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The present and future sustainability of clothing and textiles in the ...

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<strong>The</strong> world <strong>of</strong> <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>textiles</strong><br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a 1%<br />

Brazil 2%<br />

Greece<br />

4%<br />

Australia<br />

10%<br />

We start this report by giv<strong>in</strong>g an account <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>textiles</strong> sector as it is now. <strong>The</strong> next<br />

section reports on <strong>the</strong> flow <strong>of</strong> materials through <strong>the</strong><br />

UK associated with <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>textiles</strong>, to provide a<br />

macro-economic materials account <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> sector. <strong>The</strong><br />

rema<strong>in</strong>der <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> report <strong>present</strong>s a structured ‘scenario<br />

analysis’ <strong>in</strong> which we <strong>present</strong> various possible changes<br />

to <strong>the</strong> way we make <strong>and</strong> use <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>and</strong> textile<br />

products <strong>and</strong> explore how <strong>the</strong>se might lead to a more<br />

susta<strong>in</strong>able <strong>future</strong>.<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>textiles</strong> sector<br />

is a major part <strong>of</strong> world trade<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>textiles</strong> sector is a significant part <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> world’s economy. In 2000 <strong>the</strong> world’s consumers<br />

spent around US$1 trillion on <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> – split roughly<br />

one third <strong>in</strong> Western Europe, one third <strong>in</strong> North<br />

America, one quarter <strong>in</strong> Asia A1 . Seven per cent <strong>of</strong> total<br />

world exports are <strong>in</strong> <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>textiles</strong>. Significant<br />

parts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> sector are dom<strong>in</strong>ated by develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countries, particularly <strong>in</strong> Asia, <strong>and</strong> above all by Ch<strong>in</strong>a.<br />

Industrialised countries are still important exporters<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>textiles</strong>, especially Germany, Italy <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> United States <strong>in</strong> <strong>textiles</strong>. Develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countries now account for half <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world textile<br />

exports <strong>and</strong> almost three quarters <strong>of</strong> world <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong><br />

exports. However, for some materials, processes or<br />

products, o<strong>the</strong>r countries have an important role. <strong>The</strong><br />

figure shows how <strong>the</strong> USA rema<strong>in</strong>s <strong>the</strong> largest world<br />

exporter <strong>of</strong> cotton, despite hav<strong>in</strong>g only 25,000 cotton<br />

farmers. Australia <strong>and</strong> New Zeal<strong>and</strong> are <strong>the</strong> largest<br />

suppliers <strong>of</strong> wool <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> carpets – which can be made<br />

with efficient mach<strong>in</strong>es requir<strong>in</strong>g little manual labour<br />

– many countries <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> UK are able to serve a<br />

significant fraction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir own dem<strong>and</strong>.<br />

World cotton exports 2001/2<br />

Rest <strong>of</strong> World<br />

21%<br />

Africa<br />

12%<br />

USA<br />

37%<br />

Uzbekhistan<br />

13%<br />

Source: ICAC 2001<br />

Rapid change <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

trade agreements<br />

Because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> sector <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> historical<br />

dependence <strong>of</strong> <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> manufacture on cheap<br />

labour, <strong>the</strong> <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>and</strong> textile <strong>in</strong>dustry is subject to<br />

<strong>in</strong>tense political <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>and</strong> has been significantly<br />

shaped by <strong>in</strong>ternational trad<strong>in</strong>g agreements. From<br />

1974 to 2005, as <strong>the</strong> skills <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>of</strong><br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese manufactur<strong>in</strong>g developed while reta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g an<br />

advantageously low wage rate, a series <strong>of</strong> ‘quotas’<br />

<strong>and</strong> tariffs were imposed by developed economies<br />

especially on Ch<strong>in</strong>ese exports, to attempt to protect<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir own manufactur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terests. <strong>The</strong>se agreements<br />

(which will be discussed <strong>in</strong> more detail later <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

report) were <strong>of</strong>ficially ended on 1 January 2005, but<br />

<strong>the</strong> rules <strong>of</strong> trade rema<strong>in</strong> complicated <strong>and</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>ue to<br />

change rapidly. Regional trade blocs <strong>and</strong> preferential<br />

trade agreements ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> various distortions to ‘free<br />

trade’ but <strong>the</strong> end<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> set <strong>of</strong> quotas has led<br />

to a rapid rise <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>ese exports <strong>and</strong> a consequent<br />

drop <strong>in</strong> prices for UK consumers. Negotiations over<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s accession to <strong>the</strong> WTO cont<strong>in</strong>ue to give some<br />

protection to those threatened by Ch<strong>in</strong>ese growth<br />

until 2008. Dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> period <strong>in</strong> which quotas were<br />

phased out, from 1980 to 2000, average tariffs fell<br />

from 10% to 5% <strong>in</strong> developed countries <strong>and</strong> 25% to<br />

13% <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g. With<strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, such<br />

as Ch<strong>in</strong>a, <strong>the</strong>re is a proliferation <strong>of</strong> Export Process<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Zones, where some preferential treatment by <strong>the</strong><br />

domestic government facilitates strong exports.<br />

Market distortion from<br />

subsidies rema<strong>in</strong>s<br />

In addition to protection from low labour cost<br />

countries by imposition <strong>of</strong> quotas <strong>and</strong> import<br />

tariffs, export<strong>in</strong>g countries have also supported<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir manufactur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustries through allocation<br />

<strong>of</strong> subsidies A2 . <strong>The</strong> figure shows estimates <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

true cost <strong>of</strong> produc<strong>in</strong>g a pound (weight) <strong>of</strong> cotton <strong>in</strong><br />

2001 – at a time when <strong>the</strong> market price was around<br />

US$0.45 per pound. USA costs were highest, but<br />

subsidies provided by <strong>the</strong> USA government brought<br />

down <strong>the</strong> price artificially – creat<strong>in</strong>g grave difficulties<br />

for develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, for whom cotton could be<br />

a significant fraction <strong>of</strong> total exports. <strong>The</strong> USA is <strong>the</strong><br />

second largest producer <strong>of</strong> cotton <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> World <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> largest exporter – <strong>and</strong> accounts for half <strong>of</strong> worlds’<br />

production subsidies.<br />

Over 26 million people work to<br />

produce <strong>cloth<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>textiles</strong><br />

Estimat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> people work<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>se<br />

sectors is extremely difficult, due to <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong><br />

small firms <strong>and</strong> subcontractors active <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> area<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> difficulty <strong>of</strong> draw<strong>in</strong>g boundaries between<br />

<br />

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