US Downstream Market Outlook

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Agenda • About Purvin & Gertz, Inc. • Drivers of Downstream Profitability • U.S. Downstream Market Outlook • Downstream Opportunities 8
Overall U.S. downstream returns have been poor, but have improved in the late 1990s . . . 20 U.S. Refining & Marketing Return on Investment, Percent 15 10 Approximate Cost of Capital Estimate 5 0 -5 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 9 Source: U.S. Department of Energy Financial Reporting System Data
Page 1 and 2: US Downstream Industry Outlook and
Page 3 and 4: Purvin & Gertz - Background • Fou
Page 5 and 6: Agenda • About Purvin & Gertz, In
Page 7: Factors that determine refining mar
Page 11 and 12: Is there enough refinery capacity?
Page 13 and 14: U.S. refinery capacity additions ha
Page 15 and 16: U.S. refinery capacity additions ar
Page 17 and 18: Efficiency gains and alternative fu
Page 19 and 20: However profitability will likely r
Page 21 and 22: Agenda • About Purvin & Gertz, In
Page 23 and 24: Canadian production is growing due
Page 25 and 26: Successful downstream strategies wi
Page 27 and 28: US Downstream Industry Outlook and

US Downstream Market Outlook

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