Regression Discontinuity - Institute for Policy Research

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Main Design Problem using Age-Related, but not other, Cutoffs Differential entrance and attrition time in TR and CO groups: - Treatment group consists of students who are in kindergarten in the fall –Control group consists of students who are enrolled in pre-K in the fall –Are there compositional differences between children who stay in pre-K until the fall of their kindergarten year (treatment group) and children who are just starting pre-K and so have not had a chance to attrit (control group)
Addressing Potential Issues with using Age-Related Cutoffs • Differential entrance and attrition time in TR and CO groups – Are there compositional differences between children who make it to the fall of their kindergarten year (treatment group) and children who are just starting pre-K (control group) • Particularly troubling concern because it could introduce serious bias in the design and make the approach invalid – Prompting some critics to ask, Is this an RD design at all?
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Regression-Discontinuity Design Day
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Design Overview Design Examples Vis
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RDD Visual Depiction Comparison
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RDD Visual Depiction Discontinuity,
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Two Rationales for RDD 1. Selection
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Required Assumptions for RD design
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Sharp RD Designs • Requires that
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Estimating Treatment Effects in Fuz
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“Non”-RD designs • No discont
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2. Manipulation of the assignment v
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Diagnostic test • Can perform “
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Analytic Threats to RD Design: Para
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The size of the discontinuity at th
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Functional Form • Put more techni
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Functional Form: Interactions • S
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If we superimpose the regression li
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Here we see an example where the tr
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Adding Nonlinear Terms to the Model
Page 38 and 39: Adding Nonlinear and Interaction Te
Page 40 and 41: Adding Terms, Continued • When in
Page 42 and 43: Example of Parametric Plot used aga
Page 44 and 45: Non-parametric Approach lim x¯c E[
Page 46 and 47: 3. Semi-Parametric Approach Y i = t
Page 48 and 49: Problem of Incorrect Bandwidth Sele
Page 50 and 51: RDD Example 1
Page 52: RD Design assumption 1 • Probabil
Page 55 and 56: Implementation assumption 2 • No
Page 57 and 58: Analytic assumption 1 continued •
Page 59 and 60: Shadish et al. (2011) Vocabulary RD
Page 61 and 62: RDD Example 2
Page 63 and 64: Best case scenario - regression lin
Page 65 and 66: Correct specification of functional
Page 67 and 68: What to do (2) • Parametric appro
Page 69 and 70: What to do (4) 0 50 100 150 locpoly
Page 71 and 72: What to do (5) • Move to a tie br
Page 73 and 74: Example Cocaine Project • Include
Page 75 and 76: What to do (7) • Estimation throu
Page 77 and 78: 2. Dealing with Overrides to the cu
Page 79 and 80: 2. Overrides to the cutoff • Mult
Page 81 and 82: Specification of Functional Form Pa
Page 83 and 84: Specification of Functional Form No
Page 85 and 86: Overrides to cutoff (2) Alternative
Page 87: Final estimates Function al form Pa
Page 91 and 92: African-American Home language Span
Page 93 and 94: What about cutoff Shift in Number o
Page 95 and 96: McCrary Test for New Jersey
Page 97 and 98: Take Home Message • Like RE, the
Page 99 and 100: Inadequate statistical power • Ne
Page 101 and 102: Power Considerations Common to Rand
Page 103 and 104: What “Uniquely” Affects Power i
Page 105 and 106: Generalizing Beyond The Cut-off In
Page 107 and 108: Adding an Untreated RD Comparison F
Page 109 and 110: Creating A Regression Discontinuity
Page 111 and 112: Pretest and Posttest RD • Imagine
Page 113 and 114: What Is The Target Parameter? • A
Page 115 and 116: Table 1: Bias At the Cutoff Adding
Page 117 and 118: Summary of what the Pretest- Supple
Page 119 and 120: Additional Topic not covered in Cla
Page 121 and 122: Sample Data with Multiple Cutoffs O
Page 123 and 124: Typical estimation strategy for RDs
Page 125 and 126: Issue 1: To standardize or not stan
Page 127 and 128: Generalizing Treatment Effects Acro
Page 129 and 130: …Also Common in • Meta-Analysis
Page 131 and 132: What is Special about Pooling RD Es
Page 133 and 134: Benefits and Tradeoffs of Option 1
Page 135 and 136: Benefits and Tradeoffs of Option 2
Page 137 and 138: Distribution of Units in an RD with
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Multivariate RDD with Two Assignmen
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The Average Treatment Effect along
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Treatment Weights for τ MRD Weight
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Estimating Treatment Effects Four P
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Centering Approach Procedure allows
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IV Approach (1) Rather than exclude
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Regression Discontinuity - Institute for Policy Research

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