Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas - 4G Americas
Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas - 4G Americas
Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas - 4G Americas
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<strong>Mobile</strong> <strong>Broadband</strong> <strong>Acceleration</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Americas</strong><br />
Chris Pearson, President, <strong>4G</strong> <strong>Americas</strong><br />
www.4gamericas.org<br />
May 14, 2013<br />
www.4gamericas.org
Global <strong>Mobile</strong> Traffic:<br />
Voice & Data 2010-2018<br />
<strong>Mobile</strong> Data Traffic will grow 12 times between 2012 and 2018<br />
Source: Ericsson (Nov 2012)<br />
www.4gamericas.org
MB<br />
LTE drives 168% higher daily mobile data<br />
25<br />
20<br />
consumption <strong>in</strong> North America<br />
Volume Per User Per Day <strong>in</strong> MB<br />
21.4<br />
3G<br />
LTE<br />
15<br />
14.5<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
Video<br />
<strong>Mobile</strong> application volume per user per day - <strong>in</strong> MB *<br />
Source: Alcatel-Lucent 9900 Wireless Network Guardian,<br />
network analytics<br />
2.8 3.7<br />
Social<br />
Network<strong>in</strong>g<br />
1.4<br />
3.3<br />
Mixed Content<br />
Shar<strong>in</strong>g
EDGE<br />
3GPP <strong>Mobile</strong> <strong>Broadband</strong> Evolution<br />
Evolved EDGE<br />
DL: 1.89 Mbps<br />
UL: 947 kbps<br />
HSPA-HSPA+<br />
Rel 8 HSPA+<br />
DL: 42 Mbps<br />
UL: 11.5 Mbps<br />
10/5 MHz<br />
Rel 8 LTE<br />
DL: 300 Mbps<br />
UL: 45 Mbps<br />
20/20 MHz<br />
Rel 9 HSPA+<br />
DL: 84 Mbps<br />
UL: 23 Mbps<br />
10/10 MHz<br />
LTE & LTE-Advanced<br />
Rel 9 LTE<br />
DL: 300 Mbps<br />
UL: 45 Mbps<br />
20/20 MHz<br />
Rel 10 HSPA+<br />
DL: 168 Mbps<br />
UL: 23 Mbps<br />
20/10 MHz<br />
Rel 10 LTE<br />
DL: 1.2 Gbps<br />
UL: 568 Mbps<br />
40/40 MHz<br />
Rel 11 HSPA+<br />
DL: 336 Mbps<br />
UL: 46 Mbps<br />
40/10 MHz<br />
Rel 11 LTE<br />
DL: >1.2 Gbps<br />
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015<br />
Source: <strong>Mobile</strong> <strong>Broadband</strong> Explosion, Rysavy Research, September 2012<br />
www.4gamericas.org
HSPA and HSPA+<br />
The foundation of <strong>the</strong> mobile broadband world<br />
enabl<strong>in</strong>g operators <strong>the</strong> flexibility to meet <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly advanced wireless needs of<br />
customers today and tomorrow.<br />
• Global footpr<strong>in</strong>t<br />
• International roam<strong>in</strong>g<br />
• Robust mobile broadband speeds<br />
• Cont<strong>in</strong>ues to evolve<br />
• Smooth transition to LTE<br />
www.4gamericas.org
HSPA+ Downl<strong>in</strong>k<br />
Theoretical Peak Rate <strong>in</strong> Mbps<br />
3GPP Rel 10<br />
3GPP Rel 11<br />
336<br />
3GPP Rel 7<br />
Mbps<br />
2x5 MHz<br />
64 QAM<br />
21<br />
3GPP Rel 8<br />
MIMO<br />
28<br />
3GPP Rel 9<br />
Dual-Carrier/<br />
Comb<strong>in</strong>ations<br />
42<br />
2x5 MHz<br />
2x2 MIMO<br />
Dual-Carrier/<br />
Comb<strong>in</strong>ations<br />
84<br />
2x10 MHz<br />
64 QAM<br />
168<br />
2x10 MHz<br />
2x2 MIMO<br />
64 QAM<br />
www.4gamericas.org<br />
Multi-Carrier/<br />
Comb<strong>in</strong>ations<br />
2x20 MHz<br />
2x2 MIMO<br />
64 QAM
Global Deployments<br />
Data as of May 8, 2013<br />
520<br />
networks<br />
<strong>in</strong> 198<br />
countries<br />
>4,000<br />
HSPA<br />
devices<br />
available*<br />
327<br />
networks<br />
<strong>in</strong> 127<br />
countries<br />
>445 HSPA+<br />
devices<br />
available*<br />
172<br />
networks<br />
<strong>in</strong> 70<br />
countries<br />
821 LTE<br />
devices<br />
available*<br />
Sources: <strong>4G</strong> <strong>Americas</strong>, Informa Telecoms & Media,<br />
Public Announcements, *GSA, April 2013<br />
www.4gamericas.org
Next Generation Global Standard<br />
• Technology platform of choice<br />
for GSM-HSPA, Greenfield,<br />
WiMAX and EV-DO operators<br />
• Available <strong>in</strong> both FDD and TDD<br />
modes and supported by<br />
numerous frequency bands<br />
• Offers capacity and speed to<br />
handle a rapid <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> data<br />
traffic<br />
172<br />
LTE commercial networks<br />
launched <strong>in</strong> 70 countries<br />
400<br />
operator commitments<br />
worldwide<br />
>250<br />
LTE Networks expected<br />
by YE 2013<br />
88 Million<br />
LTE subscriptions<br />
Source: <strong>4G</strong> <strong>Americas</strong>,<br />
Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+<br />
www.4gamericas.org
1000<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
0<br />
Timel<strong>in</strong>e for Global LTE Deployments<br />
Worldwide Subscriptions<br />
9.3 M<br />
Informa<br />
63 M<br />
-Informa<br />
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017<br />
Worldwide Networks<br />
56<br />
Forecast<br />
145<br />
322 Million<br />
-Strategy Analytics<br />
198 Million<br />
-IHS<br />
134 M<br />
-Informa<br />
250<br />
252 M<br />
-Informa<br />
406 M<br />
-Informa<br />
633 M<br />
-Informa<br />
1 Billion<br />
-IHS<br />
1.6 Billion<br />
-Strategy Analytics<br />
947 M<br />
-Informa<br />
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017<br />
785 M<br />
-ABI Research<br />
380<br />
Source: Public Announcement & <strong>4G</strong> <strong>Americas</strong> Forecasts<br />
www.4gamericas.org
Millions<br />
LTE <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S.<br />
Launch Date: Launch Date:<br />
Launch Date: Launch Date:<br />
December 2010 September 2011<br />
July 2012<br />
March 2013<br />
Currently covers<br />
287 million PoPs<br />
270 million PoPs<br />
by YE 2013<br />
200 million PoPs<br />
by YE 2013<br />
200 million PoPs<br />
by YE 2013<br />
250<br />
200<br />
194 million subscriptions by YE 2017<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
LTE Subscription Growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S.<br />
0<br />
Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17<br />
Sources: Public Announcements,<br />
Informa WCIS+ Estimates, Jan 2013<br />
www.4gamericas.org
Global LTE Subscription Growth<br />
947<br />
Millions of Subscriptions<br />
Global<br />
LTE Subscriptions<br />
will surpass<br />
1 billion<br />
<strong>in</strong> 2018<br />
9<br />
68<br />
134<br />
252<br />
406<br />
633<br />
2011<br />
2012<br />
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017<br />
Source: Informa Telecoms & Media,<br />
Subscription Forecast, February 2013<br />
www.4gamericas.org
Key Components of <strong>the</strong> LTE Evolution<br />
2010 to 2012<br />
Initial Deployments<br />
to LTE-Advanced<br />
2013 to 2016<br />
Higher Capacity/Throughput<br />
and/or Efficiency<br />
Typically 5 or 10 MHz Radio<br />
Channels<br />
2X2 Multiple Input Multiple<br />
Output (MIMO) Antennas<br />
Initial Self-Optimization/<br />
Organization for Auto<br />
Configuration<br />
Enables more users, more<br />
applications and a better<br />
experience<br />
Wider Radio Channels: 20 MHz<br />
Carrier Aggregation: up to 100 MHz<br />
Advanced Antenna Configurations<br />
More Advanced MIMO<br />
(Higher Order, Multi-User, Higher Mobility)<br />
Coord<strong>in</strong>ated Multipo<strong>in</strong>t Transmission<br />
HetNets (Macrocells/Picocells/Femtocells)<br />
HetNet Self Optimization/Organization<br />
More Intelligent and Seamless Offload<br />
Greater Capabilities<br />
Voice Widely Handled <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Packet Doma<strong>in</strong><br />
Policy-Based Quality of Service<br />
www.4gamericas.org
LTE vs LTE-Advanced<br />
Key Performance Indicators<br />
Release 8<br />
LTE<br />
Release 10<br />
LTE-Advanced<br />
Peak Data Rate<br />
Downl<strong>in</strong>k:<br />
Upl<strong>in</strong>k:<br />
300 Mbps<br />
75 Mbps<br />
Downl<strong>in</strong>k:<br />
Upl<strong>in</strong>k:<br />
1 Gbps<br />
500 Mbps<br />
Peak Spectrum Efficiency<br />
Downl<strong>in</strong>k:<br />
Upl<strong>in</strong>k:<br />
15 [bps/Hz]<br />
3.75 [bps/Hz]<br />
Downl<strong>in</strong>k:<br />
Upl<strong>in</strong>k:<br />
30 [bps/Hz]<br />
15 [bps/Hz]<br />
Latency<br />
User plane:<br />
Control Plane:<br />
10 Msec<br />
100 Msec<br />
User plane:<br />
Control Plane:<br />
5 Msec<br />
50 Msec<br />
Scalable Bandwidth<br />
Support<br />
Up to 20 MHz<br />
Up to 20 MHz<br />
with band aggregation<br />
up to 100 MHz<br />
MIMO<br />
(Spatial Multiplex<strong>in</strong>g)<br />
Downl<strong>in</strong>k: Up to 4x4 Downl<strong>in</strong>k: Up to 8x8<br />
Upl<strong>in</strong>k: N/A Upl<strong>in</strong>k: Up to 4x4<br />
Source: <strong>4G</strong> <strong>Americas</strong> Member Companies<br />
www.4gamericas.org
Spectrum Demand<br />
The dramatic <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> mobile broadband and<br />
data traffic drives <strong>the</strong> need for additional<br />
spectrum throughout <strong>the</strong> <strong>Americas</strong> region<br />
ITU analysis states that spectrum requirements by 2020<br />
for a s<strong>in</strong>gle network with<strong>in</strong> a s<strong>in</strong>gle country will range<br />
from 1280-1720 MHz. Countries <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Americas</strong> will<br />
need an additional 557-997 MHz beyond identified<br />
spectrum allocations by 2020<br />
www.4gamericas.org
2.5<br />
Demand Versus Spectrum<br />
Demand vs Spectrum<br />
(Normalized)<br />
2<br />
1.5<br />
1<br />
0.5<br />
0<br />
No New Spectrum<br />
Partially Increased<br />
Spectrum<br />
Fully <strong>in</strong>creased<br />
Spectrum<br />
Demand<br />
Rysavy Research 2011<br />
Today’s smartphones use 35 times more spectrum than traditional cell phones, and<br />
tablets use 121 times as much spectrum.<br />
www.4gamericas.org
National <strong>Broadband</strong> Plan<br />
300 MHz by 2015 → 500 MHz by 2020<br />
U.S. FCC Spectrum Allocations Progress & Possibilities<br />
Advanced Wireless Services<br />
(AWS2, AWS-3,etc.)<br />
<strong>Mobile</strong> Satellite Systems<br />
(AWS-4)<br />
Wireless Communications<br />
Services (WCS)<br />
Can <strong>the</strong> FCC achieve <strong>the</strong>ir objective?<br />
1695 MHz, 1755-1780MHz/2155-2180<br />
MHz, 1900 MHz – H&J Block<br />
75-85 MHz?<br />
2000-2020 MHz/2180-2200 MHz 40 MHz<br />
2305-2315 MHz/2350-2360 MHz 20 MHz<br />
Broadcast (<strong>in</strong>centive auction) 600 MHz 120 MHz?<br />
3.5 GHz Small Cell 3550-3650 MHz 100 MHz?<br />
www.4gamericas.org
The Importance of 1755-1780 MHz<br />
Spectrum <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S.<br />
From:<br />
<strong>4G</strong> <strong>Americas</strong><br />
To: US Dept. of Commerce<br />
April 24, 2013<br />
AT&T<br />
T-<strong>Mobile</strong> USA<br />
Verizon<br />
CTIA<br />
…In sum, <strong>in</strong>stead of cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> current course of<br />
contemplat<strong>in</strong>g reallocat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> entire 1755-1850 MHz<br />
band at some po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> distant future we strongly urge<br />
that NTIA focus <strong>the</strong> effort on reallocation of <strong>the</strong> 1755-<br />
1780 MHz sub-band as soon as possible. Shar<strong>in</strong>g or<br />
relocation studies for <strong>the</strong> 1780-1850 MHz band should<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>in</strong> accordance with federal requirements and<br />
should take <strong>in</strong>to account <strong>the</strong> long-term evolution of<br />
available technology. However, near-term action to<br />
auction <strong>the</strong> 1755-1780 MHz band paired with 2155-2180<br />
MHz would help relieve <strong>the</strong> grow<strong>in</strong>g pressure for<br />
spectrum. At <strong>the</strong> same time, federal agencies would<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>ue to have access to 1780-1850 MHz for ten years,<br />
based on current technology and potential pair<strong>in</strong>g<br />
options.<br />
www.4gamericas.org
Thank you!<br />
www.4gamericas.org<br />
May 14, 2013<br />
www.4gamericas.org