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Primary Credit Analysts:<br />
Moreen Skyers-Gibbs<br />
New York<br />
212-438-1734<br />
moreen_skyers-gibbs@<br />
standardandpoors.com<br />
Secondary Credit Analysts:<br />
Karl Jacob<br />
New York<br />
(1) 212-438-2111<br />
karl_jacob@<br />
standardandpoors.com<br />
RatingsDirect<br />
Publication Date<br />
April 16, 2008<br />
<strong>PUBLIC</strong> <strong>FINANCE</strong><br />
Warren County School District, Pennsylvania<br />
Credit Profile<br />
US$10. mil GO bnds ser 2008 dtd 04/15/2008 due 09/01/2017<br />
Long Term Rating A/Stable New<br />
Warren Cnty Sch Dist GO<br />
Unenhanced Rating A(SPUR)/Stable Affirmed<br />
Many issues are enhanced by bond insurance.<br />
Rationale<br />
The ‘A’ rating on Warren County School District, Pa.’s series 2008 general obligation (GO)<br />
bonds reflects:<br />
A rural, residential community with decreasing population and enrollment trends;<br />
Adequate wealth levels;<br />
Historically strong financial performance; and<br />
Very low overall debt burden with no additional debt needs.<br />
The district is located in Warren County in the northwestern section of the state,<br />
approximately 60 miles east of Erie and 130 miles north of Pittsburgh. The district’s 2007<br />
estimated population was 38,418, representing a slight 2% decrease since 2006 due to outmigration<br />
and the aging of its population base. The district operates 13 elementary schools<br />
and six secondary schools providing educational services to approximately 5,311 students in<br />
2007-2008. Enrollment trends decreased 3% between 2004 and 2008 and are projected to<br />
further decline over the next five years.<br />
The local economy is concentrated in manufacturing and retail. The major employer within<br />
the district is Blair Corp. (online and mail order sales of men’s and women’s wear), which<br />
employs more than 250. Other major employers include the school district, Warren County,<br />
and OSRAM/Sylvania Products Co., among several other manufacturing companies. The<br />
district’s income levels, as measured on a median household effective buying income basis, are
Warren County School District, Pennsylvania<br />
adequate at 87% and 83% of state and national averages, respectively. Land use inside the district is<br />
designated 63% for residential purposes, 15% commercial, and 13% agricultural. In 2007, market<br />
value increased substantially, by 22%, bringing the total to $1.2 billion, or a low $33,129 per capita.<br />
Leading taxpayers account for a very diverse 8% of total assessed valuation.<br />
The district’s financial position has been strong over time. Management has maintained an<br />
unreserved designated and undesignated fund balance of 10% over the past three years. It has achieved<br />
five surpluses over a six-year period. Fiscal 2007 ended with huge surplus of $1.3 million, bringing the<br />
unreserved designated and undesignated fund balance to $7 million, a strong 12% of expenditures.<br />
State aid and local sources accounted for 55% and 40%, respectively, of fiscal 2007 operating revenue.<br />
Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services considers Warren County School District’s financial<br />
management practices “standard” under our Financial Management Assessment (FMA), indicating<br />
that practices exist in most areas, although not all may be formalized or regularly monitored by<br />
governance officials. The district’s budget monitoring is sound, with monthly budget reports presented<br />
to the school board. Investment holdings are monitored monthly and reported to the board when<br />
matured. Management aims at maintaining an unreserved fund balance at $5 million, which it has<br />
achieved over the past three consecutive years. The district makes a five-year facilities plan that it<br />
updates annually. There are no formal debt management policies.<br />
The district’s overall debt burden is very low at $746 on a per capita basis and low at 2% of market<br />
value. The district expects debt service as a percent of expenditures to be a low 5% in the fiscal 2008<br />
budget. Debt amortization is above average, with approximately 80% being retired in 10 years and<br />
95% in 20 years. The purpose of this bond issuance is to refund the district’s outstanding GO bonds<br />
series 2001 and 2002. The district has no additional debt needs.<br />
Outlook<br />
The stable outlook reflects Standard & Poor’s expectation that the district will maintain good financial<br />
performance and a stable fund balance. It also reflects that the district has no need for additional debt.<br />
Standard & Poor’s | ANALYSIS 2
Warren County School District, Pennsylvania<br />
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