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Game Theory with Applications to Finance and Marketing

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Show that<br />

Π ∗ B = 17<br />

4 , Π∗ 1 = 221<br />

56 , Π∗ 2 = 12.<br />

27. Before we end this note, we shall introduce a class of games <strong>with</strong> imperfect<br />

information, called games of signal jamming. We give 5 examples<br />

below.<br />

28. Example 9. Consider a firm run by an owner-manager Mr. A. At<br />

date 1, Mr. A can either costlessly exert a low effort (e = 0) or exert a<br />

high effort (e = 1) by incurring a disutility c > 0. Mr. A’s effort choice<br />

is unobservable <strong>to</strong> public inves<strong>to</strong>rs. Let π 1 <strong>and</strong> π 2 be respectively the<br />

firm’s date-1 <strong>and</strong> date-2 profits. If Mr. A exerts a low effort, the firm’s<br />

date-1 <strong>and</strong> date-2 profits are both zero. If Mr. A exerts a high effort,<br />

then the firm’s date-1-date-2 profits may be<br />

(π 1 , π 2 ) =<br />

{<br />

(0, 5), <strong>with</strong> probability β;<br />

(1, 0), <strong>with</strong> probability 1 − β.<br />

The firm has no growth opportunities after date 2, <strong>and</strong> it will be liquidated<br />

at the end of date 2. Mr. A <strong>and</strong> all inves<strong>to</strong>rs in the financial<br />

market are risk-neutral <strong>with</strong>out time preferences.<br />

(i) Suppose that it is common knowledge that Mr. A will never sell<br />

shares by the end of date 2. Find a set of conditions on c <strong>and</strong> β ensuring<br />

that Mr. A exerts a low effort in equilibrium.<br />

(ii) Suppose that 1 > β > 1 <strong>and</strong> 0 < c < 2. Suppose that, contrary <strong>to</strong><br />

4<br />

part (i), it is common knowledge that Mr. A will sell all the equity at<br />

date 1 (<strong>with</strong>out distributing any cash dividends at date 1), <strong>and</strong> that<br />

public inves<strong>to</strong>rs’ only date-1 information about the firm is π 1 .<br />

• Find further conditions on c <strong>and</strong> β ensuring that Mr. A exerts a<br />

high effort in equilibrium.<br />

• Find further conditions on c <strong>and</strong> β ensuring that Mr. A exerts a<br />

low effort in equilibrium.<br />

Solution. The answer <strong>to</strong> part (i) is c > 1 + 4β.<br />

The answer <strong>to</strong> part (ii) is c > 1 − β if we want <strong>to</strong> induce Mr. A <strong>to</strong><br />

exert a low effort, <strong>and</strong> this answer needs a little explanation.<br />

33

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