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ARBITRAGE WITH FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION?1 - Helsinki.fi

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4 CHRISTIAN BENDER, TOMMI SOTTINEN, AND ESKO VALKEILA<br />

The set of nds-admissible portfolios is denoted A nds . Here nds stands for<br />

‘no doubling strategy’.<br />

As a direct consequence of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (in<br />

the version of Delbaen and Schachermeyer [9]), we obtain:<br />

Theorem 1. If S is not a semimartingale, then there exists an approximative<br />

arbitrage in the class A si .<br />

Here, an approximative arbitrage is meant in the sense of a ‘free lunch<br />

with vanishing risk’. We refer the reader to [9] for the exact de<strong>fi</strong>nition<br />

of this notion. The previous theorem implies that one needs to restrict the<br />

class of self-<strong>fi</strong>nancing strategies, if one wants to consider non-semimartingale<br />

models, for instance the models (fully or partially) driven by a fractional<br />

Brownian motion that we consider in the following sections.<br />

3. Arbitrage in fractional Black-Scholes model<br />

Recall that fractional Brownian motion B H t with Hurst parameter 0 <<br />

H < 1 is a continuous centered Gaussian process with covariance structure<br />

E[B H t B H s ] = 1 2<br />

(<br />

t 2H + s 2H − |t − s| 2H) .<br />

We state some well known properties of the fractional Brownian motion:<br />

1. For H = 1/2 fractional Brownian motion is a classical Brownian motion.<br />

2. If H ≠ 1/2 fractional Brownian motion is not a semimartingale.<br />

3. If H > 1/2, fractional Brownian motion has zero pathwise quadratic<br />

variation along appropriate sequences of partitions, i.e. for all 0 ≤<br />

t ≤ T ,<br />

lim<br />

∑<br />

n→∞<br />

t i ∈π n ; t i ≤t<br />

|B H t i<br />

− B H t i−1<br />

| 2 =: 〈B H 〉 t = 0; P -almost surely.<br />

4. For H > 1/2 fractional Brownian motion has a long memory, in the<br />

sense that the covariance function<br />

ρ H (n) := Cov(B H k<br />

− B H k−1, B H k+n − B H k+n−1)<br />

satis<strong>fi</strong>es ∑ ∞<br />

n=1 |ρ H (n)| = ∞.<br />

From now on B H will always denote a fractional Brownian motion with<br />

H > 1/2. Since Itô’s formula carries over to the forward integral, with the<br />

quadratic variation interpreted in the above pathwise sense, (see [13]), we<br />

obtain<br />

∫ t<br />

f(Bt H ) = f(0) + f ′ (Bu H )dBu H ,<br />

0

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