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Game Theory with Applications to Finance and Marketing

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F A (·, α 1 ), then firm 2 would strictly prefer h <strong>to</strong> l, <strong>and</strong> so <strong>to</strong> res<strong>to</strong>re<br />

indifference, we need <strong>to</strong> make sure that under α 2 , the difference in the<br />

probabilities of losing the switchers, F A (h, α 2 ) − F A (l, α 2 ), is higher<br />

than its counterpart F A (h, α 1 ) − F A (l, α 1 ) under α 1 . This being true<br />

for all h <strong>and</strong> l, we conclude that f A is higher under α 2 than under α 1<br />

at all h ∈ (p 2<br />

, v).<br />

Now, let us summarize the effect of an increase in α on F A . By directly<br />

differentiating, we have for all x ∈ (p, v),<br />

∂F A (x, α)<br />

∂α<br />

=<br />

1<br />

[1 − β<br />

1−α ]2 {<br />

β p(α)<br />

[1 −<br />

(1 − α)<br />

2<br />

x<br />

] − p′ (α)<br />

x [1 − β<br />

1 − α ]},<br />

so that the sign of ∂F A(x,α)<br />

∂α<br />

is the same as the sign of<br />

G(x) ≡<br />

β<br />

(1 − α)<br />

p(α)<br />

[1 −<br />

2<br />

x<br />

] − p′ (α)<br />

x [1 − β<br />

1 − α ].<br />

Note that G(·) is strictly increasing, <strong>with</strong> G(p) < 0. Letting G(x ∗ ) = 0,<br />

we have<br />

x ∗ (1 − α)(1 − α − β)V<br />

= p + .<br />

β(1 − β)<br />

Thus we can conclude that<br />

α<br />

• If min(1, + (1−α)(1−α−β) ) > v > α so that the interval (p, v)<br />

1−β β(1−β) V 1−β<br />

does not contain x ∗ , then at all x ∈ (p, v), we have ∂F A<br />

< ∂α 0.16<br />

• If instead 1 > v V ≥ α<br />

+ (1−α)(1−α−β)<br />

1−β β(1−β)<br />

∂F A<br />

∂α (x, α) ≤ 0 if <strong>and</strong> only if x ≤ x∗ .<br />

so that x ∗ ∈ (p, v), then<br />

Intuitively, as suggested by Leibniz rule, an increase in α results in a<br />

decrease in F A at all x ∈ (p 1<br />

, p 2<br />

], but <strong>to</strong> res<strong>to</strong>re a mixed equilibrium,<br />

as we mentioned above, the density f A must become higher at all x ∈<br />

(p 2<br />

, v). Thus for x ∈ (p 2<br />

, v), either F A becomes higher or it becomes<br />

lower under α 2 , <strong>and</strong> which one would happen depends on which between<br />

the above two opposing effects dominates.<br />

16 Recall that in the symmetric case, where α = β, we have shown that F A (x) = 1−α− αV x<br />

1−2α<br />

for all x ∈ (p, v), <strong>and</strong> indeed ∂FA<br />

∂α < 0. 27

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