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Homework Assignment #1:Answer Key

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to 1 , because arbitragers may wait to save some of their gunpowder till period two.<br />

Hence, 1= − 1<br />

1<br />

+ 1<br />

1<br />

,whichimplies 1 = − 1 + 1 .<br />

(b) If arbitragers had access to unlimited funds what will 2 equal?<br />

brief answer If 2 −→ ∞ then arbitragers will offset all noise trader risk and we have<br />

1 = 2 = <br />

(c) Suppose that the supply function of funds to investors is given by<br />

" µ1 2<br />

2 = 1 + #<br />

1 − 1<br />

(1)<br />

1 1 1<br />

(1) = 1 0 ≥ 1 00 ≤ 0<br />

where 1 is the amount invested by arbitragers in period 1, and 0 measures the sensitivity<br />

of 2 to the term in the brackets. If 2 = 1 what happens to 2 ? What happens<br />

if 2 1 ? Explain why this could be important.<br />

brief answer If 2 = 1 then we have 2 = 1 h³ ´ i<br />

1<br />

1<br />

+<br />

1 − 1<br />

1<br />

=⇒ 2 = 1 ,that<br />

is if there is no change in price then funds available are the same. If prices fall,<br />

however, then clearly 2 1 . How much this falls depends on the size of 0 ,the<br />

more sensitive is supply to recent returns the greater the fall. This could be important<br />

because it makes traders reluctant to fully commit to arbitrage possibilities. A shortterm<br />

fluctuation could wipe them out. This makes noise trader sentiment more<br />

important. If fund supply is very sensitive then arbitragers may even have to sell out<br />

in period two, which would move prices even farther from V.<br />

(d) What does 0 0 imply about the nature of arbitrage? Explain. If 0 is larger are<br />

arbitragers more likely to succeed or more likely to fail in offsetting noise traders signals<br />

in period 2?<br />

brief answer When we have PBA then agency intrudes into the arbitrage process. This<br />

means that arbitragers must take into account the possibility that they will lose funds<br />

at the most opportune times for investment. This makes them less willing to commit<br />

their funds and makes it less likely that noise traders are offset.<br />

4

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