Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas - 4G Americas

Mobile Broadband Acceleration
in the Americas
Chris Pearson, President, 4G Americas
www.4gamericas.org
May 14, 2013
www.4gamericas.org

Global Mobile Traffic:
Voice & Data 2010-2018
Mobile Data Traffic will grow 12 times between 2012 and 2018
Source: Ericsson (Nov 2012)
www.4gamericas.org

MB
LTE drives 168% higher daily mobile data
25
20
consumption in North America
Volume Per User Per Day in MB
21.4
3G
LTE
15
14.5
10
5
0
Video
Mobile application volume per user per day - in MB *
Source: Alcatel-Lucent 9900 Wireless Network Guardian,
network analytics
2.8 3.7
Social
Networking
1.4
3.3
Mixed Content
Sharing

EDGE
3GPP Mobile Broadband Evolution
Evolved EDGE
DL: 1.89 Mbps
UL: 947 kbps
HSPA-HSPA+
Rel 8 HSPA+
DL: 42 Mbps
UL: 11.5 Mbps
10/5 MHz
Rel 8 LTE
DL: 300 Mbps
UL: 45 Mbps
20/20 MHz
Rel 9 HSPA+
DL: 84 Mbps
UL: 23 Mbps
10/10 MHz
LTE & LTE-Advanced
Rel 9 LTE
DL: 300 Mbps
UL: 45 Mbps
20/20 MHz
Rel 10 HSPA+
DL: 168 Mbps
UL: 23 Mbps
20/10 MHz
Rel 10 LTE
DL: 1.2 Gbps
UL: 568 Mbps
40/40 MHz
Rel 11 HSPA+
DL: 336 Mbps
UL: 46 Mbps
40/10 MHz
Rel 11 LTE
DL: >1.2 Gbps
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: Mobile Broadband Explosion, Rysavy Research, September 2012
www.4gamericas.org

HSPA and HSPA+
The foundation of the mobile broadband world
enabling operators the flexibility to meet the
increasingly advanced wireless needs of
customers today and tomorrow.
• Global footprint
• International roaming
• Robust mobile broadband speeds
• Continues to evolve
• Smooth transition to LTE
www.4gamericas.org

HSPA+ Downlink
Theoretical Peak Rate in Mbps
3GPP Rel 10
3GPP Rel 11
336
3GPP Rel 7
Mbps
2x5 MHz
64 QAM
21
3GPP Rel 8
MIMO
28
3GPP Rel 9
Dual-Carrier/
Combinations
42
2x5 MHz
2x2 MIMO
Dual-Carrier/
Combinations
84
2x10 MHz
64 QAM
168
2x10 MHz
2x2 MIMO
64 QAM
www.4gamericas.org
Multi-Carrier/
Combinations
2x20 MHz
2x2 MIMO
64 QAM

Global Deployments
Data as of May 8, 2013
520
networks
in 198
countries
>4,000
HSPA
devices
available*
327
networks
in 127
countries
>445 HSPA+
devices
available*
172
networks
in 70
countries
821 LTE
devices
available*
Sources: 4G Americas, Informa Telecoms & Media,
Public Announcements, *GSA, April 2013
www.4gamericas.org

Next Generation Global Standard
• Technology platform of choice
for GSM-HSPA, Greenfield,
WiMAX and EV-DO operators
• Available in both FDD and TDD
modes and supported by
numerous frequency bands
• Offers capacity and speed to
handle a rapid increase in data
traffic
172
LTE commercial networks
launched in 70 countries
400
operator commitments
worldwide
>250
LTE Networks expected
by YE 2013
88 Million
LTE subscriptions
Source: 4G Americas,
Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+
www.4gamericas.org

1000
500
400
300
200
100
0
0
Timeline for Global LTE Deployments
Worldwide Subscriptions
9.3 M
Informa
63 M
-Informa
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Worldwide Networks
56
Forecast
145
322 Million
-Strategy Analytics
198 Million
-IHS
134 M
-Informa
250
252 M
-Informa
406 M
-Informa
633 M
-Informa
1 Billion
-IHS
1.6 Billion
-Strategy Analytics
947 M
-Informa
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
785 M
-ABI Research
380
Source: Public Announcement & 4G Americas Forecasts
www.4gamericas.org

Millions
LTE in the U.S.
Launch Date: Launch Date:
Launch Date: Launch Date:
December 2010 September 2011
July 2012
March 2013
Currently covers
287 million PoPs
270 million PoPs
by YE 2013
200 million PoPs
by YE 2013
200 million PoPs
by YE 2013
250
200
194 million subscriptions by YE 2017
150
100
50
LTE Subscription Growth in the U.S.
0
Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17
Sources: Public Announcements,
Informa WCIS+ Estimates, Jan 2013
www.4gamericas.org

Global LTE Subscription Growth
947
Millions of Subscriptions
Global
LTE Subscriptions
will surpass
1 billion
in 2018
9
68
134
252
406
633
2011
2012
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: Informa Telecoms & Media,
Subscription Forecast, February 2013
www.4gamericas.org

Key Components of the LTE Evolution
2010 to 2012
Initial Deployments
to LTE-Advanced
2013 to 2016
Higher Capacity/Throughput
and/or Efficiency
Typically 5 or 10 MHz Radio
Channels
2X2 Multiple Input Multiple
Output (MIMO) Antennas
Initial Self-Optimization/
Organization for Auto
Configuration
Enables more users, more
applications and a better
experience
Wider Radio Channels: 20 MHz
Carrier Aggregation: up to 100 MHz
Advanced Antenna Configurations
More Advanced MIMO
(Higher Order, Multi-User, Higher Mobility)
Coordinated Multipoint Transmission
HetNets (Macrocells/Picocells/Femtocells)
HetNet Self Optimization/Organization
More Intelligent and Seamless Offload
Greater Capabilities
Voice Widely Handled in the Packet Domain
Policy-Based Quality of Service
www.4gamericas.org

LTE vs LTE-Advanced
Key Performance Indicators
Release 8
LTE
Release 10
LTE-Advanced
Peak Data Rate
Downlink:
Uplink:
300 Mbps
75 Mbps
Downlink:
Uplink:
1 Gbps
500 Mbps
Peak Spectrum Efficiency
Downlink:
Uplink:
15 [bps/Hz]
3.75 [bps/Hz]
Downlink:
Uplink:
30 [bps/Hz]
15 [bps/Hz]
Latency
User plane:
Control Plane:
10 Msec
100 Msec
User plane:
Control Plane:
5 Msec
50 Msec
Scalable Bandwidth
Support
Up to 20 MHz
Up to 20 MHz
with band aggregation
up to 100 MHz
MIMO
(Spatial Multiplexing)
Downlink: Up to 4x4 Downlink: Up to 8x8
Uplink: N/A Uplink: Up to 4x4
Source: 4G Americas Member Companies
www.4gamericas.org

Spectrum Demand
The dramatic increase in mobile broadband and
data traffic drives the need for additional
spectrum throughout the Americas region
ITU analysis states that spectrum requirements by 2020
for a single network within a single country will range
from 1280-1720 MHz. Countries in the Americas will
need an additional 557-997 MHz beyond identified
spectrum allocations by 2020
www.4gamericas.org

2.5
Demand Versus Spectrum
Demand vs Spectrum
(Normalized)
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
No New Spectrum
Partially Increased
Spectrum
Fully increased
Spectrum
Demand
Rysavy Research 2011
Today’s smartphones use 35 times more spectrum than traditional cell phones, and
tablets use 121 times as much spectrum.
www.4gamericas.org

National Broadband Plan
300 MHz by 2015 → 500 MHz by 2020
U.S. FCC Spectrum Allocations Progress & Possibilities
Advanced Wireless Services
(AWS2, AWS-3,etc.)
Mobile Satellite Systems
(AWS-4)
Wireless Communications
Services (WCS)
Can the FCC achieve their objective?
1695 MHz, 1755-1780MHz/2155-2180
MHz, 1900 MHz – H&J Block
75-85 MHz?
2000-2020 MHz/2180-2200 MHz 40 MHz
2305-2315 MHz/2350-2360 MHz 20 MHz
Broadcast (incentive auction) 600 MHz 120 MHz?
3.5 GHz Small Cell 3550-3650 MHz 100 MHz?
www.4gamericas.org

The Importance of 1755-1780 MHz
Spectrum in the U.S.
From:
4G Americas
To: US Dept. of Commerce
April 24, 2013
AT&T
T-Mobile USA
Verizon
CTIA
…In sum, instead of continuing the current course of
contemplating reallocating the entire 1755-1850 MHz
band at some point in the distant future we strongly urge
that NTIA focus the effort on reallocation of the 1755-
1780 MHz sub-band as soon as possible. Sharing or
relocation studies for the 1780-1850 MHz band should
continue in accordance with federal requirements and
should take into account the long-term evolution of
available technology. However, near-term action to
auction the 1755-1780 MHz band paired with 2155-2180
MHz would help relieve the growing pressure for
spectrum. At the same time, federal agencies would
continue to have access to 1780-1850 MHz for ten years,
based on current technology and potential pairing
options.
www.4gamericas.org

Thank you!
www.4gamericas.org
May 14, 2013
www.4gamericas.org