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Islamic Brotherhood, as well as groups close to it, such as Hamas and<br />

Hezbollah.<br />

If such contacts have not already been developed, it is almost certain that<br />

US intelligence agencies are frantically trying to establish them right<br />

now, so they can at least provide moderately tolerable assessments of the<br />

unfolding situation on the ground. Anything past that would probably be<br />

unfeasible at the current stage, according to Stein’s analysis. As Richard<br />

K. Betts, an academic with close contacts with US intelligence agencies<br />

puts it, “the priority [right now] is collection and analysis about what’s<br />

going on”.<br />

http://intelligencenews.wordpress.com/<strong>2011</strong>/01/28/01-646/<br />

0381/11 ---------------------------------------------------------------<br />

Israel shocked by Obama's "betrayal" of Mubarak<br />

---------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />

(Reuters) If Egypt's President Hosni Mubarak is toppled, Israel will lose<br />

one of its very few friends in a hostile neighborhood and President Barack<br />

Obama will bear a large share of the blame, Israeli pundits said on Monday.<br />

Political commentators expressed shock at how the United States as well as<br />

its major European allies appeared to be ready to dump a staunch strategic<br />

ally of three decades, simply to conform to the current ideology of<br />

political correctness. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has told ministers<br />

of the Jewish state to make no comment on the political cliffhanger in<br />

Cairo, to avoid inflaming an already explosive situation. But Israel's<br />

President Shimon Peres is not a minister.<br />

"We always have had and still have great respect for President Mubarak," he<br />

said on Monday. He then switched to the past tense. "I don't say everything<br />

that he did was right, but he did one thing which all of us are thankful to<br />

him for: he kept the peace in the Middle East."<br />

Newspaper columnists were far more blunt.<br />

http://www.reuters.com/article/<strong>2011</strong>/01/31/us-egypt-israel-usaidUSTRE70U537<strong>2011</strong>0131<br />

0382/11 ---------------------------------------------------------------<br />

Der private Kanal der Amerikaner zu Mubarak<br />

---------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />

(Standard) Frank Wisner junior war da bereits ein erfolgreicher Diplomat.<br />

Nachdem er 1961 in Princeton sein Studium abgeschlossen hatte, nahm er<br />

seinen ersten Posten in Algier an. Seine Karriere spannt sich über vier<br />

Jahrzehnte und acht Präsidenten. Er war nicht nur am Höhepunkt des Kriegs<br />

in Vietnam, sondern auch in Indien, auf den Philippinen, in Sambia. 1986<br />

schickte ihn Ronald Reagan als Botschafter nach Ägypten. Aus dieser Zeit<br />

stammen auch Wisners gute Beziehungen zu Hosni Mubarak und anderen<br />

ägyptischen Granden.<br />

Als die Amerikaner nun nach einem "privaten Kanal" zum ägyptischen<br />

Präsidenten suchten, um diesem klarzumachen, dass seine Zeit abgelaufen<br />

sei, fiel US-Außenministerin Hillary Clinton Frank Wisner ein. Dieser flog<br />

am Dienstag nach Kairo und überbrachte seinem alten Freund die heikle<br />

Botschaft.<br />

<strong>ACIPSS</strong>-Newsletter <strong>05</strong>/<strong>2011</strong> - 7 -

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