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course of the past week, the Obama administration struggled to keep up with<br />
fast-moving events, a problem it must overcome as it grapples with future<br />
events in Egypt and the wider region.<br />
"In the best of all worlds, they would have more clear, pro-active goals<br />
for the region," said Brian Katulis, senior fellow at the Center for<br />
American Progress think tank, who was one of a handful of officials who met<br />
with the administration last year and warned about potential instability in<br />
Egypt. "But at this stage, especially as events unfold pretty quickly and<br />
violence escalates, it becomes all the harder for them to move out of this<br />
tactical, reactive mode."<br />
Complicating matters for the administration are separate concerns about the<br />
adequacy of intelligence used by policymakers to help formulate their<br />
responses to such events.<br />
http://www.reuters.com/article/<strong>2011</strong>/02/03/idINIndia-546130<strong>2011</strong>0203<br />
0391/11 ---------------------------------------------------------------<br />
'Intelligence failure? Mubarak couldn't predict uprising either'<br />
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(YnetNews) Former senior IDF officials say Israeli intelligence agencies<br />
could not have foreseen extreme developments in Egypt. Lipkin-Shahak: Peace<br />
treaty important to Egypt as well. no major change along southern border<br />
expected.<br />
Senior security officials told Ynet Sunday that the fact that Israel did<br />
not anticipate the uprising in Egypt does not constitute an intelligence<br />
failure. They urged the government in Jerusalem to follow the developments<br />
but refrain from intervening.<br />
Upheaval in Egypt Leaked documents recently published by WikiLeaks revealed<br />
that former Mossad chief Meir Dagan estimated that President Hosni<br />
Mubarak's regime was stable, and just last week incoming IDF Intelligence<br />
chief Maj. Gen. Aviv Kochavi said there regime in Cairo was in no serious<br />
danger of collapsing.<br />
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4021489,00.html<br />
0392/11 ---------------------------------------------------------------<br />
CRS: Background on Egypt<br />
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(CRS via FAS) The Congressional Research Service is not equipped to provide<br />
up-to-the-minute coverage of current news events, like the continuing<br />
upheaval in Egypt. But CRS does provide deeply researched background on<br />
factual matters including U.S. economic and military aid to Egypt, as well<br />
as a detailed account of many aspects of U.S.-Egypt political relations.<br />
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RL33003.pdf<br />
0393/11 ---------------------------------------------------------------<br />
Analysts Assess Role of Egyptian Intelligence Services in Crisis<br />
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(VOA) As the crisis in Egypt continues to escalate, the role of the<br />
security and intelligence forces becomes more critical. President Hosni<br />
Mubarak said he will not run for re-election, and he appointed intelligence<br />
<strong>ACIPSS</strong>-Newsletter <strong>05</strong>/<strong>2011</strong> - 11 -
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