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US Downstream Market Outlook

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Short-term term outlook for refining profitability is<br />

positive in all major regions . . .<br />

• <strong>US</strong>: Tight capacity will keep markets<br />

strong, particularly for high-conversion<br />

refiners<br />

• Europe: Strong <strong>US</strong> gasoline prices will<br />

help maintain margins as European<br />

gasoline demand shrinks<br />

• Asia: Capacity overhang finally wearing<br />

off, need for conversion capacity will grow<br />

10

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