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Statistical Machine Learning Methods for Bioinformatics VII ...

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Explaining Away<br />

• S and R are the two causes competing to explain<br />

the observed data.<br />

• So if w is not observed, S and R are marginally<br />

independent.<br />

• If w is observed, S and R become conditionally<br />

dependent. P(S=1|W=1, R=1) = 0.1945 <<br />

P(S=1|W=1)<br />

• This is called “explaining away”. In statistics, it is<br />

known as Berkson’s paradox, or “selection bias”.

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