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EXOTIC WOODY WEEDS Use of simulation models to predict future ...

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Figure 3.15 CLIMEX Temperature Index (TI) for rubber vine in Australia. A, current climate; B, 2 °C<br />

increase in global temperature.<br />

Figure 3.16 CLIMEX Cold Stress (CS) for rubber vine in Australia. A, current climate; B, 2 °C increase<br />

in global temperature<br />

Figure 3.17 CLIMEX Thermal Accumulation (accumulated degree-days, PDD) for rubber vine in<br />

Australia. A, current climate; B, 2 °C increase in global temperature<br />

There appears <strong>to</strong> be a small amount <strong>of</strong> wet stress in northern Australia under current climatic conditions<br />

(Figure 3.18, a). There is little impact <strong>of</strong> climate change on the distribution <strong>of</strong> this stress. The<br />

combination <strong>of</strong> slight increases in wet stress, and a coincident reduction in the moisture index are<br />

enough <strong>to</strong> reduce the climatic suitability <strong>of</strong> small patches <strong>of</strong> northern Australia under each <strong>of</strong> the<br />

scenarios that include a 10% precipitation increase (Figure 3.18,e-g), and the highest water use<br />

efficiency scenario with a reduction in precipitation (Figure 3.18, d).<br />

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