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Prediction of Frontogenetically Forced Precipitation Bands

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Using EPV to Measure Stability<br />

• EPV = Equivalent Potential Vorticity<br />

• A relatively simple, quick, and effective way to evaluate CSI/MSI.<br />

Gravitational instability may also be present.<br />

Defined by Moore and Lambert (1993) as follows:<br />

EPV<br />

=<br />

⎡⎛<br />

g⎢⎜<br />

⎣⎝<br />

∂M<br />

∂p<br />

g<br />

∂θ<br />

∂x<br />

e<br />

⎞<br />

⎟ −<br />

⎠<br />

⎛<br />

⎜<br />

⎝<br />

∂M<br />

∂x<br />

g<br />

∂θ<br />

∂p<br />

(TERM 1) (TERM 2)<br />

e<br />

⎞⎤<br />

⎟⎥<br />

⎠⎦<br />

• The closer EPV is to zero, the more responsive the atmosphere will<br />

be to a given amount <strong>of</strong> forcing.<br />

• IF EPV

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