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IEOR 166 Spring 2004, Practce Problem Set # 5

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<strong>IEOR</strong> <strong>166</strong> <strong>Spring</strong> 2005, <strong>Practce</strong> <strong>Problem</strong> <strong>Set</strong> # 5<br />

1) Convert the following decision tree to an influence diagram.<br />

2) Convert the following influence diagram to a decision tree.<br />

3) Find the information tree corresponding to the following nature’s tree.


4) Revisiting Lisa:<br />

Brand A<br />

Brand B:


1<br />

For p = , what is the probability that at least one test makes an incorrect prediction<br />

4<br />

(tells her she is pregnant if she is not or tells her she is not pregnant when she is)?<br />

Assume the tests are conditionally independent.

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