Outlook for International Prices of Fertilizers, Raw Materials and ...

More documents

Recommendations

Info

POPULATION 9 billions 8 Increase 2000 - 2030 Low variant - 28% Medium variant - 36% High variant - 43% 7 6 Source: UN 2008 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 note: consumption data is FERTECON /FAI Hyderabad December 2009 19 USDA GLOBAL MEAT PRODUCTION FERTECON /FAI Hyderabad December 2009 20 10
NUTRIENT BALANCES N P K 2020 2015 2010 2005 1995 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% FERTECON /FAI Hyderabad December 2009 21 CROP PRICES Crop prices are the key underlying driver of fertilizer demand in commercial agriculture At times of high crop prices farmers want to maximise yields to maximise revenue This supports high fertilizer prices as long as farmers see a positive margin There is a cumulative effect – good farmer income in the previous year makes farmers more willing (and able) to pay higher fertilizer prices. FERTECON /FAI Hyderabad December 2009 22 11
Page 1 and 2: Outlook for International Prices of
Page 3 and 4: WHAT HAPPENED? The financial crisi
Page 5 and 6: POTASH PRICES 1000 US$/tonne fob PO
Page 7 and 8: LONG TERM PERSPECTIVE 1000 NH3 - US
Page 9: DEMAND DRIVERS POPULATION - more m
Page 13 and 14: PHOSPHATE USE BY CROP 16% 3% 4% 5%
Page 15 and 16: CORN PRICES 8 7 6 US$/bushel receiv
Page 17 and 18: AGRICULTURE OUTLOOK Strong growth
Page 19 and 20: CROP PRICES AND FERTILIZER PRICES
Page 21 and 22: DOMINATION OF ASIA MAJOR PHOSPHATE
Page 23 and 24: SHORT TERM DEMAND 125 Milllion tonn
Page 25 and 26: SUPPLY FACTORS Supply management ke
Page 27 and 28: NITROGEN SUPPLY Many suppliers - F
Page 29 and 30: WORLD DEMAND FOR AMMONIA BY END-USE
Page 31 and 32: WORLD: UREA PRODUCTION 2007 Total 1
Page 33 and 34: NITROGEN FEEDSTOCK Outside o
Page 35 and 36: POTENTIAL PHOSPHATE PROJECTS - ROCK
Page 37 and 38: POTASH SUPPLY Supply very concentr
Page 39 and 40: POTASH INVESTMENT Most of the ne
Page 41 and 42: UREA PRICES - MEDIUM TERM 600 US$/t
Page 43 and 44: CONCLUSIONS Moderate prices expecte
Page 45: THE OUTLOOK FOR INDIA India

Outlook for International Prices of Fertilizers, Raw Materials and ...

Create successful ePaper yourself

Delete template?

Save as template?