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Untitled - CGIAR Impact

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14 ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF NEW RICE TECHNOLOGY<br />

Table 6. Inputs, yields, and net returns of experiments in irrigated fields of three farms in Nueva Ecija,<br />

Philippines, 1973.<br />

Treatment<br />

no.<br />

Inputs<br />

N P 2 O 5<br />

cost<br />

(kg/ha) (kg/ha) 2,4-D (US$/ha)<br />

Total<br />

yield<br />

(t/ha)<br />

Yield<br />

Increase over control<br />

Net<br />

return<br />

(US$/ha)<br />

Net<br />

return<br />

per US$<br />

cost<br />

1 0 0 No 0 1.6 –<br />

2<br />

40 0 No 8 2.3 0.7 b<br />

3<br />

60 0 No 12 1.9 a 0.3<br />

4<br />

80 0 No 16 2.2 a 0.6<br />

5<br />

0 60 No 14 1.6 0<br />

6<br />

40 60 No 22 2.5 0.9 b<br />

7 60 60 No 26 2.3 a 0.7<br />

8<br />

80 60 No 30 2.0 a 0.4<br />

9 0 0 Yes 3 2.3 0.7<br />

10<br />

40<br />

0 Yes 11 2.3 a 0.7<br />

11<br />

60<br />

0 Yes 15 2.2 a 0.6<br />

12<br />

80<br />

0 Yes 19 2.4 0.8 b<br />

13<br />

0 60 Yes 17 2.5 0.9<br />

14<br />

40 60 Yes 25 2.7 1.1<br />

15 60 60 Yes 29 2.7 a 1.1<br />

16 80 60 Yes 33 2.9 1.3<br />

–<br />

b<br />

a<br />

a<br />

b<br />

b<br />

a<br />

a<br />

42<br />

a<br />

a<br />

b<br />

41<br />

46<br />

a<br />

51<br />

–<br />

4.5<br />

–<br />

–<br />

–<br />

1.6<br />

–<br />

–<br />

15.5<br />

–<br />

–<br />

1.7<br />

2.5<br />

1.8<br />

–<br />

1.5<br />

a Treatment with more input and the same or lower yield than anothertreatment. b Treatment with higher<br />

cost and the same or lower yield than another treatment.<br />

and 2,4-D were used, illustrating clearly the production complementarity<br />

among the inputs.<br />

Economic analysis is not required to eliminate all nitrogen treatments<br />

beyond the point of maximum output for a given P 2 O 5 and weed control levels<br />

(treatments 3, 4, 7, 8, 10, 11, 15 in Table 6). Of the 9 treatments left, 4 (treatments<br />

2, 5, 6, 12) are obviously uneconomic because they cost more than<br />

another treatment giving the same or higher yield. (Note that changes in the<br />

prices of inputs or of rice would require new consideration of which treatments<br />

are uneconomic in this sense.) Yields from the remaining 5 treatments<br />

(1, 9, 13, 14, 16) ranged from 1.6 t/ha for zero inputs to 2.9 t/ha with the highest<br />

level of inputs.<br />

Calculations of costs and returns for these five treatments show that the<br />

highest yielding treatment is also the most profitable. Treatment 16 gave<br />

$51/ha increase in net returns over the control, but treatment 9 gave $42/ha<br />

and was much cheaper. There is relatively little difference in profitability between<br />

treatments 9 and 16, although the latter increased the yield almost twice<br />

as much. The cash cost of treatment 16, which is a reflection of the possible loss<br />

faced by the farmer, was 10 times greater than the cash cost of treatment 9. The<br />

return per unit of cash cost in treatment 9 was 10 times greater than that in<br />

treatment 16. With these alternatives, a farmer might quite rationally choose<br />

treatment 9 instead of 16.<br />

The same experiment carried out on rainfed fields gave similar results (Fig.<br />

3). Some of the high-input treatments again gave less output than lower input

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