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The Global Use of Medicines - IMS Health

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KEY DRIVERS OF CHANGE<br />

In pharmerging markets growth is mostly from generic drugs<br />

In pharmerging markets growth is mostly from generic drugs<br />

2010<br />

2010<br />

Growth<br />

to<br />

Growth<br />

2015<br />

to 2015<br />

Source: <strong>IMS</strong> Market Prognosis, Apr 2011<br />

Pharmerging Spending and Growth<br />

Pharmerging Spending and Growth<br />

China Brazil India Russia<br />

China Brazil India Russia<br />

41.1<br />

41.1<br />

6.7<br />

6.7<br />

62.6<br />

62.6<br />

10.2<br />

10.2<br />

22.9<br />

22.9<br />

16.8<br />

1.6<br />

12.3<br />

6.5 2.8<br />

13.4 11.0<br />

3.0<br />

Source: <strong>IMS</strong> Market Prognosis, Apr 2011<br />

12.3<br />

6.5 2.8<br />

16.8<br />

1.6<br />

13.6<br />

4.8<br />

13.4 11.0<br />

3.0<br />

3.9<br />

13.6<br />

4.8<br />

3.9<br />

Tier 3<br />

Pharmerging<br />

Tier 3<br />

Pharmerging<br />

60.6<br />

25.1<br />

45.7<br />

14.0<br />

60.6<br />

25.1<br />

45.7<br />

14.0<br />

Total spending<br />

Total Brand spending<br />

Brand spending<br />

•! Pharmerging countries are expected to ne<br />

• double Pharmerging pharmaceutical countries are spending expected toin the nex<br />

five nearly years, double adding pharmaceutical $150Bn spending, over that period<br />

adding $150Bn by 2015. Of the total<br />

•! Of the total increase in spending,<br />

increase in spending, approximately 20%<br />

approximately 20% will come from brande<br />

will come from branded products.<br />

products.<br />

• Many <strong>of</strong> the pharmerging countries have<br />

•! Many strong <strong>of</strong> domestic the Pharmerging companies which countries markethave<br />

strong low cost domestic generics, branded companies generics, which andmarket<br />

cost in some generics, cases, unauthorized branded generics, copies <strong>of</strong> and in so<br />

cases, original unauthorized brands. copies <strong>of</strong> original bran<br />

•! • Political pressure to to provide provide greater greater access access<br />

healthcare to is is driving significant governmen<br />

government-supported expansion expansion <strong>of</strong> access <strong>of</strong>to medicine<br />

across access to these medicines countries. across these countries.<br />

•! • Patients pay pay for for the the majority majority <strong>of</strong> medicines <strong>of</strong> medicines<br />

out-<strong>of</strong>-pocket in in these these markets, markets, with with a a few<br />

exceptions, few exceptions, which which limits limits the the usage <strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

expensive newer newer medicines. medicines.<br />

Chart notes<br />

Spending share in US$ with variable exchange rates.<br />

Chart Notes:<br />

Spending Growth share in US$ in at US$ constant with exchange variable rates. exchange rates.<br />

Growth Gross in Domestic US$ at Product constant (GDP) exchange from the rates. Economist<br />

Gross Intelligence Domestic Unit. Product (GDP) from the Economist Intelligence<br />

Unit.<br />

Brands include vaccines, but exclude branded generics,<br />

Brands include vaccines using <strong>IMS</strong>’s proprietary market<br />

using <strong>IMS</strong> MIDAS market segmentation methodology.<br />

segmentation methodology.<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Medicines</strong>: Outlook Through 2015<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Global</strong> Report <strong>Use</strong> by <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Medicines</strong>: <strong>IMS</strong> Institute Outlook for Through <strong>Health</strong>care 2015 Informatics<br />

Report by the <strong>IMS</strong> Institute for <strong>Health</strong>care Informatics<br />

12<br />

1

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