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Stall warnings in high capacity aircraft: The Australian context 2008 ...

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ATSB – AR-2012-172<br />

associated with a temporary loss of control after encounter<strong>in</strong>g severe turbulence dur<strong>in</strong>g cruise. A<br />

summary o fthese occurrences are as follows:<br />

• After turn<strong>in</strong>g to avoid severe weather show<strong>in</strong>g on the <strong>aircraft</strong> radar, the <strong>aircraft</strong> encountered<br />

severe turbulence and was lifted 1,000 ft above its cleared level. <strong>The</strong> stick shaker operated<br />

twice momentarily. After about 15 seconds the crew were able to return the <strong>aircraft</strong> to its<br />

cleared level. (See case study Large altitude excursion on page 23.)<br />

• <strong>The</strong> <strong>aircraft</strong> encountered severe turbulence for a period of approximately 30 seconds. <strong>The</strong><br />

crew received several stickshaker <strong>warn<strong>in</strong>gs</strong>. <strong>The</strong> crew declared a PAN, diverted the <strong>aircraft</strong><br />

from the cleared track and commenced a descent. (See case study on page 11.)<br />

Figure 7:<br />

Assessed risk of stall warn<strong>in</strong>g occurrences reported to the ATSB, <strong>2008</strong> to<br />

2012<br />

25<br />

Number of occurrences<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Very <strong>high</strong> risk of an accident High risk of an accident Medium risk of an accident<br />

Low risk of an accident<br />

No likely accident outcome<br />

Between <strong>2008</strong> and 2012, there were 30 stall <strong>warn<strong>in</strong>gs</strong> reported where the ATSB assessed that<br />

there was a medium risk of an unsafe outcome due to the conditions that existed at the time<br />

(severe turbulence at low altitudes, such as on <strong>in</strong>itial climb, where the <strong>aircraft</strong> is travell<strong>in</strong>g close to<br />

V Ref and at a <strong>high</strong> angle of attack). In these cases, the worst credible outcomes were considered<br />

to be a temporary but recoverable loss of control of the <strong>aircraft</strong>, and m<strong>in</strong>or <strong>in</strong>juries to cab<strong>in</strong> crew<br />

and unrestra<strong>in</strong>ed passengers.<br />

<strong>The</strong> most commonly <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>aircraft</strong> types <strong>in</strong> these medium risk events were Boe<strong>in</strong>g 747-400<br />

(n<strong>in</strong>e occurrences), Boe<strong>in</strong>g 767 (eight occurrences), and Boe<strong>in</strong>g 717 <strong>aircraft</strong> (three occurrences).<br />

<strong>The</strong> majority of these occurrences were brief stick shaker activations, and were associated with<br />

moderate or severe turbulence. Some were also associated with:<br />

• additional <strong>warn<strong>in</strong>gs</strong> associated with the stall warn<strong>in</strong>g (excessive bank angle and undershoot<br />

GPWS alerts, flap overspeed)<br />

• large bank angle and altitude deviations (often associated with unexpected turbulence)<br />

• overspeeds followed by underspeeds<br />

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