Berlin Conference On The Human Dimensions Of - Rocky Mountain ...

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Profitable climate protection ◊ Global CO 2 emissions will triple by 2100 if we reduce E/GDP by 1%/y; level off if 2%/y; and drop—stabilizing the Earth’s climate—if ~3%/y. Is that feasible? ◊ <strong>The</strong> U.S. has spontaneously saved >2%/y since ’97; 3.4%/y 1981–86; 3.2%/y in ’01 & ’05, 4.0% in ’06 ◊ California was ~1 percentage point faster; its new homes use 75% less energy; still saving much more ◊ China did even better—saved >5%/y for >20 y, 7.9%/y 1997–2001; energy efficiency is top priority ◊ Attentive corporations routinely save ~6–9%/y ◊ Even Japan can profitably save 2/3 of its energy, so the US, with 2–3× more E/GDP, has a long way to go ◊ Oil causes 42% of all CO 2 emissions, electricity 40%
Surprisingly, the vision of contraction & convergence is both feasible & profitable
Page 2 and 3: Berlin Conference on the Human Dime
Page 4 and 5: What has reduced energy intensity a
Page 6 and 7: 2007 Vattenfall/McKinsey supply cur
Page 10 and 11: Independent, transparent, peer-revi
Page 12 and 13: CARS: save 69% at $0.15/L Surprise:
Page 14 and 15: Three technology paths: aluminum, l
Page 16 and 17: Midsize Revolution midsize SUV, 5 a
Page 18 and 19: Carbon-fiber composites: some autom
Page 20 and 21: Emerging powertrain breakthroughs t
Page 22 and 23: 35-kW load-leveling batteries 857-k
Page 24 and 25: The oil industry’s conventional w
Page 26 and 27: Stretching oil supply curve by ~3 T
Page 28 and 29: Key: integrative design—multiple
Page 30 and 31: Houses comfortable with no heating
Page 32 and 33: New design mentality: expanding ret
Page 34 and 35: New design mentality • Pumps and
Page 36 and 37: 99% It’s often remarkably simple
Page 38 and 39: Examples from RMI’s industrial pr
Page 40 and 41: Cost of saved or supplied electrici
Page 42 and 43: All options face implementation ris
Page 44 and 45: Nuclear power’s market collapse i
Page 46 and 47: Five implementation myths ◊ “It
Page 48 and 49: Implementation reality: Compete to

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