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Ian Robertson,<br />

CEO


Welcome: AQN Investor Day 2012<br />

Some recurring themes…<br />

• AQN provides its investors stable<br />

exposure to the regulated and nonregulated<br />

utilities sectors<br />

• AQN has proved its ability to<br />

seamlessly execute on identified<br />

growth initiatives<br />

• AQN continues to have line of sight to<br />

significant value creation initiatives<br />

over the coming years<br />

“Still lots of gas in the AQN tank”<br />

3


Uncertain Economic Backdrop<br />

Safe and stable returns in an unstable environment<br />

• Global Economy<br />

• Faltering growth<br />

• Stagnating unemployment<br />

• Recovery timeline uncertain<br />

• Regulated <strong>Utilities</strong>: Safe Harbour<br />

• Rate-regulated essential services<br />

• Steady and predictable cash-flows<br />

• Significant portion of AQN earnings<br />

• Non-Regulated <strong>Utilities</strong>: Certainty in Uncertain Environment<br />

• Lack of bold policy support for renewable generation<br />

• Low natural gas prices have made renewable economics challenging<br />

• AQN contracted project pipeline ensures medium term growth 4


Regulated vs. Non-Regulated <strong>Utilities</strong><br />

Two sides to the same coin<br />

Similarities<br />

Part of the utility service distribution chain – generation, transmission distribution<br />

Based on investment highly similar long-lived physical assets<br />

Earnings largely driven by balance sheet<br />

Management of on-going CAPEX is key to business success<br />

Expectation to deliver reliable service<br />

5


Regulated vs. Non-Regulated <strong>Utilities</strong><br />

Two sides to the same coin<br />

Differences Regulated <strong>Utilities</strong> Non-Regulated<br />

<strong>Utilities</strong><br />

Revenue Cost based Market based / PPA<br />

Operating cost risk Borne by ratepayers Borne by AQN<br />

Interest rate risk Borne by ratepayers Borne by AQN<br />

Impact of CAPEX Earning opportunity Reduces return<br />

Typical equity returns 9-11% 11-14%<br />

6


Management Styles<br />

Different Management Styles for Different Environments<br />

Non-Regulated <strong>Utilities</strong><br />

Regulated <strong>Utilities</strong><br />

Margin Maximization:<br />

“Maximize returns in the<br />

context of risk”<br />

Risk Minimization:<br />

“Minimize risk in the<br />

context of fixed returns”<br />

Human Resources Entrepreneurial approach Customer-centric, full service<br />

Capital Reinvestment Highly controlled Prudency governed<br />

Risk Management<br />

Risk-return trade-off to be<br />

considered<br />

No incremental risks to be<br />

assumed<br />

7


Strategy Development Objectives<br />

Robust and Flexible Strategies are the Key to Success<br />

AQN objectives in strategy development:<br />

• Faultlessly execute on committed growth initiatives<br />

• Grow the business in the face of the evolving economic,<br />

political and regulatory landscapes<br />

• Manage our human resource strategies to keep pace<br />

• Maintain market and investor confidence<br />

8


Business Management in the Face of Uncertainty<br />

Some Common Consensus Views<br />

Impact on APUC<br />

U.S. economic recovery will continue to be<br />

anemic through 2013.<br />

Stagnant Economy<br />

Robust Recovery<br />

U.S Production Tax Credits will not be<br />

renewed promptly.<br />

Expire Un-renewed<br />

Are Renewed<br />

Interest rates will remain at current levels<br />

for the near term.<br />

Rates Unchanged<br />

Rates Rise<br />

Natural gas pricing will remain low for<br />

foreseeable future.<br />

NG Price Stays Low<br />

NG Price Rises<br />

9


2013 Growth Plans<br />

Non-Regulated <strong>Utilities</strong><br />

Regulated <strong>Utilities</strong><br />

• Complete the pipeline of existing PPAs<br />

• Take advantage of equipment<br />

procurement opportunities<br />

• Minimize exposure to change in<br />

macro-economic factors<br />

• Continue accretive acquisitions<br />

• Outbound calls to potential sellers<br />

• Maintain discipline approach to value<br />

• Successfully execute closing and<br />

transition of acquisitions<br />

• Exploit core development competency<br />

• Focus on contracted t wind, solar and<br />

small natural gas generating<br />

opportunities<br />

• Enhance focus on organic growth<br />

• Foster entrepreneurial spirit it within our<br />

State organizations<br />

• Drive roll-up opportunities in existing<br />

footprint<br />

10


Success to Date and Go Forward Targets<br />

On target to achieve 2010 stated goal of $2B in assets<br />

and over $200M in EBITDA by 2014<br />

• Re-stated Growth Objectives for 2013<br />

• Continue 15% CAGR Asset and EBITDA growth<br />

• Continue to drive EPS and CFPS by >5% CAGR<br />

• Our “March to a Million” by 2017<br />

• Liberty <strong>Utilities</strong>: targeting 1,000,000 regulated<br />

utility customers<br />

• APCo: targeting ti 1,000,000 kw of finstalled nonregulated<br />

generating capacity<br />

11


Continuing the Trajectory<br />

• Separate business origination teams with a demonstrated record of success<br />

• Identified growth opportunities providing more than 100% increase in assets<br />

and EBITDA<br />

• Low payout ratio, strong equity relationship with Emera provide accretive<br />

sources of capital to fund growth<br />

Illustrative<br />

EPS/FFOPS Dividend id d Payout Model<br />

2011<br />

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016<br />

Dividend Payout Model<br />

Current Dividends Dividends<br />

12


David Bronicheski,<br />

CFO


Year in Review<br />

NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT<br />

$95 MM - EQUITY<br />

APUC EQUITY ISSUE<br />

$100 MM - DEBT<br />

LIBERTY BANK FACILITY<br />

$60 MM - EQUITY<br />

APUC CONVERSION OF CDs<br />

$60 MM - EQUITY<br />

EMERA SUB RECEIPTS<br />

$155 MM - DEBT<br />

UPSIZE APCo BANK FACILITY<br />

$225 MM - DEBT<br />

US PRIVATE PLACEMENT<br />

$60 MM - EQUITY<br />

EMERA SUB RECEIPTS<br />

• $755 million of financings over the last 12 months<br />

• Access to capital remains strong 14


Credit Positive Developments<br />

• <strong>Corp</strong>orate BBB - credit rating<br />

• Outlook moved to “positive”<br />

• Liberty debt rating BBB (high)<br />

• Contributing factors:<br />

• Firm commitment to an investment<br />

grade credit rating with target of BBB flat<br />

• <strong>Corp</strong>orate level financing platforms<br />

• No near term debt maturities<br />

• Conversion of CDs to equity<br />

• Lengthening PPAs<br />

• Quality of cash flows have improved<br />

• New utility acquisitions in 2013<br />

15


Debt Financing Platforms Established<br />

• Financing platforms appropriate for each subsidiary are established<br />

• Straight forward execution and scalable<br />

• <strong>Corp</strong>orate level investment grade financings<br />

• Canadian Bond Indenture:<br />

• US Bond Indenture:<br />

• senior unsecured<br />

• included in Canadian bond<br />

index<br />

• incurrence based covenants<br />

• senior unsecured<br />

• permits US private placements and<br />

public bonds<br />

• now well established in US private<br />

placement market<br />

16


Capital Structure<br />

December<br />

2011<br />

June<br />

2012<br />

Post Q2<br />

Financings<br />

Long term liabilities $ 332,716 33.0% $ 399,406 35.0% $ 639,406 44.9%<br />

Convertible debentures 122,297 12.1% 62,390 5.5% 62,390 4.4%<br />

Total equity 552,695 54.8% 678,172 59.5% 723,172 50.8%<br />

$ 1,007,708 100.0% $ 1,139,968 100.0% $ 1,424,968 100.0%<br />

• AQN maintains an investment grade capital structure<br />

• Consolidated target 50% debt : 50% equity<br />

• AQN intends to convert final Series 3 CDs to equity in Q1 2013<br />

• Conversion further improves financial flexibility<br />

17


Debt Maturity Ladder<br />

• No near term debt maturities<br />

• Paced maturity ladder enhances liquidity<br />

‘000s<br />

$200,000<br />

$150,000<br />

$100,000 000<br />

$50,000<br />

$‐<br />

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023+<br />

Debt Maturities<br />

Convertible Debenture Maturity<br />

18<br />

18


Access to Equity<br />

• AQN access to equity remains strong<br />

• Large demand for predictable yield stock with a proven growth record<br />

• Multiple l tools available:<br />

Operating Cash<br />

Flow<br />

Conversion of CDs<br />

DRIP<br />

Emera Investment<br />

Preferred Shares<br />

Common Stock<br />

19


Tax Position<br />

<strong>Algonquin</strong> <strong>Power</strong> & <strong>Utilities</strong> <strong>Corp</strong>.<br />

Non-capital losses $145.0<br />

<strong>Algonquin</strong><br />

<strong>Power</strong> Co.<br />

Liberty<br />

<strong>Utilities</strong><br />

• APUC regularly assesses its<br />

consolidated d corporate tax<br />

position<br />

• $691 of tax attributes are<br />

available<br />

• APUC now expects to begin<br />

paying cash taxes in 2022<br />

Non-capital losses $ 67.0 $ 45.0<br />

• APCo – 2020<br />

PP&E tax shelter 281.0 153.0<br />

$ 348.0 $ 198.0<br />

• Liberty <strong>Utilities</strong> – 2017<br />

• <strong>Power</strong> development projects<br />

over the next 5 years will add<br />

additional shelter<br />

20<br />

20


The Year Ahead<br />

• Closing on committed acquisitions:<br />

Deal<br />

Debt<br />

Equity<br />

Size<br />

US Wind farms $240 $120 $120<br />

Ak Arkansas Water $27 $15 $12<br />

Georgia Gas $140 $77 $63<br />

$407 $212 $195<br />

21


The Year Ahead<br />

• AQN has proven access to debt capital markets:<br />

Debt Source<br />

Liberty US private placement $ 92<br />

APCo Bond $120<br />

$212<br />

22


The Year Ahead<br />

• AQN has significant and diverse equity availability:<br />

Equity Sources<br />

Conversion of CDs to equity $ 80<br />

DRIP $ 10<br />

Committed Emera sub receipts $ 45<br />

Additional Emera Equity available $ 60<br />

Plus operating cash flows<br />

$195<br />

23


Questions


Mike Snow,<br />

President


<strong>Algonquin</strong> <strong>Power</strong> Today<br />

Rene ewable<br />

• 76% of 2011 EBITDA<br />

• >95% of generation in PPAs<br />

• Remaining PPA life of 15.5 years<br />

nt Th hermal<br />

De evelopme<br />

• 24% of 2011 EBITDA<br />

• >95% of generation in PPAs<br />

• Remaining PPA life of 7.0 years<br />

• Greenfield, acquisitions, organic growth<br />

• Origination results: 541MW over 2012 – 2016<br />

• Development pipeline across 5 provinces<br />

26<br />

Note: The figures used in this presentation assume the divestment of<br />

AQN’s New York and New England micro-hydro facilities.


2012 <strong>Algonquin</strong> <strong>Power</strong> Successes<br />

25 Year PPA with<br />

Sask<strong>Power</strong> for<br />

177MW Wind Farm<br />

Sanger transformer<br />

upgrade and generator<br />

replacement<br />

Achieved 365<br />

days without a<br />

lost time injury<br />

Closing of interest in<br />

200MW Minonk, IL<br />

and 150MW Senate,<br />

TX wind farms<br />

Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012<br />


$1.2B Pipeline to Drive Growth<br />

Adding 541MW of Generating Capacity by 2016<br />

76<br />

EBITDA Growth<br />

($MM)<br />

192<br />

• Build $1.2B of contracted pipeline<br />

• 16% annual growth in generation capacity<br />

• Optimize facilities with a focused capital program<br />

• Continue asset rationalization<br />

Project<br />

MW (net)<br />

CAPEX<br />

(net $MM) COD PPA (yrs)<br />

2011 2016<br />

Minonk 118 227 2012 10<br />

Senate 88 163 2012 15<br />

Cornwall Solar 10 45 2013 20<br />

St. Damase 24 65 2014 20<br />

Morse Wind 25 65 2014 20<br />

Amherst Island 75 230 2014 20<br />

Val Eo 24 70 2015 20<br />

Chaplin Wind 177 355 2016 25<br />

TOTAL 541 1,220<br />

Combined annual EBITDA of $124 Million<br />

28


Changing Complexion of Portfolio<br />

Significant Growth in Generation Across Fewer Sites<br />

Number of<br />

Facilities 2012<br />

Number of<br />

Facilities 2016<br />

6<br />

11<br />

0 - 5MW<br />

5 - 10MW<br />

17<br />

14<br />

37 10MW+<br />

7<br />

Average PPA Length (yrs)<br />

Total Facilities 54 38<br />

Av. Facility Size (net) 9.5MW 26.4MW<br />

2016<br />

16.8<br />

Total MW (net) 510 1,000<br />

2012<br />

12.4<br />

0 5 10 15 20<br />

29


Portfolio Management<br />

Wind, Solar Remain Attractive in the Long Term<br />

Objectives:<br />

• Deliver reliable EBITDA with minimal volatility<br />

• Demonstrate sustainability in the business model<br />

• Acquire sufficient assets by fuel type to operate safely and competitively<br />

US Generation Capacity Additions<br />

Portfolio Considerations<br />

Wind<br />

PV<br />

Solar<br />

Natural<br />

Gas<br />

Hydro<br />

• Diversify revenue geographically<br />

• Annual resource variability similar to hydro<br />

• Expand existing sites with proven resource<br />

• Least complex; attractive margins<br />

• Costs declining; efficiencies improving<br />

• Availability of low cost gas<br />

• Focus: non-merchant generation<br />

• Pursuing accretive acquisitions in a<br />

competitive environment<br />

30


Capital Project Management<br />

Reduce Risk Over Project Life Cycle<br />

Title<br />

Stage<br />

Gate<br />

Activity<br />

Needed<br />

Funds<br />

Engineering<br />

Completion<br />

Contingency<br />

Required<br />

Porch<br />

Gat te 0 – Th he Front<br />

Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4<br />

Project Options Project<br />

Screening Selection Refinement<br />

Conceptual<br />

Study<br />

Ga ate 1<br />

Feasibility<br />

Study<br />

Ga ate 2<br />

Engineering<br />

Study<br />

Up to 0.1% Up to 0.5% Up to 1.5%<br />

Ga ate 3<br />

Execution<br />

Detailed Eng.<br />

& Construction<br />

100% of<br />

Engineering Value<br />

0-5% 5-20% 30-40% 50-100%<br />

30-50% 15-20% 10-15%<br />

• Risk managed process from business plan to start-up (Stage 1 – Stage 4)<br />

• Approval stage gates across the project life cycle (Gate 0 – Gate 3)<br />

• Owner reviews deliverables at each gate; management can modify / stop project<br />

• Project funding is tightly managed<br />

31


Operations Strategy<br />

Focus on Standardization<br />

Operations Organized for Seamless Growth Integration<br />

Divisional i i Organization<br />

• Wind / Hydro / Thermal<br />

Integrated Safety<br />

Common Tools<br />

Standardization<br />

• Embed Safety into Operations<br />

• Dashboards / CMMS / Document Control<br />

• Plug ‘n Play Growth / Maintenance Strategy<br />

2011 EBITDA ($MM) 2011 Capacity (net MW)<br />

18.6<br />

23.0<br />

Wind<br />

Hydro<br />

182.5<br />

140.3<br />

34.5<br />

Thermal<br />

113.7<br />

32


Mike Griffin,<br />

Senior Director, Asset Management


Portfolio Planning<br />

• Managing growth<br />

• Adding appropriate resources for new assets<br />

• Divesting smaller assets<br />

• Plan for rationalization of micro-hydro assets<br />

• Off contract micro-hydro no longer strategic in AQN’s growing portfolio<br />

• High operating cost vs. larger hydro<br />

• Typically y higher volatility vs. larger hydro<br />

• High volatility due to market pricing<br />

• Six plants sold over last 12 months<br />

• Considering further divestments<br />

34


2012 CAPEX Plan and Progress<br />

Project<br />

• Sanger - Transformer upgraded, new STG installed<br />

• PPA amended to manage carbon risk through 2013<br />

• Preparing capital plan to support PPA negotiations with<br />

PG&E for 16 MW additional capacity<br />

• Windsor Locks - Repowering complete in Q3 2012<br />

• ESA extended through 2027 with Ahlstrom<br />

• Frame 6 & STG successfully bid into ISONE Reserve Market<br />

Expected<br />

Impact<br />

EBITDA increase:<br />

- $500k (2013)<br />

- $500k (2014)<br />

EBITDA:<br />

- $2.5 – $3MM<br />

• Tinker<br />

• G5 repowering underway expected completion Fall 2012<br />

• Increase output & reduce operating costs<br />

−<br />

−<br />

24 GWh/year<br />

of increased<br />

generation<br />

EBITDA<br />

increase:<br />

$750k/year<br />

35


CAPEX Forecast (2013-2017)<br />

• Expected CAPEX for organic growth projects of ~$1MM/year<br />

• Case-by-case examination based on increased EBITDA analysis<br />

• For example: Considering chiller upgrade at Sanger in 2013<br />

• Quebec Dam Act<br />

• All required studies have been completed<br />

• Remedial work required on 8 facilities<br />

• Completed at 2 facilities, work on remaining 6 completed by 2015<br />

CAPEX Spending by Division ($MM)<br />

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017<br />

Renewable 9.3 10.5 6.2 2.6 2.3<br />

Thermal 4.5 3.7 3.9 1.2 3.3<br />

Total 13.7 14.2 10.1 3.8 5.6<br />

36


Achieving Price Certainty<br />

• Average PPA length increases from 2012 to 2016<br />

• For Quebec hydro facilities, AQN has negotiated two contract renewals<br />

with Hydro Quebec<br />

• All contracts contemplate renewal terms<br />

• Long-lived hedges<br />

• Dickson Dam: ~ 75% of output<br />

• US wind: Majority of output<br />

Average PPA Life<br />

(years remaining)<br />

2012 2016<br />

Wind 20.22 19.3<br />

Solar - 18.0<br />

Hydro 10.8 10.3<br />

Thermal 7.0 8.1<br />

Total 12.4 16.8<br />

37


REC Sales Strategies<br />

• REC Sales<br />

• Register/Qualify in multiple<br />

programs<br />

• Forward sales of generation<br />

• RPS requirements will<br />

increase significantly<br />

• Market for longer term sales<br />

not well developed<br />

Expected<br />

REC Volume<br />

(1,000/yr)*<br />

$/REC<br />

2013<br />

$/REC<br />

2017<br />

Sandy Ridge (PA) 95 $1.19 $15.20<br />

Minonk (IL) 400 $2.14 $15.20<br />

Senate (TX) 305 $2.10 $3.39<br />

Windsor Locks(CT) 75 $11.00 $11.91<br />

Totals 875 $2.4MM $9.4MM<br />

*APCo’s Share<br />

RPS Requirements<br />

EY2013 EY2014 EY2015 EY2016 EY2017<br />

PA 4% 4.5% 5% 5.5% 6%<br />

IL 7% 8% 9% 10% 11.5%<br />

CT 11% 12.5% 14% 15.5% 17%<br />

TX 5,880 MW by 2014 10,000 MW by 2025<br />

38


Energy From Waste Update<br />

• EFW is ready to continue operations beyond Nov 1st<br />

• Waste supply outlook<br />

1) Municipal sector<br />

• Limited landfill capacity<br />

• Alternatives ti to landfill significant ifi technology and price risk<br />

2) Industrial/Commercial sector<br />

• Significant market for product destruction, bulky items<br />

• Geographic advantage vs. alternatives<br />

• Equipment/Operational modifications will increase plant flexibility<br />

• EBITDA Forecasts for combined EFW/BCI<br />

• 2013: ~$2-3MM/yr<br />

• 2014/15: ~$5-6MM/yr<br />

39


Jeff Norman,<br />

Vice President, Project Development


Levelized Cost of Energy<br />

Levelized cost of electricity for different generation<br />

technologies, Q1 2012 vs. Q1 2011 ($ per MWh)<br />

41<br />

41


Growth Strategy Focus<br />

Project Type<br />

Interest to<br />

Develop<br />

Solar High High<br />

Interest to<br />

Acquire<br />

Wind High Medium<br />

Hydroelectric High Medium<br />

Natural Gas (150 MW) Low Very Low<br />

Biomass Very Low Very Low<br />

Geothermal Very Low Very Low<br />

• Modality – primary development focus on solar and wind<br />

• Minimum Size – gain economies of scale: solar / hydro 10MW; wind 25 MW<br />

• Geography – focus development in Canada and the United States<br />

42<br />

42


Non-Regulated Electric Generation Pipeline<br />

2013 10 MW SOLAR FACILITY IN ONTARIO ($45 M)<br />

• 20 year PPA at Cornwall<br />

200 MW WIND FACILITY IN ILLINOIS ($400 M)*<br />

• Long term power sales agreements ~10 year average length<br />

150 MW WIND FACILITY IN TEXAS ($300 M)*<br />

• Long term power sales agreements ~15 year average length<br />

2014 75 MW WIND FACILITY IN ONTARIO ($230 M)<br />

• 20 year PPA at Amherst Island<br />

24 MW WIND FACILITY IN QUEBEC ($70 M)<br />

• 20 year PPA in partnership with Town of St. Damase<br />

25 MW WIND FACILITY IN SASKATCHEWAN ($70 M)<br />

• 20 year PPA at Morse<br />

2015 24 MW WIND FACILITY IN QUEBEC ($70 M)<br />

• 20 year PPA in partnership with community cooperative<br />

IN EXCESS OF $1<br />

BILLION IN NEW<br />

INVESTMENT<br />

OVER 5 YEARS<br />

9.9 MW WIND FACILITY IN NEW BRUNSWICK ($25 M)<br />

• 20 year PPA in New Brunswick<br />

2016 177 MW WIND FACILITY IN SASKATCHEWAN ($355 M)<br />

• 25 year PPA at Chaplin<br />

43<br />

* APCO Interest 58.75% of Sponsor Co.


Growth Considerations – 2012 Pipeline<br />

Contracted Wind<br />

Un-contracted Wind<br />

Un-contracted Hydro<br />

Un-contracted Solar<br />

Contracted Solar<br />

44


US Electricity Demand: 1990 - 2035<br />

Electricity Generation by fuel, 1990-2035<br />

(trillion kW-h per year)<br />

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration |<br />

Annual Energy Outlook 2012<br />

45<br />

45


Recent Turbine Prices<br />

Source: Bolinger, M., & Wiser, R. (2011). Understanding Trends in Wind Turbine<br />

Prices Over The Past Decade. U.S: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.<br />

46


Turbine Technology Unlocks Opportunities<br />

CLASS I-II<br />

113m Rotor Diameter<br />

CLASS II-III<br />

93m Rotor Diameter<br />

Gearbox & Double-<br />

Fed Induction<br />

Generator<br />

Direct-drive (no gear<br />

box), permanent<br />

magnet, full conversion<br />

80 metre<br />

Hub Height<br />

99.5 metre<br />

80m<br />

Hub Hub Height Height<br />

47


PV Module Price Trend<br />

48


Growth of Non-Regulated Business<br />

Executing on power developments<br />

Projects<br />

Amherst<br />

Cornwall Morse Chaplin St-<br />

Val-<br />

Senate Minonk Sandy<br />

NB<br />

St.<br />

Island<br />

Damase Eo<br />

Ridge<br />

Leon<br />

II<br />

Off-Take<br />

Agreement<br />

Interconnection<br />

Capacity<br />

Permitting /<br />

Environmental<br />

Impact<br />

Assessment<br />

YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES<br />

YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES YES<br />

75 % 95% 97% 40% 85% 25% 100% 100% 100% 100 % 100%<br />

Engineering 25% 25% 0% 0% 20% 1% 100% 100% 100% 10% 100%<br />

Construction 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 95% 95% 100% 0% 100%<br />

Stage Gate 3 3 2 2 3 2-3 4 4 4 2 4<br />

49


Charlie Ashman,<br />

Vice President, Technology


Technology Developments and Cost Trends<br />

• Innovative Technologies<br />

• Impact to existing business<br />

• Opportunities for future development<br />

• Natural Gas<br />

• Supply<br />

• Generation<br />

• CHP<br />

• FERC<br />

• Renewables<br />

• Materials<br />

• Solar<br />

• Wind


Shale Gas Natural Gas Supply<br />

52


Natural Gas Generation Technologies<br />

GE LMS100<br />

• High simple cycle, base<br />

load efficiency (44%)<br />

• Fast start capability<br />

delivers 100 MW in 10<br />

min<br />

Wartsila Duel Fuel<br />

• Stepwise investment, smaller risks<br />

• Excellent plant availability<br />

• Net plant electrical efficiency over 44%<br />

• Full output at high altitude/hot - dry<br />

conditions<br />

• High part-load efficiency<br />

• Fast start-up, 5 min hot standby to full plant<br />

load<br />

F t t t bilit • Minimal water consumption<br />

• Low gas fuel pressure<br />

• Excellent cycling, part<br />

load and hot day<br />

performance<br />

53


Recent U.S. Governmental Action<br />

• Presidential Order CHP August 30, 2012<br />

• Coordinate policies: encourage investment in industrial efficiency<br />

• National goal of deploying 40 GW of new CHP by 2020<br />

• Electricity/Natural Gas Coordination<br />

• Adequacy of gas infrastructure coordination between industries:<br />

• February 2011 gas outages in Southwest lead to blackouts<br />

• Adequacy of gas supply for generation New England winter peak<br />

• Midwest ISO projects $billions of new gas infrastructure needed quickly to<br />

address projected coal-fired generator retirements<br />

• Disconnect between intermittent itt t peak demand d of electric generators<br />

and full subscribed pipelines<br />

• FERC sought industry input and seeks full rule making<br />

• DOE to establish Strategic Materials Hub


Rare Earth Materials for Renewable Technology<br />

• High temperature superconductor<br />

(HTS)<br />

• 10 year horizon<br />

• Significant size and weight reduction<br />

• Demonstration on electric motors for<br />

ship propulsion<br />

• Rare Earth Minerals<br />

• Permanent Magnets (Nd Dy)<br />

• Reduced weight and size<br />

• Direct Drive<br />

• Virtually every technology needs<br />

REM<br />

• Morlycorp reopens Mountain<br />

Pass-Technology innovations<br />

reduce cost w/environmentally<br />

sound mining<br />

• Increased Canadian exploration<br />

• DOE creates Strategic Materials<br />

Hub


PV Highlights 2012<br />

• Module is 50% of PV installed cost<br />

• Module cost reduced to


Innovative Solar Technologies


Wind Industry 2012<br />

Trends<br />

Events<br />

• Wind is credible source of new<br />

generation in U.S.<br />

•<br />

•<br />

GE 10 years in wind industry<br />

Dependency of rare earth materials<br />

• Lack of governmental policy clarity (REM) for magnets<br />

• Turbine manufacturers/supplier<br />

• 2011 nearly all REM supplied by<br />

continue to localize production<br />

unreliable foreign source<br />

• Falling turbine prices push<br />

• Industry experiences price escalation<br />

and limited supplies<br />

installed cost lower<br />

• Molycorp re-opens Mountain Pass,<br />

• With improved capacity factors<br />

CA/other sources<br />

aggressive wind power pricing<br />

i<br />

• US DOE investment in Strategic<br />

• Strong growth 2012 but<br />

Materials Hub<br />

dramatically lower and uncertain • Permanent Magnetic Direct-Drive<br />

2013 (PMDD) eliminates gearbox<br />

• Significant turbine production over<br />

capacity<br />

• PTC set to expire December 31, 2012<br />

58


Wind Turbine Drive Train Evolution<br />

Induction Generator<br />

Permanent Magnet Direct Dive<br />

59


Questions


David Pasieka,<br />

President


A Year of Achievements<br />

Liberty <strong>Utilities</strong><br />

$100M Credit Facility<br />

Regulatory Approval<br />

of 100% Calpeco<br />

ownership<br />

Closing of<br />

Mid-States<br />

Gas assets<br />

acquisitions<br />

Pending<br />

Approval of<br />

Calpeco rate<br />

case by CPUC<br />

January April July October<br />

Closing of Granite State<br />

Electric and EnergyNorth<br />

Gas acquisitions<br />

Liberty <strong>Utilities</strong><br />

$225M debt facility<br />

Announcement<br />

of Georgia gas<br />

assets<br />

acquisition<br />

Announcement<br />

of Arkansas<br />

water assets<br />

acquisition<br />

62


Flawless Execution<br />

• Disciplined approach to<br />

transitioning our<br />

acquisitions<br />

• Planning starts during the<br />

initial negotiation process<br />

• Day 1 in Mid-States and<br />

New Hampshire without<br />

Customer, Employee or<br />

Regulator incident<br />

63


Expanding our Geographic Footprint<br />

Pine Bluff, Arkansas<br />

• Water distribution tuck in<br />

• Purchase price $28.6M<br />

• Acquisition Premium 1.16x<br />

• 17,280 customers<br />

• 41 Employees<br />

Columbus, Georgia<br />

• Natural gas distribution<br />

• Purchase Price $140.7M<br />

• Acquisition Premium 1.1x1x<br />

• 64,000 customers<br />

• 64 Employees<br />

64


Liberty <strong>Utilities</strong> - Systems<br />

NEW HAMPSHIRE<br />

IOWA<br />

CALIFORNIA<br />

MISSOURI<br />

ILLINOIS<br />

ARIZONA<br />

Arkansas<br />

Georgia<br />

TEXAS<br />

Liberty <strong>Utilities</strong> (West)<br />

Water & Electric<br />

Rate Base: $238 M<br />

Customers: 110,000000<br />

Liberty <strong>Utilities</strong> t (Central)<br />

Gas & Water<br />

Rate Base: $137 M<br />

Customers: 113,000<br />

Liberty <strong>Utilities</strong> (East)<br />

Electric & Gas<br />

Rate Base: $336M<br />

Customers: 187,000<br />

65


Issues Affecting our <strong>Utilities</strong><br />

• Safe, reliable service provided<br />

using reasonable cost<br />

structures<br />

• Customer service expectations<br />

• Increased demands d for<br />

stakeholder communications<br />

66


Organizational Approach<br />

Head Office: Oakville<br />

Strategy, Standards, Consistency<br />

State Presidents<br />

Operations<br />

Customer<br />

Service<br />

Regulatory<br />

& Gov’t<br />

Finance &<br />

Admin<br />

Environment,<br />

Health &<br />

Safety<br />

Human<br />

Resources<br />

67


Success Model<br />

• Local<br />

• Responsive<br />

• Caring<br />

• Employee Engagement<br />

• Better Regulatory Access<br />

• Comparable cost structure<br />

• Improved Customer Experience<br />

• Repeatable Scalable Growth<br />

68


On Being Local<br />

• Customer service best<br />

delivered by opening the<br />

doors to our customers<br />

• Leverage experience of the<br />

existing management team<br />

• Repatriate jobs into the state<br />

• Build strong community<br />

presence home / schools<br />

• Poised to capture local growth<br />

opportunities<br />

69


On Being Responsive<br />

• Focus on maintaining reliable<br />

service<br />

• Build standardized platform<br />

• Empower employees to do the<br />

right thing<br />

• Enhance our stakeholder<br />

communications<br />

70


Caring<br />

• Safety is paramount<br />

• Support of the low income<br />

programs<br />

• Care for the environment<br />

• Annual survey validates our<br />

focus on our customers<br />

71


We are Poised for Success<br />

• Proven scalable local model<br />

• Prudent in our cost<br />

management including<br />

commodity procurement<br />

• Well positioned to capitalize on<br />

both organic and acquisitive<br />

growth prospects<br />

• High touch regulatory focus is<br />

demonstrating benefit<br />

72


Peter Eichler,<br />

Director, Regulatory Strategy


Regulatory Overview<br />

New Hampshire/3<br />

Iowa/3<br />

Illinois/2<br />

California/1<br />

Missouri/2<br />

Arkansas/3<br />

Director of Regulatory<br />

& Government Affairs,<br />

New Hampshire<br />

Arizona/3<br />

Texas/1<br />

Georgia/1<br />

Georgia/1<br />

RRA Ranking<br />

Manager Regulatory &<br />

Government Affairs,<br />

California<br />

Below average<br />

Aerage Average<br />

Above average<br />

Manager Regulatory &<br />

Government Affairs,<br />

Arizona, Texas<br />

Director of Regulatory<br />

& Government Affairs,<br />

Mid-States<br />

74


Utility ROE Trends<br />

• Average authorized returns remain reasonable<br />

• Approximately 9-11% for both gas, electric, and water utilities<br />

• Trend toward increased earnings certainty<br />

• Through regulatory mechanisms<br />

12 US Average Utilty ROEs vs 10 Year US Treasury<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

US Utility ROE<br />

10 Year Treasury Rates<br />

75


Increased Earnings Certainty<br />

Mechanism AZ CA MO NH AR GA<br />

Commodity<br />

Pass Through<br />

Accelerated<br />

Recovery<br />

Decoupling<br />

Memorandum<br />

Accounts<br />

76


Decoupling Flavours<br />

• Straight Fixed Variable<br />

• Places all non-fuel costs and returns in<br />

monthly fixed charges<br />

• Popular in Missouri; Liberty assets<br />

currently at 75% of costs in fixed charges<br />

• Weather Normalization<br />

• Adjustments to historical weather<br />

patterns on real time basis<br />

• Liberty will adopt this method in Georgia<br />

• Economic Normalization<br />

• Annual adjustments to ensure earnings<br />

can be met<br />

• Liberty has mechanisms that adjust<br />

annually in California and Georgia 77


Case Study: CalPeco 2013 Rate Case<br />

CalPeco rate case<br />

• Filed February 28 th , 2012<br />

• Extensive interaction with CPUC staff<br />

before and during filing<br />

• Filing based on prospective test year<br />

• Non-Revenue requests<br />

• Decoupling<br />

• Continuation of inflation and major plant<br />

addition adjustment mechanism<br />

• Likely January 1, 2013 implementation<br />

78


CalPeco 2013 Rate Case<br />

• Major Drivers<br />

• Plant Investment: $41 million<br />

• Vegetation Management: $3.3 million<br />

• All party settlement t achieved that t will result<br />

in achievement of $19.0 million EBITDA<br />

• Base revenue decoupling mechanism<br />

• New rates will be implemented Jan 1, 2013<br />

• Subject to final approval by CPUC<br />

79


Regulatory Strategy<br />

• Starts with proactive outreach<br />

• Minimum 4 times annually per jurisdiction<br />

• Keeps regulatory agencies aware of issues<br />

and successes<br />

• Use feedback to implement mutually<br />

beneficial programs<br />

• Customer focused programs<br />

• Regulatory programs<br />

• Locally focused<br />

• No surprises during rate cases<br />

80


Upcoming Rate Cases<br />

• Liberty <strong>Utilities</strong> will file a case for<br />

West<br />

Filing Date<br />

each major system at least once<br />

every 4 years<br />

Rio Rico Q2 2012<br />

LPSCo Q1 2013<br />

• Rate cases will focus on<br />

continually increasing earnings<br />

certainty<br />

East Filing Date<br />

Granite State Q1 2013<br />

EnergyNorth Q1 2014<br />

Central<br />

Filing Date<br />

Missouri Gas Q1 2014<br />

Woodmark Q1 2013<br />

81


In Summary<br />

• Continued increased trend towards<br />

earnings certainty<br />

• Future rate cases to focus on<br />

incremental improvement<br />

• Regulatory Strategy key to successful<br />

rate case outcomes<br />

82


Chico DaFonte,<br />

Director, Energy Procurement


Commodity Procurement Team<br />

• Average of 20 years experience in electric and<br />

natural gas industries<br />

• Commodity supply chain – production/generation,<br />

retail/wholesale sales, purchasing<br />

• Multi-state and federal regulatory experience<br />

84


Business Support<br />

Sales &<br />

Marketing<br />

Customer<br />

Relations<br />

Finance &<br />

Accounting<br />

Government<br />

Relations<br />

Commodity<br />

Procurement<br />

Operations<br />

Rates &<br />

Regulatory<br />

Treasury<br />

Legal<br />

85


Core Obligation<br />

Sales &<br />

Marketing<br />

Customer<br />

Relations<br />

Finance &<br />

Accounting<br />

Government<br />

Relations<br />

To provide safe &<br />

reliable service to all<br />

customers at the<br />

least possible cost<br />

consistent with all<br />

state and federal<br />

regulations, ensuring<br />

full recovery of<br />

commodity costs.<br />

Operations<br />

Rates &<br />

Regulatory<br />

Treasury<br />

Legal<br />

86


Commodity Cost Recovery<br />

• Pass-through cost recovery<br />

• Purchased gas costs<br />

• Electric utility default service – NH<br />

• Electric utility sales service – CA<br />

• Water<br />

• EnergyNorth Natural Gas<br />

• Integrated resource plan filed every 2 years –<br />

capacity cost approval<br />

• Annual hedging plan – Commission approved design<br />

• Semi-annual cost of gas filing – commodity, capacity<br />

and hedging cost pass-through<br />

87


Daily Planning<br />

Forecast<br />

24/7<br />

Market Intelligence<br />

Planning<br />

7:00 AM<br />

Optimization<br />

8:00 AM<br />

3:00 PM<br />

9:00 PM<br />

8:15 AM – 11:00 AM<br />

Procurement<br />

Scheduling<br />

24/7<br />

8:15 AM – 11:00 AM<br />

9:00 AM – 11:30 AM<br />

88


Natural Gas Delivery System<br />

Procurement - Centralized<br />

89


Natural Gas Portfolio<br />

• 17 Interstate Pipelines<br />

• 10 Underground Storage Facilities<br />

• 3 LNG Facilities<br />

• 5 Propane Facilities<br />

• Over 30 Firm Transportation Contracts<br />

90


Natural Gas: The Fuel of Choice<br />

91


Changing Supply Basins<br />

Alaska<br />

Mackenzie<br />

Delta<br />

Western Canada<br />

Oil Sands<br />

Eastern Canada<br />

Rocky<br />

Mountain<br />

Woodford<br />

Shale<br />

Marcellus<br />

Shale<br />

Conventional<br />

Midcontinent/<br />

Texas<br />

Barnett<br />

Shale<br />

Haynesville<br />

Shale<br />

Unconventional<br />

Gulf Coast<br />

92


Pipeline Infrastructure Expansion…<br />

• Northeast Pipeline Projects<br />

• $4.6 billion – completed or under<br />

construction<br />

• $5.5 billion – under review or announced<br />

• 16.3 Bcf per day of capacity<br />

• Pi Primarily il producer di driven<br />

93<br />

* CAPEX estimates were not available for certain of the Announced projects; t<strong>here</strong>fore, the CAPEX estimate reflects the data that is available.<br />

Source: Sussex Economics Advisors , LLC


…Leads to Liberty Growth Opportunity<br />

• Organic Growth<br />

• Residential oil/propane conversions<br />

• Commercial and industrial applications<br />

• New power plants and power plant<br />

conversions<br />

• Compressed natural gas vehicles<br />

94


In Summary<br />

• Team – Experience<br />

• Process – Risk Avoidance<br />

• Natural Gas – Infrastructure and Opportunity<br />

The Future is Bright<br />

95


Gerald Tremblay,<br />

Vice President, Finance


Growing the Business<br />

• Organic Growth<br />

• Leveraging opportunities within existing<br />

assets<br />

• Business Development Growth<br />

• Leveraging opportunities via acquisitions<br />

97


Capital Management<br />

Objective<br />

• Prudently maintain and invest<br />

capital within all our utilities<br />

Strategies<br />

Process Flow<br />

Identification<br />

Efficiency<br />

• Effective and efficient<br />

i deployment of capital<br />

• Consistency in evaluating<br />

capital projects<br />

• Establish accountability<br />

Evaluation<br />

Approval<br />

Implementation<br />

98


Capital Categories<br />

Category<br />

Growth<br />

Program<br />

Mains, services, meters,<br />

system reinforcements<br />

Mandated/Safety<br />

Integrity/Reliability<br />

Corrosion control, meter<br />

change outs, street lights,<br />

new customers<br />

Main replacements,<br />

substation capacity,<br />

pipeline reinforcements<br />

99


Five Year Capital Plan by Region<br />

$ ‘000s<br />

• Average yearly spend of<br />

approximately $69M<br />

• Translates into annual Net<br />

PPE growth of<br />

approximately 3-5%<br />

80,000<br />

70,000<br />

60,000<br />

50,000<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

East<br />

Central<br />

West<br />

20,000<br />

10,000000<br />

-<br />

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017<br />

100


Selected Major Projects<br />

State Project Highlights Dollars Spend<br />

California • Transmission major line re build $50M -7 years<br />

New<br />

Hampshire<br />

• Non discretionary pipe replacement $32.8M-5 years<br />

• Cast iron/bare steel replacement $26.7M-5 years<br />

• New services growth strategy<br />

$18.1M-5 years<br />

• Transformer installation $10.2M-5 Years<br />

Arizona • Palm Valley expansion $5.0M-1 Year<br />

101


Other Organic Growth Opportunities - Gas<br />

• Low commodity prices along EnergyNorth Penetration<br />

with additional gas supply<br />

• Programs in place<br />

• Increase in conversion<br />

Natural<br />

Gas<br />

opportunities<br />

• Increase load volume of<br />

customers<br />

39%<br />

Other<br />

Heating<br />

61%<br />

Approximately 16,000 heating<br />

structures currently on other<br />

heating within 100ft of our mains<br />

102


Acquisition Criteria<br />

• Modest premium to regulatory<br />

book value<br />

• Supportiveness of regulatory<br />

jurisdiction<br />

• Organic growth potential<br />

• Service territory demographics<br />

103


Consistent with our Growth Strategy<br />

• 2012 growth expectations - announce<br />

$150M of rate base assets<br />

• Recent announcements<br />

• Georgia (Gas)<br />

• Arkansas (Water)<br />

• “Saving the Orphans”<br />

• Pipeline<br />

• Water<br />

• Gas<br />

• Electric<br />

104


Consistent with our Growth Strategy<br />

• Continue to build both organic<br />

and acquisition growth<br />

• Over $1.1B in net PP&E by<br />

end of 2013 including<br />

Arkansas and Georgia<br />

• Growing pipeline<br />

$ millions<br />

1,200<br />

1,000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

Net PP&E Organic and Acquisition<br />

Growth<br />

1,108<br />

801<br />

400<br />

200<br />

189<br />

350<br />

0<br />

2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

105


2011 Towards the Million Customers<br />

Organic Growth<br />

Current Activity Growth<br />

106


2012 Towards the Million Customers<br />

Organic Growth<br />

Current Activity Growth<br />

107


2013 Towards the Million Customers<br />

Organic Growth<br />

Areas of Focus<br />

108


In Summary<br />

• Continue to grow our business<br />

organically – approximately<br />

3-5% in annual net PP&E<br />

growth<br />

• Continue to strengthen<br />

pipeline acquisition growth –<br />

over $1.1B in net PP&E by end<br />

of 2013<br />

109


Questions


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