Outlook for International Prices of Fertilizers, Raw Materials and ...

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USDA GLOBAL CORN TRADE FERTECON /FAI Hyderabad December 2009 35 US CORN PRICES AND STOCKS TO USE RATIOS FERTECON /FAI Hyderabad December 2009 36 18
CROP PRICES AND FERTILIZER PRICES High commercial crop prices support high fertilizer prices by creating additional demand in markets such as the US and Brazil as farmers look to maximise yields High crop prices also enable farmers to pay higher prices for fertilizer High crop prices also provide a stimulus for countries with large populations such as India and China to maximise crop production to ensure food security and minimise imports FERTECON /FAI Hyderabad December 2009 37 PHOSPHATE AND POTASH HOLIDAYS Farmers throughout the world have taken phosphate and potash “holidays” – cutting application to save money Despite this, in many regions yields have been good “mining” the soil of P and K There could be a delayed impact on yields for next year’s crops We could see a bounce-back in P and K consumption from 2010 FERTECON /FAI Hyderabad December 2009 38 19
Page 1 and 2: Outlook for International Prices of
Page 3 and 4: WHAT HAPPENED? The financial crisi
Page 5 and 6: POTASH PRICES 1000 US$/tonne fob PO
Page 7 and 8: LONG TERM PERSPECTIVE 1000 NH3 - US
Page 9 and 10: DEMAND DRIVERS POPULATION - more m
Page 11 and 12: NUTRIENT BALANCES N P K 2020 2015 2
Page 13 and 14: PHOSPHATE USE BY CROP 16% 3% 4% 5%
Page 15 and 16: CORN PRICES 8 7 6 US$/bushel receiv
Page 17: AGRICULTURE OUTLOOK Strong growth
Page 21 and 22: DOMINATION OF ASIA MAJOR PHOSPHATE
Page 23 and 24: SHORT TERM DEMAND 125 Milllion tonn
Page 25 and 26: SUPPLY FACTORS Supply management ke
Page 27 and 28: NITROGEN SUPPLY Many suppliers - F
Page 29 and 30: WORLD DEMAND FOR AMMONIA BY END-USE
Page 31 and 32: WORLD: UREA PRODUCTION 2007 Total 1
Page 33 and 34: NITROGEN FEEDSTOCK Outside o
Page 35 and 36: POTENTIAL PHOSPHATE PROJECTS - ROCK
Page 37 and 38: POTASH SUPPLY Supply very concentr
Page 39 and 40: POTASH INVESTMENT Most of the ne
Page 41 and 42: UREA PRICES - MEDIUM TERM 600 US$/t
Page 43 and 44: CONCLUSIONS Moderate prices expecte
Page 45: THE OUTLOOK FOR INDIA India

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