05.03.2014 Views

Indirect Effects: Aerosol and Cloud Microphysics Ulrike Lohmann

Indirect Effects: Aerosol and Cloud Microphysics Ulrike Lohmann

Indirect Effects: Aerosol and Cloud Microphysics Ulrike Lohmann

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Example of an inverse simulation [Knutti et al., 2002]<br />

Probability density functions<br />

of the global mean indirect<br />

effect:<br />

d) not constrained<br />

e) contrained by observed T<br />

record<br />

f) also constrained by the IPCC<br />

climate sensitivity<br />

Simulated relation between<br />

climate sensitivity (∆T/<br />

2xCO 2 ) <strong>and</strong> atmospheric<br />

<strong>and</strong> oceanic warming:<br />

a) global ocean heat uptake<br />

from 1955-1995 in the upper<br />

3 km<br />

b) atmospheric temperature<br />

from 1900-2000

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