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Planning for Climate Change - UN-Habitat

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<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: A Review<br />

Table 2: Climatic <strong>Change</strong>s, Possible Impacts, and Potential Impacts on Cities 4<br />

CLIMATIC CHANGE<br />

POSSIBLE IMPACT<br />

Increased Temperatures Groundwater<br />

depletion<br />

Water shortages<br />

Drought<br />

Degraded air<br />

quality (smog)<br />

Increased Precipitation <br />

Increased risk<br />

of landslides or<br />

mudslides on<br />

hazard slopes<br />

Sea-level Rise <br />

Salt water intrusion<br />

into groundwater<br />

supplies in coastal<br />

areas<br />

Increased storm<br />

surge hazard<br />

Increased extreme<br />

weather episodes<br />

(storms, cyclones,<br />

hurricanes)<br />

<br />

<br />

More intense<br />

<br />

Higher risk<br />

of landslides/<br />

mudslides on<br />

hazard slopes<br />

POTENTIAL URBAN PLANNING-RELATED<br />

CONSEQUENCES<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Water shortages<br />

Distress migration to cities/towns due to<br />

droughts in rural areas<br />

Interruption of food supply networks and higher<br />

food prices<br />

Potential energy price increases (e.g., from<br />

reduced hydro-electricity generation in places<br />

where it exists)<br />

Exaggerated urban heat island effect<br />

Increased energy demands <strong>for</strong> cooling<br />

Need <strong>for</strong> higher and/or additional wastewater<br />

treatment<br />

Population health impacts (e.g., increased<br />

mortality during heat waves, decreased access<br />

to food/nutrition)<br />

Interruption of food supply networks<br />

Property damage (homes and businesses)<br />

Disruption of livelihoods and city/town<br />

economies<br />

Damage to infrastructure not designed to<br />

standards of occurrences being experienced<br />

<br />

rural areas<br />

Displacement and population movement from<br />

in<strong>for</strong>mal settlements built on steep slope hazard<br />

lands, etc.<br />

More favourable breeding grounds <strong>for</strong><br />

pathogens (e.g., mosquitoes and malaria)<br />

Population health impacts (increased incidences<br />

of water-borne diseases like cholera)<br />

Displacement and population movement from<br />

<br />

Property damage (homes and businesses)<br />

Damage to infrastructure not designed to<br />

standards of occurrences being experienced<br />

Disruption of livelihoods and city/town<br />

economies<br />

Population health impacts (injuries, increased<br />

mortality and illness)<br />

Property damage (homes and businesses)<br />

Damage to infrastructure not designed to<br />

standards of occurrences being experienced<br />

Population health impacts (injuries, increased<br />

mortality, distress)<br />

Disruption of livelihoods and city/town<br />

economies<br />

Interruption of food supply networks<br />

4 Source: adapted from Developing Local <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Plans, <strong>UN</strong>-HABITAT/International Institute <strong>for</strong><br />

Environment & Development (2010) and Willbanks et al (2007)<br />

A Strategic, Values-based Approach <strong>for</strong> Urban Planners<br />

29

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