08.03.2014 Views

ISIS Europe News In This Issue

ISIS Europe News In This Issue

ISIS Europe News In This Issue

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

A news review of <strong>Europe</strong>an Security and Defence Policy<br />

Number 48 February 2010<br />

<strong>In</strong> <strong>This</strong> <strong>Issue</strong><br />

<strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>News</strong><br />

Page 1<br />

A Decade for<br />

Disarmament?<br />

Page 1<br />

The 2010 NPT Review<br />

Conference: Looking to<br />

a future without<br />

nuclear weapons?<br />

Page 3<br />

NATO Needs to<br />

Emphasise the<br />

Centrality of Arms<br />

Control<br />

Page 6<br />

NATO and the EU:<br />

Cooperation?<br />

Page 9<br />

CSDP and EU mission<br />

updates, table and<br />

chart, February 2010<br />

Page 13<br />

<strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>News</strong><br />

<strong>This</strong> edition of <strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review concentrates on oversight and arms control. <strong>In</strong><br />

particular, there are several anniversaries/international meetings this year of significance, to which<br />

accountability and assessment of implementation are important.<br />

<strong>This</strong> year marks the 10 th anniversary of UNSC Resolution 1325, which outlined measures to<br />

improve the plight of and empower women in peace and security. <strong>ISIS</strong> has conducted training with<br />

DCAF on gender and SSR and is undertaking a study for the <strong>Europe</strong>an Parliament on implementing<br />

UNSCR 1325 and human rights guidelines in the EU’s external relations. What we need to ensure<br />

now in the EU on this 10 th anniversary, is solid commitment in the <strong>Europe</strong>an External Action<br />

Service to gender – with a concrete realisation of a properly financed gender unit. You can<br />

subscribe to <strong>ISIS</strong>’ regular Gender and Security list here.<br />

It is just over a month since the launch of the CSDP Mission Analysis Partnership webportal<br />

www.csdpmap.eu With over 70,000 hits, it has proved a very popular format of access to EU and<br />

independent information on CSDP. CSDP MAP now has 21 partners and growing. Subscribe to<br />

updates from the webportal site. For further information, please contact Giji Gya.<br />

Our regular CSDP Updates also form part of CSDP MAP, and the February update of ongoing<br />

CSDP missions – including the proposed EUTM mission in Somalia - are here.<br />

Finally, we say farewell and good luck to former staff member Filippo Mauri who has taken up a<br />

traineeship in the Council General Secretariat. We thank Filippo for his excellent work on<br />

<strong>In</strong>stitutional Reform and Security Governance.<br />

Other<br />

EP Updates<br />

Page 2<br />

NATO Watch<br />

Page 12<br />

CSDP MAP<br />

Page 19<br />

<strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong><br />

Rue Archimède 50<br />

1000 Brussels<br />

Belgium<br />

Tel: +32 2 230 7446<br />

Fax: +32 2 230 6113<br />

www.isis-europe.org<br />

info@isis-europe.org<br />

ESR is edited by<br />

Giji Gya,<br />

Executive Director<br />

A Decade for Disarmament?<br />

During almost four weeks this<br />

May (3 rd to 28 th ), State Parties<br />

will gather in New York to<br />

review implementation of the<br />

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation<br />

of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) for<br />

the eighth time since its entry<br />

into force in 1970 and to<br />

identify further areas for<br />

progress. Read the article on the<br />

NPT by <strong>ISIS</strong> Senior Advisor on<br />

Nuclear and Disarmament<br />

Policy – Dr. Ian Davis in this<br />

issue (p.3).<br />

Also on the nuclear slant, a<br />

guest article from Martin<br />

Butcher of Pugwash looks at<br />

arms control in a NATO<br />

framework in its Strategic Concept Review (p.6). <strong>ISIS</strong><br />

and Pugwash will be undertaking several events this<br />

year on the NPT and <strong>ISIS</strong> will also assist the annual<br />

NATO Watch Shadow event in the second semester<br />

2010. We also look at EU-NATO relations with an<br />

article (p. 9) outlining the formal and informal<br />

discussions on cohering capabilities between these two<br />

bodies. <strong>ISIS</strong> and DCAF will hold a meeting with<br />

MEPs and NATO Parliamentary Assemblies on 13<br />

April, looking at EU-NATO Capabilities.<br />

Further on the disarmament side, the international<br />

Convention on Cluster Munitions is set to enter into<br />

force in August this year after having received 30<br />

ratifications. Surprisingly, one would think we would<br />

have learnt after the successful Landmine Ban Treaty,<br />

but still, many States are to ratify.<br />

The EU should not forget that these indiscriminate<br />

weapons are close to home, where cluster munitions<br />

were used in the August 2008 conflict in Georgia.


From the EU member states, 10 of 27 have ratified so<br />

far, which (in chronological ratification order) are:<br />

Ireland, Austria, Spain, Germany, Luxembourg,<br />

Slovenia, Malta, France, Belgium and Denmark. (Non-<br />

EU States in <strong>Europe</strong> that have ratified include Albania,<br />

Croatia, FYR Macedonia, Moldova, Montenegro and<br />

Norway). 1<br />

conditional on reciprocal moves by Russia. Second,<br />

whether unilateral withdrawal would be sought (as<br />

recommended by the four elder Belgian statesmen) in<br />

the event that agreement cannot be reached within<br />

NATO”. The situation was further complicated over<br />

the weekend by the Dutch government falling and the<br />

establishment of a caretaker Cabinet until the June<br />

elections.<br />

Giji Gya, Executive Director, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong><br />

<strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> is an independent research and<br />

advisory organisation providing analysis on<br />

security, defence and peacebuilding aspects.<br />

Graphic: www.stopclustermunitions.org<br />

Belgian news - global zero for nuclear weapons<br />

Last Friday (19 February), Belgian Prime Minister,<br />

Yves Leterme (CD&V), announced in Le Soir 2 that<br />

along with Germany, Luxembourg, the Netherlands,<br />

and Norway, Belgium was taking an initiative in<br />

favour of a world without nuclear weapons within the<br />

framework of the review of the NATO Strategic<br />

Concept in November 2010. The official Belgian<br />

government statement follows an earlier high-profile<br />

call by the former head of NATO Willy Claes and<br />

three other Belgian statesmen (former Prime Ministers<br />

Jean-Luc Dehaene and Guy Verhofstadt and former<br />

Foreign Minister Louis Michel) for the withdrawal of<br />

the <strong>Europe</strong>an-based US nuclear weapons, which was<br />

published in a number of Belgian newspapers. <strong>In</strong><br />

addition, the current Presidency of the EU, Spain,<br />

which will be representing the EU at the NPT, also<br />

announced its support of global zero with “all its<br />

might” in the UNGA 2009.<br />

These statements build on US President Obama’s<br />

“global zero” leadership and UNSCR 1887, which<br />

calls for much stronger action on all fronts of the<br />

nuclear weapons issue, including strengthening the<br />

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons<br />

(NPT). “<strong>This</strong> joint Benelux, German and Norwegian<br />

initiative is another significant step towards removal of<br />

the remaining US nuclear weapons from <strong>Europe</strong>”, said<br />

Dr Ian Davis, Senior Advisor to <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>.<br />

However, he added a note of caution, “What is<br />

seemingly being undertaken is a joint push within<br />

NATO to reach a common position on withdrawal, but<br />

what is less clear is first, the extent to which this is<br />

1 http://www.clusterconvention.org/pages/pages_i/i_statessig<br />

ning.html<br />

2 La Belgique veut un retrait des armes nucléaires, Le Soir,<br />

19/02/2010<br />

<strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> knows the EU.<br />

We provide authoritative, timely, practical and<br />

strategic knowledge, training and advice on EU<br />

Common Security and Defence Policy.<br />

“THE key information provider<br />

on EU security and defence issues” EU official<br />

“<strong>ISIS</strong> training was “a breath of fresh air”<br />

FCO UK official<br />

<strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong><br />

is available<br />

for advice and training on<br />

SSR, crisis management and<br />

gender & security<br />

See our expertise on<br />

our staff and Senior Advisor page.<br />

<strong>In</strong>quiries, contact<br />

<strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> asbl<br />

giji.gya@isis-europe.org<br />

+32 2 230 7446<br />

50 rue Archimede<br />

1000 Brussels<br />

Belgium<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Parliamentary Updates<br />

2010<br />

Our Parliamentary Updates for 2010 are<br />

available on our website on at:<br />

www.isis-europe.org/index.php?page=epu#updates<br />

If you are interested in receiving the updates<br />

every month directly to your mailbox you can<br />

subscribe to the Parliamentary briefs from our<br />

website www.isis-europe.org or by following<br />

this link:<br />

www.graphicmail.com/rwcode/subscribe.asp?siteid=<br />

2177&mode=subscribe<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> page 2


The 2010 NPT Review Conference:<br />

Looking to a future without nuclear weapons?<br />

40 years on, this year sees another meeting reviewing<br />

the Nuclear Non-Proliferation treaty (NPT). Ian Davis<br />

reviews the current state of play regarding the Treaty<br />

in the light of the new ‘Global Zero’ debate. He argues<br />

for regime stabilisation and small concrete<br />

disarmament steps and institutional reforms to help to<br />

keep the Global Zero process on track.<br />

Going to Global Zero?<br />

During almost four weeks this May (3 rd to 28 th ), State<br />

Parties will gather in New York to review<br />

implementation of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation<br />

of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) for the eighth time since<br />

its entry into force in 1970, and to identify further<br />

areas for progress.<br />

While calls for the NPT to be amended or even<br />

superseded by a new convention or treaty on nuclear<br />

disarmament may be premature, concrete, achievable<br />

measures to help strengthen the non-proliferation,<br />

compliance, and disarmament functions of the NPT are<br />

likely to be tabled.<br />

As we approach the 40 th anniversary (on 5 March<br />

2010) of entry into force of the NPT, this article<br />

reviews the current state of play regarding the Treaty<br />

in the light of the new ‘Global Zero’ debate. 2009 in<br />

particular, was an extraordinary year of commitments<br />

at the highest levels to the vision of a world free of<br />

nuclear weapons: from President Barack Obama’s<br />

Prague speech to the UN Security Council Summit.<br />

The 2010 NPT Review Conference (RevCon) provides<br />

a golden opportunity to turn words into action, for<br />

setting in motion irreversible processes to achieve that<br />

objective. It is not the only game in town— the NPT is<br />

part of a network of interlocking treaties,<br />

organisations, inspections and unilateral, bilateral and<br />

multilateral arrangements aimed at halting the spread<br />

of nuclear weapons — but it is the one that, for good<br />

or ill, continues to form the cornerstone of<br />

international multilateral commitments to nuclear<br />

disarmament.<br />

The article begins by outlining the reasons why the<br />

NPT should be seen as a success story, but one that<br />

remains fragile given the differing perspectives that<br />

shape the views of Nuclear Weapon States (NWS) and<br />

Non-Nuclear Weapon States (NNWS). It then<br />

undertakes a brief review of some of the obstacles to<br />

further progress at the 2010 RevCon, and ends with<br />

some tentative conclusions as to what might constitute<br />

as ‘progress’ in May.<br />

The NPT: a relative success story (but with much<br />

work still to do)<br />

The NPT today has the largest number of signatories<br />

of any arms control agreement, and with only four<br />

states outside has achieved near-universal<br />

involvement. <strong>This</strong> means that almost the entire<br />

community of nations has voluntarily chosen to sign<br />

and ratify a treaty of indefinite duration that precludes<br />

them from acquiring nuclear weapons or assisting<br />

other countries from doing so.<br />

To these ends, by and large the NPT has been a<br />

success. Much of the world is covered by Nuclear<br />

Weapon Free Zones (NWFZs), including nearly the<br />

entire Southern Hemisphere. With the recent entryinto-force<br />

of the Central Asian NWFZ Treaty, NWFZs<br />

now also extend into the Northern Hemisphere and<br />

include territory on which nuclear weapons used to be<br />

based. Momentum also resumed in 2009 with the<br />

ratification on 15 July of the Pelindaba 1 Treaty—the<br />

African NWFZ (which was signed in signed in 1996<br />

but only came into effect with the 28 th ratification).<br />

The NPT has also greatly slowed nuclear proliferation,<br />

so that to date only one country, North Korea, has<br />

signed up as a Non-Nuclear Weapon State (NNWS)<br />

and gone on to acquire a complete nuclear weapons<br />

capability. Of course, first Israel, then <strong>In</strong>dia and<br />

Pakistan have developed nuclear weapons outside the<br />

NPT framework. Overall, however, nuclear ‘breakout’<br />

has largely been contained and the pace of nuclear<br />

proliferation remains much less than anticipated.<br />

Nor is proliferation inevitable or irreversible: since<br />

1970 more states have given up their ambitions for<br />

nuclear weapons (including Argentina, Australia,<br />

Belarus, Brazil, Egypt, <strong>In</strong>donesia, Italy, Kazakhstan,<br />

Libya, Norway, Romania, Switzerland, South Africa,<br />

South Korea, Sweden, Taiwan, Ukraine and the<br />

Former Federal Republic of Yugoslavia) than have<br />

acquired them. However, one thing is clear: the status<br />

quo is unsustainable. Nine countries cannot maintain<br />

their monopoly of nuclear weapons indefinitely.<br />

1 http://cns.miis.edu/inventory/pdfs/aptanwfz.pdf<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> page 3


The verification system, centred on the <strong>In</strong>ternational<br />

Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), has over the decades<br />

strengthened significantly, both in formal procedures,<br />

and in the acquired collective experience of its<br />

practitioners. The growing adoption internationally of<br />

the Model Additional Protocol (AP) is a particularly<br />

positive development, since it expands the declaration<br />

a state must make to the IAEA of activities that might<br />

contribute to the development of nuclear weapons and<br />

broadens the agency’s right of access to verify the<br />

declaration. But while more than half of the states<br />

with safeguards agreements with the IAEA now also<br />

have APs in force, it is less encouraging that 30<br />

NNWS parties to the NPT still do not have even<br />

comprehensive safeguards in place. Moreover, the AP<br />

is not in force in some key regions, including much of<br />

the Middle East, South Asia, and Latin America.<br />

The challenges ahead<br />

Most observers at the 2009 NPT Preparatory<br />

Committee (PrepCom) regarded the results of this last<br />

preliminary meeting as largely positive, although that<br />

assessment had as much to do with the low bar that has<br />

been set for judging ‘success’ and the dismal failure of<br />

the 2005 RevCon. While no agreement could be<br />

reached on substantive recommendations, an agenda<br />

was adopted for the 2010 RevCon, something that was<br />

not achieved until the third week of the 2005 RevCon.<br />

The meeting was also notable for the largely<br />

professional and collegiate approach of delegations<br />

and the absence of rancour that had plagued past<br />

PrepComs.<br />

However, one of the major challenges at the RevCon<br />

will be in neutralising or sidelining the handful of<br />

NWS and NNWS that, on past experience, are likely to<br />

promote positions that stand no chance of gaining<br />

consensus. Uncompromising national positions in<br />

2005, for example, as adopted by the US, France and<br />

Iran (in relation to past disarmament commitments)<br />

and Egypt (in relation to the 1995 resolution on the<br />

Middle East) contributed to the stalemate and had the<br />

effect of ending all prospects for agreement on<br />

substantive recommendations. Moreover, the<br />

wrangling over process and technicalities meant that<br />

there was little or no debate at the 2005 RevCon on<br />

vital non-proliferation issues, such as North Korea’s<br />

nuclear programme and its status under the NPT, or on<br />

serious nuclear trafficking incidents.<br />

review of the 'Programme of Action' known as the '13<br />

practical steps towards global nuclear disarmament'<br />

agreed in 2000. These clearly achievable confidencebuilding<br />

measures and commitments were viewed at<br />

the time as an expression of the 'step-by-step' approach<br />

favoured by NWS, and as fulfilment of their pledge<br />

made at the previous 1995 review conference to<br />

advance nuclear disarmament – a pledge that enabled<br />

the historic consensus to indefinitely extend the NPT.<br />

These 13 steps remain central to the debate today<br />

because the failure to agree a Final Document at the<br />

2005 RevCon means that they remain the most recent<br />

multilaterally agreed disarmament framework.<br />

Consideration of these steps was blocked at the 2005<br />

RevCon, but it is unlikely that States Parties will allow<br />

this to continue indefinitely – and nor should they.<br />

Finding the critical points for progress<br />

For decades many States Parties have been willing to<br />

talk about the possibility of a nuclear-weapon free<br />

world without ever really believing that it is feasible,<br />

nor take the steps necessary to make it more possible.<br />

More pressing concerns in the Cold War prevented any<br />

significant breakthroughs, and the opportunities after<br />

the Cold War were largely squandered. NWS believed<br />

it was enough to reduce warhead numbers and wait to<br />

see what would come next. The ideology supportive of<br />

a new generation of nuclear weapons that arose within<br />

Washington in particular (but that also spread to the<br />

other NWS) was a particular blow to the possibilities<br />

of progress.<br />

Under the inspirational leadership of Barack Obama,<br />

however, a growing group of political leaders and<br />

mainstream ‘opinion shapers’ has been arguing that the<br />

current trends will inevitably lead to a world where the<br />

number of nuclear weapons states may grow to 25-30<br />

in a few years, the concept of nuclear deterrence has<br />

little meaning, and the chances of non-state terrorist<br />

actors acquiring and using nuclear weapons grows<br />

apace. The historic bargain between the NWS and the<br />

NNWS to the NPT is now faced with both ‘breakout’<br />

and declining legitimacy.<br />

It can be clearly demonstrated that the need is not only<br />

overwhelming and urgent, but that actions are practical<br />

and possible. Some of the dynamics for achieving<br />

NPT stability at the 2010 RevCon include:<br />

<strong>In</strong> the NWS’ camp, both France and China convey the<br />

view that they are very uncomfortable with the new<br />

US vision of a world free of nuclear weapons. Getting<br />

these two countries (and the four outside of the NPT)<br />

to lend their support towards that objective is likely to<br />

be a major challenge. <strong>This</strong> situation may be<br />

exacerbated by the likely calls from NNWS for a<br />

Shared goal of a Nuclear Weapon-Free World<br />

(disarmament is the key). The NWS continue to try<br />

and legitimise their nuclear doctrines on the fraudulent<br />

grounds that their status is ‘recognised’ under the NPT.<br />

They know this to be a falsehood yet they blithely<br />

carry on regardless. <strong>This</strong> must change. All of the NWS<br />

should re-affirm their commitment to nuclear<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, page 4


disarmament, and do so in a meaningful way that goes<br />

beyond paying lip service to Article VI. <strong>This</strong> might be<br />

achieved by setting out some initial tangible steps and,<br />

for those NWS that have not already done so, by<br />

announcing at the highest political level (president or<br />

prime minister) that a nuclear weapon-free world is a<br />

shared goal.<br />

RevCon and beyond. NNWS within alliances like<br />

NATO can no longer shelter under the nuclear<br />

umbrella provided by NWS and maintain the pretence<br />

that they are in good standing under the NPT. The<br />

current review of NATO’s Strategic Concept provides<br />

a golden opportunity for them to revise this outdated<br />

nuclear posture. 13<br />

Credible commitments, agreed without coercion. There<br />

are no shortage of disarmament blueprints and plans,<br />

including those contained in: the 1995 NPT Principles<br />

and Objectives for Nuclear Non-Proliferation and<br />

Disarmament 2 ; the 2000 NPT Practical Steps for<br />

disarmament 3 ; draft recommendations of the 2009<br />

NPT PrepCom 4 ; several UN General Assembly<br />

resolutions; UN Security Council Resolution 1887 5 ;<br />

the UN Secretary-General’s five-point proposal for<br />

disarmament 6 ; reports of the WMD (Blix)<br />

Commission 7 and the <strong>In</strong>ternational Commission on<br />

Nuclear Non-proliferation and Disarmament<br />

(ICNND) 8 ; and proposals of civil society groups,<br />

campaigns, and initiatives, among them Global Zero 9 ,<br />

the Nuclear Security Project 10 , the Middle Powers<br />

<strong>In</strong>itiative 11 and its Article VI Forum launched in the<br />

wake of the failed 2005 RevCon and the <strong>In</strong>ternational<br />

Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN) 12 . The<br />

2010 RevCon has an opportunity to work to build<br />

consensus around a number of the priorities identified.<br />

<strong>In</strong> particular, discussion of the legal, technical,<br />

political and verification framework for the prohibition<br />

and elimination of nuclear weapons is long overdue<br />

and consideration should be given to placing the<br />

concept of a Nuclear Weapon Convention (NWC) onto<br />

the negotiating agenda.<br />

Supremacy of the NPT. The discriminatory nature of<br />

the NPT is further reinforced by declaratory statements<br />

in ‘other’ agreements seemingly taking precedence<br />

over the NPT, such as the US-UK Mutual Defence<br />

Agreement and NATO’s Strategic Concept. Until it is<br />

generally accepted that there are no opt-out clauses<br />

from the obligations of the NPT to actively pursue<br />

nuclear disarmament in ‘good faith’, as agreed in the<br />

final document of the 2000 Review Conference, there<br />

will remain no prospect of progress at the 2010<br />

2 http://www.un.org/disarmament/WMD/Nuclear/1995-<br />

NPT/pdf/NPT_CONF199501.pdf<br />

3 http://www.un.org/disarmament/WMD/Nuclear/2000-<br />

NPT/pdf/FD-Part1and2.pdf<br />

4 http://npsglobal.org/eng/images/stories/pdf/DraftRecomendations<br />

080509.pdf<br />

5 http://www.un.org/<strong>News</strong>/Press/docs/2009/sc9746.doc.htm<br />

6 http://www.apc.org.nz/pma/nuc5pnt08.pdf<br />

7 http://www.wmdcommission.org/<br />

8 http://www.icnnd.org/reference/reports/ent/contents.html<br />

9 http://www.globalzero.org/<br />

10 http://www.nuclearsecurityproject.org<br />

11 http://www.gsinstitute.org/mpi/<br />

12 http://www.icanw.org/<br />

Regular review of progress. Visibility is crucial. It is<br />

vital that the 2010 RevCon undertakes a full review of<br />

implementation of the 2000 NPT Final Document.<br />

States Parties should not agree to any weakening of the<br />

disarmament commitments agreed in 2000, but since<br />

some of the13 steps have been overtaken by events,<br />

the RevCon should consider establishing an Article VI<br />

Compliance Committee to review next steps for<br />

implementing Article VI between now and the 2015<br />

RevCon and establish a set of criteria for monitoring<br />

compliance. As a confidence building measure, the<br />

NWS should provide full and transparent reporting on<br />

their implementation of the 2000 NPT Final Document<br />

(or any new or modified commitments arising from the<br />

RevCon in May), including a yearly review and<br />

‘forward look’ of their disarmament commitments.<br />

Revitalising US-Russian and NATO-Russian<br />

cooperation. <strong>In</strong> some respects, more routine and<br />

meaningful nuclear non-proliferation cooperation took<br />

place between the Soviet Union and NATO during the<br />

Cold War than today. Greater use should be made of<br />

both the P-5 mechanism and the NATO-Russia<br />

Council to pursue parallel and coordinated action on<br />

non-proliferation policy and efforts to counter-nuclear<br />

terrorism, including improved sharing of information<br />

regarding illicit nuclear trafficking. If Washington and<br />

Moscow take seriously their pronouncements about<br />

combating nuclear terrorism, they should fashion<br />

greater cooperation in sharing sensitive but vital<br />

information, especially in providing the Office of<br />

Nuclear Security at the IAEA with timely forensics<br />

information about known illicit nuclear trafficking<br />

incidents.<br />

Strengthening the Review Process and NPT <strong>In</strong>stitutional<br />

Reform. The NPT is arguably the weakest of<br />

the treaties governing ‘weapons of mass destruction’<br />

(WMD) in terms of its institutional support. Further<br />

steps toward disarmament will eventually necessitate<br />

an institutional framework comparable to other treaty<br />

regimes governing WMD. At the 2010 RevCon states<br />

should give serious consideration to Canada’s earlier<br />

proposals for institutional reform, which could<br />

increase the quality of NPT deliberations and enable<br />

13 See also article by Martin Butcher “NATO needs to emphasise<br />

the centrality of arms control”” in this ESR No. 48, February 2010.<br />

http://www.isis-europe.org/pdf/2010_artrel_448_esr48-nato-armscontrol.pdf<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, page 5


the treaty’s institutions to focus on specific issues and<br />

respond to developments.<br />

Conclusion<br />

Meeting the high expectations of the NPT RevCon in<br />

2010 will be difficult. The failure of the 2005 RevCon<br />

means that there was no consensus about the status of<br />

the treaty’s implementation, and participants will have<br />

to look back even further to 2000, while<br />

simultaneously looking forward in the light of<br />

subsequent developments, both technological and<br />

political. The RevCon is a crucial component in the<br />

nuclear non-proliferation regime. While an ambitious<br />

substantive outcome seems unlikely, regime<br />

stabilisation and small concrete disarmament steps and<br />

institutional reforms would help to keep the Global<br />

Zero process on track.<br />

Dr. Ian Davis, Senior Advisor - Nuclear and<br />

disarmament policy, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>;<br />

Director, NATO Watch www.natowatch.org<br />

NATO Needs to Emphasise the Centrality of Arms Control<br />

Martin Butcher of Pugwash writes on the nuclear side<br />

of NATO. He argues that the task for NATO leaders is<br />

to rebuild solidarity and reshape the Alliance to face<br />

new missions dictated by the transformed post Cold<br />

War, post 9/11 strategic and security environment.<br />

Further, that the North Atlantic Council should be a<br />

platform for consultation and negotiation of arms<br />

control positions within NATO. Finally, that NATO<br />

should not miss the opportunity to use the review of the<br />

Strategic Concept to greatly enhance the role of arms<br />

control, non-proliferation and disarmament in security<br />

building.<br />

<strong>In</strong>troduction<br />

<strong>This</strong> year, NATO leaders will agree a new Strategic<br />

Concept for the Alliance, a document that will govern<br />

NATO’s approach to its security for a decade or more.<br />

The threat posed to the Alliance by nuclear, biological,<br />

chemical or radiological weapons (WMD) and their<br />

means of delivery has for some years been identified<br />

as a central concern, the strategic concept talks present<br />

an excellent opportunity to consider how NATO<br />

nations can enhance their security through a stronger<br />

reliance on arms control, non-proliferation and<br />

disarmament.<br />

There are emergent threats or potential threats which,<br />

if not dealt with before they mature, could lead to the<br />

establishment of new or revived deterrent relationships<br />

which the Alliance might wish to avoid. There are also<br />

potential threats which would not be susceptible to<br />

deterrence, for example if a radical religious group<br />

were able to obtain a nuclear weapon. While the<br />

Alliance must maintain defences against such a<br />

possibility, it must be asked why NATO has moved<br />

away from threat reduction and prevention to drop to<br />

the extent that it has?<br />

The security of NATO members, and of the wider<br />

world, would be enhanced by engagement with<br />

potential adversaries to allow the reduction and<br />

elimination of potential threats before they grow to a<br />

scale that actually menaces the Alliance. Where nonstate<br />

groups are not amenable to such engagement,<br />

then support for non-proliferation measures which can<br />

deny them the means to use WMD are an essential<br />

component of future strategy. Finally, the Allies<br />

should discuss the extent to which NATO’s nuclear<br />

posture harms the global non-proliferation regime and<br />

acts as a stimulant to threats and potential threats it is<br />

intended to deter.<br />

A new emphasis on arms control, non-proliferation<br />

and disarmament should be debated openly and<br />

widely. It is to be regretted that the preparatory phase<br />

of the Strategic Concept revision process is, for the<br />

most part, happening behind closed doors. 1 There is no<br />

involvement of NATO nation parliaments. Ministers<br />

are not giving a political lead. A Group of Experts<br />

gathers evidence behind closed doors. Even<br />

presentations by academics to the group are not<br />

published. Nuclear issues will be discussed by the<br />

group for barely two hours in formal session. At a time<br />

when NATO’s nuclear deployments and strategy lack<br />

public support and democratic legitimacy, this is not<br />

enough.<br />

For decades, NATO has pursued dual track policies of<br />

deterrence and arms control as a means of managing<br />

nuclear threats. The balance of these polices has<br />

become distorted since the adoption of the last<br />

Strategic Concept in 1999. As they look to the future<br />

role of the Alliance, NATO nations must undertake an<br />

1 See analysis via NATO Watch www.natowatch.org and <strong>ISIS</strong><br />

<strong>Europe</strong> www.isis-europe.org/index.php?page=reform<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, page 6


evaluation of current policy and practice. They must<br />

further engage in a review of their support for arms<br />

control and disarmament as threat reduction and<br />

elimination measures, and revise policy accordingly to<br />

become more effective at building NATO security.<br />

A Lost Decade<br />

During the past decade, NATO gave the appearance of<br />

abandoning any attempt at threat reduction through<br />

arms control, non-proliferation and disarmament, in<br />

favour of a purely military response to potential<br />

WMD-armed adversaries. <strong>This</strong> is strange, given the<br />

successful use during the 1980s of multi-lateral<br />

agreements to reduce armaments and the likelihood of<br />

conflict, both nuclear and conventional. At the very<br />

least, the role of non-proliferation has been severely<br />

downgraded. <strong>This</strong> reflected US national policy under<br />

the Bush administration much more than it reflected<br />

the collective view of the Alliance.<br />

At a time when NATO faces no military peer, it would<br />

seem only logical to use this position of strength to<br />

negotiate agreements with neighbours and nearneighbours<br />

that can obviate new WMD threats before<br />

they arise. However, <strong>Europe</strong>an nations submitted to<br />

the Bush administration’s global outlook, and allowed<br />

it to become the policy of the entire Alliance by<br />

default. <strong>This</strong> despite the fact that it is clear that<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an nations did not share the bleak world view<br />

emanating from Washington DC. The <strong>Europe</strong>an<br />

Security Strategy 2 and the Strategy Against the<br />

Proliferation of WMD 3 adopted by the EU places<br />

much more emphasis on multilateral diplomacy to<br />

construct security from WMD threats than is now the<br />

case for NATO – and yet, because of NATO’s<br />

consensus rule <strong>Europe</strong>ans were overridden by the<br />

United States.<br />

A New Promise<br />

That situation has now changed. <strong>Europe</strong>ans are<br />

presented with another challenge – how to give their<br />

support to an administration keen to pursue arms<br />

control measures. President Obama’s team is finalizing<br />

a START follow-on agreement with Russia, and the<br />

President has promised ratification of the<br />

Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. The US President has<br />

given nuclear disarmament a high profile, with his<br />

speech in Prague in April 2009, and the<br />

groundbreaking UN Security Council session in<br />

September 2009.<br />

2 Council of the <strong>Europe</strong>an Union “<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Strategy”.<br />

http://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cmsUpload/78367.pdf<br />

3 Council of the <strong>Europe</strong>an Union “EU Strategy against the<br />

Proliferation of WMDs”.<br />

http://register.consilium.europa.eu/pdf/en/03/st15/st15708.en03.pd<br />

f<br />

<strong>This</strong> new direction presents <strong>Europe</strong>ans with a<br />

challenge. What can NATO allies do to support this<br />

President in his disarmament policies? And can this<br />

new direction be fully integrated into the new Strategic<br />

Concept, rather than being the Cinderella appendage to<br />

policy that it has become. For even the most<br />

problematic current potential nuclear weapons threats<br />

facing NATO nations are some years away from<br />

becoming real. There is a window, if all NATO nations<br />

would pull together, in which the security of the<br />

Alliance could be enhanced through reducing and<br />

eliminating potential threats.<br />

A Positive Contribution from NATO to the NPT<br />

Review Conference 4<br />

One particular emerging concern within the NPT<br />

review process has been a focus on Negative Security<br />

Assurances. <strong>This</strong> is certain to feature as a major issue<br />

at this year’s Review Conference, and it is one area<br />

where NATO could, if it chose, play a crucial and<br />

positive role. However, nuclear use doctrine must<br />

change. While NATO and some of its member states<br />

continue to allow for the possible use of nuclear<br />

weapons against chemical or biological weapons (and<br />

in the case of the United States even against very large<br />

conventional weapons they describe as WMD), it is<br />

very difficult for NATO members to satisfactorily<br />

respond to the concerns of non-nuclear weapons states<br />

in the NATO periphery and the wider world.<br />

During the 2008 NPT PrepCom the Ukraine made<br />

some concrete proposals to advance the issue. They<br />

noted that:<br />

37. Accordance of the credible security assurances<br />

in the form of an international legally binding<br />

instrument will substantially enhance the nuclear<br />

non-proliferation regime, improve mutual trust<br />

and overall stability.<br />

38. It should also be recognized that problem of<br />

security assurances will exist until purposes of<br />

nuclear disarmament are reached. Moreover,<br />

worth remembering the fact that some of the states<br />

possessing nuclear weapons remain outside of<br />

global regime of nuclear non-proliferation.<br />

And then called for:<br />

39. The 2010 Review Conference should reiterate<br />

its call upon all nuclear weapon states to strictly<br />

adhere to their existing respective pledges and find<br />

4 See also article on the NPT by Ian Davis “The 2010 Non-<br />

Proliferation Treaty Review Conference: Looking to a future<br />

without nuclear weapons?” in this ESR No. 48, February 2010.<br />

http://www.isis-europe.org/pdf/2010_artrel_446_esr48-nptrevcon.pdf<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, page 7


appropriate means to urgently address the security<br />

assurances issue. It may also recommend the UN<br />

General Assembly to adopt resolution, which<br />

would enable convening an <strong>In</strong>ternational<br />

Conference under the auspices of the UN to<br />

discuss the security assurances issue with the<br />

purpose of finding the acceptable solution. 5<br />

NATO is in a position to engage this debate. While<br />

NATO is not a party to the NPT, all its member states<br />

are. They could, as a group, issue a working paper to<br />

the NPT Review Conference on how these proposals<br />

could work in practice, and to address other detailed<br />

points made by the Ukraine. They could also issue a<br />

declaration that NATO will never attack a non-nuclear<br />

weapon state party to the NPT with nuclear weapons,<br />

and that the only purpose of nuclear weapons is to<br />

deter nuclear attack on the Alliance. <strong>This</strong> would do<br />

much to restore confidence in a regime that has been at<br />

a very low ebb.<br />

There are other issues within the NPT context where<br />

NATO’s current position is controversial.<br />

The indefinite extension of the NPT in 1995 was<br />

conditioned by non-nuclear weapon states in part on<br />

the conclusion of a Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban.<br />

All NATO nations except the United States have now<br />

ratified that Treaty, but the US has not. The Bush<br />

administration went so far as to explore withdrawing<br />

its signature from the CTBT, although that did not<br />

happen. The Obama administration has repeatedly said<br />

it will seek ratification of the Treaty, but a year into<br />

that administration NATO is still not offering practical<br />

or even declaratory support for the Treaty, thus<br />

undermining both the CTBT and faith in the NPT<br />

itself. It is time for NATO to state that it seeks US<br />

ratification of the CTBT, and Entry-into-force of that<br />

Treaty and that it stands ready to provide technical<br />

assistance to achieve these goals.<br />

Another area where NATO’s nuclear strategy could be<br />

hurting its defence efforts is the question of tactical<br />

nuclear weapons. <strong>This</strong> is also a hot button issue in the<br />

NPT review process. The German government<br />

initiative of November 2009 to call for the withdrawal<br />

of nuclear weapons from <strong>Europe</strong> opened this debate<br />

wide. They have strong support from many <strong>Europe</strong>an<br />

nations. But others, including the Baltic States, and<br />

with former NATO Secretary General George<br />

Robertson as a spokesman, call for the retention of this<br />

remnant of the Cold War arsenal. The deployment of<br />

US nuclear weapons in NATO <strong>Europe</strong>, and the nuclear<br />

5 Preparing for a Successful Review Conference 2010 2010,<br />

Working paper submitted by Ukraine, NPT PrepCom 2008.<br />

Available at http://daccess-ddsny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/G08/612/44/PDF/G0861244.pdf?Op<br />

enElement.<br />

sharing programme under which some of these are<br />

allocated for Allied use in time of war is an<br />

impediment to progress. Nuclear sharing also means<br />

that several Allied nations have an ambiguous status as<br />

non-nuclear weapons states. Arms control, requires<br />

sacrifice of some military capability for a gain in net<br />

security. Removal of the US nuclear weapons from<br />

<strong>Europe</strong> would also open the door to discussions on<br />

elimination of thousands of tactical nuclear weapons<br />

held by Russia. All this would significantly strengthen<br />

the NPT, restoring much of the belief of non-nuclear<br />

states in the Treaty that has been lost over the past<br />

decade.<br />

Reinvigorating Arms Control in the Alliance<br />

From this analysis of NATO policy flow some the<br />

following conclusions. The task for NATO leaders is<br />

to rebuild that solidarity and reshape the Alliance to<br />

face new missions dictated by the transformed post<br />

Cold War, post 9/11 strategic and security<br />

environment. NATO must find a way to use its current<br />

experiences to craft a new Strategic Concept based on<br />

the security needs of the 21 st century on which all<br />

members can agree. <strong>This</strong> task is difficult, but not<br />

impossible.<br />

<strong>This</strong> strategic concept should:<br />

• Rely on multi-lateral arms control, nonproliferation<br />

and disarmament as the primary<br />

tools for the reduction and elimination of all<br />

WMD threats and potential threats in the Euro-<br />

Atlantic area;<br />

• Facilitate this through the removal of US nuclear<br />

weapons from <strong>Europe</strong>, the ending of NATO<br />

nuclear sharing, establish the principle that<br />

nuclear weapons should be based on the soil of<br />

the possessor nation;<br />

• All Alliance members should consider how they<br />

can reduce and eventually eliminate the role of<br />

nuclear weapons in national defence policies, and<br />

how enhanced arms control policies could assist<br />

in bringing this to fruition.<br />

Perhaps the most important shift that NATO could<br />

undertake would be the revitalization of the North<br />

Atlantic Council as a venue for consultation and<br />

negotiation of arms control positions with the North<br />

Atlantic Alliance. <strong>This</strong> has worked well for NATO in<br />

the past, and would do so again. Specifically, NATO<br />

could engage in a series of areas that directly affect the<br />

security of all Alliance members. These might include:<br />

• Consultations with the US in the North Atlantic<br />

Council and with Russia in the NATO-Russia<br />

Council on future strategic arms control<br />

negotiations;<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, page 8


• Discussions in the NATO-Russia Council on<br />

globalizing the <strong>In</strong>termediate-Range Nuclear<br />

Forces Treaty, as well as urgent talks on<br />

reinstating the Conventional Forces <strong>Europe</strong><br />

Treaty;<br />

• Consultations between NATO ministers, and<br />

between NATO and partners in Asia, the Middle<br />

East and the Mediterranean, on arms control<br />

measures to reduce the threat of ballistic missiles;<br />

• Examination of measures to reduce and eliminate<br />

specific WMD threats;<br />

• Consultations on the entry into force of the<br />

CTBT, with a focus on US ratification and<br />

assistance that NATO as an organization can give<br />

to the CTBTO;<br />

• A thorough study of all potential WMD threats to<br />

the Alliance and an analysis of measures that can<br />

be taken to eliminate them through multilateral<br />

negotiations, including concessions that NATO<br />

would need to make to achieve these goals.<br />

Conclusion<br />

NATO nations are currently fortunate that they face<br />

few if any immediate military threats to their security.<br />

Now is the time to act to enhance regional security by<br />

ensuring, through negotiations and the revitalization of<br />

NATO’s role in arms control, that such threats do not<br />

emerge in the near future. NATO can act at the NPT<br />

Review Conference to contribute to a positive<br />

atmosphere in that forum.<br />

It can use its Strategic Concept Review to greatly<br />

enhance the role of arms control, non-proliferation and<br />

disarmament in security building. <strong>This</strong> must be done<br />

openly, with the full engagement of NATO nations and<br />

their publics. What NATO does in this area will be<br />

watched closely by States around the world, and may<br />

well tip the balance either toward a continued trend<br />

toward proliferation or to a promotion of greater<br />

security through confidence building and other<br />

measures.<br />

Martin Butcher is Special Projects Coordinator for<br />

the Pugwash Conferences on Science and World<br />

Affairs, and a consultant analyst on global security<br />

policy. The views expressed in this article are his<br />

own.<br />

He blogs on NATO issues at<br />

http://natomonitor.blogspot.com.<br />

NATO and the EU: Cooperation?<br />

<strong>This</strong> article assesses the current state of affairs of EU-<br />

NATO cooperation in the field of capability<br />

development. While improvements can be made to both<br />

formal and informal cooperation mechanisms in this<br />

field, real progress will not be possible until<br />

underlying strategic differences over the future of<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an security are resolved. <strong>In</strong> the meantime, real<br />

work on avoiding duplication and fostering strategic<br />

coherence is best coordinated through capitals. <strong>ISIS</strong><br />

and DCAF will hold a meeting with MEPs and NATO<br />

Parliamentarians on 13 April in Brussels, looking at<br />

EU-NATO Capabilities.<br />

<strong>In</strong>troduction<br />

Coordination in capability development is often touted<br />

as a success story for NATO-EU relations by both<br />

sides, and many recommendations for improved<br />

relations contain references to this field. However,<br />

complaining of a lack of real coordination and<br />

cooperation in EU-NATO capability development<br />

seems par for the course on both sides of the aisle.<br />

<strong>In</strong>deed, the NATO-EU Capability Group’s meetings<br />

are often said to consist of largely formulaic<br />

information exchange. Such an important area of<br />

NATO-EU relations deserves more attention and<br />

investment of energy from political leadership.<br />

While strategic divergence on the EU side and the<br />

“participation problem” 1 impede real progress in this<br />

area; improvements are possible in the working of the<br />

EU-NATO Capability Group and in informal staff-tostaff<br />

contact. However, as long as there is no<br />

consensus on the EU side regarding the future of<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an security; capability development coherence<br />

is best coordinated at a national-level.<br />

The current debate on improving EU-NATO<br />

cooperation is viewed primarily through three lenses:<br />

1) at the political level, 2) in ongoing operations in<br />

common theatres (Afghanistan, Balkans and off the<br />

coast of East Africa) and 3) in the development of<br />

military and possibly “other” capabilities. Many<br />

would agree that cooperation in this last area is not as<br />

crucial as the ad-hoc cooperation in the field where<br />

lives and large strategic purposes are at stake.<br />

However, the need for a fully inclusive and open<br />

1 The “participation problem” refers to the political and<br />

institutional problems the two organisations face in cooperation.<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, page 9


dialogue between the organisations regarding their<br />

respective pursuit of the capabilities needed to fulfil<br />

their goals has increased in times of budgetary<br />

pressure.<br />

You say NATO and I say EU<br />

The development of military and other capabilities at<br />

the EU and at NATO answers to different priorities<br />

and follows different methodologies. Thus, an inherent<br />

element of disjunction exists in capability<br />

development. The EU is a broader complex of<br />

institutions with a wider mandate, greater civilian<br />

focus and deeper instruments than those available to<br />

the politico-military Alliance. While EU aspirations on<br />

civilian capabilities in CSDP are better known, its<br />

CSDP aspirations have also required the development<br />

of military capabilities. 2 On the other side, NATO<br />

members are extremely dedicated to ensuring that its<br />

military forces are fully capable of meeting the<br />

challenges of the times. However, the question of<br />

developing civilian capabilities has arisen within<br />

NATO as recent experiences in Iraq and Afghanistan<br />

have demonstrated the need for capacity and abilities<br />

in the areas of reconstruction and stabilisation. 3 Thus,<br />

while current overlap of capability development is in<br />

the military sphere, there is a risk of future duplication<br />

in non-military capabilities as well.<br />

<strong>In</strong>dividual <strong>Europe</strong>an NATO Allies have a single set of<br />

forces for NATO, EU and national purposes. What is<br />

at question is that these states do not want to be given<br />

separate and inconsistent goals from the organisations<br />

they belong to, and thus have a strong interest in<br />

ensuring that capability development is not pulled in<br />

two directions. Members of both organisations are<br />

faced with a difficult choice: To whom do they commit<br />

available military capabilities?<br />

It seems many are currently committing capabilities to<br />

both organisations; but this is not financially<br />

sustainable in the long run. There was hope that the<br />

NATO and EU defence planning process 4 could be<br />

brought together, but this has encountered obstacles,<br />

including EU fears that its autonomy would be<br />

infringed upon by the Alliance with greater experience<br />

in this area and the “participation problem”, now due<br />

in part to problems posed by Cyprus and Turkey.<br />

2 See also article on EU military capabilities by Johann Herz<br />

“Military Capabilities: A Step Forward in ESDP?” in ESR No. 46,<br />

October 2009. http://www.isiseurope.org/pdf/2009_artrel_322_esr46-military-capabilities.pdf<br />

3 Development of civilian capabilities at NATO promises to be an<br />

uphill battle. The existing Civil Emergency Planning capabilities at<br />

NATO were strongly resisted by France in particular.<br />

4 Defence planning in this context refers to the collective setting of<br />

targets and performance review. <strong>This</strong> entails close examination of<br />

individual Member States’ programs and budgets.<br />

The EU-NATO Capability Group<br />

Today, formal coordination on capability development<br />

takes place in the aforementioned NATO-EU<br />

Capability Group, which meets approximately every 4<br />

to 6 weeks alternating between NATO HQ and the<br />

Council Justus Lipsius building in Brussels.<br />

Membership of the group comprises NATO Allies and<br />

Non-NATO EU Member States that have a security<br />

agreement with NATO, as insisted upon by Turkey.<br />

Both sides brief on common capability issues, and then<br />

there is time for Q&A and statements, although these<br />

are rare in practice. One potential avenue for<br />

improvement cited by officials on both sides would be<br />

the exchange of briefing content prior to the meetings,<br />

which currently does not occur due to fears that<br />

internal divisions would arise on the EU side. The<br />

make-up of the attendees varies, but the EU is usually<br />

represented by Permanent Representations’<br />

counsellors to the Political-Military Group, the EDA’s<br />

Policy and Plans unit, and the Council Secretariat<br />

CMPD (previously Directorate 8). On the NATO side,<br />

the meetings are attended by Defence Policy and<br />

Planning; the <strong>In</strong>ternational Military Staff, the Defence<br />

<strong>In</strong>vestment Division and defence counsellors and<br />

advisors from the missions and capitals.<br />

There are usually two or three items on the agenda, but<br />

at times single issue meetings occur (i.e. Maritime<br />

Surveillance during Swedish Presidency). It is these<br />

specific targeted meetings that many find more useful.<br />

The country holding the EU presidency often sets out<br />

to seize the initiative, and improve the effectiveness of<br />

the forum, but often run into the usual political<br />

obstacles. For example, the Czech and Swedish<br />

Presidencies undertook an initiative whereby nations<br />

were represented by their MOD’s policy directors.<br />

Political Pandering - The Participation Problem<br />

The Capability Group is hampered by a growing<br />

reticence on the part of the EU to fully engage without<br />

the participation of all its Member States. A common<br />

lament on the EU side is that formal EU-NATO<br />

frameworks are essentially unbalanced negotiations<br />

between a unified and cohesive Alliance and<br />

individual EU Member States. Additionally, the<br />

absence of a security agreement between NATO and<br />

the <strong>Europe</strong>an Defence Agency (EDA), as well as an<br />

administrative arrangement between Turkey and the<br />

EDA are substantial hindrances.<br />

One EU official expressed the view that Turkey had<br />

been misled and eventually cheated in its desire to<br />

obtain an administrative arrangement with the EDA.<br />

Turkey agreed to the integration of the Western<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Armaments Group (WEAG) into the EDA in<br />

2004, with the tacit understanding that it would be<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, page 10


given an administrative arrangement with the new<br />

agency so as to be able to participate in its work. Even<br />

though Norway, a country in a similar position, was<br />

able to sign an administrative arrangement with the<br />

EDA, Greece called for a security agreement to be<br />

signed between the EU and Turkey as a prerequisite to<br />

Turkey’s participation in EDA programs. While the<br />

Council secretariat’s legal service has not agreed with<br />

this stance, the issue is blocked at the political level<br />

mainly by Cyprus.<br />

<strong>In</strong>formal Contacts<br />

With the formal framework stalled, both organisations<br />

largely rely on EU-NATO staff-to-staff dialogue and<br />

exchange, which works reasonably well. According to<br />

senior officials on both sides, staff-to-staff contact has<br />

been key to the success of recent helicopter initiatives<br />

that aim to increase the number of available<br />

helicopters for operations, particularly in Afghanistan.<br />

One example of this is NATO’s Hip Helicopter Task<br />

Force 5 , which also invites representatives from the<br />

EDA to provide advice and assistance on training.<br />

Related to this program is the UK-French<br />

Multinational Helicopter <strong>In</strong>itiative (MHI), which<br />

supports the financing of helicopter deploymentrelated<br />

activities and whose membership is not<br />

restricted.<br />

<strong>In</strong> addition, the same national experts often attend<br />

working group meetings at the EDA and at NATO, so<br />

coherence-building and information exchange is<br />

fostered. EDA Chief Executive Alexander Weis and<br />

NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander Transformation<br />

General Abrial have had informal contact, including a<br />

visit by Abrial to EDA HQ in mid 2009.<br />

Staff-to-staff contacts also allow the organisations to<br />

better align their priority shortfall areas, so that efforts<br />

to address these shortfalls are more coordinated and<br />

coherent. At his press conference following the recent<br />

informal NATO Defence Ministers’ meeting in<br />

Istanbul, Secretary General Rasmussen emphasised the<br />

importance of multinational projects in times of<br />

budgetary pressure, and highlighted medical facilities,<br />

counter-IED technology and heavy-lift helicopters as<br />

three areas that could benefit from closer cooperation<br />

with the EU.<br />

Which Way Forward?<br />

Formal cooperation in the field of capabilities today is<br />

hampered by deep political problems on both sides, so<br />

coordination now largely relies on informal<br />

5 The NATO Hip Helicopter Task Force (HHTF) is responsible for<br />

the development of a multi-national transport helicopter<br />

programme for NATO to help those countries that do not have the<br />

resources to deploy and run a transport helicopter operation on<br />

their own.<br />

mechanisms. <strong>This</strong> informal staff-to-staff contact<br />

should be enhanced as much as possible, especially<br />

between the EDA steering board and ACT. Specific<br />

projects, addressing common shortfalls, should be<br />

undertaken whenever possible, building on the<br />

example of recent helicopter initiatives.<br />

An EU official states that the ideal situation would be<br />

an organisation-to-organisation approach, and that<br />

states which are not members of both organisations<br />

should have the same right of participation as those<br />

who are. However, the utopian vision of all EU<br />

Member States accepting Turkey’s participation in the<br />

EDA and Turkey softening its interpretation of the<br />

inclusiveness of the NATO-EU “agreed framework”<br />

does not seem close to realizing itself. Nevertheless,<br />

the EU should do its utmost to conclude the Turkey-<br />

EDA administrative arrangement.<br />

Concerning the NATO-EU Capability Group, whose<br />

effectiveness is widely questioned, initial<br />

improvements could include the exchange of<br />

presentations prior to the meetings, more emphasis on<br />

single-issue meetings and a continuation of the<br />

Swedish and Czech initiatives of holding the meetings<br />

at the level of policy directors.<br />

Deeper Impediments<br />

As long as deep divergence of opinion exists within<br />

the EU concerning the future of <strong>Europe</strong>an security, all<br />

aspects of the EU-NATO relationship, including<br />

capability development, will suffer. The current<br />

reluctance to address the political question of who<br />

should guarantee <strong>Europe</strong>an security is poisoning the<br />

relationship on all levels. At the level of military<br />

capability development, one camp-largely led by the<br />

UK, remains committed to NATO for the foreseeable<br />

future while another camp, largely led by France,<br />

hopes to see CSDP become more robust, along with<br />

the development of purely <strong>Europe</strong>an military<br />

capabilities that that implies. <strong>In</strong>deed, the planners for<br />

the new CSDP structures of the EU do not hide their<br />

desire for an EU operational headquarters.<br />

Closely tied to their difference of opinion on the future<br />

of <strong>Europe</strong>an security is how closely these two camps<br />

want the EU and NATO to cooperate. The French<br />

camp would prefer cooperation to remain minimal, due<br />

to fears of NATO overwhelming a still immature<br />

CSDP. On the other hand, the UK camp would<br />

welcome closer cooperation, but wishes to see CSDP<br />

remain minimised, with a clear division of tasks<br />

between the two organisations.<br />

Conflict also exists within and between EU Member<br />

ministries. NATO Missions and EU Permanent<br />

Representations compete for influence with capitals<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, page 11


and representatives of different ministries are given<br />

conflicting directives.<br />

Thus, in this perspective, the EU-NATO Capability<br />

group is largely a compulsory political exercise to<br />

make it appear as if the organisations are sitting at the<br />

same table; neither side can afford to suggest that there<br />

is no cooperation. As one official deplored, “I hate the<br />

EU-NATO Capability Group”. Results of meetings are<br />

marginal are best, but non-papers and<br />

recommendations can still be churned out, even if<br />

useless.<br />

Conclusion<br />

Although the steps outlined above would improve the<br />

working of the NATO-EU Capability Group, and<br />

increase the inclusiveness of EDA programs,<br />

capability cooperation will remain close to nonexistent<br />

if the deeper issue of strategic divergence<br />

among EU Member States is not resolved.<br />

concrete results such as the helicopter initiatives is to<br />

go outside the organisational framework.<br />

Even if the current participation problem were to be<br />

resolved, underlying strategic divergence within the<br />

EU would still impede capability cooperation. The EU<br />

must conclude its internal debate on the future of<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an security if it is to project a cohesive front<br />

that will produce results.<br />

Given political and institutional problems, coherence<br />

in capability development must for the time being be a<br />

national concern. <strong>In</strong>dividual nations must do what they<br />

can to ensure that representatives at EU and NATO<br />

meetings and working groups are given the same<br />

instructions and priorities, so that coherence can be<br />

fostered as much as possible.<br />

By Paul Sturm, Programme Associate, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong><br />

Current initiatives cited as “best practices” are not<br />

concrete examples of formal EU-NATO cooperation in<br />

capability development, but rather multinational<br />

initiatives. <strong>In</strong>deed, the only way to currently achieve<br />

Observatory #6<br />

http://www.isis-europe.org/pdf/2010_artrel_408_nato_watch_observatory_no_6.pdf<br />

The NATO Watch’s Bi-Monthly Observatory was developed as part of its independent monitoring<br />

service. Its focus is on NATO policy-making and operational activities and the clips are drawn from a<br />

wide range of subscriptions, feeds and alerts covering a substantial part of the major English<br />

language newspapers and other periodicals worldwide.<br />

Subscription is free of charge<br />

Access the subscription page here<br />

NATO Watch conducts independent monitoring and analysis of NATO and aims to increase<br />

transparency, stimulate parliamentary engagement and broaden public awareness and participation<br />

in a progressive reform agenda within NATO.<br />

NATO Watch website<br />

www.natowatch.org<br />

will be launched later this month<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, page 12


CSDP and EU mission updates – February 2010<br />

Our regular update of CSDP and EU missions<br />

introduces the upcoming launch of a new CSDP<br />

mission. We compile much of our research from firsthand<br />

sources, giving a unique perspective and update<br />

on the EU’s CSDP activities. There are currently 14<br />

active CSDP and EU missions in operation (giving a<br />

total of six in the Balkans, Caucasus and Eastern<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>; three in the Middle East; one in Central Asia;<br />

four in Africa). The Foreign Affairs Council<br />

Conclusion of 25 January set out the upcoming launch<br />

of the EU Training Mission in Somalia. Please see the<br />

June 2008 – December 2009 updates for introductions<br />

to the missions. <strong>ISIS</strong> updates these charts regularly as<br />

part of the CSDP Mission Analysis Partnership<br />

www.csdpmap.eu which has been translated to a<br />

webportal, collating research on CSDP from 21<br />

partner organisations located throughout <strong>Europe</strong>.<br />

Upcoming missions<br />

EUTM Somalia<br />

Following the Foreign Affairs Council of the 25<br />

January 2010, the Member States have accepted the<br />

establishment of the EU Training Mission (EUTM) in<br />

Somalia. <strong>This</strong> comes within a broader EU effort to<br />

provide support to the Somali Transitional<br />

Government. The Concept of Operations (CONOPS) is<br />

due to be agreed very soon, but questions on how to<br />

establish the Command and Control structure for the<br />

mission remain to be approached. As far as financing<br />

of the mission is concerned, the funds might come<br />

from the African Peace Facility of the Commission.<br />

Spain and France will be the framework nations and<br />

will contribute the majority of the personnel<br />

committed to EUTM, which is estimated to be 100<br />

personnel consisting in majority of Non-<br />

Commissioned Officers. The mission is said to start on<br />

the 1 May.<br />

The EU mission will take place in Uganda where the<br />

African Union Mission to Somalia (AMISON) is<br />

already involved in the training of the Somali troops.<br />

The aim of the mission is to support the AU in this<br />

endeavor and to work in close cooperation with other<br />

international partners such as the UN, the AU and the<br />

US. The EU mission will not be directly involved in<br />

the training of basic troops but will provide training to<br />

the trainers.<br />

As mentioned in our previous update, ensuring<br />

ownership of the trained troops by the Transitional<br />

Federal Government is crucial and the issue of<br />

establishing a transparent and accountable chain of<br />

payment is key. The EU might call for the services of<br />

PriceWaterhouseCoopers to establish the structure for<br />

payments. The training might include human rights<br />

and gender dimensions (and should), but the extent of<br />

such training remains to be debated. It is of utmost<br />

importance to not recruit child soldiers, a task which<br />

will be difficult as there are barely any age<br />

identification means available.<br />

Military<br />

EU NAVFOR Atalanta - 8 December 2008 to 13<br />

December 2010<br />

The Maritime Security Center (MSC) which has been<br />

established to provide protection to merchant ships<br />

navigating in the operational area has shown positive<br />

results. Even though the rate of registration to the<br />

MSC rate is high, there still remains an estimate of<br />

30% of ships which do not register to the MSC and<br />

which do not take part in the escort service provided<br />

by the EU mission. Capabilities are deemed<br />

satisfactory for the mandate as the objective is not to<br />

cover and protect entirely the area of operation but to<br />

provide safety to merchant ships and escort for the<br />

cargo of the World Food Program.<br />

As mentioned in previous updates, the pirates have<br />

proved ability to adapt very quickly to the situation.<br />

Attacks have been reported at 1000 nautical miles of<br />

the coast and underline that the pirates have<br />

significantly extended their area of operation.<br />

Questions have also been raised of whether the pirates<br />

might become increasingly violent in reaction to the<br />

pressure strains created by the EU mission.<br />

<strong>In</strong> regards to the legal dimension of incarceration and<br />

the judgment of captured pirates, HR/VP Ashton has<br />

announced her willingness to reinforce the current<br />

agreements established with the Seychelles and Kenya.<br />

<strong>In</strong>novation from the mission on this dimension has<br />

included taking Kenyan judges on board NAVFOR’s<br />

ships so that they can directly apply the Kenyan<br />

judicial procedures as soon as pirates are captured.<br />

EUFOR Althea - 2 December 2004 to 21 November<br />

2010<br />

On 25 January the Foreign Affairs Council agreed to<br />

extend EUFOR Althea activity with a non-executive<br />

military training mission. The mission should be seen<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010 <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, page 13


as an extension of the current mission and will provide<br />

training to the Bosnian armed forces. The number of<br />

personnel involved training will be of 200 taken from<br />

the currently deployed troops.<br />

The Council has also re-affirmed that the EU military<br />

mission will not lose its executive powers until the<br />

Office of the High Representative is closed. <strong>This</strong> is in<br />

turn linked to the fulfilment of the Bosnian<br />

Government to meet the five plus two agenda set by<br />

the Peace Implementation Council.<br />

Civilian /Military SSR<br />

EU SSR Guinea Bissau - 12 February 2008 to 30 May<br />

2010<br />

The EU mission continues to play its advisory role on<br />

SSR to the Guinea Bissauen Government. The EU is<br />

working on all the dimension of the security sector<br />

namely the police, the armed forces, and the justice<br />

system. There is positive feedback and a welcoming<br />

attitude form the President and the government is to<br />

pass a package of laws including the EU’s<br />

recommendations. The debate on the mission’s future<br />

is ongoing and the EU SSR is likely to stay on for<br />

about a year. The end goal will eventually be to<br />

transfer SSR activities to other EU and <strong>In</strong>ternational<br />

institutions, namely the Commission, the EEAS (when<br />

established) and the UN.<br />

EUSEC DR Congo - 1 July 2007 – 30 September 2010<br />

The EU security sector reform (SSR) work in Congo is<br />

being realized in a very complicated environment. The<br />

reforming of the Congolese army is a job to be<br />

achieved when an army is stationed and not deployed.<br />

However in the past four years the Congolese army has<br />

been deployed in the east and the equatorial regions of<br />

the country. Reform has been effective in some cases<br />

but there is feeling among the mission’s personnel that<br />

everything has to be restarted every six months as<br />

there is a constant change in the Congolese armed<br />

forces staff. <strong>In</strong> addition, another condition for<br />

achieving a successful SSR is for all the dimensions of<br />

the security sector to be addressed. <strong>This</strong> includes the<br />

armed forces, the police, the judicial system and the<br />

intelligence service. <strong>This</strong> is not the case in Congo.<br />

Furthermore, even if there are various other actors<br />

present on the ground such as the UN and EUPOL<br />

working on other aspects of the security sector than<br />

EUSEC, the limitation of the missions’ mandate<br />

restrains their ability to perform a real comprehensive<br />

reform of the security sector. <strong>This</strong> angle of analysis is<br />

directed at criticising the international missions, but to<br />

understand the extent of the work that needs to be<br />

achieved in the DRC. 1<br />

Furthermore a third condition to achieve a successful<br />

SSR is a clear will of the host country to undergo<br />

reform and this is not always the case with the<br />

Congolese Government. All these three negative<br />

dimensions therefore help us understand the lack of<br />

result on SSR in Congo.<br />

<strong>In</strong> October/November 2009, the mission supported<br />

FARDC in processing 20,000 new troops, (integrated<br />

from ex-rebels of CNDP and armed groups) in the<br />

Kivus and the three principle integration centres. As<br />

such, EUSEC is following its programme of<br />

prioritising the modernisation of the administrative<br />

procedures and EUSEC can pride itself on concrete<br />

achievements, especially on the chains of payment<br />

which has been implemented last year and continues.<br />

The work done included the provision of ID card to the<br />

army personnel facilitating payments of salaries. It has<br />

also successfully separated the chain of payment to the<br />

chain of commands which was essentially the root<br />

cause of the problem, as senior military created fake<br />

soldiers in their register in order to cash in the salary of<br />

these “ghost soldiers”.<br />

According to the Head of Mission, EUSEC is also<br />

engaged in re-establishing a training system whilst<br />

targeting an overall framework of reform. The main<br />

project for the mission mandate is to equip a training<br />

centre in Kitona, which aims to instil morale and allow<br />

for training in theory and military techniques<br />

(including infantry and artillery techniques) for 800<br />

officers.<br />

Regarding redress of violence against women and<br />

impunity, EUSEC is also striving to create better<br />

relations between the Congolese military and civil<br />

society. The mission has thus deployed detachments<br />

in five towns: Kinshasa, Lubumbashi, Kisangani,<br />

Goma and Bukavu.<br />

Even so, capabilities remain a problem in EUSEC and<br />

the mission remains understaffed. <strong>This</strong> is especially<br />

linked to the fact that all the personnel working in the<br />

DRC needs to speak French, which therefore restricts<br />

the number of people who can apply for the job.<br />

Civilian SSR<br />

EUPOL RD Congo - 1 July 2007 to 30 June 2010<br />

As in the case of EUSEC RD Congo, EUPOL is facing<br />

serious capability shortage problems, there are<br />

currently 25 people deployed of the 47 pledged. The<br />

1 See http://www.isis-europe.org/pdf/2009_artrel_242_esdp&drcgender-report.pdf<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> page 14


CIVCOM is following up on the work done on the<br />

force generation process started by the Swedish<br />

Presidency in order to tackle that problem.<br />

The Head of Mission decided to deploy two teams of<br />

prosecutor and gender expert in the east of the country<br />

in order to fight gender based violence and impunity.<br />

He deemed it a necessary step for the legitimacy of the<br />

mission, as it is of utmost importance to fight such a<br />

large scale problem.<br />

Work within the “Comité de Suivi de la Réforme de la<br />

Police » continues and the mission is satisfied by the<br />

legal package soon to be adopted by the Congolese<br />

Government.<br />

EUPOL Afghanistan - 30 May 2007 to 30 May 2010<br />

Following the last call for contribution for the EU<br />

Police Mission in Afghanistan, the Head of Mission,<br />

Kai Vittrup, expects the number of mission<br />

international personnel to rise to 325/350 by the end of<br />

March. Combined with some 170 local staff, this<br />

would bring the mission size to up to 520. There is<br />

also an additional 17.4 million euro for the period<br />

December 2009 - 30 May 2010. The London<br />

Conference on Afghanistan on 28 January called for an<br />

increase of the Afghan police numbers to 139,000.<br />

<strong>This</strong> has increased the workload on EUPOL<br />

significantly, however there is now a good and clear<br />

division of labour between the EU mission and the<br />

NATO Training Mission in Afghanistan (NTM-A)<br />

which should facilitate the training process.<br />

The provision of security to EUPOL’s personnel<br />

remains a difficult question and a formal agreement<br />

between EUPOL and NATO will prove hard to<br />

develop. The more likely to be achieved is a<br />

memorandum of understanding with the EU mission<br />

and ISAF. EUPOL will have to continue to rely on<br />

bilateral agreement with the Member States which<br />

control Provincial Reconstruction Team (PRTs). As<br />

mentioned in our previous update, the lack of security<br />

provision is the main hindering factor to EUPOL’s<br />

work as deployment to other provinces, which is a<br />

necessary condition to adequately fulfil its mandate.<br />

Security therefore remains one of the main obstacles to<br />

the mission work. <strong>In</strong> addition, finding accommodation<br />

for personnel is already hard for the mission where it is<br />

currently located and it would be even harder in other<br />

provinces. As far as equipment is concerned, EUPOL<br />

urgently needs armoured cars.<br />

The question of security has been even more central to<br />

the mission considering the Taliban’s attack of January<br />

20 which killed two Afghan Police and wounded two.<br />

The incident put into question the “ring of steel”<br />

security architecture designed by EUPOL of the<br />

Afghan capital, which until now, was deemed very<br />

secure.<br />

The strategy paper issued on policing by the Minister<br />

of <strong>In</strong>terior, Hanif Atmar, has been very helpful for<br />

EUPOL in order to focus its work and to allow the<br />

mission to expose and prove its added value. EUPOL<br />

has the support of the Minister Atmar and is now<br />

recognized by the US, (which was not the case<br />

previously) as a crucial player in the police training<br />

architecture in Afghanistan. Kai Vittrup has proved to<br />

really turn things around in positive way for EUPOL<br />

and this has substantially raised the mission’s profile<br />

among all the security actors in Afghanistan.<br />

The <strong>Europe</strong>an Parliament is preparing a report which<br />

notes the need to strengthen the institutional and<br />

administrative capacity of the Afghan State,<br />

particularly to structures beyond that of the police.<br />

<strong>In</strong>deed, judicial strengthening is badly needed,<br />

particularly when it comes to human rights and<br />

violation of women. <strong>In</strong> November 2009, the Council<br />

included human rights and gender mainstreaming as<br />

one of the six strategic priorities for EUPOL.<br />

Given the recent moves of Pakistan to assist in<br />

training, the Council of the EU is also exploring a<br />

possible EU SSR assistance mission to Pakistan<br />

possibly encompassing human rights, rule of law and<br />

counter-terrorism.<br />

EUPOL COPPS Palestinian Territories - 1 January<br />

2006 to 31 December 2010<br />

Paul Robert Kernaghan has been replaced by Henrik<br />

MALMQUIST On 1 January 2010 as Head of Mission<br />

for EUPOL COPPS. The mission is continuing to<br />

work on the consolidation between the police sector<br />

and the justice system.<br />

<strong>In</strong> addition, EUPOL COPPS has coordinated trainings<br />

of 6 Senior Prosecutors and 10 PCP <strong>In</strong>vestigation<br />

officers on Crime scene and Forensic Evidence. 2 The<br />

Palestinian Prime Minister Salam Fayyad supports the<br />

mission, but it is now time for the EU to rethink its<br />

activity and foster more cooperation between the<br />

CSDP mission and the Commission activity.<br />

EUPM Bosnia & Herzegovina - 1 January 2003 to 31<br />

December 2010<br />

The mission was restructured on 1 January 2010. The<br />

focus of the mission is now fighting organized crime<br />

2<br />

“Training Prosecutors, Palestinian Civil Police Officers in<br />

Germany”, 19 January 2010, WAFA Palestinian <strong>News</strong> Agency<br />

http://english.wafa.ps/?action=detail&id=13633<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> page 15


and corruption, but this process has gone slower than<br />

expected. The analytical capability of the mission has<br />

been hard to put in place, as the refocus of the mission<br />

entailed the replacement of personnel. The EU’s<br />

Political and Security Committee (PSC) had worked<br />

on the priorities of the Concept of Operations<br />

(CONOPS) to make them as operable as possible.<br />

However, it is currently too soon to assess the<br />

mission’s work.<br />

As in the case of Kosovo, working on corruption and<br />

organized crime is a sensitive subject as it might<br />

incriminate people within the government. <strong>This</strong> is in<br />

turn might affect the government perception of the<br />

mission and result in a lack of cooperation. Add to this<br />

the growing frustration from the population and the<br />

government toward the international presence in<br />

Bosnia & Herzegovina.<br />

Civilian<br />

EUJUST-LEX Iraq – 1 July 2005 to 30 June 2010<br />

On 1 January 2010 EUJUST-LEX took on a new Head<br />

of Mission after the retirement of Stephen White. The<br />

new Head, a colonel in the Spanish Guardia Civil -<br />

Francisco Díaz Alcantud, took up his post in January<br />

2010. The pilot phase of in-land training (involving 18<br />

projects) will be ending in Spring and the PSC will<br />

then make an evaluation of training on Iraqi soil and<br />

issue recommendations. There is division among<br />

Member States on continuing such training, however<br />

training in Brussels will continue and the mission is<br />

likely to be extended.<br />

The positive dimension of in-land training is that the<br />

mission can follow up with previous participants who<br />

provide their impression on whether the teaching is<br />

trickling down in the institutions. Current feedback has<br />

been positive, but it still hard to have a correct idea on<br />

the matter.<br />

The communication of the mission has also improved,<br />

notably with an easy access to information on the<br />

numbers of trained on the mission website 3 – being :<br />

111 Iraqis have undertaken training courses, 21 have<br />

undertaken work experience secondments and 2975<br />

Iraqi Senior Criminal Justice Officials have been<br />

trained.<br />

EULEX Kosovo – 15 June 2008 to 15 June 2010<br />

The recent developments in Kosovo have underlined<br />

that Serbia continues to support the Kosovo Serbs.<br />

Even though EULEX and Belgrade has signed the<br />

3 See the EUJUST-LEX Council webpage:<br />

http://www.consilium.europa.eu/showPage.aspx?id=823&lang=EN<br />

Police Protocol Agreement in 2009, suggesting a<br />

certain form of understanding between the EU and<br />

Serbia, 30 Serbian judges will be sent in the north of<br />

Kosovo in order to establish alternative tribunals.<br />

EULEX has to make the Serbian authorities<br />

understand that dealing with the Kosovo Serbs is not to<br />

be done outside of an independent Kosovo context.<br />

EULEX must begin work on the sensitive topic of<br />

corruption and organized crime. <strong>This</strong> is likely to be the<br />

mission’s most difficult task, as working on the issue<br />

is likely to incriminate Kosovar politicians with whom<br />

EULEX is working with today. Corruption is<br />

widespread in Kosovo and certain politicians are<br />

suspected of being directly involved in organized<br />

crime. Confronting these issues might reduce<br />

Pristina’s support to EULEX, a situation which the EU<br />

cannot afford, as legitimacy is of utmost importance in<br />

order to achieve its mandate and in turn, stability in the<br />

region.<br />

Border missions<br />

Feature - Georgia<br />

EUMM Georgia – 15 September 2008 to 15<br />

September 2010<br />

Following the outbreak of violence between Georgia<br />

and Russia on the 7 August 2008, the EU Monitoring<br />

Mission (EUMM) was established to monitor the<br />

implementation of the 12 August and 8 September<br />

2008 ceasefire agreements. The Mission was deemed a<br />

success because it successfully managed to stabilize<br />

the situation and EUMM was also praised for its<br />

rapidity of deployment. However, at first the<br />

deployment was deemed problematic as both first and<br />

second pillar actors were rushed into the conflict for<br />

assessment, planning and establishment of<br />

humanitarian and security mechanisms. <strong>In</strong> addition to<br />

the crowded environment, the mission faced practical<br />

capability challenges which its capacity to fulfill its<br />

mandate. 4<br />

The mission mandate includes the stabilization and<br />

normalization of the situation in the conflict zone, to<br />

play the role of confidence builder and to gather<br />

information. The mission is also charged to ensure the<br />

respect of human rights and humanitarian law by all<br />

parties.<br />

Currently the mission has to deal with an extremely<br />

complex situation. Since Russia has recognized the<br />

4 See Fisher S. “EUMM Georgia” in Grevi G., Helly D., Keohane<br />

D. (Eds.), <strong>Europe</strong>an Security and Defence Policy<br />

– The First Ten Years”, <strong>Europe</strong>an Union <strong>In</strong>stitute for Security<br />

Studies (Paris 2009), page 386-387<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> page 16


independence of the breakaway region, the Kremlin<br />

denies the access of the mission to South Ossetia and<br />

Abkhazia. The litigious dimension of the six point<br />

agreement is the definition of the territory of Georgia.<br />

The EU and the vast majority of the <strong>In</strong>ternational<br />

Community still recognize the breakaway regions as<br />

part of Georgia. <strong>This</strong> is not the case for Russia which<br />

has recognized their independence. <strong>In</strong> here lies the<br />

entire problem for EUMM. Thus far the mission has<br />

only been able to enter the breakaway region once and<br />

for a brief amount of time in the context of the <strong>In</strong>cident<br />

Prevention and Response Mechanism (IPRM). To<br />

counter the lack of accessibility, Ambassador Haven,<br />

the Head of Mission of EUMM, has called for<br />

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) to be used to<br />

monitor the breakaway region by air.<br />

As the mission cannot implement its mandate in the<br />

separatist regions, its role of confidence builder is<br />

hindered, but the most alarming feature is that the<br />

mission remains unable to investigate the Georgian<br />

claims of ethnic cleansing in South Ossetia.<br />

As part of its confidence builder and stabilization<br />

roles, EUMM frequently calls for the use of the IPRM<br />

and plays an active role in linked investigations. The<br />

IPRM is a mechanism providing for meetings between<br />

the concerned parties’ authorities to discuss and solve<br />

issues threatening the security and stability in the<br />

region. The Georgians however accuse the breakaway<br />

region of manipulating the IPRM through falsification<br />

of facts and wrongful accusation of Georgian abuse of<br />

the ceasefire agreement. 5 The same accusations are<br />

flying on both sides and meetings are often skipped by<br />

the breakaway representatives. There are therefore<br />

doubts growing on the viability of the IPRT. The most<br />

recent incident which the mission has been<br />

investigating has been the arrest of a South Ossetian<br />

man – Mr. Pliev - by the Georgian police. The<br />

Georgian authorities claim that Mr. Pliev was carrying<br />

an automatic weapon and hand grenades. On the other<br />

hand, reports from the South Ossetian administrative<br />

authorities stated that Mr. Pliev was abducted by the<br />

Georgian Police at his home. 6 As aforementioned,<br />

EUMM entered South Ossetia for the first time and has<br />

since been working on resolving the issue, working<br />

with both sides to liberate Mr Pliev. <strong>In</strong> addition, the<br />

mission has called for the people who cross the<br />

administrative border to not be processed through the<br />

justice apparatus but rather through the administrative<br />

system.<br />

5 <strong>In</strong>terview with a Georgian Official<br />

6 Hunt K. F. “EU Monitors in South Ossetia Regarding<br />

Detention”, Impunity Watch Report, 7 January 2010, Impunity<br />

Watch. Available at:<br />

http://www.impunitywatch.net/impunity_watch_europe/2010/01/eu<br />

-monitors-in-south-ossetia-regarding-detention.html<br />

Although EUMM has entered for the first time South<br />

Ossetia since its establishment (in work with the Pliev<br />

investigation), this should not be seen as sign of<br />

opening up of the region. A communiqué was issued<br />

by the South Ossetian authorities underlining clearly<br />

that the entrance of EUMM in the breakaway region<br />

was an “exception” and it would only allow the EU<br />

mission to investigate the Pliev case. 7<br />

It is important to underline that the mission can only<br />

contribute minimally to the long term stabilization in<br />

Georgia. For that, one has to look at the Geneva talks<br />

and their development, and as far as the negotiations<br />

are concerned, there have been very few positive<br />

developments. <strong>This</strong> in turn raises the question of the<br />

resolution of the conflict and also on the exit-strategy<br />

of the EU mission.<br />

EUBAM Ukraine-Moldova -1 December 2005 to 30<br />

November 2011<br />

Recently the Ukrainian and Moldovan security<br />

services met for the third time in order to exchange<br />

information and deepen cooperation for fighting illegal<br />

migration and the smuggling of goods. <strong>This</strong> re-affirms<br />

both governments will to establish efficient and<br />

transparent border control authorities.<br />

On 1 December 2009 the mission entered a new phase<br />

of exercise (phase 7) after achieving the goals set out<br />

by the previous phase. Phase 7 emphasises on capacity<br />

building and the past months have been marked by the<br />

creation of the “capacity building unit”. The unit<br />

provides extensive and specific training to the<br />

personnel of the partner countries’ (Ukraine and<br />

Moldova) border teams. Activities includes among<br />

other, technical training of the use of infra-red<br />

cameras.<br />

EUBAM issued the Common Border Security<br />

Assessment Report, to which the partner countries<br />

contributed. <strong>This</strong> is a positive step forward, as their<br />

inclusion will ultimately contribute to building the<br />

partner’s ownership of such assessment procedures of<br />

their own border control policies.<br />

EUBAM continues to work on the Targeted<br />

Monitoring Actions (TMA) and the latest launched has<br />

been the Pre-arrival <strong>In</strong>formation System (PIS). <strong>This</strong><br />

procedure is designed to decrease the workload at<br />

borders and rendering the check procedure faster by<br />

centralising the vetting procedure prior to arrival at the<br />

border post. The PIS has been evaluated by the<br />

mission, which ascertained that that there are still<br />

minor problems on implementation interpretation by<br />

the partners. However, the PIS has been received<br />

7 ibid.<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> page 17


positively by both Ukraine and Moldova and has<br />

proved to be very efficient.<br />

EUBAM initiatives on anti-corruption were<br />

agreed with the partner services. These include the<br />

implementation of pilot projects at two<br />

international border crossing points between the<br />

Republic of Moldova and Ukraine aimed at<br />

determination, introduction and monitoring of<br />

effectiveness of local level anti-corruption<br />

measures. Other imminent actions include surveys<br />

on integrity, implementation of a border crossing<br />

satisfaction survey, training on ethics and<br />

corruption, round table discussions for low and<br />

middle level management on the role and tasks of<br />

management in combating internal corruption and<br />

EUBAM involvement in monitoring and advising<br />

on corruption cases related to the Moldova-<br />

Ukraine state border.<br />

Recently the Heads of the Ukrainian and<br />

Moldovan security services and EUBAM met for<br />

the third time in order to review and deepen<br />

cooperation on border security issues. <strong>In</strong>formation<br />

and analytical data exchange has increased<br />

significantly. Joint analytical work on smuggling<br />

and illegal migration are cases in point.<br />

Cooperation with EU member states and<br />

international law enforcement agencies also<br />

increased.<br />

EUBAM has recently issued recommendations<br />

regarding the establishment of law enforcement<br />

procedures to be used by the partners. These<br />

recommendations call for providing step by step<br />

ownership by the partner of powers of interrogation<br />

and investigation as well as the ability of initiating<br />

criminal cases.<br />

EUSR BST Georgia - 1 September 2005 to 28<br />

February 2010<br />

No changes since last update. But as this mission is<br />

linked to the EU Special Representative, EUSR Pierre<br />

Morel, the mission will continue with the offices of the<br />

EUSR.<br />

EUBAM Rafah - 1 January 2006 to 24 May 2010<br />

No changes since last update.<br />

By Johann Herz, Programme Officer with Giji Gya,<br />

Executive Director, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong><br />

To subscribe to <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>’s mailing lists, please go to the “subscribe” on<br />

www.isis-europe.org<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> page 18


CSDP Mission Analysis Partnership<br />

www.csdpmap.eu<br />

<strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> established CSDP MAP in 2008, which has been designed to fill a gap and a niche by collating think tank,<br />

research institute, NGO, government and EU institutional work on CSDP into one-place. CSDP MAP now has 21<br />

partners across <strong>Europe</strong> and growing.<br />

CSDP MAP is particularly important with the entry into force of the Lisbon Treaty on 1 December 2009. The CSDP MAP<br />

webportal gives quick access and policy input on :<br />

Outline and chronological timeline of CSDP and EU missions. We see a shift in security and crisis<br />

management towards an increase in civilian crisis management with a human security and peacebuilding focus (12 of<br />

the current 14 CSDP and EU missions are “civilian”). <strong>This</strong> part of CSDP MAP gives direct access to EU documentation<br />

and policy, as well as partner analysis, figures and reports on CSDP missions.<br />

EU structure. One page, all the links. Council, Commission, EP, EU agencies - for anything related to the EU's<br />

External Relations (security and associated).<br />

Country analysis. Partners’ work and research in countries that have an EU mission present are provided, giving<br />

a broad and analytical view - from the perspective of Member States and stakeholders on the ground - as to the country<br />

and regional contexts.<br />

Thematics. <strong>This</strong> aspect of CSDP MAP provides links to research on various thematics involved in CSDP, amongst<br />

them: fragile states; early warning; conflict analysis & prevention; fact finding & assessment; structures & policies;<br />

financing; peacebuilding; sec-dev nexus; mediation; monitoring; R2P; human rights; gender; SSR; DDRRR; piracy;<br />

capacities & capabilities; civmil; lessons identified; oversight; private sector..... <strong>In</strong> particular, links with and coordination<br />

between the global actors involved in security, crisis management and peacebuilding – both internationally (i.e.<br />

synergies with UN and AU work); internally (NGOs and civil society) and transnationally (alliances with the EU and US<br />

through international bodies, as well as coalitions and through NATO).<br />

<strong>In</strong> the next phase of CSDP MAP, we will be developing:<br />

How military and civilian crisis management missions are affecting and perceived by those they are sent to assist.<br />

And whether these missions are actually effective for civilians, with input from the field.<br />

CSDP MAP partners as of February 2010<br />

CICS Bradford University, UK; Clingendael, the Netherlands; CMI, Finland; DCAF, Geneva; ECFR, UK; EGMONT,<br />

Belgium; EPC, Brussels; FRIDE, Spain; Fundacion Alternativas (OPEX), Spain; GRIP, Belgium; ICG, Brussels;<br />

<strong>In</strong>Compass <strong>In</strong>ternational, Madrid; IRIS, France; <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>, Belgium; IFSH, Germany; IAI, Italy; Noref, Norway;<br />

SIPRI, Sweden; SWP, Germany; UNIDIR, Geneva; ZIF, Germany.<br />

For more information, please contact csdpmap@isis-europe.org or +32 2 230 7446<br />

Subscribe to updates from www.csdpmap.eu<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Security Review no. 48, February 2010, <strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> page 19


<strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> – chart and table of CSDP and EU missions – February 2010 – www.isis-europe.org<br />

Table 1 – Completed missions: There will be 13 completed CSDP and EU missions as at February 2010 (see below and chart for<br />

further details. Future updates available from www.isis-europe.org/index.php?page=responding).<br />

Region Military Civil-Military<br />

assistance / Military<br />

coord. support<br />

Africa<br />

Balkans/<br />

Caucasus/<br />

East <strong>Europe</strong><br />

Asia<br />

Middle East<br />

- Artemis DRC<br />

- EUFOR RD<br />

Congo<br />

-EUFOR Tchad/RCA<br />

- CONCORDIA<br />

fYR of Macedonia<br />

- Support to AU<br />

AMIS Sudan<br />

- EUNAVCO Somalia<br />

Civil Police<br />

- EUPOL<br />

Kinshasa<br />

- EUPOL<br />

Proxima<br />

(fYR of Macedonia)<br />

- EUPAT<br />

(fYR o Macedonia)<br />

Civil Rule of<br />

Law<br />

- EUJUST<br />

THEMIS<br />

(Georgia)<br />

Civil-<br />

Military<br />

SSR<br />

Civil Border<br />

Civilian<br />

Monitoring<br />

- EUMM<br />

Western<br />

Balkans<br />

- AMM<br />

Monitoring<br />

Mission<br />

Planning<br />

- EUPT<br />

Kosovo<br />

Table 2 – Ongoing missions: As at February 2010, there will be 14 active CSDP and EU missions (6 in the Western Balkans, Caucasus<br />

and Eastern <strong>Europe</strong>; 3 in the Middle East; 1 in Central Asia; 4 in Africa) see below. <strong>In</strong> May, EUTM Somalia will increase the number of<br />

active missions to 15.<br />

Region Military Military<br />

coordination<br />

Africa<br />

Balkans/<br />

Caucasus/<br />

East <strong>Europe</strong><br />

Asia<br />

Middle East<br />

- EU NAVFOR<br />

Somalia<br />

- EUFOR Althea<br />

BiH<br />

support<br />

Civil Police<br />

- EUPOL RD<br />

Congo<br />

Civil Rule of<br />

Law<br />

CSDP Mission Analysis Partnership – portal at www.csdpmap.eu<br />

Civil-Military SSR Civil Border Civilian<br />

Monitoring<br />

- EUSEC RD<br />

Congo<br />

- EU SSR<br />

Guinea-Bissau<br />

-EUTM Somalia<br />

- EUPM BiH - EUSR BST<br />

Georgia<br />

- EULEX Kosovo<br />

- EUPOL<br />

Afghanistan<br />

- EUPOL COPPS<br />

Palestine<br />

- EUJUST-<br />

LEX Iraq<br />

- EUBAM<br />

Ukraine/<br />

Moldova<br />

- EU BAM<br />

Rafah<br />

- EUMM<br />

Georgia<br />

Planning


<strong>ISIS</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> – chart and table of CSDP and EU missions – February 2010 – www.isis-europe.org<br />

Chart of EU and CSDP missions to date, February 2010<br />

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

2010 2011<br />

j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f f m a m j<br />

Greece Italy Ireland Netherlands Luxembourg<br />

UK<br />

Austria<br />

Finland<br />

Germany<br />

Portugal Slovenia France<br />

Cz Republic<br />

Sweden<br />

Spain<br />

Belgium<br />

Hungary<br />

* EU MM in Former Yugoslavia COMPLETED 31 December 2007<br />

EUPM BiH. Followed on from UN <strong>In</strong>tl Police Task Force in January 2003.<br />

extended to 31 December 2010<br />

CONCORDIA (1)<br />

(2)<br />

EUPOL PROXIMA<br />

suceeded by EUPAT<br />

EUJUST THEMIS Georgia Compl. 14/07/10<br />

EUFOR ALTHEA BiH (3)<br />

extended to 21 November 2010<br />

EUPOL Kinshasa --> suceeded by EUPOL RD Congo<br />

EUSEC RD Congo<br />

extended to 30 September 2010<br />

EUJUST LEX Iraq extended to 30 June 2010<br />

AMIS EU Supporting Action - Sudan COMPLETED 31 December 200<br />

AMM Aceh COMPLETED 15 Dec. 2006<br />

EUSR BST Georgia<br />

ext. 28/02/2010<br />

EU BAM Rafah<br />

ext 24/05/2010<br />

EU BAM Ukraine-Moldova<br />

extended to 30 November 2011<br />

EUPOL COPPS in the Palestinian Territories extended to 31 Dec 2010<br />

EUPAT (4)<br />

EUPT Kosovo<br />

(5)<br />

EUFOR RDC (6)<br />

EUPOL RD Congo<br />

extended to 30 June 2010<br />

EUPOL Afghanistan - mandated to 30 May 2010<br />

EUFOR TCHAD/RCA Compl.15/03/09<br />

EU SSR Guinea-Bissau extended to 30 May 2010<br />

EULEX Kosovo - mandated to 15 Jun 2010<br />

EU MM Georgia ext. to 14 September 2010<br />

EUNAVCO (7)<br />

EU NAVFOR Somalia ext. to 12 December 2010<br />

EUTM Somalia<br />

j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f m a m j j a s o n d j f f m a m j<br />

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

CSDP Mission Analysis Partnership – portal at www.csdpmap.eu

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!