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Untitled - CGIAR Impact

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STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN RICE SUPPLY RELATIONS 39<br />

6. Trends in irrigated area and fertilizer consumption in Thailand, 1950-73.<br />

Two specifications for the price variable were used for the area response<br />

function.<br />

• The average price during the previous marketing period, December of<br />

previous year to April of current year, and<br />

• The average price for the previous calendar year.<br />

The two series were deflated either by the price index of nonrice crops or by<br />

the wholesale price index. Each of the four variations of the price variable thus<br />

obtained was tried in estimating the area response function.<br />

The rice price variable used in the yield response function was the average<br />

price during the previous marketing period, December of previous year to<br />

April of current year, deflated by the fertilizer price index. The average price<br />

during the planting period, May to July of current year, was also tried but the<br />

results were inferior and are not reported here.<br />

The price of alternative crops ( Pa ) was included in the area response function<br />

in the form of the price index of nonrice crops (1966-70 = 100). The index

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