US Downstream Market Outlook

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New and different crude oils will create investment opportunities for refiners . . . 2.0 Million Barrels per Day Increase, 2000 - 2010 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Synthetic Heavy Crude Condensate High TAN 22
Canadian production is growing due to increases in bitumen and synthetic crude . . . 4 3 2 1 Million Barrels per Day Bitumen Synthetic Pentanes Plus East Coast Light Sweet Light Sour 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Heavy 23
Page 1 and 2: US Downstream Industry Outlook and
Page 3 and 4: Purvin & Gertz - Background • Fou
Page 5 and 6: Agenda • About Purvin & Gertz, In
Page 7 and 8: Factors that determine refining mar
Page 9 and 10: Overall U.S. downstream returns hav
Page 11 and 12: Is there enough refinery capacity?
Page 13 and 14: U.S. refinery capacity additions ha
Page 15 and 16: U.S. refinery capacity additions ar
Page 17 and 18: Efficiency gains and alternative fu
Page 19 and 20: However profitability will likely r
Page 21: Agenda • About Purvin & Gertz, In
Page 25 and 26: Successful downstream strategies wi
Page 27 and 28: US Downstream Industry Outlook and

US Downstream Market Outlook

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