Technical University Munich Commodities as an Asset Class - risklab
Technical University Munich Commodities as an Asset Class - risklab
Technical University Munich Commodities as an Asset Class - risklab
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2.1 The different Commodity Types<br />
2.1.1 Energy<br />
Everybody’s daily life is unimaginable without energy. The first energy sources<br />
of men kind were wood, wind <strong>an</strong>d water. Especially wood w<strong>as</strong> used <strong>as</strong> a heating<br />
medium. Over the centuries it became scarce around cities <strong>an</strong>d people were forced to<br />
ch<strong>an</strong>ge to <strong>an</strong>other heating source. Great Britain w<strong>as</strong> the first nation that switched<br />
to coal in the 17th century. With ongoing industrialization its usage incre<strong>as</strong>ed but<br />
with it environmental problems. Since the middle of the 19th century the next<br />
huge ch<strong>an</strong>ge started, the ch<strong>an</strong>ge from coal to oil. Especially the invention <strong>an</strong>d<br />
industrial integration of the combustion engine pushed world’s need for oil <strong>as</strong> major<br />
energy source. Nowadays, energy became besides fresh water <strong>an</strong>d cle<strong>an</strong> air the<br />
most import<strong>an</strong>t element in hum<strong>an</strong> life <strong>an</strong>d nobody c<strong>an</strong> imagine to live without<br />
electrical light, heating <strong>an</strong>d automatic tr<strong>an</strong>sportation. No wonder, that energy<br />
prices have a huge impact to our life <strong>an</strong>d therewith, to industry. During the l<strong>as</strong>t<br />
years, there h<strong>as</strong> been a huge oil price surge. The re<strong>as</strong>ons for this are m<strong>an</strong>ifold <strong>an</strong>d<br />
shall be explained in Section 2.1.1.1. Moreover, crude oil is the input for two also<br />
exch<strong>an</strong>ge traded downstream products: heating oil <strong>an</strong>d g<strong>as</strong>oline. Their dependence<br />
structure <strong>an</strong>d market characteristics are explained in Appendix B.1 <strong>an</strong>d B.2. The<br />
high price environment provoked by scarcity <strong>an</strong>d political instability put men kind<br />
under evolutionary pressure to ch<strong>an</strong>ge to <strong>an</strong>other major energy source. Because coal<br />
<strong>an</strong>d nuclear energy are, caused by their unattractive environmental impacts, only<br />
short term alternatives, natural g<strong>as</strong> <strong>an</strong>d so-called alternative energy sources <strong>as</strong> listed<br />
in Figure 2.1 are getting more popular. Natural g<strong>as</strong> is today the most promising<br />
alternative <strong>an</strong>d therefore, discussed in the Section 2.1.1.2.<br />
2.1.1.1 Crude Oil<br />
Crude oil is petroleum that is acquired directly from the ground. It is formed millions<br />
of years ago from the remains of tiny aquatic pl<strong>an</strong>ts <strong>an</strong>d <strong>an</strong>imals that lived in <strong>an</strong>cient<br />
se<strong>as</strong>. Around 4,000 BC in Mesopotamia a tarry crude oil, called bitumen, w<strong>as</strong> used<br />
<strong>as</strong> caulking for ships, <strong>as</strong> a setting for jewels <strong>an</strong>d mosaics. The walls of Babylon <strong>an</strong>d<br />
the Egypti<strong>an</strong> Pyramids are hold together with bitumen. During the 19th century<br />
in America, <strong>an</strong> oil finding w<strong>as</strong> often met with sadness, water w<strong>as</strong> more attractive.<br />
It w<strong>as</strong>n’t until 1854, with the invention of the oil lamp, that the first large-scale<br />
dem<strong>an</strong>d for petroleum emerged. Rockefeller became the first billionaire by giving<br />
away these lamps for free <strong>an</strong>d earning money by selling the kerosine. Today, crude<br />
oil is <strong>as</strong> import<strong>an</strong>t for the economy <strong>as</strong> air is import<strong>an</strong>t for men. It became world’s<br />
first trillion dollar industry <strong>an</strong>d accounts for the single largest product in world<br />
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