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Forma # 1.ai - ICAB

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Budget for the sake of so called<br />

economic development of<br />

country.<br />

• Government withdrew the<br />

imposition of tax on individual<br />

investment in share market<br />

after the budget. Tax on<br />

Institutional investment was<br />

kept at insignificant level.<br />

• Brokerage houses increased<br />

Round Table from The Daily<br />

Prothom Alo, 30-1-2011 their<br />

branch offices throughout the<br />

country to facilitate the<br />

entrance of new retail<br />

investors into the market. 238<br />

brokerage houses of DSE<br />

opened 590 branches in 32<br />

districts. Most of the new<br />

entrants lack the basic<br />

knowledge of share market<br />

and only has the intention to<br />

make “quick money”. The<br />

total no of BO accounts stood<br />

at 3.2 mn at the end of 2010<br />

with a 45% growth in 2010<br />

alone.<br />

• 27 out of 35 “shares split” had<br />

abnormal gain (ranging from<br />

5% to 70%) for almost no<br />

reason. Investors went for<br />

share purchase whenever there<br />

was news for share split. No<br />

concern was raised by any<br />

responsible corners.<br />

• 26 out of 32 shares<br />

dematerialized had abnormal<br />

return (ranging from 5% to<br />

304%); this also led to<br />

unnecessary hike in price.<br />

• 18 new IPOs were listed<br />

during 2010 with a total of<br />

BDT 11,700 Mn in public<br />

offering. This has given the<br />

stock market an organic<br />

growth by increasing the<br />

supply side and depth.<br />

• 23 companies raised BDT<br />

28,194 Mn through right share<br />

issue in 2010. Abnormal gain was<br />

observed among 11 shares<br />

(ranging from 11% to 58%)<br />

From all these sources, lot of<br />

money got injected into the<br />

Capital Market, and obvious result<br />

was too much money was chasing<br />

too few already overpriced shares<br />

in the market. The stock market<br />

crossed the threshold in 2010<br />

where it could no longer sustain.<br />

Merchant banks, Brokerage<br />

houses, Asset management<br />

companies and high net worth<br />

investors - everyone realized this<br />

and went into securing their<br />

investment in Q4 2010. Sell side<br />

started to gain momentum in the<br />

market. SEC and Bangladesh<br />

bank, even though realizing the<br />

overheated state of the market<br />

much earlier started taking strict<br />

measures when profit booking has<br />

already started rolling in the<br />

market. SEC took some restrictive<br />

measures by reducing the margin<br />

loan ratio and the individual and<br />

Merchant Bank credit limit.<br />

Bangladesh Bank went hard on<br />

the banks regarding their<br />

exposure in the capital market. It<br />

also increased the CRR from 5.5<br />

to 6% to reduce the money<br />

supply . All these measures<br />

transmitted a red alert signal in<br />

the minds of the retail investors<br />

resulting into massive panic sales<br />

by the investors.<br />

The Challenges faced by<br />

our Capital Market<br />

1.Supply constraints: Bangladesh<br />

has only 219 equity shares traded<br />

in the market. Whereas our<br />

neighboring countries have a<br />

good no of equity shares traded in<br />

the market like India has 3751,<br />

Pakistan 599, Srilanka 243,<br />

Indonesia 406, Vietnam 372. This<br />

supply side constraint generates<br />

excess liquidity problem and<br />

enhances the scope of price<br />

manipulation in the market.<br />

2.Rumor based investment<br />

decision: At present, the retail<br />

investors of our country lack<br />

systematic and fundamental based<br />

analytic investment process. They<br />

depend mostly on market rumors<br />

for investment. As a result, all the<br />

retail investors behave illogical<br />

and chase a certain company’s<br />

share based on rumors. Some<br />

deep pocket syndication<br />

reportedly spread rumors as part<br />

of their game.<br />

3.Dominance of retail investors:<br />

The retail investors of our capital<br />

market comprise of 70% to 80%<br />

of the total market capitalization.<br />

This percentage is much lower in<br />

other developed markets of the<br />

world. Ratio of Institutional to<br />

Retail investor needs to be<br />

increased as Institutional investors<br />

bring stability through non<br />

speculative long term<br />

investments.<br />

4.Coordination among<br />

regulators: SEC, Bangladesh<br />

Bank, Ministry of Finance and<br />

other related stake holders did not<br />

have enough coordination<br />

towards any given policy. This<br />

lack of coordination sometimes<br />

gives misleading indications to<br />

the market. Better management of<br />

the capital market in pace with<br />

global standards will not be<br />

possible without the coordinated<br />

efforts of the regulators.<br />

5.Debt market: Our country does<br />

not have an established secondary<br />

debt /bond market. Due to this,<br />

the companies are unable to fund<br />

their short term requirements. The<br />

capital market can be made more<br />

vibrant and lucrative if this facility<br />

can be incorporated.<br />

6.Existence of Syndicates: Our<br />

capital market has some deep<br />

pocket investor syndicates (often<br />

termed as ‘bull cartels’) who<br />

manipulates the market in their<br />

The Bangladesh Accountant January - March 2011 15

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