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Abbreviated Interrupted Time-Series - Institute for Policy Research

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Concerns with Contrast 1<br />

• Possible low power due to low number of groups (3:<br />

public, Catholic, non‐Catholic private) with 8 time<br />

points<br />

– So only 24 degrees of freedom<br />

• Catholic sex abuse scandals in 2002 result in parents<br />

taking their children out of Catholic schools<br />

• No evidence that<br />

– school leavers caused a drop in average student<br />

achievement in Catholic schools or<br />

– public and other private school effects are due to<br />

transfers from Catholic schools<br />

• Data from other private schools provides a<br />

unconfounded replicate, but never stat sig.

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