Statistics 1 Revision Notes - Mr Barton Maths
Statistics 1 Revision Notes - Mr Barton Maths
Statistics 1 Revision Notes - Mr Barton Maths
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Example: The weights of chocolate bars are normally distributed with mean 205 g and<br />
standard deviation 2⋅6 g. The stated weight of each bar is 200 g.<br />
(a) Find the probability that a single bar is underweight.<br />
(b) Four bars are chosen at random. Find the probability that fewer than two bars are<br />
underweight.<br />
Solution:<br />
(a) Let W be the weight of a chocolate bar, W ~ N(205, 2⋅6 2 ).<br />
Z = <br />
<br />
= <br />
·<br />
= – 1⋅9230769…<br />
P(W < 200) = P(Z < – 1⋅92) = 1 – Φ(1⋅92) = 1 – 0⋅9726<br />
⇒ probability of an underweight bar is 0⋅0274.<br />
(b) We want the probability that 0 or 1 bars chosen from 4 are underweight.<br />
Let U be underweight and C be correct weight.<br />
P(1 underweight) = P(CCCU) + P(CCUC) + P(CUCC) + P(UCCC)<br />
= 4 × 0⋅0274 × 0⋅9726 3 = 0⋅1008354753<br />
P(0 underweight) = 0⋅9276 4 = 0⋅7403600224<br />
⇒ the probability that fewer than two bars are underweight = 0⋅841 to 3 S.F.<br />
14/04/2013 <strong>Statistics</strong> 1 SDB 41