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The Russian Fashion Retail Market - Igedo Company

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claims that the environmental disaster will Russia push back by several months in<br />

its attempt to overcome the global economic and financial crisis. His opinion is<br />

shared by experts saying that the economic recovery will be delayed because<br />

higher cost for anything related to food, energy supplies and telecommunication<br />

will be put on the shoulders of the public, beginning in autumn of this year.<br />

1.8. European clothing suppliers to Russia cut losses by half<br />

September 2010, European <strong>Fashion</strong> and Textile Export Council (EFTEC)<br />

Exports of textile apparel and accessories from the 27 member states of the<br />

European Union to Russia kept declining by 15 per cent over the first six months<br />

of this year reaching an ex factory value of € 0,958 mn. Last year shipments had<br />

to face a decline of 29 per cent representing a total of € 2.1985,5 mn. This means<br />

that European clothing suppliers to Russia were in a position to cut their losses<br />

almost by half. Over the delivery period of the first quarter of 2010, clothing<br />

exports from the EU to Russia saw a decrease of 20 per cent. <strong>The</strong> European<br />

<strong>Fashion</strong> and Textile Export Council (EFTEC), monitoring export development of<br />

European clothing to Russia on a quarterly basis for each member state and for 33<br />

main product categories since 2002, expects a return from "red" to "black" export<br />

figures after the first semester of 2011.<br />

2) Consumer Characteristics<br />

2.1. Consumer Demand up by 3,4 per cent over first semester 2010<br />

September 2010, cisstat<br />

Measured against officially registered retail trade turnover, consumer spending in<br />

Russia at the points of sale rose by 1,3 per cent over the first quarter of 2010 and<br />

by 3,4 per cent during the first semester of this year. From 2002 till 2007,over the<br />

boom phase in Russia retail turnover rose at an average annual rate of 12 percent<br />

<strong>The</strong> peak was reached in 2007 when retail turnover increased by 16 per cent<br />

against the previous year. In 2008 growth declined to 13 per cent and in 2009<br />

retail turnover plunged by an overall rate of 5,5 per cent. According to Anna<br />

Lebsak-Kleimans, CEO of <strong>Fashion</strong> Consulting Group (FCG), retail turnover for<br />

textile clothing and accessories reached a value of US $ 27,4 bn in 2008. In 2009<br />

the retail market value declined by 8 per cent to US $ 25,4 bn less a balance of<br />

US $ 2,7 bn for inventories of unsold merchandise. This reduction has brought the<br />

clothing retail turnover to a suggested US $ 22,7 bn in 2009. FCG reckons with a<br />

new growth emerging in 2010 of up to 4 per cent bringing the total to US $ 23,6<br />

bn.<br />

2.2. Real income rose by 13,4 per cent until May 2010<br />

3 rd Quarter 2010, <strong>The</strong> Global Blue Perspectives<br />

According to the World Bank, Russia is experiencing a "bumpy" recovery.<br />

Domestic demand is on the rise and budget execution is better than anticipated<br />

due to higher oil prices at around US $ 78 per barrel. This is much more than the<br />

US $ 57 per barrel, planned by the <strong>Russian</strong> Ministry of Finance for this year's<br />

budget. In May 2010 inflation was at 3,6 per cent and the real income of the<br />

population increased by 6,2 per cent against the month before. During the first<br />

five months of this year the average salary was up by 13,4 per cent in comparison<br />

with the same period of last year. Employers in Moscow are getting more aware of<br />

the necessity to increase wages and salaries to keep their workforce staying in<br />

their companies.<br />

4

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