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Sukuk & Capital Market - Islamic Finance News

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chapter<br />

of the companies involved will sustain their profitability over<br />

the longer term, particularly in the GCC region. However,<br />

developments in Malaysia - the largest Takaful market in<br />

Southeast Asia - appear much more healthy and sustainable.<br />

They are supported by more sophisticated regulatory oversight<br />

and the stronger investment profile of the industry.<br />

How is the global economic slowdown affecting the growth<br />

of Takaful?<br />

The worldwide slowdown in economic activity will ultimately<br />

depress growth in economies that provide resources for<br />

manufacturing; this happens to include many of the resourcerich<br />

countries where Takaful is developing. For insurers, this<br />

constrains growth, partly by reducing demand for insurance,<br />

but also by limiting investment yields.<br />

Globally, the current low investment yields have hurt insurance<br />

providers and markets. Insurance, Takaful included, is an<br />

asset-rich business. Fierce competition in the economies<br />

where Takaful is developing is putting underwriting margins<br />

under pressure, especially in the high-volume, low-margin<br />

retail lines that form the bulk of Takaful business. Meanwhile,<br />

yields on Shariah compliant instruments and investments<br />

are increasingly depressed. Providers will therefore need to<br />

maintain their underwriting profitability to succeed.<br />

to be a constraint that places downward pressure on their riskbased<br />

capital position.<br />

Is there potential for cross-border Takaful<br />

activity?<br />

To date, the primary Takaful sector in<br />

Southeast Asia and the GCC region has<br />

tended to comprise local operators that rarely<br />

engage in cross-border activity. This reflects<br />

the relatively small operational scale of the<br />

sector and its still-developing status.<br />

However re-Takaful companies, which<br />

provide protection to the primary Takaful<br />

sector, are operating in increasingly diverse<br />

geographical areas. We see Southeast<br />

Asian-based re-Takaful companies Willis<br />

competing and working with GCC-based re-<br />

Takaful companies to develop and service<br />

the growing capacity needs of the primary<br />

sector in Africa, Southeast Asia, and the GCC region. As local<br />

companies become increasingly mature and financially robust,<br />

we expect cross-border activity in the primary sector to grow.<br />

We also expect to see some consolidation in the more overpopulated<br />

insurance markets.<br />

What is S&P’s key concern for the Takaful market?<br />

We remain concerned by widespread use of high-risk<br />

investment strategies by Takaful providers, and by the sector’s<br />

lack of global standards in areas such as accounting standards<br />

and Shariah compliance. In our view, it is unclear how many<br />

What are the growth prospects of Takaful versus<br />

conventional insurance?<br />

Over the next 12-18 months, S&P expects Takaful company<br />

contributions in the GCC region to significantly outgrow<br />

premiums in the local conventional insurance industry, as<br />

well as the global insurance industry. Global<br />

insurance premium growth is expected to be<br />

little more than 2% in 2012; by contrast, in its<br />

World Takaful Report, Ernst & Young estimates<br />

that gross Takaful contribution for 2012 will grow<br />

to US$12 billion, a year-on-year increase of<br />

24%.<br />

In Southeast Asia, we anticipate that tightening<br />

regulatory requirements in Malaysia could<br />

depress the strong growth momentum the<br />

industry has built up over the short-to-medium<br />

term. That said, tighter solvency calculations<br />

are likely to strengthen the financial profiles of<br />

Takaful operators and operators will also benefit<br />

from revised risk management practices in the<br />

consulting www.<strong>Islamic</strong><strong>Finance</strong>Consulting.com<br />

www.<strong>Islamic</strong><strong>Finance</strong>Events.com<br />

long term.<br />

www.<strong>Islamic</strong><strong>Finance</strong><strong>News</strong>.com<br />

www.<strong>Islamic</strong><strong>Finance</strong>Training.com<br />

www.MIFforum.com<br />

www.MIFmonthly.com<br />

www.MIFtraining.com<br />

www.REDmoneyBooks.com<br />

Connie Wong,<br />

Managing Director and Analytical Manager for Insurance Ratings,<br />

Asia-Pacific, Standard & Poor’s<br />

Kevin Willis,<br />

Director, Insurance Ratings, Standard & Poor’s<br />

28 November 2012

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