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Developing a world-class rare earth deposit in South Africa

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Rare Earths – Supply/Demand Forecasts<br />

Demand projected to grow at 10-15% CAGR from 2010 to 2015<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a‟s domestic demand cont<strong>in</strong>ues to <strong>in</strong>crease faster than its supply<br />

Supply deficit widely forecast<br />

55kt of REO required from non-Ch<strong>in</strong>a sources by 2015, up from 5kt <strong>in</strong> 2010<br />

Significant opportunity for new producers<br />

Global Supply and Demand (tonnes REO)<br />

225,000<br />

200,000<br />

175,000<br />

150,000<br />

125,000<br />

100,000<br />

75,000<br />

50,000<br />

25,000<br />

0<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010f 2011f 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a supply ROW supply Ch<strong>in</strong>a demand ROW demand Total demand<br />

Source: Roskill<br />

39 │

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