Danish Strategy for Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - HY-CO Home

Table 2. Visions for the development of a fuel cell technology market in the EU countries
until 2020 9
Expected
state of the
market in
2020
Number of
H 2 / fuel cell
units sold
per year in
2020
Fuel cell
system –
target price
level
Hand-held
electronic
equipment
(replacing
batteries)
Portable
generators
(replacing
batteries)
Niche
markets
Stationary
fuel cells
Systems with
power
production
solutions
Transport
sector
Cars,
buses, etc.
Established Established Growing Pre-commercial
~ 250
millions per
year
DKK 7.5 –
15 / W
~ 100,000
per year (~ 1
GW e )
DKK
4000/kW
100,000 –
200,000 per
year
(2–4 GW e )
DKK
15,000/kW
(Micro-CHP)
*
DKK 7,500 –
11,250/kW
(industrial
CHP)
0.4 million
– 1.8
million per
year
< DKK
750/kW
(for
150,000
units/year)
* Danish fuel cell manufacturers aim for a competitive price of max. DKK 11,250/kW in year
2020 for micro-CHP units.
The transport sector is a specialised market that depends on the successful
development of the PEM fuel cell. The energy efficiency of fuel cell-based
vehicles is about twice as high as that of petrol-driven vehicles (cf. Table 3).
Consequently, the fuel cell-based vehicle only has to store about half the
amount of energy to cover the same distance. A 70-litre hydrogen tank at 700
bar can contain the same amount of energy as a 40-litre petrol tank, resulting in
a satisfactory travelling distance – the same travelling distance as would be
achieved with 80 litres of petrol in a petrol-driven vehicle. As far as the
environment is concerned, a fuel cell-driven vehicle running on hydrogen
generated from a renewable source of energy would be fully pollution-free. At
an international level, the emphasis is on the demonstration of infrastructure-related
projects as well as the demonstration and test of various types of hydrogen-driven
vehicles.
9 “Deployment Strategy”, Final draft report December 2004, The European Hydrogen and Fuel
Cell Technology Platform.
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