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offshore grids for wind power integration - Greenpeace

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GLOBAL ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION<br />

A NORTH SEA ELECTRICITY GRID [R]EVOLUTION<br />

In contrast, the <strong>wind</strong> <strong>power</strong> generation <strong>for</strong> the whole North Sea is very<br />

smooth. From the distributions in Figure 24c), we can observe that:<br />

• the maximum hourly step sizes are ±19% of installed capacity;<br />

• only 0.43% of all hourly <strong>power</strong> variations exceed in any direction<br />

10% of the installed capacity;<br />

• <strong>for</strong> the 3-hourly variation this is 13.5% and <strong>for</strong> the 9-hourly one<br />

it is 44.8%;<br />

• again, <strong>for</strong> longer step sizes, the <strong>power</strong> variation becomes<br />

distributed at random.<br />

In order to summarize the overall statistics of <strong>power</strong> variations <strong>for</strong><br />

the three countries, P5 and P95 percentiles are given in Annex C.<br />

In conclusion, the characteristic period <strong>for</strong> which spatial<br />

decorrelation of <strong>wind</strong> speed can lead to a smooth generation profile<br />

depends strongly on the size of the area over which <strong>wind</strong> farms are<br />

distributed. In the German Bight, variability is clearly reduced <strong>for</strong><br />

hourly time steps and fairly well <strong>for</strong> 3-hourly steps. For the <strong>wind</strong><br />

farms off the British east coast, variability is clearly reduced <strong>for</strong><br />

hourly and 3-hourly time steps. Very long variations occur at<br />

random in all regions.<br />

figure 23: cumulative frequency of variations<br />

in hourly generation FOR ONE WIND FARM, ALL WIND FARMS OFF<br />

THE BRITISH EAST COAST AND ACCUMULATED FOR ALL OFFSHORE WIND<br />

FARMS IN THE NORTH SEA; LEGEND: TIME LAG<br />

Power Variation (%)<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

a) London Array I-IV: 1,000 MW<br />

b) All <strong>offshore</strong> <strong>wind</strong> farms off the British coast: 22,238 MW<br />

c) All <strong>offshore</strong> <strong>wind</strong> farms in the North Sea: 68.4 GW<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100<br />

Cumulative Frequency of Power Variations (%)<br />

1 h 3 h 9 h 27 h<br />

figure 22: cumulative frequency of variations<br />

in hourly generation FOR ONE WIND FARM, ALL WIND FARMS IN<br />

THE GERMAN BIGHT AND ACCUMULATED FOR ALL OFFSHORE WIND FARMS<br />

IN THE NORTH SEA; LEGEND: TIME LAG<br />

figure 24: cumulative frequency of variations<br />

in hourly generation FOR ONE WIND FARM, ALL WIND FARMS IN<br />

THE BELGIAN EEZ AND ACCUMULATED FOR ALL OFFSHORE WIND FARMS<br />

IN THE NORTH SEA; LEGEND: TIME LAG<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

a) Bard I+II: 1,600 MW<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

a) Single <strong>wind</strong> farm Belgium: 300 MW<br />

Power Variation (%)<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

b) All <strong>offshore</strong> <strong>wind</strong> farms in the German Bight: 26,418 MW<br />

Power Variation (%)<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

b) All <strong>offshore</strong> <strong>wind</strong> farms in the Belgium: 3,846 MW<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

c) All <strong>offshore</strong> <strong>wind</strong> farms in the North Sea: 68.4 GW<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

c) All <strong>offshore</strong> <strong>wind</strong> farms in the North Sea: 68.4 GW<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100<br />

Cumulative Frequency of Power Variations (%)<br />

Cumulative Frequency of Power Variations (%)<br />

1 h 3 h 9 h 27 h<br />

1 h 3 h 9 h 27 h<br />

28

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