainer: Tuareg-led Rebellion in North<br />

Mali - Africa - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

172 “MALI: A Timeline of Northern Conflict.” IRINnews. N.p.,<br />

n.d. Web.<br />

173 Ibid.<br />

174 “Mali: UN Warning over Refugees Fleeing Tuareg<br />

Rebellion.” BBC News. BBC, 18 Feb. 2012. Web.<br />

175 Ibid.<br />

176 Ibid.<br />

177 “MALI: A Timeline of Northern Conflict.” IRINnews. N.p.,<br />

n.d. Web.<br />

178 Ibid.<br />

179 “FACTBOX-Ansar Dine - Black Flag over Northern<br />

Mali.” Reuters. N.p., 03 July 2012. Web.<br />

180 Ibid.<br />

181 Washington., Adam Nossiter; Alan Cowell Contributed<br />

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182 Ibid.<br />

Reporting From London, And Eric Schmitt From. “Soldiers<br />

Overthrow Mali Government in Setback for Democracy in<br />

Africa.” The New York Times. The New York Times, 23 Mar.<br />

2012. Web.<br />

183 “UN REPORT.” : <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Condemns Coup in Mali.<br />

N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

184 Washington., Adam Nossiter; Alan Cowell Contributed<br />

Reporting From London, And Eric Schmitt From. “Soldiers<br />

Overthrow Mali Government in Setback for Democracy in<br />

Africa.” The New York Times. The New York Times, 23 Mar.<br />

2012. Web.<br />

185 “MALI: A Timeline of Northern Conflict.” IRINnews. N.p.,<br />

n.d. Web.<br />

186 Ibid.<br />

187 “West African ECOWAS Leaders Impose Mali<br />

Sanctions.” BBC News. BBC, 04 Mar. 2012. Web.<br />

188 Ibid.<br />

189 “MALI: A Timeline of Northern Conflict.” IRINnews. N.p.,<br />

n.d. Web.<br />

190 Ibid.<br />

191 “Explainer: Tuareg-led Rebellion in North Mali - Africa - Al<br />

Jazeera English.” Explainer: Tuareg-led Rebellion in North<br />

Mali - Africa - Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

192 Ibid.<br />

193 “Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al Jazeera<br />

English.” Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al<br />

Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

194 Fessy, Thomas. “Mali Tuareg Rebels Declare Independence<br />

in the North.” BBC News. BBC, 04 June 2012. Web.<br />

195 “Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al Jazeera<br />

English.” Timeline: Mali since Independence - Africa - Al<br />

Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

196 “Mali: War Crimes by Northern Rebels | Human Rights<br />

Watch.” Mali: War Crimes by Northern Rebels | Human<br />

Rights Watch. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

197 “New North Mali Arab Force Seeks to “defend”<br />

Timbuktu.” Reuters. N.p., 10 Apr. 2012. Web.<br />

198 Diallo, Tiemoko, and Adama Diarra. “Islamists Declare Full<br />

Control of Mali’s North.” Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 28<br />

June 2012. Web.<br />

199 “Mali Islamists Take Strategic Town of Douentza.” BBC<br />

News. BBC, 09 Jan. 2012. Web.<br />

200 “Mali: At <strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Meeting, Ban Urges More<br />

Action, including Targeted Sanctions.” UN News Center.<br />

UN, 08 Aug. 2012. Web.<br />

201 “Mali: War Crimes by Northern Rebels | Human Rights<br />

Watch.” Mali: War Crimes by Northern Rebels | Human<br />

Rights Watch. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

202 Ibid.<br />

203 “Top UN Official Condemns Amputations, Human Rights<br />

Violations in Northern Mali.” UN News Center. UN, 17 Sept.<br />

2012. Web.<br />

204 Ibid.<br />

205 Ibid.<br />

206<br />

“Women Primary Victims of Violence in Northern Mali, Says UN<br />

Rights Official.” UN News Center. UN, 09 Oct. 2012. Web.<br />

207 “Women in Northern Mali Hold Protest Against Islamist in<br />

Charge of Veil Requirement.” The Washington Post. N.p.,<br />

n.d. Web.<br />

208 Reuters. “Women Protest Shariah Law in Mali.” The New<br />

York Times. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

209 “Women Primary Victims of Violence in Northern Mali,<br />

Says UN Rights Official.” UN News Center. UN, 09 Oct.<br />

2012. Web.<br />

210 “Africa Facing Intensified ‘food Crisis’ - Africa - Al Jazeera<br />

English.” Africa Facing Intensified ‘food Crisis’ - Africa - Al<br />

Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

211 “MALI: Struggling to Deliver Aid to Rebel-held<br />

North.” IRINnews. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

212 Ibid.<br />

213 Ibid.<br />

214 Ibid.<br />

215 “Repression of Peaceful Protests in Mauritania.” Annual<br />

Report 2011. Amnesty International, n.d. Web.<br />

216 Brulliard, Karin. “Radical Islam Meets Buffer in West<br />

Africa.” Washington Post. The Washington Post, 21 Dec.<br />

2009. Web.<br />

217 “<strong>Security</strong> <strong>Council</strong> Paves Way for Possible Intervention<br />

Force in Northern Mali.” UN News Center. UN, 12 Oct. 2012.<br />

Web.<br />

218 “Mali Rebels Threaten France over Intervention - Africa - Al<br />

Jazeera English.” Al Jazeera English. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

219 Ibid.<br />

220 “AFP: EU Greenlights Military Back-up for Mali.” Google<br />

News. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

221 “Situation in Mali Not Only a Humanitarian Crisis but Also<br />

a Powder Keg: Clinton.” <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Multimedia, Radio,<br />

Photo and Television. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

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222 Chester, Penelope. “Mali: Imminent Intervention,<br />

Uncertain Future.” UN Dispatch. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

223 “Video Remarks on Mali.” U.S. Department of State. U.S.<br />

Department of State, 26 Sept. 2012. Web.<br />

224 “Algeria Key Partner for UK, Military Intervention in Mali<br />

Last Resort.” Echorouk Online. N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

225 “Laurent Fabius Sets out French Position on Mali<br />

Crisis.” France in the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom. French Embassy in<br />

London, n.d. Web.<br />

226 “Backgrounder: China-Mali Ties in Continuous<br />

Development_English_Xinhua.” Xinhua News, n.d. Web.<br />

227 “Afghan, Pakistani Jihadists ‘operating in Northern Mali’”<br />

FRANCE 24, n.d. Web.<br />

228 “Coup in Mali: Situation Remains Unclear.” Voice of Russia.<br />

N.p., n.d. Web.<br />

229 “Relations of Latin America and the Caribbean with<br />

Africa: Current Status and Areas of Opportunity.” Sistema<br />

Económico Latinoamericano Y Del Caribe. Permanent<br />

Secretariat of SELA, n.d. Web.<br />

230 “Morocco: Mr. El Othmani’s Missteps in Mali.”<br />

Moroccoboard, n.d. Web.<br />

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Bibliographic Essay<br />

Emerson, Stephen A. “Desert Insurgency: Lessons from the Third Tuareg Rebellion.” Small Wars & Insurgencies<br />

22.4 (2011): 669-87. Web.<br />

Keita, Kalifa. Conflict and Conflict Resolution in the Sahel: The Tuareg Insurgency in Mali. [Carlisle Barracks,<br />

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Krings, Thomas. “Marginalisation and Revolt among the Tuareg in Mali and Niger.” GeoJournal 36.1 (1995):<br />

57-63. JSTOR. Web.<br />

Lecocq, Jean Sebastian. Disputed Desert: Decolonisation, Competing Nationalisms and Tuareg Rebellions in<br />

Northern Mali. Leiden: Brill, 2010. Print.<br />

Noueihed, Lin, and Alex Warren. The Battle for the Arab Spring: Revolution, Counter-revolution and the<br />

Making of a New Era. New Haven: Yale UP, 2012. Print.<br />

Pipes, Daniel. Greater Syria: The History of an Ambition. New York: Oxford UP, 1990. Print.<br />

Walt, Stephen M. The Origins of Alliances. Ithaca: Cornell UP, 1987. Print.<br />

Zahler, Kathy A. The Assads’ Syria. Minneapolis, MN: Twenty-First Century, 2010. Print.<br />

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