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Babyboomers in the Netherlands: What the statistics say - Cbs

Babyboomers in the Netherlands: What the statistics say - Cbs

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… soon followed by a sibl<strong>in</strong>g<br />

The high fertility <strong>in</strong> marriage cohort 1944 is thus <strong>the</strong><br />

result of <strong>the</strong> quick birth of a child with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> first year<br />

of marriage, but also <strong>the</strong> rapid birth of a second child <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> second year of marriage. Statisticians cited <strong>the</strong><br />

prospect of ‘<strong>the</strong> war tak<strong>in</strong>g a turn for <strong>the</strong> better’ as <strong>the</strong><br />

reason for this fertility behaviour. In <strong>the</strong> first months of<br />

1945, <strong>in</strong> particular, many children were born <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>se<br />

marriages.<br />

Couples who married <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> years 1937–1945 ultimately<br />

produced 3.1 children on average. After three years of<br />

marriage, <strong>the</strong>y had 1.1 children on average. Couples<br />

marry<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> 1943–1945, were more fertile: <strong>the</strong>y already<br />

had 1.3 children on <strong>the</strong>ir third anniversary. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

Statistics Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands, this higher fertility was <strong>the</strong><br />

result of ‘a higher number of conceptions as a result of<br />

<strong>the</strong> favourable prospects offered by <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vasion <strong>in</strong><br />

June 1944’.<br />

Familiar patterns<br />

The war led to a familiar pattern <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Dutch birth<br />

curve: dips n<strong>in</strong>e months after <strong>the</strong> start of <strong>the</strong> war <strong>in</strong><br />

September 1939, <strong>the</strong> German <strong>in</strong>vasion, <strong>the</strong> 1941<br />

February Strike and <strong>the</strong> Dutch fam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ter of<br />

1944/1945, <strong>the</strong> ‘Hunger w<strong>in</strong>ter’. Peaks are visible <strong>in</strong><br />

March 1945, n<strong>in</strong>e months after <strong>the</strong> allied <strong>in</strong>vasion <strong>in</strong><br />

northwest France, and <strong>in</strong> February 1946, <strong>the</strong> postliberation<br />

birth wave.<br />

Births per 1,000 <strong>in</strong>habitants<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

Normandy <strong>in</strong>vasion<br />

25<br />

20<br />

Hunger w<strong>in</strong>ter<br />

15<br />

Liberation<br />

0<br />

’38<br />

’39<br />

’40<br />

’41<br />

’42<br />

’43 ’44 ’45 ’46 ’47 ’48 ’49 ’50<br />

year<br />

Baby boomers 7

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