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Benazir Bhutto - SZABIST

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<strong>Bhutto</strong>'s assassination could be a setback to populist-democratic forces. But it also has the potential to<br />

mobilize strong backlash against the militarist and overly centralized paradigm of the Pakistani state.<br />

Getting through elections that his King's Party would almost certainly lose if they were fair is not the<br />

only challenge facing Musharraf right now. With the help and support of the military, he can weather<br />

any immediate challenge to his authority. But <strong>Bhutto</strong>'s murder adds to Musharraf's legitimacy<br />

problems.<br />

Her assassination highlights the fears about Pakistan that she voiced over the last several months.<br />

Years of dictatorship and sponsorship of Islamist extremism have made this nuclear-armed Muslim<br />

nation of 160 million people a safe haven for terrorists who threaten the world. She had the courage<br />

and vision to challenge both terrorism and the authoritarian culture that nurtured it. Her assassination<br />

has already exacerbated Pakistan's instability and uncertainty, inciting riots and anger.<br />

The tragedy of December 27 may have been the work of a terrorist, but for <strong>Bhutto</strong>'s supporters the<br />

government is not without blame. Musharraf refused to accept <strong>Bhutto</strong>'s requests for an investigation in<br />

the earlier attempt on her life on October 18, assisted by the FBI or Scotland Yard, both of which have<br />

greater competence in analyzing forensic evidence than Pakistan's notoriously corrupt and<br />

incompetent law enforcement. The circumstances of the first assassination attempt remain mired in<br />

mystery, as has often been the case with murders of Pakistan's high profile political personalities.<br />

Television images soon after <strong>Bhutto</strong>'s assassination showed fire engines hosing down the crime scene,<br />

in what can only be considered a calculated washing away of forensic evidence. <strong>Bhutto</strong> had publicly<br />

expressed fears that pro-extremist elements within Pakistan's security services were complicit in plans<br />

to eliminate her. Instead of addressing those fears, Musharraf cynically rejected <strong>Bhutto</strong>'s request for<br />

international security consultants to be hired at her own expense.<br />

This cynicism on the part of the Pakistani authorities is now causing most of <strong>Bhutto</strong>'s supporters to<br />

vent anger against the Musharraf regime for her tragic death.<br />

The United States might not be willing at this stage to review its policy of trusting the militarydominated<br />

regime led by Musharraf to secure and stabilize Pakistan. But as Musharraf becomes less<br />

and less credible in the eyes of his own people, it might have to.<br />

The U.S. should use its influence, acquired with more than $10 billion in economic and military aid, to<br />

persuade Pakistan's military to loosen its grip on power and negotiate with politicians with popular<br />

support, most prominently <strong>Bhutto</strong>'s successors in her Pakistan People's Party and the Pakistan Muslim<br />

League leader Nawaz Sharif. Instead of calibrating terrorism, as Musharraf appears to have done,<br />

Pakistan must work toward eliminating terrorism, as <strong>Bhutto</strong> demanded.<br />

The postponement of parliamentary elections, originally scheduled for January 8, to February 18 as a<br />

consequence of the assassination has accentuated the Pakistani opposition's doubts about Musharraf's<br />

intentions to share or relinquish power.<br />

Some international election monitoring teams, including the National Democratic Institute and more<br />

recently the International Republican Institute are refusing to monitor the election unless serious<br />

changes are made to the poll rigging structure already in place for the benefit of the King's Party,<br />

PML-Q.

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