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State of the North American Pulp & Paper Industry - The Center for ...

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Grade Outlook<br />

– Containerboard<br />

This N. Am. Segment has Undergone Significant Restructuring:<br />

• Concentration <strong>of</strong> Top Producers Shifted From One <strong>of</strong> Lowest<br />

to Highest in <strong>North</strong> <strong>American</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> – Improved Capacity<br />

Utilization and Expansion Discipline Has Followed<br />

• Fur<strong>the</strong>r Acquisitions iti by Large Players Will Be Difficult<br />

• However, <strong>North</strong> <strong>American</strong> Producers Have Lost Export Market<br />

to New Overseas Capacity, Especially in China and Germany<br />

• Pr<strong>of</strong>itability and Returns Are Lower Needed & Expected<br />

• Slack Capacity Absorbed Quickly With Improved Economy<br />

Implications: This grade has had great transition – synergies<br />

still key. Expect more asset moves & quality initiatives. CAPEX<br />

to be minimal. Major issue is surplus converting capacity.<br />

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