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An evaluation of Urdd Gobaith Cymru's Routes to the Sumit Project

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Total<br />

Gwerthusiad o gynllun Llwybrau i’r Brig <strong>Urdd</strong> <strong>Gobaith</strong> Cymry | Mawrth 2013<br />

The number <strong>of</strong> NEET participants is 54% less than <strong>the</strong> target and <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> participants who<br />

proceeded <strong>to</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r education is 93% less that anticipated. As is noted later in <strong>the</strong> report, this is a<br />

reflection <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> project’s ability <strong>to</strong> target NEETs (mainly due <strong>to</strong> its structure) and <strong>the</strong> fact that it was<br />

not really designed <strong>to</strong> do that. The fact that <strong>the</strong> number proceeding <strong>to</strong> higher education is low also<br />

reflects <strong>the</strong> age group that <strong>the</strong> project worked with. The scheme was never likely <strong>to</strong> achieve a high<br />

number against this target. We must ask <strong>the</strong>refore how appropriate this was as a target/means <strong>of</strong><br />

moni<strong>to</strong>ring for <strong>the</strong> scheme.<br />

The target data for <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> participants who have gained a qualification shows an<br />

overachievement and this is because more that expected gained qualifications in basic skills.<br />

However, less than expected have gained a higher qualification (Level 2). Again, this suggests that <strong>the</strong><br />

emphasis within <strong>the</strong> scheme is different <strong>to</strong> that which was moni<strong>to</strong>red. As is noted later in <strong>the</strong> report,<br />

this is partly because <strong>the</strong> scheme has concentrated on responding <strong>to</strong> needs within <strong>the</strong> different<br />

regions taking part. 80% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> target for achieving ‘o<strong>the</strong>r positive ou<strong>to</strong>me’ has been achieved.<br />

It should also be noted that <strong>the</strong> scheme had been affected by uncertainty following a mid-term report<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> main project (i.e. Reaching <strong>the</strong> Heights). At this time, <strong>the</strong> Welsh Government did not confirm<br />

that <strong>the</strong> project would continue in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> second phase until April 2011, which was 4 months later than<br />

expected. This obviously created uncertainty concerning <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r planning and development <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

scheme. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> senior staff <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> scheme believes that this has had an effect on <strong>the</strong> scheme’s<br />

ability <strong>to</strong> achieve its targets.<br />

3.4 Fur<strong>the</strong>r analysis <strong>of</strong> information in participants’ database<br />

3.4.1 Number <strong>of</strong> participants<br />

4,077 participants were recorded within <strong>the</strong> database provided <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>evaluation</strong> team in February<br />

2013. This is less than <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal noted above because participants’ details were still being fed in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

database when <strong>the</strong> analysis was completed.<br />

Figure 3.1: Total participants taken up each quarter<br />

450<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

404<br />

356<br />

371 378<br />

337 335<br />

299 307<br />

273<br />

240 269 265<br />

183<br />

60<br />

0 0<br />

C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7 C8 C9 C10 C11 C12 C13 C14 C15 C16<br />

Quarter<br />

Total = 4,077<br />

As <strong>the</strong> graph above shows, <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> participants taken up in each quarter varies from quarter <strong>to</strong><br />

quarter with <strong>the</strong> greatest amount claimed in <strong>the</strong> most recent quarter within <strong>the</strong> database (404). This is<br />

<strong>of</strong> course a reflection on <strong>the</strong> progress made during <strong>the</strong> scheme; <strong>the</strong> trend line in <strong>the</strong> graph reflects <strong>the</strong><br />

©Hawlfraint Wavehill Ltd. 2013 Tudalen | 18

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