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Implementation and Uses of Economic Capital ... - ERM Symposium

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Assessment <strong>of</strong> Financial Strength <strong>of</strong> P&C Insurers - Reserve<br />

Risk Required <strong>Capital</strong> : One-Year vs. Run-Off<br />

Does use <strong>of</strong> a common (e.g. 5, 10, 30 year) projection period, result in an apples-to-apples<br />

comparison <strong>of</strong> financial strength <strong>of</strong> P&C insurers with vastly different run-<strong>of</strong>f pr<strong>of</strong>iles?<br />

Source : AIG Analysis <strong>of</strong> Schedule P Data as at Dec, 31, 2006<br />

Comparison <strong>of</strong> Coefficients <strong>of</strong> Variation<br />

8%<br />

6%<br />

4%<br />

2%<br />

0%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

6%<br />

7%<br />

One Year Run-Off<br />

20%<br />

40%<br />

One Year Run-Off<br />

Short Tail<br />

(PPA)<br />

Long Tail<br />

(Excess WC)<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

60%<br />

Commercial<br />

Lines<br />

Dominance<br />

- ILLUSTRATION -<br />

Comparison <strong>of</strong> <strong>Capital</strong> Requirements: One-Year<br />

% <strong>of</strong> Run-Off <strong>Capital</strong> Required<br />

80%<br />

US P&C<br />

Industry<br />

90%<br />

Personal<br />

Lines<br />

Dominance<br />

16 16

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