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Lower Welland River Characterization Report - Niagara Peninsula ...

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<strong>Lower</strong> <strong>Welland</strong> <strong>River</strong> Study Area<br />

<strong>Characterization</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

The following table summarizes commonly identified changes to the hydrological cycle that are<br />

expected in the Great Lakes Basin resulting from climate change. This chart is taken directly from<br />

Mainstreaming Climate Change in Drinking Water Source Protection Planning (de Loe and Berg<br />

2006).<br />

Hydrological<br />

Parameter<br />

Runoff<br />

Lake Levels<br />

Groundwater<br />

Recharge<br />

Groundwater<br />

Discharge<br />

Ice Cover<br />

Snow Cover<br />

Water<br />

Temperature<br />

Soil Moisture<br />

Expected Change in the 21 st Century, Great Lakes Basin<br />

Decreased annual runoff, but increased winter runoff<br />

Earlier and lower spring freshet (the flow resulting from melting snow and ice)<br />

Summer and fall flows are lower and last longer<br />

Increased frequency of high flows due to extreme precipitation events<br />

<strong>Lower</strong> net basin supplies and declining levels due to increased evaporation<br />

and timing of precipitation<br />

Increased frequency of low water levels<br />

Decreased groundwater recharge, with shallow aquifers being especially<br />

sensitive<br />

Changes in amount and timing of baseflow to streams, lakes and wetlands<br />

Ice cover season reduced, or eliminated completely<br />

Reduced snow cover (depth, area, and duration)<br />

Increased water temperature in surface and water bodies<br />

Soil moisture may increase by as much as 80% during winter in the basin,<br />

but decrease by as much as 30% in summer and autumn<br />

77

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