Center for <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Health</strong> 22 Special thanks to the many people who assisted this project: Annabelle Alvite, David Atkinson, Lillian Alyssa, Lee Anne Ayers, Susan Beck, Matthew Bergen, Melissa Boney, Carl Borash, Gordon Brower, Jill Brubaker, Caroline Cannon, John Chase, David Christie, Louie Commack, Sally Cox, Ben Crosby, Amy Davenport, Michelle Davis, Jeffrey Demain, Heather Dingman, Michael Dirks, Liz Dowd, David Driscoll, Doug Drum, Darcy Dugan, Laura Eichelberger, Hajo Eicken, Ian Ehrlich, Jim Evak, Courtney Flint, Andrew Frankson, Teddy Frankson, Connie Fredenberg, Charlie Gregg, Yuri Gorokhovich, Kyla Hagen, Clark Hanfield, Millie Hawley, Stan Hawley, Jack H’ebert, Tom Hennessey, Grant Hildreth, Helena Hildreth, Jackie Hill, Larry Hinzman, Amy Holman, Eldon Hunnicutt, Willard Hunnicutt, Irving Igtanloc, Troy Izatt, Anore Jones, David Kang, Andy Kliskey, Angie Koonook, Ray Koonuk Sr., Mida Koenig, Danny Lane, Rachael Lee, Anthony Leiserowitz, Cindy Lincoln, John Lingaas, Harry Lind, Eva Long, James Magdanz, Ingemar Mathiasson, Molly McCammon, Jim Magdanz, Tina Moran, Steve Oomittuk, Tom Okleasik, Iris Oktolik, Bessie O’Rourke, Reggie Ovick, Toren MaCarthy, Florence Mitchell, Alan Parkinson, Sverre Pedersen, Jackie Poston, Dan Rinella, Stephanie Rolin, Bruce Richmond, Barrett Ristroph, Vladamir Romanovski, Scott Rupp, Cheryl Rosa, Bob Schaffer, Bruce Sexauer, Mark Shasby, Martha Shulski, Robbin Garber‐Slaght, Hazel Smith, Fred Sorensen, Ellen Sovalik, Kimberly Stone, Scott Sharp, Kurt Schmidt, Stanley Tomaszewski, Joe Towksjhea, Sarah Trainer, Lily Tuzroyluke, Cathy Villa, Hiram Walker, John Walsh, Jeff Welker, Dan White, Siikauraq "Martha" Whiting, Lloyd Victor, <strong>and</strong> Kenji Yoshikawa. <strong>ANTHC</strong> Advisors: Tim Gilbert MPH, Jeff Smith MS, Mike Bradley DVM MPH, Kathy Graves PhD, Steve Weaver PE, Gary Ferguson ND, Jennifer Johnson MPH, Desirae Roehl, Troy Ritter MPH, Aaron Wernham, MD MPH Report prepared by: Michael Brubaker, MS (Lead Author) James Berner, MD Jacob Bell, MS John Warren, PE Alicia Rolin
Safe, <strong>Health</strong>y, Sustainable Communities TABLE OF CONTENTS Summary 2 Preface 3 Introduction 3 Limitations 6 Method 6 Community Profile 7 General <strong>Health</strong> Status 8 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> Patterns of Illness 10 Observations <strong>and</strong> Findings 13 · Temperature <strong>and</strong> Precipitation 14 · Sea Level <strong>Change</strong> 18 · Erosion 20 · Permafrost 21 · Snow <strong>and</strong> Ice 22 · Water <strong>and</strong> Sanitation 24 · Food Safety <strong>and</strong> Security 26 Recommendations <strong>and</strong> Conclusions 27 Figures 1. Map of Maniilaq Service Area 4 2. Map of <strong>Point</strong> Hope Area 5 3. Aerial Photograph of <strong>Point</strong> Hope Community 9 4. Leading Causes of Death, Age Adjusted Mortality Rate per 100,000 (1993‐2003) 10 5. Top 15 Hospital Discharges by ICD Code, All Ages, FY 2005 11 6. Kotzebue Average Temperature (°F) 15 7. Kotzebue Total Annual Precipitation (inches) 15 8. Mean Monthly Temperature, <strong>Point</strong> Hope, Alaska 17 9. Projected Temperature, <strong>Point</strong> Hope, Alaska 17 10. Potentially Submerged Areas Due to Sea Level Rise at Pt. Hope 19 11. Potentially Submerged Areas Due to Storm Surge at Pt. Hope 19 12. Mean Monthly Snow Depth for the Period 1971‐2000 23 13. Mean Monthly Wind Speeds for the Period 1990‐2009 23 14. Filter <strong>Change</strong>s/Day – July 2007 <strong>and</strong> July 2008 25 15. Daily Mean Air Temperature <strong>and</strong> Wind Velocity for July 2008 25 16. <strong>Point</strong> Hope <strong>Health</strong> Impact Severity/Vulnerability Table 28 Appendices 32 A Archived (1971– 2000) <strong>and</strong> Projected Precipitation Data 33 B <strong>Point</strong> Hope Participants/Project Collaborators 34 C <strong>Point</strong> Hope <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Health</strong> Web Resources 35 D Photos 36 References 38
- Page 1: Safe, Healthy, Sustainable Communit
- Page 5 and 6: PREFACE In May 2006, the Center for
- Page 7 and 8: Figure 2 Map of Point Hope (Tikigaq
- Page 9 and 10: youths and presentations were made
- Page 11 and 12: Figure 3 Aerial Photograph of Point
- Page 13 and 14: Figure 5. Top 15 Maniilaq Health Ce
- Page 15 and 16: and a major cause of disability. Al
- Page 17 and 18: Figure 6 Source: Alaska Climate Res
- Page 19 and 20: Figure 8 Graph by ANTHC. Source: Na
- Page 21 and 22: Figure 10 (AOOS, 2009) Figure 11 (A
- Page 23 and 24: Permafrost Observed change: warming
- Page 25 and 26: Figure 12 Source: Alaska Climate Re
- Page 27 and 28: Fig. 14 Source: Point Hope Water Pl
- Page 29 and 30: RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSION Poin
- Page 31 and 32: Recommendations for Climate Adaptat
- Page 33 and 34: 9. In the event of a wildlife die
- Page 35 and 36: APPENDIX A Inches Fig. A1 Source: A
- Page 37 and 38: APPENDIX C Point Hope Climate and H
- Page 39 and 40: Photo 3: Extreme snow management (M
- Page 41 and 42: REFERENCES Alaska Climate Research
- Page 43 and 44: Fussel, H.‐M., Klein, R. J. T., &
- Page 45 and 46: Parry, M., Palutikof, J., Hanson, C
- Page 48: We gratefully acknowledge the assis